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A couple of weeks ago, I wrote an article titled “8 Stocks to Buy if McCain Wins”. In the spirit of balance, I want to give the same treatment if Obama should win.

To date, the Obama camp has promised more taxes on the rich, windfall profit taxes on oil companies, higher corporate taxes, higher payroll taxes, national health care and energy independence in 10 years. As these policies are attempted to be enacted, they will have very profound impacts on certain sectors. Corporate spending will be driven in very predictable directions.

One of the first things we will see is a movement away from full-time employees to more flexible temporary staffing. As employment costs and corporate taxes increase, you will actually see more reliance on outside consultants. Professional services firms like Accenture (ACN) - trading at $38.92 - should do very well.

One of the big beneficiaries of a higher corporate tax rate will be the nation of Ireland. Ireland enjoys some of the lowest corporate tax rates in the world (12.50%) and a highly educated workforce. If U.S. corporate tax rates do in fact go higher, watch for some big moves out of some Irish stocks as U.S. companies start moving to Ireland. One in particular to put on your radar is ICON (ICLR) - trading at $39.49 - which provides outsourcing services to the pharmaceutical, and biotechnology industries and the stock has been on fire.

To meet the lofty goal of energy independence within 10 years without the use of expanded domestic drilling, coal or nuclear energy will require an enormous allocation of capital to the alternative energy space. Everything from power generation to power delivery will have to be revamped. There will be some obvious companies that will benefit from this spending spree.

Energy Conversion Devices (ENER) - trading at $55.27 - makes thin-film solar cell products, nickel metal hydride batteries, and phase-change memory devices. While the stock has been roughed up of late, an Obama win could have this one in the stratosphere.

Another player in the alternative energy space that has been flying under-the-radar is LDK Solar (LDK) - trading at $40.76 . The company turns polysilicon into multicrystalline wafers, which are used in the construction of solar cells and solar modules. The company uses recycled materials in its production process and two -thirds of its business currently comes from Asia. With an Obama win, LDK stands to dramatically increase its U.S. business.

Good old General Electric (GE) - trading at $28.81 - could also be a big beneficiary of expanded alternative energy spending. Its going to take a lot of GE wind turbines and a massive infrastructure build out to make wind work and GE has the background and know-how when it comes to monster-sized projects.

At the end of the day, accelerating corporate earnings growth is what drives stock markets higher. I must admit that I am struggling to find where the broad-based earnings growth will come from should Barack Obama win the Presidency. This isn’t a partisan thing, it’s a business observation thing.

What’s your opinion? What stocks or sectors do you think will do well with an Obama win?

Disclosure: none

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  •  
    Well you just figured it out about LDK. Most people in North America know about this company
    2008 Sep 10 11:51 AM Reply
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    Thanks for the suggestions. I am downloading a hard copy for future reference. Given all the shameful corruption and dishonesty on Wall Street, OBAMA! may very well be it. I think it was Louis XIV who said: "Apres Moi, Le Deluge"
    2008 Sep 10 11:57 AM Reply
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    Cosmetics should do well under an Obama regime; e.g., Revlon, the lipstick manufacturer.
    2008 Sep 10 12:31 PM Reply
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    Obama has an abysmal voting record for renewables. Witness his "missing votes" for the current problem with the Fed tax credits. Shameful.

