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JetBlue Airways Corporation (NASDAQ:JBLU)

Q2 2008 Earnings Call

July 22, 2008 10:00 am ET

Executives

David Barger - Chief Executive Officer and Director

Ed Barnes - Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President

Analysts

William Greene – Morgan Stanley

Duane Pfennigwerth – Raymond James

Gary Chase - Lehman Brothers

Michael Linenberg - Merrill Lynch & Company

Jamie Baker - JP Morgan Securities Inc

Ray Neidl - Calyon Securities

Kevin Crissey - UBS

Daniel McKenzie - Credit Suisse

Operator

Welcome to JetBlue Airways Corporation second quarter 2008 earnings conference call. (Operator Instructions) We have on the call today Dave Barger, JetBlue’s CEO; and Ed Barnes, JetBlue’s CFO.

As a reminder, this morning’s call includes forward-looking statements about future events. Actual results may differ from those expressed in forward-looking statements due to many factors and therefore investors should not place undue reliance on these statements. For additional information, please refer to the company’s periodic filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Dave Barger.

David Barger

This morning we announced our financial results for the second quarter. We reported an operating margin of 2.4% resulting in a net loss of $7 million or $0.03 per diluted share. Our second quarter results were inline with all of our guidance ranges despite higher than expected fuel, which was about $0.08 higher than our issued guidance.

Year revenues continued to show impressive growth during the second quarter. Passenger revenue per available seat mile or PRASM grew 9.8% year-over-year and RASM, which includes our ancillary revenues gained over 13% on a year-over-year basis. Unfortunately year revenue gains have been far from sufficient to keep pace from the extraordinary increase in the price of fuel.

JetBlue’s average fuel price increased nearly 60% or over $1 per gallon versus the second quarter of 2007. Record fuel prices have transformed the industry landscape not only because of the magnitude of the run up in the price of fuel, but also because of the pace of this increase.

On our last earnings call I outlined several key actions JetBlue has been taking to adapt to what we call the "new normal". We believe this industry environment creates opportunities for those who maintain adequate liquidity, capacity control and service quality.

With respect to service quality I would like to first thank our 11,500-crew members for all of their hard work. Record fuel costs and an uncertain economy are not an excuse to provide anything less then the JetBlue experience. I am pleased that in the face of this industry turmoil, JetBlue recently achieved the number one customer service ranking among the low cost carriers from J.D. Power and Associates for the fourth year in a row. This award is a true testament for the dedication of our crew members who continue to deliver exceptional customer service to our 20 million annual customers.

The primary part of our plan to combat record fuel cost has been to aggressively manage our capacity in 2008 and beyond. We have revised our 2008 capacity plans further downward, with the bulk of these reductions beginning in September. We expect negative capacity growth during both the third and the fourth quarters of this year, a first in JetBlue’s history.

We expect our third quarter capacity to decrease between 1% and 3% year-over-year, with most of the capacity reductions falling in September, where our capacity will be down about 10% on a year-over-year basis. We expect our fourth quarter capacity to be down roughly 6% to 9%. This pull down in ASMs during the fourth quarter is significantly larger than the negative 2.8% we’d announced previously. As a result of these planned capacity reductions, we’ve reduced our 2008 estimated growth range from the 6% to 9% range we provided at the beginning of 2008, to between 0% and 2%.

We’ve continued to successfully manage our capacity through aircraft sales and deferrals. As we previously announced, we’ve entered into agreements to sell nine used A320s this year and completed four sales during the second quarter. We intend to make additional capacity reductions beginning in September beyond aircraft sales through a combination of aircraft gauge adjustments, lower utilization during trough periods and day of week capacity adjustments.

Slower growth affords us the opportunity to focus on strengthening our core network. After the peak summer travel period we plan to significantly reduce our transcontinental capacity, which we expect to be down roughly 30% in the fourth quarter compared to the same quarter in 2007.

We expect about 30% of our ASMs in the fourth quarter to be in the transcontinental markets compared to 45% in the fourth quarter of 2007. As many of you read by now in today’s press release we will discontinue service to Ontario, California on September 3, 2008. Unfortunately this market is not sustainable at current fuel prices. When we begin service to Ontario in July 2000 oil was trading at $30 per barrel.

There are many routes that made sense at $30, $50 or $60 per barrel of oil, but not at $120 plus cost. Just to give you a better sense of the magnitude of the impact of the spike in fuel, our average fare between JFK and Ontario increased 18% between the end of 2001, our first full year of service in that market, and 2007.At the same time the cost of fuel for that flight has more than quadrupled.

This fuel environment forces us to constantly revisit the assumptions and performance of every market, route and city, even one like Ontario, which was our first West Coast city. As you will recall we also suspended service to Tucson, Columbus and Nashville earlier this year and we deferred the startup of our service to Los Angeles International Airport or LAX. These were very difficult decisions for us primarily due to the impact they have in our crewmembers in these cities and our commitment to these communities.

