Intel (INTC) opened higher on Thursday, then pulled back to the intra-day low of $22.65 before heading higher thorough out the day and closing at $23.08 for a 1.94% gain. The volume of 43.88M shares is very close to the 30 day average volume of 43.99M. Since the lowering of sales guidance on Sep 7, 2012, INTC's share price had been falling, and was trying to stabilize in the past 2 weeks. With a $0.44 gain today in addition to $0.11 for yesterday, INTC finally had two days of advancing.
The advancing today is mainly due to the news release of the first chip of its Clover Trail family, the 1.8GHz due-core Atom Z2760, which is particularly manufactured for tablets and hybrid devices running Windows Phone 8 from Microsoft (MSFT). Two major reasons for INTC's sharp decline from the May 2, 2012 high of $29.18 were the slowing down of PC demand and the concern for INTC's inability to catch up in the mobile market. With the introduction of the first wave of new tablets and tablet convertible designs based on Intel Core vPro, Intel Core, and Intel Atom processors, including the new Atom processor Z2760 (formerly codenamed "Clover Trail"), it will be the beginning of Intel's effort in the tablet market, as stated by Erik Reid, general manager of Application Processor Platforms for Intel's Mobile and Communications Group, whose goal is to deliver products that fit the spectrum of evolving needs of both consumers and business users without compromising on compatibility, experience or battery life. Before this, INTC's processors were not able to handle the limited battery life of mobile devices effectively; however, as the mobile trend continues, INTC needs to adapt fast.
Although there are still concerns about the success of Windows Phone 8 and Intel's support for Android & Linux, as written by Steven J. Vaughan-Nicholas from ZDNet, Z2760 and the upcoming Atom SoCs should give INTC investors a reason to cheer on. The list of Intel Atom SoCs is attached below:
INTC's position into mobile platform might not be perfect yet, but with INTC's past history and solid fundamentals, the risk and reward ratio will not justify betting against INTC in the long term based on INTC's current low PE of 9.78 and strong free cash flow of 2.077B with 20.94% profit margin (as of June 30, 2012).
In the short-term, MACD (12, 26) is turning bullish with past two days of gain, as seen below. The MACD indicator is more useful for trending stock with less erratic price action and it had been a consistent, less faulty indicator for INTC.
For now, the bullish view is maintained as per my last article of After QE3, What's Next For Intel? A more aggressive play of INTC Oct 23 and 24 Call will be reviewed and maybe initiated in the next 48 hours.
Disclosure: I am long INTC.