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Genzyme, Inc. (GENZ)
Q1 2006 Earnings Conference Call
April 19, 2006, 11:00 a.m. EST
Executives
Henri A. Termeer - President, Chairman and CEO
Michael Wyzga - Chief Financial Officer
David Meeker - President, Lysosomal Storage Disorder Therapeutics
Georges Gemayel - EVP, Therapeutics, Transplant and Renal
Ann Merrifield, President, Genzyme Biosurgery
Sally Curley - Investor Relations
Analysts
Ian Somaiya - Thomas Weisel
Yaron Werber– Citigroup
Chris Raymond - Robert W. Baird
Jean Lee – Hartmore
Phil Nadeau – Cowen Company
Meg Malloy – Goldman Sachs
Bill Tanner – Leerink Swann
Eric Ende – Merrill Lynch
Geraldine O’Keeffe – Fortis Bank
Salveen Kochnover – Jefferies
Mark Schoenebaum - Bear Stearns
Jeff Meecham – JP Morgan Chase
Craig Parker – Lehman Brothers
Matt Vessie – CDR Research
Operator
Good morning. My name is Tiffany and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I’d like to welcome everyone to the first quarter earnings conference call. (Operator Instructions)
Ms. Curley, you may begin your conference.
Presentation
Sally Curley
Thank you and welcome to Genzyme Corporation's first-quarter 2006 earnings conference call. I would like to remind everyone that the earnings release and the call today are available on the investor page of our website, at www.genzyme.com.
Today we will discuss Genzyme's business outlook on the call. Forward-looking statements about our projected future financial results and all other statements made on this call that are not historical facts are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties. Our actual results may differ materially. Please refer to our 2005 annual report on Form 10-K on file with the SEC.
Forward-looking statements include expectations regarding 2006 earnings, revenues, product sales, expected drivers of future growth, the timing of our regulatory filings and actions, the timing of clinical trial data and financial trends. If during the call we use any non-GAAP financial measure as defined by the SEC in reg G, you'll find on our website a reconciliation to the most comparable -- directly comparable GAAP financial measure.
I would like to remind everyone that our second-quarter earnings conference call will take place on July 12th at 11:00 a.m. Eastern. In addition, our analyst and investor day will be web cast live on Friday, May 12th, beginning at 8:00 a.m. Eastern. You can access the live web cast from our website.
And lastly, please limit yourself to one question per turn during the Q&A in order to allow everyone to participate.
Thank you and I’d now like to turn the call over to Genzyme's Chairman and CEO, Mr. Henri Termeer.
Henri Termeer
Thank you, Sally, and thank you everybody for participating this morning. We have quite a few things to go through here, so bare with me.
You know, 2006, it has to be said that in February when we talked about the guidance call is really in the first half as we started to see in the fourth quarter a year of significant investments. These investments are extremely strategic and very, very important for the future of the Company, and I am enormously gratified that we are making tremendous progress.
The two new manufacturing operations, one in Belgium and one in Ireland, have now started up. We have had visits from the FDA and other regulatory authorities, at least in the Waterford fill/finish facility, and we’re looking forward to these manufacturing operations to start to produce commercial product. In the case of Ireland, that will be still within this year.
We started a number of late stage trials late in the year last year, and that's started to shape the picture in terms of the expense side of the equation. These trials are continuing. They are expanding and some other trials are still in the queue to be started up, like the MS/MS trial, and we are enormously pleased with the progress that we're making in terms of enrollment.
The tolevamer trial made tremendous progress during the first quarter in terms of enrollment. We enrolled in absolute record time a 90-patient, placebo-controlled trial for Myozyme in late onset patients. That is now fully enrolled. And we now have most of these programs, which are all quite strategic for the future of the company, running very, very well.
The other thing that was very important in this quarter, expensive but important, was the whole preparation around Myozyme and the introduction of Myozyme. We're very happy indeed that in Europe we got the broad label approval signed up by the commission now and we are in the final stages of starting to ship our first commercial product. We are expecting that the FDA will act on Myozyme at the PDUFA date, which is April 28th. I will not make any particular predictions what that action will be. We look forward with some confidence, given the importance of the product. It has been a product that has been very expensive to develop. It is still quite expensive, given the trials are still ongoing and the manufacturing scale-up issues around it. This will start to turn into a very important economic driver for the company going forward increasingly through this year, but it will be more visible in the economics next year.