As I’ve said in the past, every aircraft has to earn its way into the route network. We’ll continue to make network adjustments as appropriate to ensure our aircraft are deployed more profitably. In this environment, we believe it’s prudent to reallocate capacity to our areas of strength and where we see opportunities.

Given the current fuel environment, we plan to reduce our relative exposure to east-west markets, while increasing our presence in north-south and shorter haul markets, where the yields are better and fuel is less of a factor. We will continue to leverage our market presence in New York, Boston, Florida, the Caribbean and on the West Coast. We also plan to continue our focus on connecting the dots that is adding points between our existing cities to help improve efficiencies and asset utilization.

While we remain focused on our core network we also remained flexible as industry conditions create profitable opportunities. For example, we’ve recently announced plans to reallocate capacity to San Juan and the Dominican Republic this fall, where we have continued to perform very well. We also added new service in the White Plains, where we are now the largest carrier. This coupled with our service to JFK, LaGuardia, Newark and Stewart further bolsters our position as New York’s true hometown airline.

Given the current environment, it simply does not make economic sense for us to grow our capacity in 2009. We have continued to manage our growth through opportunistic aircraft sales and deferrals. In May, we announced the deferral of 21 Airbus A320 aircraft originally scheduled for delivery from 2009 to ’11 to 2014 to ‘15.

We’d originally planned to take delivery of eighteen A320s aircrafts in 2009 and we currently plan to take delivery of the two A320s in 2009, net of deferrals and sales. In addition I’m pleased to announce today that we have entered into an agreement with Embraer to defer ten Embraer E190 aircraft originally scheduled for delivery from 2009 through 2011 to 2016, including one deferral in 2009. We currently plan to take delivery of eight Embraer 190s in 2009.

We are prepared to reduce our growth even further and we’ll continue to evaluate fee opportunities as they arise. Our pre-order book provides us with the ability to quickly react to changing marketing conditions. We’ve been successfully managing our fee growth through aircraft sales, deferrals and one quarterly lease return. At the same time, we have aircraft purchase options, which gives us the flexibility to accelerate aircraft deliveries, should conditions change.

Slower growth helps our new markets mature. It wasn’t too long ago that we opened 16 cities in one year. We continue to benefit from the maturation of once new markets, as they’ve now become a smaller percentage of our overall network.

During the second quarter, only about 10% of our seats were in new markets, which we defined as markets opened less than 12 months, compared to about 22% of our seats in the second quarter of 2007. Slower growth help drive the second quarter unit revenue performance, which was once again among the best in the industry. As I mentioned, PRASM was up 9.8% year-over-year, which is even more impressive when you consider this past quarter did not have the benefit of the Easter Holiday.

The second quarter PRASM increase was driven by a 13.7% increase in yield. We achieved record fares with an average fare for the quarter of about $138, which is a 13% increase over second quarter 2007. We are starting to see significantly higher fares in many of our newer markets, which have been in that ramp up period. Not surprisingly our existing markets in the second quarter outperformed our new markets.

Same-store PRASM was about 30% higher than our PRASM in new markets. We also continue to benefit from reduced industry capacity, which was down slightly in our markets on a year-over-year basis, approximately down 0.5% and from our own tactical capacity adjustments such as aircraft gauge and day of week pull-downs.

With regard to revenue growth throughout our network, the Caribbean has continued to perform exceptional well. Our greater ASM growth in this region has magnified this relative contribution. PRASM was up almost 30% in the Caribbean during the month of June alone. 13% of our ASM joined the Caribbean during the second quarter up over 35% in the second quarter of 2007, when 9.7% of our ASMs were in the Caribbean.

We’ve been very pleased with our Caribbean markets because they tend to mature very quickly from both a P&L and a cash perspective. The destinations also generally required minimal up-front capital and despite limited daily frequencies are relatively low cost.

In addition we are benefiting from our heightened focus on ancillary revenues. RASM was up 13.2% year-over-year during the second quarter. Our other revenues increased by $33 million or roughly 70% compared to the second quarter of 2007. We collected approximately $8 per customer in ancillary revenue during the second quarter compared to about $4 per customer in the year ago period.

The results of our ancillary revenue initiatives are very encouraging. Customer response to our Even More Legroom offering, which we anticipate will result in $40 million in incremental revenue this year, continues to exceed our expectations. As a result we’ve changed the EML pricing structure at the end of May to better match demand, increasing the long-haul price from $20 to $30 and medium-haul from $15 to $20.

We also recently began collecting a $20 fee from customers who check in second bag. Results thus far have been inline with our expectations and an additional $20 million this year. During the second quarter we also adjusted our change fee from $50 to $100, this is part of a basket of fee changes that we expect will deliver $50 million in additional revenue annually.

Our goal is to tailor our products and services around what our customers value most and are willing to pay for and we will continue to look for additional ways to drive ancillary revenue. While, everything is on the table, in this environment we are also very mindful of the potential impact these changes may have on our brand in our relationship with our customers.

Looking ahead to the third quarter the revenue outlook is positive. Demands reflected in our forward booking curve remains relatively strong although we are certainly aware of the potential impact of an economic slowdown. Our booking curve has moved a bit further out which is consistent with what other carriers are experiencing based on other airline fare and pricing activity.

