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Mel Karmazin, CEO of Sirius XM Radio (SIRI) will be speaking at the Merrill Lynch Fall 2008 Media Conference in Marina Del Ray California. The conference is scheduled for Tuesday September 9th, and Karmazin is expected to be at the podium at approximately 11:00 AM EST.

While this conference is not where the much anticipated guidance will be outlined, it is quite likely that Karmazin will be addressing some outlook for the future of Sirius XM Radio, and will be worth listening to for sector followers. A live audio webcast of the presentation will be available via the Investor Relations section of the Sirius website.

One item of note for investors is that the analyst from Merrill Lynch following Sirius XM Radio is Jessica Reif Cohen. Cohen is a pure media analyst, and has followed Karmazin-led companies for quite some time. I would look for Cohen to issue a report at some point shortly after the conference, and given that investors are looking for greater detail, this report could well offer some insight into how analysts will be looking at various company metrics going forward.

Look for additional information on Sirius XM Radio to begin to come to light in the coming weeks.

Position - Long SIRI

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This article has 45 comments:

  •  
    I would expect the kid gloves to be off of Mel at the conference. The September 4th date will be past, and with it, the yoke of legal opression. It will make for interesting listening/reading!!
    2008 Sep 03 03:38 PM | Link | Reply
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    via PR newswire---
    A live audio webcast of the presentation will be available via the Investor Relations section of the Company's website, sirius.com, at approximately 8:00 am PT.

    2008 Sep 03 03:52 PM | Link | Reply
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    I wonder if there's anything to the fact that Steve Jobs and Mel Karmazin are both speaking next Tuesday in California. Apple apparently has an exciting announcement to make.

    Coordination by Sirius XM and Apple, or total coincidence? Any thoughts?
    2008 Sep 03 06:48 PM | Link | Reply
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    Marina Del Rey and Silicon Valley are 300 miles apart --which means they are not being held together--
    2008 Sep 03 09:27 PM | Link | Reply
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    If they were speaking at the same event, It would give it away. Speaking on the same day, leaves a hint of coincidence. We have long speculated that Apple and Sirius would make the best partners going forward. Talk about a dominating tandem. Goodbye Pandora, and internet radio, and all that other crap.
    2008 Sep 03 11:52 PM | Link | Reply
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    Apple and Sirius, give me a break. Apple is growing and growing, Satellite radio was a groundbreaking technology when it first came out, but it is terribly expensive to use (i.e. the company's losses). Mel and his company are either totally desperate steering a ship that's possibly sinking or they don't understand the dynamics of wall street, such as the impact of share dilution on shareholders. Why would u read this clown Tyler, he's probably been reccomending the stock since it was at 9 $. A bad joke really. A good rule of thumb I try to follow is when a stock goes down a certain %, let's say 8, or whatever u r comfortable with, sell it and forget it. I am really not sure that internet in your car will not make satellite radio obsolete. WIFI is everywhere in San Francisco and Cerritos, for instance. I would sell it.
    2008 Sep 04 12:45 AM | Link | Reply
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    I wouldn't bet the farm on it but both these guys on stage the same day??? Intresting spec idea for the quick trade...
    2008 Sep 04 01:07 AM | Link | Reply
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    I realize the locations are 300 miles apart, and I'm definitely not betting the farm on it, but the Apple event is called "Let's Rock."

    I don't think the idea of announcing some kind of relationship is too far fetched.
    2008 Sep 04 01:20 AM | Link | Reply
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    konst, if i sold stock's i bought every time they toched 8% negetive,..id be broke. as a matter of fact, the only stocks ive lost money on are the ones if i had held a little longer ,i would have made money on. (in the recent confused market)..homework..fun... be in place.
    siri is different, ...the first stock under 15.00 iv'e felt confortable with.
    low pps,..medium risk,...high reward,...(nutshell).....
    this knife is too close to the ground to get hurt,but i doubt it falls.
    2008 Sep 04 01:38 AM | Link | Reply
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    correction, ..homework,fundmentals... must be in place.
    2008 Sep 04 01:41 AM | Link | Reply
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    that's twice now words have been left out,anyone else had that problem?
    o well ....ya get the point.
    2008 Sep 04 01:45 AM | Link | Reply
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    I'm not sure about all this talk about Apple and Sirius. I think its because I'm having a hard time seeing the profit for Sirius in it and the history of Steve Jobs' "my way or the highway" attitude. It's been successful for Apple but what about Apple's partners. Are there any?

