Amazon's $7.99 Per Month Prime Memberships - What Does It Mean?

| About:, Inc. (AMZN)

As of today, reports are emerging that (NASDAQ:AMZN) is proposing a pricing of $7.99 per month for Prime memberships. This is only accessible to some users, which might mean is still testing the concept. Previously, Prime memberships were only available as a $79/year option. What can this development mean?

First, it means is taking its competition with Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) more seriously. Netflix also provides streaming services at $7.99 per month. Here, is targeting Netflix directly by making the same price available while rendering more services for that price (the $7.99/month also includes other Prime benefits, such as free two-day shipping and access to the Kindle lending library). But Prime has much less of a selection when it comes to video, so it's not a sure thing that it will be competitive just yet. It might also imply will have to invest in even more content to even the odds.

Second, it also means something I have called attention to in the past. Prime, both due to the free shipping and the free video, is becoming a huge weight on's shoulders with a decidedly negative impact on its ever-declining earnings. The "technology" line on the company's P&L doesn't just refer to Amazon Web Services' (AWS) costs -- it also refers to these ever-expanding content costs. This is forcing to increase the price on Prime memberships ($7.99/month comes to $95.88/year, 21% more than the $79/year option)., not wanting to alienate its Prime members -- knowing how a similar move ended by punishing Netflix's stock -- is thus selecting to increase prices for newcomers only (and even then, only for those who select the $7.99 option, perhaps due to their math illiteracy).


If manages to pull this off and attract a significant number of subscribers through the new offer, it might alleviate somewhat the earnings pressure coming from the Prime memberships. After all, 1 million members subscribing at $7.99/month instead of $79/year would pull in $16.88 million per year in additional revenues for the same costs, thus with a likely EPS impact of $0.037/share per each 1 million subscribers in the new format. Not much, but better than losing money hand over fist.

However, for to compete effectively with this offer, it's also likely that it will have to invest even more money into content in order to match Netflix's offerings. This would be a negative, although hard to quantify.

This might also represent the recognition by that something has to be done regarding its own imploding earnings; it's a first, timid attempt to raise prices. The market should also see this move as an increase in competition for Netflix, and therefore might punish Netflix somewhat today.

Disclosure: I am short AMZN. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.