Seeking Alpha

A bank failure - particularly the failure of a large bank for reasons that are not idiosyncratic - should sound alarm bells in the brain of anyone who knows the statistical distribution of bank failures. (Click chart to enlarge.)



Prediction: the chart will soon have another spike of bank failures.

One other observation: the FDIC is going to use up a huge chunk of its capital paying IndyMac claims. Expect them to raise deposit insurance premiums for other banks. This means even lower profits for banks.

This article is tagged with: United States
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