    As far as having risk tolerance levels, 8% down or 20% up or whatever, its all good once your position in a company is set. I have learned the hard way in the past to not take my position in a company all at once as an investor. I say investor as opposed to short term trader. As an investor short term ups and downs can sell you out of high Beta stocks prematurely. Watching the 200, 50, and 13 day moving average charts are much more helpful to identify buy points to dollar cost average your position in. Without any game changing news, it will usually give you a solid base to then set your sell price for profit or tolerable loss, once your position, has been made.

    Sirius stock has a fairly high beta, 2.4. That makes it 140% more volatile than the market, and as we all know very much moved by news and investor sentiment, rarely moving with the market at all.
    Right now with 3 bil shares in the float, it will take great news about reducing expenses, real and not hyped partnerships resulting in revenue growth, and favorable debt resolution sooner rather than later to move this stock from its downward trend. Lets hope that Mel begins the turnaround next week.
    2008 Sep 04 09:06 AM | Link | Reply
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    holdon word drops happen to me when I use a lot of "Quotes", and periods.............fo... what its worth.
    2008 Sep 04 09:09 AM | Link | Reply
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    see it dropped the word "for"
    2008 Sep 04 09:09 AM | Link | Reply
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    cos1000............ I have that happen to me all the time........ I thought it was my nasty hunt and peck style of typing on my laptop. It also starts to write my sentence back in the paragraph I have written, and I have to go back,delete, and start again. Very annoying. I have found that a space after a long run of .............. this for example helps to stop uwanted deletions. But it's not perfect. Good luck.
    2008 Sep 04 11:00 AM | Link | Reply
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    Konst.............. you use a place like San Francisco as support for your arguement?????? Makes my skin crawl.
    2008 Sep 04 11:05 AM | Link | Reply
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    Hey killerkaul-
    The culture wars are over. Move on and find something positive to say.
    2008 Sep 04 11:49 AM | Link | Reply
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    San Francisco is a major city. As global internet access (such as Wi Fi) becomes available everywhere, Satellite content delivery may become obsolete. However, there are many remote areas where people may want to listen or I think, as important, view content. This could be an opportunity for satellite. What they should really do is expand beyond radio and provide more comprehensive video services and internet access in cars, besides just the few kids programs, also everyone likes HD nowdays . Their advantage, besides content, is that satellite reception is everywhere, unlike wifi. So there, Sirius management, I would use this free advice. And this constant share dilution is atrocious. Feel free to contact me for more ideas: kuzhinsk@gmail.com, I am based in New York City myself
    2008 Sep 04 11:54 AM | Link | Reply
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    Dave, The emotional, brainless drivel coming out of California, from the far left...... and you say the culture wars are over? hmmmmmm.................. ACTUALL
    2008 Sep 04 05:32 PM | Link | Reply
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    sorry, was supposed to read.......... actually I thought I was being positive.
    2008 Sep 04 05:34 PM | Link | Reply
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    Konst, I am totally unimpressed with your presentation and lack of facts as it relates to satellite radio industry. HD radio is a joke with very expensive, if you can find them, units of equipment. Obviously as a musician someone has bought and paid for your negative comments about Satellite Radio. You, to the educated about the industry, are obviously uninformed or just choosing to be mouthpiece for the NAB. It has taken me a while to figure out your point of view regarding satellite radio, but your last post has you clearly being a wolf in sheep's clothing regarding sat rad. Your comments are thin in substance but must sound great in your own mind.
    2008 Sep 04 08:37 PM | Link | Reply
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    dave010a Not for nothing, but when where the Cultural Wars declared over. I must of missed it. San Francisco is a major city on the North coast of California, but to the rest of the country I think not. You are definitely naive when it comes to Wi Fi and the rest of Continental USA's coverage. Its just not yet or will it soon be the answer. Sounds good but lacks substance.
    2008 Sep 04 08:54 PM | Link | Reply
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    Cos 1000 and KillerKaul--
    Couple things:
    1. Learn to spell and use punctuation properly. Your message is unclear when you replace "where" with "were" and end a question with a period. You can learn about those things in a good university like Harvard or UCSF.
    2. You wouldn't have companies like Apple or Sirius if you didn't have cities like San Francisco and New York. Innovation comes from people living in progressive places, so don't be a hypocrite by slamming cities that you rely on.
    3. Palin and the rest of the right-wing republicans are trying to ramp up the culture wars, and you two are buying into it. I guess you both are proof on the effectiveness of advertising. The country is sick of being divided, so find another argument.
    That's it....I'll now patiently wait for another one of your emotional and meaningless responses.

