Home Depot vs. Lowe's: Which is the Better Investment? 17 comments
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Here's a look at the Return on Equity [ROE] of Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW) over the last few years:
Considering all the negativity surrounding Home Depot, this has to come as a surprise to most. However, looking at ROE alone does not tell the full story of how well a company is managed. If one company is too highly leveraged, then ROE can look good for a long period of time, before finally crashing down and leaving shareholders in the lurch (consider many U.S. Banks and certain homebuilders).
So let's break down the ROE equation to determine what component debt is playing in boosting ROE, and what component approximates returns on invested capital.
ROE = Net Income / Equity = (Net Income / Assets) * (Assets / Equity)
(Net Income / Assets) is simply Return On Assets, which should give us a decent estimate of what kind of returns management gets on every dollar it invests in the business (e.g. land, buildings, inventory etc.). Here's the Return on Assets [ROA] of both Lowe's and Home Depot:
click to enlarge
We see slightly better returns for Home Depot, which is consistent with what we saw when we analyzed the sales per square foot and profits per square foot of these two companies. Note that this measure is not a perfect one. It's possible that Home Depot has assets on its books that are understated as compared to Lowe's (e.g. land, which is stated at cost, even if it has appreciated in value).
The second half of the equation above will show us how leveraged these two companies are:
click to enlargeWe see that in the last couple of years, Home Depot has been further boosting its ROE by levering itself up. Is it too leveraged? The answer to this question is never clear. But one thing we do know is that recent quarters have not been kind to the housing market, and as a result, these two retailers have experienced declining business. Let's take a look at how well Home Depot has been able to cover its interest payments in recent quarters during these rough times:
click to enlargeIt would appear that throughout this downturn, it has had ample room to cover its fixed obligations, suggesting its debt load is at fairly safe levels.
Home Depot has been mired in negativity in the last few years. However, judging from these metrics, it would seem that the company has run the business well. Of course, there have been some bumps in the road. As we saw here, many of the shareholder returns HD has generated were used to buy back stock at terrible prices. Going forward, however, HD seems to be in a position to provide shareholders with decent returns.
Disclosure: The author has a position in both HD and LOW.
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This article has 17 comments:
At least around here, the Lowe's help is superior and the store is more attractive. Home Depot does seem to have improved the annoying "out of stock" problem they suffered under Nardelli (when they cut inventory to improve margins.)
I have ongoing experience with the stores in Knoxville (where I live), Boston (where I own a rental condo) and a little less in Reading, PA, where my parents live and where I occasionally help out. HD has cleaned up some of its problems, but still suffers "angry employee syndrome", so far as I can see.
Disclosure: I have owned HD shares since the 1990's, but now do most of my shopping at Lowe's.
Having said that, there are disparities across the US for different stores. In the Midwest, you have a well-stocked Wallmart on every street corner. I 'd have a 2 hour round trip to go there. ....
Oh yeah.... And in Minnnesota, you have 'Menards'... Now there's a quality big-box home construction outlet. They have everything!
jegan ;-)
I complained about the issue, which was investigated by the State Government, but the people at The Home Depot are so deeply corrupt, that they don't care how many lies they have to tell, or how much mail they have to steal, or how many people they have to accuse in order to protect their desire to get drunk or stoned and come to work -- and kick around the people that try to consider the interests of their familiy. It's a terrible place to work, and anyone who has worked there, knows that.
I think one has to be carefull that they don't assume that the things that go on or are tolerated at one store are also the same at other stores. Of course that's true of a lot of things in life.
The four pillars of any retailer are in-stock, service, price and ease of shopping (navigability).
INSTOCK: Lowes is better hands-down. The employees at HD tell me that Lowes has better logistics set-up and they can get small quantities of knick-knack items quickly. HD lacks this infrastructure and it takes them several days to get back in stock. Also their on-hands are often wrong. So it takes a few days and a customer to ask for the item for HD to realize that their on-hands are wrong and they really cant find it!!
SERVICE: HD is marginally better. They seem to have a few more employees who care vs Lowes. Every store is different but I generally find employees who are more empowered to take care of me than Lowes. However when I complain about a rude employee to management, Lowes seems to react quicker. I am told HD stores have HR managers who protect the employees who dont care about customers instead of firing them.
PRICE: Overall HD is slightly better and they have just launched a price reduction campaign. The quality of the products is better at HD and they have more recognizable brands. The main competitor for both retailers from a price standpoint is Amazon.com. Their margins are lot lower and hence they charge the customers less then HD and Lowes. When you have a planned purchase, give Amazon a try (for tools and stuff).
CONVENIENCE: HD is more convenient for me from a location standpoint. Lowes is a lot more cleaner on the inside and I guess female friendly but I dont care for that. I am very satisfied with the cleanliness of HD stores I visit. I once stepped into an old HD in Duluth, GA and man it was old!!
I would say, HD is winning the battle slowly but surely.
I want the comapany to make money I have 936 shares and want to sell someday but not today. And they will make there money just not as much because if u need a water heater you need a water heater?
so if its a guy making 10 or a guy making 25 it dosent matter who loads it i am still buying it.. At least thats there ideal. Agree or not with a smaller overhead there stock should rise. and with the economy slidding they will fire more and service will suffer but if you still need a water heater you will buy it.. The only thing that will Kill depot is if they ever grow some balls(employees that is) and get a UNION if that happens the stock will dive but I will give a 90 percent vut in value for that because then the stock will sore in 10-15 years........
Lowe's has a good store, but all they do is copy HD. They wait until we build something, then put their store across the street. HD has better people, better merchants, a better product, and Associates at the lowest level can deal with you on the price for volume purchases. Lowe's can't.
On the financial side HD has anywhere from $500 million to $1 billion in cash on hand at any time (we can survive this downturn and come out stronger). We pay cash for things that Lowe's has to borrow for (like new stores). We are pretty much done building new stores in the USA, but we are expanding like crazy internationally (where the real growth is). We will be number 1 in China for the long run (they are building American style subdivisions there like crazy over there). We are number 1 in Canada and Mexico. We will be number 1 in South America, Lowe's will never get there. I doubt we will bother with Europe (margins are too low because of regulation).
On Sep 22 01:44 PM Urbane Gorilla! wrote:
> Not sure where everyone lives, but I live in Northern California.
> I have a Home Depot within blocks of my rental property, so I tend
> to go there first. We have about 6 Lowes and 7 Home Depots that I
> shop as i travel. Give me a Lowes any day. Same prices, cleaner stores,
> you can **actually** buy your whole project one stop as opposed to
> HD, you can find sales people unlike HD. No contest. If all the Home
> Depots out here went out of business, I'd be just as happy driving
> the extra few miles to go to Lowes. In fact, I normally do.
>
> Having said that, there are disparities across the US for different
> stores. In the Midwest, you have a well-stocked Wallmart on every
> street corner. I 'd have a 2 hour round trip to go there. .... <br/>
>
> Oh yeah.... And in Minnnesota, you have 'Menards'... Now there's
> a quality big-box home construction outlet. They have everything!
>
>
> jegan ;-)