Were holiday online sales THAT good?
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E-commerce stocks are up sharply today on the comScore prediction that holiday online sales will grow 28% year over year. Earlier, comScore and others were predicting online sales growth of 22-25%. So the stocks are moving:
- Amazon up over 8%
- Bluefly up 11%
- Drugstore.com up 4%
- Ecost up 9%
- Overstock up 2%
- Shopping.com up 6%
Yahoo!, eBay and Blue Nile aren't participating in this rally. But I wonder whether three percentage points of upside to the aggregate growth number (28% from 25%) is enough to justify the moves in the pure-play e-commerce stocks. After all, 28% growth is still below last year's growth rate of 30%, and offline retailers like Wal-Mart are taking market share online.
Full disclosure: at the time of writing I'm long SHOP.
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