    2008 Sep 05 03:27 PM | Link | Reply
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    dave010a...I noticed on your prior posts(which I checked because I thought you were the Vicar at it again).....you seem very worried about spelling on a lot of occasions.....that in itself shows how insignificant you are here.......so stop attacking the usual upbeat bloggers and find a life.........or maybe you want to get embarrassed in any debate with Cos1000....or maybe you want to get beat up in a bar by killer
    2008 Sep 05 04:32 PM | Link | Reply
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    dave010a,

    1. My message is unclear due to misspelled words and putting periods at the end of questions. Also my use of the word "where" instead of "were" confuses you.

    If I confused you with those errors I am sorry. I do hope that you didn't pay all that money to either of the institutions you mentioned to still be confused by my errors. Reading for context, learning to spell and using proper grammar really should have happened in elementary school and certainly should have been perfected before they graduated you from High School. If that was the worst you could find in my posts then I believe I was having a pretty good day.

    2. Innovation comes from people living in progressive places.

    To be positive, I omitted the rest of your comment from #2. While I agree innovation comes from people, I am not sure that "progressive" places, or your or my definition of what that might be, has anything to do with it. Progressive is a subjective word, especially in the context that you are using it in. Progressive to some might viewed as regressive to others. Where innovation comes from and the people that provide it are generally dispersed throughout our society as they try to solve problems regarding their existence in some way. NASA and other of our government's scientific endeavors have provided us with most of our technical innovations that are now commercialized for the populations general use.

    Although San Francisco, San Francisco County, is technically part of the "Bay Area", real innovation without a doubt is born in the "South Bay Area", Santa Clara County, where Silicon Valley resides and so too the likes of Apple, Cisco, AMD, Google, Intel and others. There are other parts of the country where innovative companies bring bright minds together to solve problems and develop products. Progressive life styles would appear to have little to do with it. There are some very non progressive, bright individuals, living traditional life styles who innovate.

    3. Palin and the rest of the right-wing republicans are trying to ramp up the culture wars, and you two are buying into it.

    This my friend is pure speculation on your part. First, in the assertion that "right-wing" republicans are trying to ramp up the culture wars is an opinion given in the heat of an election year. Culture again has many faces in our society and the differences are used by both parties at the extremes and in the middle. Secondly, you have know idea what my politics are and will not find out in this discussion.
    2008 Sep 05 04:55 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Hey stock clerik...your name says it all.
    2008 Sep 05 04:56 PM | Link | Reply
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    Cos--Those companies are in the South Bay because the land was cheap there. The minds (I didn't say lifestyles) who started those companies came from progressive places like San Francisco. Trust me, I work as a consultant for every company you named above.

    By the way, I usually appreciate your insight on Sirius, it was just your (and killerkaul) cuts on SF that pissed me off.
    2008 Sep 05 06:22 PM | Link | Reply
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    dave010a, In all fairness you didn't say "minds" either. You said that innovation comes from people living in progressive places. People living projects lifestyles not minds. This is what I referred to when I said your or my definition of the word progressive or the word cultural are to subjective to be meaningful to any argument. They are words requiring more definition and there lies the problem. Let the spinning begin.

    Anyways if you read my comment to you I was pointing out that to this big country we all live in, San Francisco, is but one of many cities that are relatively important to the whole. Your sense of ownership and pride in the area you live and work in is admirable and I can respect your defending it. For you to think that Silicon Valley is the people of San Francisco innovating because where they live is progressive, is a stretch to me, but fine just the same.