    Moreover, you do realize he has taken more money from the nuclear energy industry than nay other politician -- ever, and Illinois has more nuclear power plants than any other US State. I think you listed GE for the wrong reasons...
    2008 Sep 10 12:47 PM Reply
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    Obama fans don't need to be convinced that solar will prosper if he wins. That's why they are petulantly dumping alternative energy in the wake of the Republican convention. They're afraid we may have to wait a little longer for the people we have been waiting for. Fortunately for long-term solar investors, alternative energy will prosper whoever wins.
    2008 Sep 10 01:01 PM Reply
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    This is a good example of why investors should be educated. So, we not depend on goof balls making a living talking crap. We see it all the time. "I have the stock", "IF, you had invested in ....", Past history people.
    Now, we can learn from History. GE for my example will benefit </> it not matter. The company is so diversified even the CEO probably not know what all that company do. They provide the alternative as mentioned, but, they also provide the freedom we tend to ignore, as in, military (Aviation). GE is the "ONLY" company from the "Original DOW" still on the board. Read your History. If, people going to invest be informed about what you invest in. DO NOT listen to the "if you done this scam", if they had done "this" why they working or even charging money to tell?
    I tell because I know! Whine and Cry if you want, I tell free of charge. I do make my living from Stocks.
    This my first "Free" lesson. Buy low, sell high. GE looking low to me!
    Well, I could talk as long as the article and really say more. But, I just say; "Good Luck" remember when you buy low you may see a lot of red, but, in time it turn to "Green" ;-p
    Do you research and not depend on those trying to steer you for "Their" self-interests!!!!!!!! :-O
    2008 Sep 10 01:15 PM Reply
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    Alpha, as usual you are full of it. Where Obama did not vote on tax credit extensions, it wouldn't have mattered because the numbers weren't there. The most shameful failure to vote was by McCain in the most recent attempt to extend the existing credits. In that case, McCain was actually in DC, but did not supply the 60th yay vote to avoid a potential filibuster. He claimed to have to study the issue, which if true, shows that he doesn't know what's going on, and if false, puts him in direct opposition of Alternative Energy Invesment. Either way, it's an outrage.
    2008 Sep 10 01:24 PM Reply
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    Under Clinton the Dow Industrial Average climbed 247%. That's right, 247. Under Bush it has been absolutely flat (0.5% as of yesterday). Factor in eight years of inflation and the long-term implied load of trillions in foreign debt, plus implied outyear costs of a neglected infrastructure, and your calculator will melt if you total up the difference between Dem and GOP administrations in national wealth. What you don't address in your specious piece is that Dems seek to revitalize the middle class economy, which is what drives the GDP, which in turns drives corporate sales/earnings growth. It's the WHOLE economy, stupid.
    2008 Sep 10 01:48 PM Reply
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    Is SPWR becoming the Government main contractor for installing solar systems on Federal sites.
    They just completed installing a solar electric system on top of the roof top for the Dept of Energy Federal Building in Washington D.C. Sun power has also installed solar system for other government agencies such as the US Navy in Hawaii and Calf, The US Postal Service, and Air Force bases.
    They have under contract to build a Solar system at Kennedy Space center site.
    The company has no debt and over the last 3 months insiders have purchased a net 56.0K shares. This is in stark contrast to the 2-year quarterly average where insiders are net sellers and indicates that insiders are more bullish about SPWR's prospects for the next 6-12 months.
    They need no Gov tax incentives...The Gov is paying them for their solar systems.
    2008 Sep 10 01:49 PM Reply
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    IF SPWR is winning these contracts on a competetive bid basis, and the selection basis is truly cost/quality effectiveness, then SPWR should certainly be on any investor's watch list. Do they have something others in the sector don't, or are the Republicans granting no-bids again? How do we find this out?
    2008 Sep 10 01:57 PM Reply
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    SPWR would, in fact, stand to gain from US tax dredits. But the company is still way overvalued. Its forward PE's are higher than all the current PE's. LDK, in contrast to the editor's opinion, stands to gain very little from US tax credits. They have wisely been concentrating on the Asian market (Japan, India, Korea) and have been signing long-term multi-year contracts all along. So, as I've written here many times, I love LDK. I own a lot of LDK but not for the reasons given above,
    2008 Sep 10 05:51 PM Reply
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    broad based earnings growth will only exist if obama wins. he is a democrat. have you noticed stock market returns under 8 years of bush are negative. please dont blame clinton for this.
    2008 Sep 11 09:15 AM Reply
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    Clinton's reign included the Biggest Bubble in Nasdaq history. Millions of people lost Billions. All he was concerned about were the tax dollars coming into the Gov's coffers rather than if the Public was being Mislead.
    2008 Sep 11 09:16 AM Reply
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    clinton promoted investment in new technology, bush came into office and supported old technology(coal,oil,ni... ore,etc) the net result was slow job growth and a collapsing technology sector. you want to make money? vote for a democrat. please.
    2008 Sep 11 09:21 AM Reply
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    GDP and personal income also rose under Clinton. Tech bubble doesn't affect those metrics.

    Also, consistently since 1900 stock market does better under Democratic presidents. Even when you correct for the effect of which bunch controls Congress. This has been extensively written up and could easily be Googled.
    2008 Sep 11 09:55 AM Reply
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    Going forward, I believe that natural gas related stocks will be very profitable and especially so if Obama is elected in November.

    Natural gas or compressed natural gas (CNG) is so clearly a superior transportation fuel to that of foreign sourced gasoline that the only thing ---and it's a big 'thing" at this time, is in- place re-fueling infrastructure before it can become our national transportation fuel of choice.

    CNG is cleaner, cheaper, abundant and produced in America. CNG offers us the opportunity to get OPEC off our necks forever while we solve the problems associated with direct solar use.

    No more "oil wars" please---crude oil is not only dirty it's also very deadly!
    2008 Sep 11 09:59 AM Reply
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    After reading all this, I have 3 points to make.

    1. Some people had to much caffeine reading this article. I read this as a hypothetical scenario, alluding to what companies/stocks could benefit given what policies Obama said he would pursue.

    2. Another interesting point, hidden within the confines of Ha!'s message, is that individuals should conduct thorough research on a company before investing in them, rather than relying on hearsay.

    3. As for Dem this or Gop that, seriously, what politician actually does everything they say they are going to do :) ? My view is this; Whatever policies they choose, no matter how far out, will get watered down to the point where the politician can get enough support for it. Right or left doesn't really matter, its a battle for the middle ground. Whoever manages to get closest without going over, wins.
    2008 Sep 11 10:18 AM Reply
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    "To date, the Obama camp has promised .... higher payroll taxes.."

    Do some homework before writing something false. Obama's proposed tax cut help the middle class (<$250k per year) more than McCain's. McCain's tax platform is to extend the 15% dividend and LT cap gains tax and to grant tax breaks to oil companies. How does that translate into higher payroll taxes under Obama?

    Even most Democrats are unaware of this - just one more reason Obama will lose in November if he continues this campaigning-on-persona... strategy that lets a few cheap slogans at his opponent's convention convince millions that he will raise their taxes.
    2008 Sep 11 10:19 AM Reply
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    Paultaut: As long as you're laying blame for economic maladies (which I find strange), have you heard anyone mention anything in regard to a housing downturn lately? I think a few more people may have been affected by that than speculation in technology companies. A bit of advice; think, THEN, write. It's seemingly harder for some to do than I assumed.
    2008 Sep 11 10:19 AM Reply
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    One growth area we can count on should either patry's candidate triumph is government. Alternative energy is in the future with any result. Wind farms outside of DC and state capitols looks to be a sure bet. Also, co-generation heat exchanges adjacent to the legislatures, as well.
    2008 Sep 11 12:37 PM Reply