Sales during the quarter were generally on track. We had very, very gratifying results around Renagel. With me here is John Butler, President of the Renal division, and he will go into some more detail during the Q&A session, but Renagel, which was relatively stable in terms of revenues in the later three quarters of last year, really started to pick up very, very nicely indeed, more as a result of D-COR and the results that were strong late last year, and possibly the early results around the Medicare Part D benefits that started to work earlier this year.
We had three programs that were somewhat below our expectations. In the one case of Hectorol, also part of the Renal division, and that was somewhat influenced in terms of an allowance that we had to take during this quarter. We are quite confident, given the scripts around this product in terms of the remainder of the year. It fits extremely well within the picture of the Renal division and it has significantly changed our ability to reach a very much broader market with a greater sales force.
Synvisc is the other product that was a little less than what we had expected, so year-to-year very nicely up 21%, but this program is actually more seasonal than we had in our projections. We still are getting some experience here. We only took over the sales and marketing in the United States in the beginning of last year.
We are quite confident. We see the effect in terms of current run rates in April that the seasonality will show that the second quarter and the third quarter in particular are significantly better quarters than the first quarter. So we feel quite confident about the remainder of the year for this very important program.
Fabrazyme did also produce less of a result. It was up 15% year-to-year. We had expected growth between the fourth quarter and the first quarter. On analysis, it shows that accruals in the fourth quarter took [inaudible] place in the early part of that quarter. Maybe the holiday season was cause for accruals to be less than the later part of the fourth quarter. And then the first-quarter accruals took place towards the end of the first quarter, so also here we are expecting this picture to pick up quite significantly in the remainder of the year starting in the second quarter.
So we understand what happened with these three particular areas. All the other areas did perform very well to our plan. For that reason, we feel quite confident indeed that we will be able to meet our financial goals for this year, which is revenues of $3.1 billion to $3.3 billion.
The most important things, as on the financial performance, where we take financial performance enormously serious. We are very much geared to that and we will influence the expense curve and further investments depending on what we can actually afford in order to make sure that we do meet the financial goals. But the most important thing really is are we making progress to making the new programs for the future work. Myozyme I spoke about -- clearly a very important program in our future. Tolevamer -- very, very important program indeed for C. Difficile Colitis. I spoke for years at these kinds of calls, a lot about Pompe disease and Myozyme. We now are delivering on that work and you will hear us speak a great deal in the next year or so about the Tolevamer work that we’re doing.
This is a very important program clinically. C. Difficile Colitis is a very, very expensive problem in the hospital systems both here and in Europe. If we can bring a non-antibiotic approach to this clinical problem, expensive clinical problem, it will be a tremendous breakthrough and economically I think very important as well.
The expansion of Renagel beyond end stage renal disease towards CKD as sort of development of sevelamer carbonate -- again, a very important program making very good progress. A number of different clinical trials are ongoing, including a trial that develops the possibility to bring a powder to the market, the same powder to the market that we hope will protect [inaudible] on the compliance.
Synvisc II and Hilastin, which were follow-on programs from Synvisc, which tried to decrease the number of injections necessary for pain relief in osteoarthritis. These trials are in full strength right now. Synvisc II is totally enrolled. We will see results this year. Both very, very exciting programs, quite strategic in areas where we have a great deal of experience.
The later stage trials for Clolar for adult AML also now starting up.
We are our ongoing trials on Campath for first-line therapy in CML.
Campath MS, here we expect that we will start a trial later this year. During the Q&A session, Mark Enyedy, who is the President of the Oncology division, will make some comments on the progress there. We are enormously excited about the possibilities of Campath MS. In the summer -- late summer – we’ll see the results of progression, two-year results of the current Phase II trial and we look forward to communicating with you on that.
So all in all, first-quarter tracked very strongly in terms of the kinds of things we have set out for ourselves to get done this year. Two or three programs that I mentioned were below our expectations. We know the reasons why they were below our expectations and we fully expect them to correct through the remainder of the year.
