Seeking Alpha
Profile| Send Message|
( followers)  

Company Profile:

Advanced Battery Technologies (OTCPK:ABAT) manufactures and distributes rechargeable Polymer Lithium-Ion [PLI] batteries, which are used in mine lamps, electric automobiles, motorcycles, cell phones, notebook computers, walkie-talkies and personal digital assistance devices. PLI batteries are superior to traditional rechargeable batteries and are leak resistant, less energy dense, environmentally friendly, with high design flexibility, allowing the company to produce a battery as thin as 0.5 mm. The company is headquartered and operates primarily in China.

ABAT is a holding company and is involved in the business of PLI batteries through its subsidiaries, Cashtech Investment Limited (Cashtech) and Heilongjiang Zhong Qiang Power-Tech Co.,Ltd. (ZQ Power-Tech). ZQ Power-Tech is a company based in People’s Republic of China, in which Cashtech owns 100% interest.

Sales  

 

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

TTM

Sales $Mil

0

1

4

16

32

37

Operating Income $Mil

0

-2

0

7

10

13

clip_image001Income Tax $Mil

-1

0

1

clip_image001Net Income $Mil

0

-2

0

8

10

13

Earnings/Share $

0.00

-0.23

-0.01

0.17

0.22

0.27

EPS (Cont Ops) $

0.00

-0.20

0.00

0.20

0.20

0.30

Dividends/Share $

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Total Shares Mil

1

17

37

47

47

49

Quarterly Income

 Click to enlarge

 

 

Free Cash Flow  

2005

2006

2007

TTM

-1

4

1

9

3

0

0

0

-3

4

1

8

Profitability

Click to enlarge

Competition

Mkt Cap $Mil  

 

 

 

 

Sales $Mil

 

Advanced Battery Technologies, Inc.

271.0

37

Industry Average

2,187

1,750

ABB, Ltd.

62,069

29,183

Matsushita Electric Industrial Co., Ltd.

48,199

79,390

Emerson Electric Company

38,867

23,784

Corning Inc.

31,750

6,170

Danaher Corporation

24,252

11,533

Eaton Corporation

11,978

13,416

Nidec Corporation

9,529

5,396

Cooper Industries, Ltd.

6,908

6,055

SPX Corporation

6,477

5,200

Rockwell Automation

6,232

5,390

Quanta Services, Inc.

5,262

2,932

Suntech Power Holdings Co., Ltd.

5,185

1,348

Ametek, Inc.

4,993

2,243

Makita Corporation

4,909

2,399

Black & Decker Corporation

3,360

6,482

Dresser-Rand Group, Inc.

3,117

1,714

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.

3,103

2,352

Energy Conversion Devices, Inc.

2,654

209

Valmont Industries, Inc.

2,443

1,581

Hubbell, Inc.

2,410

2,536

GrafTech International, Inc.

2,385

1,067

Ownership

Shares Outstanding

49,000,000

Fund Ownership

490,000

Total# of Funds

8

Technical Analysis

  • ABAT’s beta is 1.8, slightly higher than I like. Albeit, given that it’s considered a Chinese stock, the market’s volatility does impact it. A point definitely to be considered.
  • In the last year the market’s been bullish on it, albeit the trends in the last 10 days have been bearish. It’s been oversold. This is a pure reflection of the investor psyche in the past few weeks—an anomaly from my point of view.
  • ABAT’s 80 day resistance level is at 6.26 and if it breaks through that, there’s no reason why it won’t trade >9$, which incidentally is also its 52 week high.

My Decision

Per my estimates, the fair value of ABAT assuming conservative sector and S&P growth rates is $9-$13. Its current trading price has a 60% margin of safety— a strong selling point for me. It’s a steal and will be a great value-add to my portfolio, given it’s currently trading at $5 and change.

The industries it services, namely, mine lamps, electric automobiles, motorcycles, cell phones, notebook computers, walkie-talkies and personal digital assistance devices are here to stay and are very relevant to our daily lives. It has shown potential for aggressive growth in the past 3 years and even more through the recent downturn. This company is a survivor and I’m willing to bet on it. A BUY for my portfolio, for sure!

Disclosure: Following my recent analysis of ABAT, in the spirit of full disclosure that I’ve always maintained, I bought ABAT @ $5.33 earlier today.

 

Editor's Note: Disclosure Updated on 7/16/08.

 

Source: Advanced Battery Technologies: A Steal of a Stock