This shift could be a sign of some softening in demand, but we’ve been adjusting our pricing strategy accordingly. We expect both July and August to be strong months while demand for air travel declined significantly in September when schools were opened and the summer travel period ends.

Capacity reductions by both JetBlue and other carriers will certainly be beneficial. We expect industry third quarter capacity to be down 2.5% and fourth quarter capacity to be down 5% in our markets. At the same time, we continue to look for ways to improve our revenue performance during our trough periods, for example with increased focused on our charter and cargo businesses.

We expect our year-over-year PRASM growth for both the third quarter and full year will be between 14% and 16%. We expect RASM to increase 19% to 21% during the third quarter and 18% to 20% for the full year. While slower growth certainly helps drive better unit performance it also pressures our unit cost in the near-term and it expectedly take more time to extract the same percentage of cost from the system.

Since a large percentage of our capacity cuts are coming out of the transcon markets, we expect to add disproportionate portion of negative impact to our ex-fuel CASM cost in the near term. In addition, our commitments to a no furlough policy pressures our unit costs. We believe this is the right approach over the long-term because it creates a better work environment, resulting in greater productivity and efficiency across our workforce.

To combat these cost pressures we continue to drive improvements in productivity across the airline and we are working to withdraw overhead associated with our reduced level of flight is eliminated. Reduced capacity means that we will need fewer people to run the airline and our goal is to reduce our headcount commensurate with our capacity reductions.

On our last earnings call we announced that we’d implemented a headcount freeze for our management and support staff. We well also be offering refresh and rejuvenate programs or RNR programs as we call them at JetBlue and voluntary opt out packages for those work groups were it makes good business sense.

We certainly have more work to do on the costs front. We are committed to aggressively manage our cost going forward. Cost control coupled with revenue enhancements and slower growth helps bolster our liquidity. We have a solid cash balance with over $800 million in cash, excluding about $300 million of auction rate securities.

Ed will discuss liquidity in more detail in a moment, but I would like to reiterate our focus on cash. Liquidity preservation remains a top priority. Our negative capacity growth going forward reflects our focus on cash and our commitment to only grow responsibly in this environment.

Before closing I’d like to provide a brief update on Terminal 5 of JFK. We are very excited to open our new home at JFK’s Terminal 5 in September, almost six months ahead of schedule and on budget. We are in the final stages of construction and are proceeding with testing and commissioning of the new terminal. We really look forward to providing both our customers and our crew members with a significantly improved experience. We have a unique position in New York as JFK’s largest domestic carrier, and we look forward to be able to continue to leverage our market presence here.

In close, I want to thank our crew members and shareholders for their support and continued confidence in our ability to execute during this challenging time. We believe we will emerge out of this period, a substantially stronger company. JetBlue is well positioned with a strong route network, a flexible fleet order book, solid liquidity, the best crew members in the industry and a management team that will continue to respond quickly and prudently to the challenges the lie ahead.

We will continue to move aggressively to adapt to this changing environment, to ensure that we are well positioned to benefit from the opportunities that lie ahead. With that it’s my pleasure to turn it over to Ed Barnes, our CFO for a more detailed review of our financial performance during the quarter.

Ed Barnes

We are pleased to report another quarter of industry growth and unit revenue performance. Strong revenue growth however was in no way sufficient to offset the impact of record fuel costs which in the second quarter were nearly 60% higher than last year. Had the price of jet fuel stayed constant to where it was in the second quarter of 2007 our fuel expenses would have been about $135 million lower.

Escalating fuel cost continued to pressure the business, not just for JetBlue, but also for the entire industry. Fortunately, we are well positioned with a solid cash position and as Dave just indicated we have a strong commitment for liquidity preservation. We ended the second quarter with $846 million in cash and cash equivalents. These cash balance excludes $300 million in student loan related auction rate securities.

As we previously disclosed, auctions for these securities began failing in February and continued to fail. It is important to note that while the auctions have been unsuccessful, we are still receiving the failure interest rate and we are encouraged by reports of various issuers finding alternatives to this market and calling their securities at par. In fact we’ve had several partial calls at par since the failures began, including about $3 million during the second quarter.

These securities substantially, all of which are guaranteed by the United States Government continue to maintain a high credit rating and we continued to believe these securities which will eventually clear and be called at par. Even excluding these auction-rate securities, our cash position as of the end of the second quarter represents about 27% of our trading 12 months revenues amongst the highest liquidity coverage ratios of the major carriers.

Additionally this morning we announced that we obtained a new $110 million line of credit with Citigroup Global Markets. The credit facility is secured by a portion of our auction-rate securities that expires next July. We plan to use the funds for general corporate purposes including working capital and capital expenditures.

In the current environment we believe it is essential to continue to take more financial conservative approach to managing our business. For JetBlue that means mitigating the risk and preserving liquidity. During the second quarter we took several steps to further bolster our liquidity position.