So we stay very confident indeed that this year will deliver to the financial goals that we’ve set, while at the same time we feel quite confident to be able to execute on the kinds of things that are going to be quite important for us to continue our growth in the future. So at this moment, let me hand over to Michael Wyzga, our Chief Financial Officer.
Michael Wyzga
Thank you, Henri. Good morning, everyone. As you can see from our press release, the revenue for this quarter increased by over $100 million from last year, and that represents about a 16% year-on-year increase. Our diluted GAAP earnings per share is about $0.37. This quarter, we changed our GAAP to non-GAAP crosswalk a little bit to incorporate the impact of stock option expensing.
During the first quarter, the impact of stock option expense is approximately $22 million, or about $0.08 a share. The crosswalk that we attached details of the impact of the stock option expense by functional area.
Amortization for the quarter increased to about $53 million. Our non-GAAP earnings exclude the impact of convertible debt on diluted EPS as the stock price did not exceed the conversion strike price. The EPS impact of this is about $0.01.
The net income for the quarter prior to these events and amortization was $157 million or $0.59 per diluted share. Our non-GAAP net income increased 19% on a year-on-year basis.
Now, as Henri mentioned, the first-quarter results were affected in a number of key areas, and let me kind of walk through those a little bit. The revenue line was generally solid but was impacted by several factors, which include the timing of the patient accruals for Fabrazyme, the seasonal shifts that we experienced in Synvisc and a one-time chargeback associated with Hectorol discounts.
This quarter, if you measure on a year-to-year basis, was also reflective of the year-to-year fluctuations of the foreign exchange rate.
R&D expenses increased in the first quarter due to the acceleration of a number of late stage programs.
Our SG&A expenses increased to reflect the Myozyme pre-launch costs, increased Synvisc sales expense and incremental sales associated with the Bone Care acquisition.
This quarter, we also incurred startup costs associated with our new manufacturing capabilities in both Ireland and in Belgium.
Our revenue growth from last year was fairly solid. Cerezyme, which increased by 6%, was driven largely by additional international patients. Fabrazyme revenue was $81 million and, as Henri mentioned, that represents about a 15% year-to-year increase.
Within the Renal division, the revenue increased by 38% over Q1 of last year. Renagel increased 19% year-to-year, and while it’s a little too early to tell whether the impact was Part D pricing, it’s pretty fair to say that we're seeing a lot of positive trends within Renagel.
Hectorol revenue was slightly down versus Q4 at $19 million, and during the quarter, as we mentioned, contractual allowances were adjusted by $3 million for a non-reoccurring chargeback.
Synvisc revenue was $53 million. Now, as a reminder, there is significant seasonality associated with Synvisc. Historically, Q2 and Q3 are the biggest volume quarters, with Q1 usually slower.
Transplant revenue was $34 million for the quarter, and as we've seen in the past, transplant revenue also tends to be a bit cyclical, with the first quarter representing the lowest revenue quarter.
Thyrogen revenue came in pretty strong, posting a 30% increase over last year and came in at about $23 million.
Oncology was $12 million.
The negative impact of foreign exchange on our revenue line was about $18 million. The largest year-to-year fluctuation that we saw was on the Euro. Now recall the Euro fell from $1.31 in Q1 of 2005, to the current rate of $1.20, with most of the revenue impact being felt in Cerezyme, Renagel and Fabrazyme product areas.
Now, while our global manufacturing and commercialized infrastructure dampened some of the impacts of our bottom line, our operating margin was still adversely impacted on a year-to-year basis due to the [FX] rate.
Our gross margin was 77% of revenue. The gross margin was impacted by a write-off of about $4 million of Myozyme work in process.
This quarter, we also incurred some startup costs associated with the manufacturing facilities in Ireland and Belgium.
Turning to our expenses, our Q1 non-GAAP R&D expenses were $137 million, which is an increase of about 19% of revenue. This should be compared against $110 million, or 18% of revenue last year. And as we indicated in our guidance call, we have a number of late stage clinical trials ongoing.