    My harsher comment to you was that you were declaring the cultural wars over and that is just ridiculous thinking to me. With immigration, same sex marriage, Spanish vs English, rich vs poor, blue collar vs management executive, Republican vs Democrat, black vs white, Male vs Female ( can't forget those 18 Mil cracks in the glass ceiling), to name a few of the more obvious cultural battles being fought, I just can't see what your talking about. Maybe you should be more specific.
    2008 Sep 05 07:54 PM | Link | Reply
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    stock clerik, dave010a doesn't mean to be culturally disparaging on your name or its origin or, for that matter, what it implies about one's position in life. Because as he pointed out, the Cultural Wars are over and we must all find inner peace and balance now that we have achieved a higher plain of existence.

    For my own curiosity is your use of the word clerik a proper name or video game avitar. If it were spelled cleric it would have religious roots as well as book keeping or accounting connotations.
    2008 Sep 05 09:59 PM | Link | Reply
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    cos1000....unfortunate... the clerik is a misspelling ,to the enjoyment of dave010a....stock clerk was a name I chose as it really was my first job in a department store and seemed appropriate....I am actually a court clerk
    dealing with narcotics and special victims cases primarily...thnx for keeping the peace.....oops I misspelled again!!!
    2008 Sep 06 06:18 AM | Link | Reply
  •  
    Spelling on these boards is over rated. To some the keyboard is a device to do battle with as we extract thoughts and watch them magically appear before us on a screen for everyone to enjoy, or not. Getting the though there with word form, spelling and grammar all being correct is an unrealistic expectation. Like us the process is imperfect. Thank you for responding and keep up the good fight.

    Killerkaul, you may have notice that I have not spoken for you in you defense. My reason is that I know You need no defense from Me.
    By the way, I communicated with 163888 and he says to thank you for you efforts on his behalf. He's been following the board, WITH HIS HANDS TIED, and still holds his extensive position in Sirius and is very positive about the long term future, although he sees choppy waters over the next two quarters. Run Blue Dog Runnnnnnn!
    2008 Sep 06 10:15 AM | Link | Reply
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    see the challenge..... getting the thought there ....
    2008 Sep 06 10:16 AM | Link | Reply
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    seeking alpha.................... I would gladly read through a mile of 163888's careless spelling mistakes,in order to read paragraphs of patient, quality, indepth,{ did I say indepth }, I meant INDEPTH!!!!!!!!!!!!!, accurate study of any and all aspects of the siri dance. Release 163888.
    2008 Sep 06 11:06 AM | Link | Reply
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    Dave010a................. Just my opinion, but get ready for McCain/Palin. It is my staunch Regan Conservative {notice I didn't say Republican} belief.......... that the American people hunger for bread, and all that is offered by the far left Elitists is cake. I can add nothing to cos1000's reply to your culture wars comment, as I totally agree on all points. Stock cleric's comment about the bar, while humerous does not apply here. cos .......... as always, your vast knowledge, and written
    2008 Sep 06 11:34 AM | Link | Reply
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    above should read..................... knowledge and well written content is the armour of my defense. It's quality has so far left me unscathed. Thank you.
    2008 Sep 06 11:37 AM | Link | Reply
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    Cos1000............... I would be intersted in your opinion of CLNE, with the T. Boone/Palosi. connection. Thanks.
    2008 Sep 06 11:58 AM | Link | Reply
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    killerkaul, I took a quick at CLNE's , Clean Energy Fuels Corp, 10Q filing and tried to ignore the recent Cramer "pump" of this stock. Basically it is a $840 Mil Company with a 30 mil share float which makes it very vulnerable to price manipulation by news and association, such as Boone / Pelosi. With all the recent news the stock has gone from 11.00 on Jul 7th to a close of 19.07 on Sept 5th.
    The recent quarterly report showed the company beating the street on loss per share but without a revenue adjustment of 5.7 Mil in Derivative adjustments it would have had less revenue for 6 months of 08 compared to 07. The volume of shares traded on Friday was just over 2 Mil to move the stock 2 bucks / sh. Since Boone has been touting the technology and Cramer has pumped the stock and Pelosi's influence in the new LA Contract for LNG & CNG I think the company's stock price has a lot of Fluff and not Substance. I might be interested in it if it came back down to $7 - 8 / share but there is know reason for it to be trading this high now.