First we successfully addressed access to the capital markets raising $201 million though the public offering of convertible debentures. As part of this financing we deposited $30 million of the proceeds equivalent to the first six semi-annual interest payments in escrow for the benefit of the non-holders. After directing these escrow deposits and other transaction fees the net proceeds that we were offering was approximately $165 million. We knew the proceeds repaid substantially all of the $175 million convertible debt financing across last year, so we basically refinanced the debt.

Second we completed four previously announced A320 aircraft sales. This generated cash proceeds of about $130 million. We paid down about $185 million in related aircraft debt, resulting in $45 million of positive cash flow. We also met a P&L gain of $13 million from the four sales.

We have commitments to sell five additional A320 aircraft throughout the reminder of 2008 and one A320 aircraft in the first quarter of 2009. In addition to providing last minute steady source of liquidity, aircraft sales have helped us manage our fleet growth. While we haven’t seen any significant slow down in the market for our used aircraft, we believe it is prudent to mitigate risk in this environment.

Accordingly as Dave mentioned earlier we had entered into an agreement with Embraer to deploy delivery of ten E190 aircraft scheduled for delivery between 2009 and 2011 to 2016. We will be deferring one in 2009, five in 2010 and four in 2011. As previously disclosed during the second quarter we also deferred delivery of 21 Airbus A320 aircraft, including the deferral of nine deliveries from 2009.

In addition to fleet management aircraft deferrals reduced our near-term capital funding requirements and debt burn, which helped strengthen our balance sheet and free cash flow. To date we have a deferred a total of 114 aircrafts and have sold or announced plans to sell 18 aircraft along with one early lease termination.

In summary we currently project our aircraft additions, net of our announced sales and deferrals to be ten in 2009, which is two A320s and eight E190s; six aircraft in 2010, three A320s and three E190s; and nine in 2011, five A320s and four E190s. We also maintain flexibility in several of the purchase options to respond to market conditions when they arise.

Before turning to a review of our second quarter cost performance I would like to provide a brief update on our credit card processing agreement. During the second quarter we posted a $35 million letter of credit with our primary credit card processor, representing about 15% of the processors air traffic liability exposure. This reserve amount was inline with what we had anticipated in previous earnings calls.

I’ll turn now to a more detailed look at second quarter results. Our costs per available seat mile excluding fuel increased 4.7% compared to the second quarter of 2007 which was slightly better than we projected at the beginning of the quarter. Fuel continues to be our largest operating expense and now represents a staggering 44% of our total costs. During the second quarter our fuel costs were up almost 60% year-over-year on a unit cost basis.

Our average fuel price for the second quarter, net of hedges was $3.17 a gallon which was about $0.08 higher than we had forecast. We continue to take a disciplined approach to fuel hedging. We hedged approximately 47% of our fuel consumption during the second quarter and recognized about $59 million in fuel hedging gain. On this total $1 million are unrealized gains related to fuel hedges for future periods which were reportedly recognized in the second quarter.

We also continue to work on improving our fuel efficiency with an average aircraft age of approximately three years, certainly operate as one of the youngest and most fuel efficient fleets in the industry. We’ve continued to focus on our various crew member led fuel conservation initiatives such as single-engine taxi and rapid deployment of ground power units at our airport gates. As a result our fuel consumption per block hour decreased 2% year-over-year. I would like to thank all of our crew members and especially our pilots for keeping their focus on fuel conservation.

Our maintenance expense increased about 13% on a unit cost basis during the second quarter, which was similar to our first quarter unit cost increase, due mainly to the gradual aging of our fleet, which results in additional repairs. We also had more E190 heavy maintenance checks during the second quarter. So, as the marketing expense increased 32% on a unit cost basis due primarily to our new Jetting advertising campaign as well as higher advertising spend compared to last year which was impacted by the February storm.

Moving on to the balance sheet, we expect to end the year with cash in excess of our target of 20% to 25% of trailing 12 months revenue and this forecast excludes the line of credit we announced earlier this morning. While we feel comfortable with our current cash position, we are committed to continued vigilance in driving additional balance sheet improvements going forward.

We continue to successfully access the debt markets. I am pleased to report that in addition to all of our 2008 aircraft deliveries we executed debt financing for all of our 2009 Airbus A320 deliveries and three of our eight, E190 deliveries. Looking ahead at the third quarter and full year we will have detailed guidance available in our investor update filed as an 8-K and posted on our website later today. However, let me take a moment to share a few of the highlights.

For the full year of 2008, we expect to grow capacity between 0% and 2%. For the remainder of 2008, we anticipate taking delivery of six new A320’s and one E190. With the five A320 sales we had previously announced for the reminder of this year we expect to end the year with 107, A320s and 37, E190s; that’s 53 fuel aircraft than we had planned at the start of 2006.

We are currently working on our 2009 capacity plans and evaluating our fleet requirements. We do not have specific numbers to share with you at this point but as Dave mentioned we currently do not plan to grow our capacity at all in 2009.