The major components of our R&D expense this quarter were the Myozyme late onset trial, the Tolevamer Phase III trial, the Sevelamer Carbonate trial for CKD patients, and the first of three Phase III Clolar carbonation trials.
Our non-GAAP SG&A expense came in at $211 million, or 29% of revenue, which is the same percentage as last year. The major drivers here were the sales investment that we did with Synvisc, increased costs associated with the Myozyme pre-launch activities, and the headcount in marketing programs related to the acquisition of Bone Care.
Within our equity line, we saw solid growth within the Aldurazyme revenue. Aldurazyme revenue came in for the quarter at $21 million.
Our tax rate before amortization and one-time events increased to about 32%.
Now, we're starting to see some of the favorable impact of our facility in Ireland, but this benefit was offset in this quarter by the impact of lower organ drug credits on a much larger profit before tax base.
Our share count increased to 267 million shares outstanding on a diluted basis prior to the impact of contingent convertible dilution. Our capital expenditure for the quarter totaled about $64 million, with most of the investment focused on Ireland, Belgium and the new Framingham science facility.
Our ending cash increased to $1.2 billion.
As Henri mentioned, we are reconfirming our full-year EPS guidance, our GAAP guidances of $1.78 to $1.88, and on non-GAAP basis, the guidance is $2.65 to $2.75.
And as we discussed in our first conference call this year, our first half earnings will be impacted by the product launches in the manufacturing investments, as well as the late stage trials that we're doing. We expect our second half will reflect a more rapid EPS increase.
Before turning it back to Henri, I'd like to remind you that you can find the line-item detailed reconciliation attached to our press releases or on any of our websites. With that, let me stop and turn it back to Henri and open it up for question and answers.
Henri Termeer
Thank you very much. Operator, we can open up for Q&A.
Questions and Answers
Operator
At this time, if you’d like to ask a question, press star, then the number 1 on your telephone keypad. Press star, then the number 1 on your telephone keypad. We’ll pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster.
And your first question comes from Ian Somaiya with Thomas Weisel Partners.
Ian Somaiya - Thomas Weisel
Thank you for taking my question. I just wanted to get your thoughts on the evolving competitive landscape for Fabry's and Gaucher's disease. Particularly, if you could just comment on the Amicus product and how you see that fitting in relative to your portfolio?
Henri Termeer
Yeah, it’s always difficult to project on something that is not really yet in clinical trials. There are -- we don't expect the competitive landscape around, in terms of enzyme replacement therapy or small molecules, to change for the next three to four years. That’s the earliest, if everything goes well with current enzyme replacement therapies that are being tried, and the potential of still extremely untried technology in terms of the chaperone technology and things like that, that we are very, very familiar with.
It’s impossible to project what these technologies really will do, whether they will be competitive or whether they will work for so few patients that it is difficult to really see what the impact will be.
But in the way we project our programs, we are specifically not to think about these more speculative technologies. We're thinking about enzyme replacement therapy technologies that we know work, and thus we don't expect, in the case of Gaucher’s disease for the next three to four years, while for Fabrazyme it may be longer because there is a product in Europe on the market and the rest of the world called Replagal that is currently completed.
I don't know whether David Meeker, our President of the division, wants to make any other comments on these technologies, [new] technologies.
David Meeker
No. I think that’s right, Henri. I think with regard to the chaperone technology as most people are aware, the issue there is the individual nature of that product and that each mutation would need to be, or we believe will probably need to be, tested to confirm that it does respond. It is targeted as the missense type of mutations and, as Henri said, we have done a lot of work in this area and it’s clear that not all missense mutations are created equal. So the importance of the individual testing is certainly there. So I think in everything else we said, we covered it.
Henri Termeer
Next question.
Operator
(Operator Instructions) Your next question comes from Yaron Werber from Citigroup.
Yaron Werber - Citigroup
Yeah, hi, good morning, Henri, good morning everybody else. I had a quick question on Myozyme. Henri, is there any way you can just discuss with us what the pricing is in Europe of Myozyme? And then, you mentioned, you know, for two or three years ongoing now the incredible investment in this program and there's about 200 or 300 patients right now in clinical studies. You know, from what I understand, it's up to maybe 1,000, maybe 1,500 patients out there. As of now, can you just give us a sense, you know, as to how do you justify this? I think it’s been more than $500 million you’ve spent so far. Pricing wise, how would you be able to capture that investment back? Thanks.
