Earnings Analysis For Darden Restaurants Inc.

| About: Darden Restaurants, (DRI)

Darden Restaurants Inc. (NYSE:DRI) reports preliminary financial results for the quarter ended 2012-08-31.

Darden Restaurants Inc. recently reported its preliminary financial results based on which we provide a unique peer-based analysis of the company. CapitalCube's analysis is based on the company's performance over the last twelve months (unless stated otherwise).

Darden Restaurants Inc.'s analysis versus peers uses the following peer-set: Whitbread PLC (WTB), Dunkin' Brands Group Inc. (NASDAQ:DNKN), McDonald's Holdings Co. (Japan) Ltd. (2702-JP), Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. Cl A (NYSE:ARCO), Brinker International Inc. (NYSE:EAT), Cheesecake Factory Inc. (NASDAQ:CAKE), Zensho Holdings Co. Ltd. (7550-JP), Jubilant FoodWorks Ltd. (533155-IN), Buffalo Wild Wings Inc. (NASDAQ:BWLD) and BJ's Restaurants Inc.(NASDAQ:BJRI). The table below shows the preliminary results along with the recent trend for revenues, net income and returns.

Quarterly (USD million) 2012-08-31 2012-05-31 2012-02-29 2011-11-30 2011-08-31
Revenues 2,034.8 2,065.5 2,159.7 1,831.5 1,942.0
Revenue Growth % (1.5) (4.4) 17.9 (5.7) (2.4)
Net Income 111.0 151.5 164.1 54.1 106.8
Net Income Growth % (26.7) (7.7) 203.3 (49.3) (22.6)
Net Margin % 5.5 7.3 7.6 3.0 5.5
ROE % (Annualized) 24.0 33.5 37.6 12.0 22.3
ROA % (Annualized) 7.4 10.2 11.1 3.8 7.7

Valuation Drivers

Darden Restaurants Inc.'s current Price/Book of 4.0 is about median in its peer group. We classify Darden Restaurants Inc. as Harvesting because of the market's low expectations of growth (PE of 15.6 compared to peer median of 28.6) despite its relatively high returns (ROE of 25.5% compared to the peer median ROE of 17.1%).

The company's asset efficiency (asset turns of 1.4x) and net profit margins of 5.9% are both median for its peer group. Darden Restaurants Inc.'s net margin continues to trend downward and is now similar to its four-year average net margin of 5.8%.

Economic Moat

Changes in the company's annual top line and earnings (6.6% and -0.5% respectively) generally lag its peers. This implies a lack of strategic focus and/or inability to execute. We view such companies as laggards relative to peers.

Darden Restaurants Inc.'s current return on assets is around peer median (8.3% vs. peer median 8.3%). This contrasts with its higher than peer median return on assets over the past five years (8.4% vs. peer median 6.0%), suggesting that the company's relative operating performance has declined.

The company's comparatively low gross margins of 23.4% versus peer median of 42.6% suggests that it has a non-differentiated strategy or is in a pricing constrained position. However, Darden Restaurants Inc.'s pre-tax margin of 7.9% is around the peer median which, when combined with the gross margin, suggests lower operating costs relative to peers.

Growth & Investment Strategy

Darden Restaurants Inc.'s revenues have grown more slowly than the peer median over the last few years (3.5% vs. 9.1% respectively for the past three years) and the stock price's relatively low PE ratio of 15.6 implies relatively low future growth as well. Overall, we view the company's growth expectations as substandard relative to its peers.

Darden Restaurants Inc.'s annualized rate of change in capital of 4.8% over the past three years is around its peer median of 4.8%. This median investment has likewise generated a peer median return on capital of 12.5% averaged over the same three years. This median return on investment implies that company is investing appropriately.

Earnings Quality

Darden Restaurants Inc.'s net income margin for the last twelve months is around the peer median (5.9% vs. peer median of 5.5%). This average margin combined with a level of accruals that is around peer median (5.1% vs. peer median of 5.1%) suggests there possibly isn't too much accrual movement flowing into the company's reported earnings.

Darden Restaurants Inc.'s accruals over the last twelve months are positive suggesting a buildup of reserves. However, this level of accruals is also around the peer median and suggests the company is recording a proper level of reserves compared to its peers.

Trend Charts

Company Profile

Darden Restaurants, Inc. is a full-service restaurant company. It owns and operates restaurants. The company's restaurant brands include Red Lobster, Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse, The Capital Grille, Bahama Breeze, Seasons 52 and Eddie V's. The Red Lobster brand is a full service dining seafood specialty restaurant operator in the United States. This brand offers an extensive menu featuring fresh fish, shrimp, crab, lobster, scallops and other seafood in a casual atmosphere. The Olive Garden brand is a full service dining Italian restaurant operator in the United States. This brand's menu includes a variety of authentic Italian foods featuring fresh ingredients and a wine list that includes a broad selection of wines imported from Italy. The LongHorn Steakhouse brand restaurants are full service establishments serving both lunch and dinner in an attractive and inviting atmosphere reminiscent of the classic American West. The Capital Grille brand has locations in major metropolitan cities in the United States and features relaxed elegance and style. Nationally acclaimed for dry aging steaks on the premises, The Capital Grille is also known for fresh seafood flown in daily and culinary specials created by its chefs. The Bahama Breeze brand restaurants bring guests the feeling of a Caribbean escape, offering the food, drinks and atmosphere found in the islands. The menu features distinctive, Caribbean-inspired fresh seafood, chicken and steaks as well as signature specialty drinks. The Seasons 52 brand is a casually sophisticated, fresh grill and wine bar with seasonally inspired menus offering a fresh dining experience that celebrates living well. The Eddie V's brand opened with an emphasis on prime seafood creations, USDA prime beef and chops, and fresh oyster bar selections. Darden Restaurants was founded by William B. Darden in 1938 and is headquartered in Orlando, FL.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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