Moving on to CASM, for the third quarter, we expect CASM to increase between 33% and 35%. This year-over-year increase was driven mainly by the increase in the price of fuel which we expect to be up about 70% over the third quarter of 2007. For the full year we project CASM will increase 25% to 27%.

Excluding fuel, we expect CASM in the third quarter to be up 12% to 14% and up 8% to 10% for the full year. Of course as we reduce capacity we will face near term cost pressures as it takes time to extract cost from the system. At the same time, we must continue to make appropriate investments in our brand, culture and technology to insure that we are well-positioned to drive future results.

We are committed to a policy of no involuntary reductions for our crew members which also pressures cost. As Dave mentioned, we plan to reduce staffing and overhead cost with a combination of normal attrition and voluntary opt-out programs. In addition, we have tightened our focus on all discretionary spending. However, we clearly need to do more on the cost front as we position ourselves for 2009.

With regard to fuel, our CASM guidance assumes an estimated average fuel cost per gallon of $2.59 in the third quarter and $3.27 for the full-year. These numbers are based on the forward heating oil curve as of July 17. We are hedged roughly 46% in Q3 and about 38% in Q4, which was inline with our fuel hedging targets.

Finally, moving on to CapEx, we have reduced our aircraft capital expenditures for 2008 from $700 million to $660 million. In connection with the Airbus deferral we announced in May, we were able to apply the pre-delivery deposits we made on the deferred aircraft to other deliveries. In addition, we deferred near-term pre-delivery payments on aircraft, which have been rescheduled based on the revised delivery dates.

With respect to non-aircraft CapEx, we have lowered our full-year estimate from $150 million to $130 million. This reflects our continued cost discipline and our commitment to investments to drive revenue and improve productivity.

In closing, I would like to thank our crew members for all their hard work in this challenging environment. Although many challenges lie ahead, we believe that we have the right long term strategy. We’re taking a conservative approach to managing our business, so we remained focused on liquidity preservation and at the same time we remain confident with an opportunistic mindset in a challenging environment.

We maintain flexibility with the favorable aircraft delivery option, to accelerate our fleet growth to respond to market opportunities as they arise and flexible order book for both the A320 and the E190 as one of our most strategic assets and we intend to continue to take advantage of it. We believe we are in a position of strength, we have solid liquidity, the best brand in the industry and great crew members and a loyal customer base and the largest travel market in the United States and with that we are happy to take your questions.

Question and Answer Session

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Your first question comes from William Greene - Morgan Stanley.

William Greene – Morgan Stanley

I’m just wondering on the 8% to 10% CASM ex-fuel guidance that you gave, it seems like that’s a rather high inflation rate since the capacity growth rate if I recall correctly is about flat. So, can you just talk a little bit about what the pressures are there? Is that the right run rate you should use for your cost inflation?

Ed Barnes

I think that the CASM guidance that we gave is really reflecting the significant pull-downs that we had in both the third and the fourth quarter in our capacity and as we continue to try to manage the trough periods more aggressively, it’s just taking us a little longer to get the costs set out that we have in the system, but I think Dave and myself and the entire company is committed to right sizing our cost structure for our growth plans.

William Greene – Morgan Stanley

When we turn to liquidity other than maybe LiveTV and aircraft sales, are there any other assets you have there that you can monetize that we wouldn’t normally think about?

Ed Barnes

I don’t think that there is any other significant asset that I would be thinking about. I would like to clarify once statement that said during the call though which I may have just misread. In the second quarter we completed four aircraft sales with proceeds of about $130 million and we paid down $85 million in debt. So, resulting in $45 million positive cash flow, I think I may have said 185.

William Greene – Morgan Stanley

In your capacity outlook for 2009, what fuel price do you assume? How did you decide what the capacity should be with the fuel price?

Ed Barnes

We haven’t given any guidance for 2009, so I think we’re just assuming that it’s the current market rate.

William Greene – Morgan Stanley

So like 125, 130?

Ed Barnes

In that range.

Operator

Your next question comes from Duane Pfennigwerth - Raymond James.

Duane Pfennigwerth - Raymond James

Wondering on the ancillary revenue line, if you could segment what’s driven the incremental $4 year-to-year and of the initiatives that you’ve outlined, how many do not have a full quarter’s contribution here in the second quarter?

David Barger

The $8 over $4 figure and we’re really using that too, across the airline as well as a means of educating the value of fees as well as other revenues and so with the contribution on that number, a tremendous amount that’s the fee package that we commented on as well as the second bag fee and things like Even More Legroom tends to be into the revenue figure if you will, but there is still plenty of upside that we think that we see as the landscape revenues really across our business model.

Duane Pfennigwerth - Raymond James

So, paying up for more legroom that’s going to flow though the fare as opposed to the ancillary?

David Barger

Yes, that’s in the average fare for the quarter, that’s correct.

Duane Pfennigwerth - Raymond James

Since there is no update really here on LiveTV, should we read anything into that in terms of interest from other parties or where are you in that evaluation process?