Henri Termeer
Yeah, we have not disclosed pricing around the European programs because they’re not yet in the introductory phase. We generally want to wait until we have the final labels, and we’re waiting for the final label in the U.S. It’s kind of pretty soon that we will have that.
But what I have said over quite a while now is that the pricing of this program will be in the same range as the pricing that we currently have, which is something that people are used to, like the reimbursement agencies around the world are familiar with. It’s pricing that we currently have for Gaucher’s disease, Fabry’s disease and for MPS 1. So they’ll be in that same range.
In the initial phase, we would expect that smaller patients will be treated, eventually larger patients will be treat, but it will be on average within that same experience that we have for Gaucher’s disease.
The question, do you get a return, given that the cost of developing programs for these types of diseases is quite enormous, and I do agree with you. That is a very, very important question. To get a return on a very small patient population does result in a very high per-patient yearly cost. There’s really no way around it. Additionally, we are providing products free of charge when there’s no coverage for a patient in a particular geography or country, which we see as part of the responsibility that we have.
We have found tremendous support for the treatment of these [ultra-organ] diseases around the world, including the United States. And I guess that support comes because of the importance of these treatments for these diseases. These are, in clinical terms, quite efficacious products. It changes the life of these patients in a very significant way, and a there are a very limited number of patients out there.
So the justification really is one of balancing the tremendous cost and health-care burden, clinical burden, life burden that these patients have in a responsible way, in cooperation with the people that are treating patients and the reimbursement authorities around the world, making sure that patients do get access in all cases, regardless of their financial conditions, but also making sure that the program that we provide is sustainable and that we can reinvest into the next program.
It’s a long answer of an excellent question, and one where we now have experience since 1991, and we are confident that we will continue to [portray] positive experiences around Pompe disease.
Yaron Werber- Citigroup
If I could just follow up with a question for David, could you just talk about your ceramide inhibitor, the JNZ112638, and what gives you confidence in the [synthicity] of this enzyme inhibitor as opposed to the previous substrate inhibitors?
David Meeker
Sure. So that program, for those who are not aware of it, is a, as you said, a substrate inhibitor. It differs from what’s currently on the market in that it is ceramide as opposed to the glucose analogs. So it blocks the same enzyme but in a slightly different way. Our confidence comes from the fact that, or our high level of interest, perhaps I should say, and confidence comes from the fact that in vitro, comparing the different available substrate inhibitors, this is quite a bit more potent, 100 to a 1000-fold more potent than the available alternatives. Another major limitation of the existing therapies is the lack of specificity, which is associated with some of the side effects that you see with those drugs.
So our goal, given the availability of a very effective, very safe treatment in the case of Cerezyme is we would bring this forward only to the extent that it truly address an unmet medical need and offered something incremental to the Gaucher community. I think the profile that we're entering clinical trials with is one that has that potential, and the test will tell us whether that optimism is justified. So we're looking to start clinical trials in the second quarter and we’ll go from there.
Henri Termeer
Next question.
Operator
Your next question comes from Chris Raymond from Robert W. Baird.
Chris Raymond - Robert W. Baird
Thanks for taking the question. Just a quick clarification on Myozyme. I noticed you mentioned that you are gearing up for production to ship soon, and I know you're probably adverse to talking about price, but what are you prepared to do in the case that there is a delay in the U.S. approval? Will you launch in Europe and price it accordingly? How will you reconcile, for example, what might or might not happen in the U.S. in terms of the label?
Henri Termeer
Yeah, it’s tough to speculate too much on what might or might not happen. We are only two weeks away from knowing. But we are introducing in Europe. Patients need this product. We are, like we have with other products, we have gone to global prices. There's going to be very little difference between European cost for therapy versus U.S. cost for the therapy. We are moving forward. There’s no way back now. We are talking, have started to talk with different countries in terms of the normal pricing discussions. And like we’ve done with Fabrazyme, like we've done for Renagel, like we’ve done for Cerezyme, like we've done for Aldurazyme, we will use a global pricing strategy.
