Why I Got Long Oil Today

I think oil is starting to become oversold in the way the financials were a month ago:

• At $113 a barrel oil is down about 23% from its highs last month.
• The 200 DMA (Day Moving Average) is right around $110 and I’d think that would represent some pretty good support (Oil Chart with 200 DMA).
• Volume in the ProShares Ultra Oil & Gas ETF hit a record today after a steady ascent for a couple months (DIG 6 Month Chart).
• I think the dollar rally which has been putting so much pressure on oil is due for a break.

It’s been a relentless selloff in oil the last 6 or 7 weeks and I think it’s due for a bounce sometime soon.

Disclosure: Top Gun is long the ProShares Ultra Oil & Gas ETF (DIG).

Comments

[Krakatoa:]

you made very good call on financial a months ago... time will tell for this one...

2008 Aug 19 06:10 AM