David Barger

LiveTV as we commented previously, as we engaged on our financial adviser Morgan Stanley, a rather robust process that’s been taking place over the last 90 days since the last call and so nothing material to share today in terms of how that process is as we have Duane, but we’re quite pleased with again more we’re seeing with a perspective interest to at least grant us options to evaluate should we want to pursue them. I think at the end of the day, again this wholly owned subsidiary of LiveTV we think is a very, very important asset that of the company and we certainly value it that way and not just in terms of the brand, but also values of the company.

Duane Pfennigwerth - Raymond James

On the sales and marketing line in terms of the year-to-year growth there, could you just talk about what’s driving that increase and when we might round trip some of that to step up?

David Barger

I think again its important to comment that year-over-year results specific to that line, we were on the back side of the events from last February, so it’s a little bit of an apples and orange comparison.

We also made the investment to move forward with our Jetting advertising marketing campaign, really called a brand campaign because we think we’re declaring a new space from a brand perspective and one that is multi-year if you will as opposed to a normal advertising campaign that runs its due course.

It’s a little bit early in terms of providing what fruit that we’re seeing as a results of that, but the basis behind it, again and why would we do this at this point in time with oil burdening the airline and the industry, we are doing because we want to investment in the brand, we want awareness to be out there in markets such as Austin to the West Coast, Austin to Florida; from Seattle to San Diego and Long Beach, down into the Caribbean.

It’s if I may I just want to make a comment to that we’ve converted over to a Spanish website to really be able to communicate with the Hispanic and Latino population and so this is an investment as well and not unlike the Jetting brands, so we hope to be able to tie the results to that monetarily here as it plays out in the months ahead.

Operator

Your next question comes from Gary Chase - Lehman Brothers.

Gary Chase - Lehman Brothers

Ed, just to get this one out of the way if you do the quick math on what you described, the $35 million and 15%, about $200 million of additional exposure, what triggers should we be thinking would prompt you to need to move towards that $200 million of additional opening?

Ed Barnes

Really under the terms of the agreement, the credit card processor could require additional holdbacks at any point in time that they would like to do that. The way that we are trying to manage it is to be very transparent with that processor providing them with financial statements and forward-looking information and just really managing it as a better relationship and so that is the only thing that I could give you any metrics that you could look at to try to find triggers.

Gary Chase - Lehman Brothers

Second, shifting gears when we take a look at the fourth quarter capacity reduction that you’ve already talked to, the 6% to 9% and you roll that into 2009 you are obviously on a much different run rate and I know you’ve said you are going to be flat or no growth in ’09. Should we interpret that as flat or should we be thinking that the run rate from where you leave the fourth quarter is a better guesstimate of what ’09 will actually be?

Ed Barnes

Yes, I think as we continue to look at just planning for 2009 right now the only thing that we are comfortable with saying is that we are going to be not growing ASMs in 2009 or at least we don’t plan to at this point in time. I think we’ll be able to get more granular on that as we get a little bit closer to 2009.

David Barger

As we talked about Bill's earlier question about CASM guidance and there’s year-over-year reduction in the transcons, which makes absolute sense based on what we’re doing or what we’re seeing with the cost of fuel and as opportunities present themselves such as what we’re doing down in San Juan, down in Santa Domingo, as well as recently we added service from Washington Dulles down into the Florida market as well as White Plains.

It’s fair to say that to look at ’09 we’re really right in the midst of evaluating not just our own markets but also what’s happening in the landscape and we’re optimistic as we take a look at some of these opportunities. The brand is stronger and it’s well known in these markets and we’ll seize upon those opportunities.

Gary Chase - Lehman Brothers

Dave you’d mentioned that you were ready to pounce on the deliveries if opportunities present themselves, just given the macro backdrop and the fact that you’ve been doing the opposite. I was just curious, if you could give us some additional color., what’s it going to take to get JetBlue to really start dialing growth back up again.

David Barger

You’re right. We do want to have that opportunity to pounce and I think the flexibility in the order book and the relationship that we have with Embraer as evidenced by today’s announcement as well as Airbus and the recent companies that we work with and we have that, we have that flexibility.

I think it’s as much being governed now Gary by just how much industry capacity is going to be coming out and so while we’re seeing in our own market that reduction to a lesser extent in Q3 and Q4 and we’ve all seen what the other carriers are highlighting for ’09. Is it 10%, is it 20%, I think I remember 125 to 130 with a crack spread at 30 plus and if that’s a new normal we’ll adjust accordingly and I would fully expect that we’ll be able to revenue manage through that and dial growth back up.

Gary Chase - Lehman Brothers

But that’s not the base case expectation right now?

David Barger

I think right now we’re into this liquidity and as very, very important preserve cash and invest in certainly the culture brand and lets take advantage of opening up the new terminal in New York which is under slot constraints and as well as a city like Boston, where we are now the largest airline and fly to more non-stop cities or Washington, Orlando, Ft. Lauderdale. So base case really right now Gary is well, this is a good time to be a conservative.

Operator

Your next question comes from Mike Linenberg - Merrill Lynch.