Chris Raymond - Robert W. Baird
Thank you.
Operator
Your next question comes from Jean Lee from Hartmore.
Jean Lee - Hartmore
Hi, I was wondering, could you explain again the 100 basis point decline in gross margin?
Henri Termeer
This has mainly to do with some write-off of some material.
Michael Wyzga
There’s two separate factors involved in the impact to the gross margin. The first one is a write-off of about $4 million of Myozyme material that was in a work-in-process. We took that hit this quarter and did not carve that as a one-timer.
The second is the impact of the new facilities coming on board, particularly in Ireland. We have some capacity that was generated there, and so that was taken through the cost of goods sold as well.
Jean Lee - Hartmore
Okay, so then for the balance of the year, is it still in aggregates on the 8% or just going forward, it is 78%?
Henri Termeer
There is no reason to change from the guidance that we’ve given.
Jean Lee - Hartmore
Okay. Thank you.
Operator
Your next question comes from Phil Nadeau with Cowen Company.
Phil Nadeau – Cowen Company
Good morning, thanks for taking my questions. First question is a follow-up I guess to what you just said on Myozyme. How much Myozyme inventory has been expensed? When would we start to actually see the cost of goods for Myozyme flow through the P&L once that product’s commercially launched?
And then second is a follow-up to I think Ian's question where he was asking about the competing drug and development for Fabry's. To my understanding, that drug’s enrolling patients into its trial who have 3% residual enzyme activity. Could you give us some idea of what percent of patients with Fabry's disease have 3% residual enzyme activity? Thank you.
Henri Termeer
Yeah, the last question is impossible for us to answer. We do not know. David, do you have an answer?
David Meeker
Yeah, I mean, I’ll confirm that we don't know, but I think it’s not so much a function of how much residual enzyme activity. It’s really a function of whether the mutation that individual patient has is amendable to the chaperone approach. So you may have more or less enzyme to be eligible. The more enzyme you have may increase the likelihood that you have a mutation that might be responsive, so I think that’s the way to look at it. But the key here is really which mutations do you have.
Phil Nadeau – Cowen Company
Okay.
Henri Termeer
Mike, can you answer the other question?
Michael Wyzga
On the cost of goods sold, there’s only two methodologies to capture non-approved product at this point. What some companies do is they’ll expense it entirely at 100% through their P&L as part of the R&D expenses. What we do is we truncate that and start inventorying when it becomes what we call an approvable product. That’s usually based upon the last infusion of the patient group for clinical trials. So in fact we have been manufacturing there at risk as it were in inventorying those costs already. So you'll come out with a more normal, what I would call a more normal cost of goods sold and more normal gross margin rather than everything being expensed and capturing it at 100% margin upon shipment.
Phil Nadeau – Cowen Company
Okay. That's very helpful. Thank you.
Henri Termeer
Next question.
Operator
Your next question comes from Meg Malloy with Goldman Sachs.
Meg Malloy – Goldman Sachs
Thanks very much. Good morning, everyone. Two questions on the products. First, could you give us an idea in terms of the Fabrazyme being a little bit light, was that global or is that U.S. or Europe?
And secondly, along those lines, you mentioned that you saw patient numbers pick up. Could you maybe elaborate on that a little bit more?
And then, unrelated, Synvisc, any chance that you can elaborate on the direct-to-consumer campaign that you’ve initiated, and how much pull through you might expect in Q2, Q3? Thanks.
Henri Termeer
Thanks, Meg. David, the first question you can answer and the second question is for Ann Merrifield, the President of Genzyme Biosurgery.
David Meeker
Meg, so with regard to the nature of the softness around the Fabry numbers, is it global or is it more regional, I think it is more global, and I think again that’s why, to Henri's point, I wouldn't put so much store in a specific quarter-to-quarter analysis of this market.