    It is basically a service station and distribution company for Liquid and Compressed Natural gas in autos. It has a lot of fixed overhead, that will probably need federal subsidy, and has to play the Derivative / Futures game to hedge against the cost of its product, a Natural Gas. Its operating expenses alone went up 16% with revenues, do to the derivative adjustment (which can go either way quarter to quarter) were up 10%. In my opinion there is plenty of time to see where this will be going. Unless OEM make cars that run on these fuels, its probably not happening. The front end capital cost for conversion is significant with to long a pay back to make it viable for the average consumer. Just my opinion after a quick look.
    2008 Sep 06 01:32 PM | Link | Reply
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    Killerkaul, In reading the Cramer interview with CLNE's CEO Littlefair the comparison of cost per gallon which he called apples to apples is ridiculous. You can't by CNG or LNG at the pump anywhere for 2.70 / gal compared to gasoline at $4 / gal. The gasoline price includes getting to all those pumps out there. I'm not saying that we can't do it but the infrastructure to support the average consumer just isn't there.
    2008 Sep 06 04:28 PM | Link | Reply
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    killerkaul, Here is a link to Honda's CNG powered car with an in-home fill kit that connects to house gas systems. It takes 16 hours, overnight to fill, but sounds good for consumers. This isn't Boone's plan.

    corporate.honda.com/en...
    2008 Sep 06 04:32 PM | Link | Reply
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    cos............... sorry to put you through all this search/study/info on my behalf. I am pleased to see that my estimate of ownership at $ 8 to $ 10 dollars is close to your estimate. My strongest positive for the future gains by this company is based on the premise of.................... as goes California, so goes the rest of the country {referencing the upcoming California legislative vote.} Also the pumping of Nat gas vehicles by T, Boone, and this countrie's readiness for an alternative to high gas dependancy, ethenol, and /or coal. Definately speculative. Thank you.
    2008 Sep 06 06:38 PM | Link | Reply
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    killerkaul, not a problem just sitting around watching some sports and waiting for Hannah hear in NE. Something definitely needs to be done to solve the problem with sending all our money to the middle east while saving the environment at the same time. I thought Honda's idea with the "Phill" home CNG fill accessory was a great idea. Always looking to expand the knowledge base. Enjoy the weekend. I'll be watching the, less than impressive in preseason, NE Patriots take on KC tomorrow.
    2008 Sep 06 07:58 PM | Link | Reply
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    cos ,,,,,,,,,, you had me there for a minute. I was thinking Hannah????????????? .........hmmm Hannah Montana??? what??? Naaaaaaaaaa.............. Ha! My Bad.
    2008 Sep 06 10:35 PM | Link | Reply
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    Cont.... the honda car and fill system look intrigueing. Wonder what it makes for true mpg. Also how would they keep you from plumbing in your own untaxed line, I wonder. Ever the spoiler. LOL.
    2008 Sep 06 10:40 PM | Link | Reply
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    killerkaul, too funny. In my life and..... my wife's, waiting for Hannah can only be a "storm" or a "stork" bringing another grandchild. LOL

    As far as being the "spoiler", I imagine if you can work out getting from "House" pressure to what I would think would be the higher "Fill" pressure, you could earn your name "spoiler". The specks say it gets over 200 mp fill, which seems to be plenty for most commuters.

    I wonder how the "crash" tests for cars on CNG or LNG for that matter are working out for them. Gasoline is volatile enough, I wonder how these other fuels fair.
    2008 Sep 07 09:22 AM | Link | Reply
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    cos......... on the fill pressure, I would think that .... where there's a will there's a way. Crash tests would probably be wholly determined by fuel tank capacity and expansion rate of gasoline or compressed gases. From my experience in my F.D. career............ while having limited contact with the gas container cylinders in vehicles it does seem that the containers can take quite an impact before causing problems. Also very low pacement centered inside of wheelbase, tends to protect them better than the standard placement of gasoline tanks, being mounted in the rear or high on the sides. It may be a wash, however, I would lean toward less of a fire problem with the compressed gas cylinders. killer.
    2008 Sep 07 12:30 PM | Link | Reply