Michael Linenberg - Merrill Lynch & Company

Yes, David as you were going though, given the changes in the transcon you have a significant reduction coming later this year and you give us the share. Can you give us what the geographic breakdown is at that point, what JetBlue looks like as you scale back where the focus will be?

David Barger

Mike, I think the highlight really is one of this ‘08, Q4 over Q7 with the transcons where it was 45% that becomes 30%. I think that because we sensationalize so much across our route system, we are obviously going to be dialing back up transcons as we go into that peak summer timeframe, but I think if there’s color there that I could add, it’s more focused more south, not just the East Coast, but more along the West Coast.

We are much smaller out west with the south that we are on the east and it’s certainly from Boston and New York and Washington down to Florida, but I think the highlight that I would share would be into the Caribbean and the international markets and across Mexico, North and South America and Central America and that’s really where I’d add color too how I want you to be thinking about how we’re looking at the future.

Michael Linenberg - Merrill Lynch & Company

You talk about zero growth or no growth in 2009. I think, you’re planning to start service to Bogotá, I don’t know if it’s later this year, maybe it’s going to get pushed back to 2009. When we think about city adds in 2009 even though you’re taking about a no growth plan, there are markets that you’ve pulled out or are in the process of pulling out. Despite zero growth could we see new cities in 2009 and I’m not saying on a net basis, but additional new dots on the JetBlue map.

David Barger

Absolutely, Mike, in fact with Bogotá’s we requested a deferral on the startup of service. When we hit the peak time of the year we’ll if in fact, we’re granted that authority. Not a lot unlike other airlines; Philadelphia over to Beijing and also Chicago, San Francisco over into Guangzhou, so I think we are optimistic that we’ll be granted that delay. But I think as we dial back the transcon as we look at opportunities, specifically say at Kennedy under this new slot program that we have in place. That granted that it sunset in October of ’09, but I think we are thinking its going to be a continuance in some fashion, but in view of that we are looking into new locations whether its tied into New York or whether its tied into, recently as we cut the ribbon on Orlando into markets that we currently fly to Cancun and Santa Domingo, but cities like Bogotá. I see us definitely opening in new cities in ’09.

Operator

Your next question comes from Jamie Baker - JP Morgan.

Jamie Baker - JP Morgan Securities Inc

At the end of your first quarter you had a fair value of I think it was $313 million or so in your auction-rate securities, just curious how much of that was actually used to secure the $110 million line of credit, also any color as to the advance rate into the borrowing costs would be greatly appreciated?

Ed Barnes

We used about two thirds of the auction-rate securities to secure that line. We are going to add more details on the exact terms of the line in our 10-Q, because it’s through market rates I think anything that we would borrow underneath it.

Jamie Baker - JP Morgan Securities Inc

What level of net aircraft sale proceeds are incorporated into the second half guidance?

Ed Barnes

Let me get back to you on that one Jamie. I don’t have the number exactly in front of me.

Operator

Your next question comes from Ray Neidl - Calyon Securities.

Ray Neidl - Calyon Securities

Yes in more general terms your second equipment set to E190. If fuel prices were to reverse and start going back up again, would it reach the point where that equipment type might become non-economical or uneconomical for your operations or could you possibly decide to contract that out to a third party?

David Barger

It’s interesting to talk about fuel being in at $180 and going back up right from something that’s just below $130, it’s just a new normal that we’re in. I think headline, let me go to the second question first and we do not have any discussions across JetBlue about somebody else flying that airplane for us. We believe that it makes sense to have our own crew members and supporting the JetBlue experience on any fleet type that’s part of our mix and so that’s how we are viewing the 190 on a go forward basis.

I think with the fuel costs, first of all we have that technology as part of our order book and an airplane that is roughly 575 gallons per hour burn for 100 seats. It’s certainly best in class as we’re sitting here in today’s environment, but anything from the OEMs; 100 seat type of class and our ability to really deploy that airplane and I think again to revenue manage and I really just want to take the opportunity to highlight Rick Zeni, who heads up revenue management, Marty St. George, our network planning group and then Mark Powers with his work with the OEMs that I think that airplane is a really important part of our tool account on a go forward basis, very confident with it.

Ray Neidl - Calyon Securities

In terms of partnerships, if you want to give us an update on what’s going on there and then in particular the Southwest and WestJet partnering up, do you think JetBlue would be a good third party to that arrangement?

David Barger

Yes, I think with Southwest and WestJet, I’m not surprised that ultimately we’re starting to see lets say traditional low cost carriers that tended to build their own market base for it and we’re seeing that type of creativity and I would use the word, I’m excited about that prospect and I wouldn’t draw conclusions, that’s meaningful for us at this point in time. But I think that those are the like type brands that this industry is moving into this next chapter if you well with WestJet customers connecting to Southwest. I think that’s a very interesting prospect for us as we look into future.

Specific to what we’re doing today, we’re now into really into year three with Cape Air and as well as almost closing the first quarter if you will of Aer Lingus. We are right on target with the revenue plans that we were estimating as a result of both Cape and Aer Lingus and so we are pleased with those results and a little bit color on Lufthansa and Swiss.