There were, as he noted, a few smaller number of patient accruals in the fourth quarter this year. When we look back, it was a similar pattern last year. And that actually is pretty much where we are, reminding you that we launched this product in 2003. So we're just beginning to get some experience with the seasonality around this. There may be a little bit of seasonality in the Fabry world.
So U.S., Europe and Japan were all a little bit light from what we had expected. With regard to the pick up in the first quarter, again both most prominently in the U.S. and Europe. There is a significantly higher, I would say approximately double the number of patients accrued in the first quarter as compared to what we had accrued in the fourth quarter. Its those numbers that drive, of course, the run rate for the subsequent quarters.
So we’ll see. I mean, to be tested, but I think we are quite optimistic, as Henri said, that this is not a long-term trend evolving here.
Meg Malloy – Goldman Sachs
Thanks very much.
Henri Termeer
Ann?
Ann Merrifield, President, Genzyme Biosurgery
Hi. Yes, our DTC campaign began rolling out in February with a new branded television commercial. We're also doing online work, as well as new print advertising targeting a younger audience, driving males as well as females, and learning from the program that we put in place last year, where we had 275,000 leads and, by our calculation, a 14% conversion rate.
So in the story of continuous improvement, we're learning from that and have the program in place. I wouldn’t want to forecast our revenue next quarter, but I’m willing to say our guidance is there for you to look at.
And the seasonal trends that Henri referenced, if you go back five years in terms of U.S. shipments year after year, first quarter was lower than fourth, and year after year second quarter showed a substantial boost over first. So we are hoping that trend continues and have every confidence that we will get that yield, if it's there to be had.
Meg Malloy – Goldman Sachs
Thank you.
Henri Termeer
Next question.
Operator
Your next question comes from Bill Tanner from Leerink Swann.
Bill Tanner – Leerink Swann
Hi, thanks for taking the questions. A question for you, Mike, on the SG&A expense. I thought you indicated in your remarks that there was some increased expense there attributable to the startup costs for the various plants, and I know you guys aren't really going through line by line in terms of guidance today, but if you could sort of break out what that is.
Then it looks like, to come in line with guidance, this is going to be kind of the high watermark in terms of SG&A expense for the year, and then I actually had a real quick follow-up for John please.
Michael Wyzga
Sure. Within the SG&A, again, when you bring a plant online, there are two separate costs. There's the cost that goes with the cost of goods sold, which is more period expenses, but then you have what we call overcapacity or under-capacity costs. As you have under-capacity, capacity that is not utilized in the plant, it goes through an unabsorbed page. That unabsorbed page rolls up through our SG&A costs, particularly the G&A portion of it.
So when I talk about the capacity costs, again, you need to think of it in two separate realms -- the startup costs, which are more period in nature, and then the under-capacity, underutilization, which shows up on our G&A.
Bill Tanner – Leerink Swann
So then in terms of looking at this quarter specifically, I mean, I don't know if you can break that out or is it, I mean, assuming that there’s really been no change to the SG&A guidance, again it looks like this might be the high watermark for the year in terms of expense?
Michael Wyzga
Well, I can address the trends, I mean, as you consume that capacity, that capacity will utilized for inventoriable product, which we placed on the balance sheet, so that will show up through your cost of goods sold.
Henri Termeer
Generally, the guidance that we gave in February was that the startup of these two manufacturing facilities will have some impact on costs during this year and specifically higher as a great step function in the earlier part of the year or late last year, something that we didn't experience before and now we've started to experience.
We fully expected this and we fully planned it into the numbers as we gave you the earnings guidance for the year. There are no surprises here, but it’s something we just have to work our way through and get to the point where we produce commercial product and benefit from the actual efficiencies as we now do so fantastically in Austin.
Next question.
Operator
Your next question comes from Eric Ende from Merrill Lynch
Eric Ende – Merrill Lynch
Actually my question’s already been answered.
Operator
Your next question comes from Geraldine O’Keeffe with Fortis.
Geraldine O’Keeffe – Fortis Bank
Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Just a few quick ones for you, Mike. Just R&D and amortization were much higher than I expected based on your guidance for the full year. Can you update us on that or should I just -- are you sticking with your full-year guidance on those, and therefore should we expect those to drop down in the next few quarters?
