By Ryan Fuhrmann
According to the CIA World Fact Book, the United States operates the largest single-country economy in the world. Its gross domestic product for 2011 was estimated at $15.3 trillion, trailing the European Union, which is comprised of 27 different countries, by only $360 billion. China remains in third place, as the developing economy continues to see rapid growth in recent years due to its build out of industrial capacity and its growing class of individual consumers. Growth in the U.S., however, remains subdued below 2%. The global economic slowdown has certainly hampered the nation's growth, but there still remain a few economic bright spots, namely the advancement of domestic energy production.
|Rank||Country||GDP (Purchasing Power Parity)|
The U.S., along with other mega-economies, demands massive amounts of commodities. And while some countries depend solely on the inflow or outflow of goods, the U.S. dominates in both of its roles as importer and exporter. Last year, the United States exported an estimated $1.5 trillion outside of its borders, making it the third largest exporter in the world. Our northern and southern neighbors received the majority of these exports, with Canada and Mexico consuming 19% and 13.3% of total exports, respectively. Outflows to China represented 7% of exports, as the U.S. continues to help supply the country's growing demand for commodities.
Top U.S. Exports & The Growing Energy Sector
Capital goods, such as aircraft, automotive parts, computers and telecom equipment are the largest portion of the U.S.'s outflows, accounting for nearly 49% of total exports. Industrial supplies, particularly organic chemicals, represent the second largest commodity class at 26.8%. Agricultural products also make up a significant portion of exports, with soybeans, fruit, and corn representing the top three agricultural exports.
|Top Exports||Percent of Exports|
While the above top exports do represent the lion's share of U.S.'s outflows, it is important to note the nation is once again becoming a top exporter of energy-based commodities. Natural gas production has risen significantly in recent years, ranking the U.S. third in the world for total natural gas production. However, Americans consumed 689.9 billion cubic meters of NG in 2011, more than it had produced. While the country continues to try to satisfy its insatiable need for natural gas, it still manged to export 42.7 billion cu m last year, the second largest worldwide. But thanks to the growing popularity of hydraulic fracturing, or fracking technologies, this total is projected to continue to increase significantly.
Crude oil, however, is a much different story. The U.S. remains the number one consumer and importer of crude. The country does, however, produce close to as many barrels of oil per day as it consumes. While exports amount to less than 50,000 barrels per day, fracking techniques have helped total production increase somewhat rapidly in recent years.
How to Play U.S. Commodities
One of the most compelling plays in U.S. commodities today is on the ample and growing supply of natural gas. The rapid growth in supply combined with tepid near-term economic trends have resulted in a supply glut and depressed prices. However, this is not expected to persist over the longer haul. Therefore, investing in domestic producers, like Chesapeake Energy (CHK) and Devon Energy (DVN), could pay off within a few years.
Developments have also been made for the exporting of natural gas. The largest integrated energy players, including Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX) offer somewhat safer upside potential to exporting the commodity, though their performances are also dependent on global energy production and demand.
For those looking to use the ETF wrapper to gain exposure to different industries in the U.S. energy sector, there are several options. iShares offers a number of compelling ETFs, such as the Dow Jones U.S. Energy Sector Index Fund (IYE), which offers top exposure to Exxon, Chevron and other integrated energy leaders. The Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Index Fund (IEO) offers purer exposure to the benefits of fracking, as it tracks domestic oil and gas producers and explorers. Top holdings include Devon (DVN), Occidental Petroleum (OXY), Anadarko (APC), Apache Corp (APA) and EOG Resources (EOG).
Few commodity investors would have predicted that the United States would return to its heyday of energy production. However, innovative technologies and developments, such as fracking, have pushed the country back to the forefront of natural gas production. The size and robustness of the U.S. economy means that it will remain a significant importer and exporter of basic commodities, including food, energy, and precious metals. It will also be able to capitalize on acceleration in demand for commodities from Asia as their populations continue to surge.
Disclosure: No positions at time of writing.
Disclaimer: Commodity HQ is not an investment advisor, and any content published by Commodity HQ does not constitute individual investment advice. The opinions offered herein are not personalized recommendations to buy, sell or hold securities or investment assets.