I think we talked about Lufthansa a lot, but Swiss is wholly owned by Lufthansa and tremendous capacity into North America as well as specifically here in New York. We are actively working that relationship with the teams in Germany as well as here at JetBlue in the States. Right now, we’re looking at ’09 from the standpoint of revenue contribution and I’m very pleased that we’re starting to actually see promotions out in the landscape and we’ve got the promotion that’s in play with JetBlue and Lufthansa.

If you purchase their travel across north Atlantic, at the end of June or at the end of July, where vouchers are due in for future travel depending on how you’d purchase your ticket, so we’re starting to get the brands out there cooperatively, which is exciting.

Operator

Your next question comes from Kevin Crissey - UBS.

Kevin Crissey – UBS

Can you talk about how your participation in the GDS has helped or where you are in terms of fares through GDS?

David Barger

Kevin, I think we’re really pleased that we’re in the GDS and about 7% of our bookings are coming through the GDS and what we’re seeing is something that looks like $35 to $45 higher average fare through the GDS. So this is just one more way for us to penetrate in a small-medium size business flyer or non-discretionary flyer and not unlike what we’re doing with refundable fares. And we are just being more business friendly if you will and that certainly key to us as we take a look at the trough periods and this product works in the discretionary markets and certainly work in the non-discretionary markets as well.

Kevin Crissey - UBS

And can you talk about your no furlough policy and I understand that you’re in a smaller airline relative to some similar ones that are laying off, but think about an airline without unions and they’re not having layoffs and those that have are, so can you talk about that?

David Barger

When we started the airline back in 2000 and I certainly won’t go into that long of a story. But I think we looked at what business models and what has driven failure if you will in the industry and the ability to create a model whereby you have trust in the organization, those delivering the products at the front lines, the senior executives at the airline building trust and just through integrity and honestly and quality of life and taking care of one another.

Now that translates into a better product, that translates into productivity, efficiency and I think there is a reason why we saw a 2% improvement in fuel burn on a year-over-year basis through working with our team. I think there is a reason why J.D. Power for the fourth year bestowed the best-in-class and so that is absolutely core, this relationship with our front line on a go forward basis.

Regarding a direct relationship, regarding unionized or non-unionized I think at the end of the day a direct relationship with our staff, so we’re welcome in the cockpit and the break rooms and at crew member meetings, that is truly a differential as we take at look at not just our success today, but our plans in the future.

Operator

Your final question comes from Daniel McKenzie - Credit Suisse.

Daniel McKenzie - Credit Suisse

JetBlue is the first to link capacity cuts with the specific PRASM improvement and I wonder if you can provide some perspective about how much of the increase is tied to a reduction in the worst PRASM flying versus the amount say tied to revenue initiatives?

David Barger

Dan I’d probably take a look at those markets that from your comment worst PRASM type of a market that we have, it really it’s difficult. We make decisions such as we announced today with Ontario, we’ve been flying there for eight years. Ontario and Nashville are our two sound partners within North Americas that would be the time to open a new market.

It’s clearly these decision are made on the fact that where are we maturing on a month-over-month, quarter-over-quarter basis, whatever the case might to offset this new normal. And by definition what we’re seeing across the rest of the airline is we believe that everything else is on track to work as we’re looking at this new normal as there is strategic importance to it, so I think that to link if you will, what we’re doing with capacity reductions and PRASM and how we balance ancillary, its all in.

We are looking certainly at the other revenues by employment, by market as well as what we’re seeing with that PRASM improvement and what happening with the competitive landscape in that market and then we make a decision. And so there’s a lot of science that’s involved with it and which is again we are quite optimistic about what happens in the rest of the industry and being prepared to seize upon these opportunities and the result and so this will have a look at the markets at the end of the network.

Daniel McKenzie - Credit Suisse

I wondered if you can provide some perspective about the competitive/revenue dynamic in the markets that you are latter seeing and you use that E190, so primarily the latest in network, so I’m wondering if the deferral of the 190 suggests that you have any concerns about latticing the network in general.

David Barger

No, we don’t Dan. We are pleased with what we are seeing in latticing the network and whether it’s what we affectionately call the over flies or the under flies, here they aren’t making their way through Kennedy and so the recent announcement last week Richmond to Orlando we’re pleased with what we’re seeing with that latticing.

The color that I would add to today’s announcement where the Embraer goes right back as our goal is liquidity and preservation of cash. We have a great business relationship with Embraer and let’s take advantage of the being able to predict what type of growth we want to see or not over the course of the near-term as opposed to having to relay on aircraft sales.

Operator

This concludes our session with investors and analysts.

David Barger

In closing there is no doubt that many challenges lie ahead for JetBlue. Fortunately we believe our airline is well prepared for this environment. We have a strong cash position, an award winning product, exceptional crew members and a team that’s willing to make the difficult, the necessary decisions in response to these unprecedented challenges. Thanks everyone for joining us today on this call. Have a great day.

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