Michael Wyzga
Within the R&D, we already addressed that. I think with the number of clinical trials that are going on, obviously we’ll stick with our guidance there.
With regard to the amortization, there was a change in the amortization because of the Synvisc marketing rights. As you recall, when we did the Synvisc deal, when we bought back the rights -- or purchased the rights, rather, from Wyeth -- Synvisc marketing rights were amortized over the percentage of current year incremental revenue over the total revenue that was realized from the deal structure. The incremental revenue increased in 2006, so the amortization was adjusted. As part of our carve-out, we’ll continue to carve that out as a crosswalk, but that explains the increase from Q4 to Q1.
Geraldine O’Keeffe – Fortis Bank
Okay, thanks. Maybe just a few other points. You went a little fast for me in your introduction. Was Fabrazyme also impacted by foreign currency?
Michael Wyzga
Yes it was.
Geraldine O’Keeffe – Fortis Bank
That also impacted it?
Michael Wyzga
Yes, the three major areas that were impacted by foreign currency particularly were the ones that, not surprising to anyone, are the ones that basically go through Europe more heavier than, let's say genetics and Synvisc area, in almost rank order, where Cerezyme was the biggest impact, Renagel was second, and then Fabrazyme was third.
Geraldine O’Keeffe – Fortis Bank
And my last question, again, I didn't quite catch what you said about Hectorol. You said that you had some contractual obligations, [could introduce] some extra charges. Was that reflected in the revenues reported for Hectorol?
Michael Wyzga
That was indeed reflected in the revenue for Hectorol. There is a $3 million decrease for the accrual of chargebacks. Bone Care historically accrued for chargebacks when they processed it, rather than when the invoice sent out. This resulted in an under-accrual for the reserve, which we adjusted in Q1. The method has now changed to accrue when invoiced rather than when processed.
Geraldine O’Keeffe – Fortis Bank
Okay, thank you.
Michael Wyzga
You’re welcome.
Operator
Your next question comes from Adam Walsh with Jefferies.
Salveen Kochnover – Jefferies
It's actually Salveen Kochnover. I was wondering if you could provide us with an update on the DX88 program?
Henri Termeer
Yes. Georges Gemayel, our EVP, who’s involved with the program more directly. George.
Georges Gemayel
I think that we are continuing the accrual on [EDMC] as we have said. The number of patients which are getting in the study is continuing to increase, and we are still very much looking forward for being able to finish the study sometime before the end of this year.
Salveen Kochnover – Jefferies
Okay, and we’re going to see data this year?
Georges Gemayel
Probably the beginning of next year.
Salveen Kochnover – Jefferies
Okay.
Georges Gemayel
And, you know, there is really nothing more to report at this stage. The study is progressing very nicely.
Salveen Kochnover – Jefferies
Thank you.
Henri Termeer
Next question.
Operator
Your next question comes from Bill Tanner with Leerink Swann.
Bill Tanner - Leerink Swann
Thanks, just a real quick question for John. I understand that obviously you guys are getting inundated with questions regarding the emerging competition. I would think that nobody knows Gaucher better than you guys, and I think we all understand that the genetic mutations are pretty broad in terms of, or there’s a lot that is going on in Gaucher patients that may be different from one patient or another.
I guess it would be helpful if you were to put brackets around some of these things, as you pointed out, would probably not be amenable to chaperone technology. I would think that you guys would have some inkling as to what percentage of patients.
If you could bracket that or maybe point us in the direction of any kind of literature that would support the breadth or the narrowness of this approach.
Henri Termeer
Let me just make one comment and then David can make a more scientific comment. This is very early…
Bill Tanner - Leerink Swann
I mean Dave rather, not John. Sorry.
Henri Termeer
Yes, this is very early stage technology that’s not yet in the clinic for Gaucher disease. These are a number of hypotheses and they need to be tried, as so many things are in the biotechnology industry, that may or may not amount to something so many years from now.
This is not technology that you will be able to just see overnight and identify precisely how to do either the clinical trial or identify precisely the patients. There is stuff to be done. It’s great that it’s being done. We are extremely familiar with what is being done, but it is way too early to say it will have an “x