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Mosaic (MOS) and the other fertilizer stocks got whacked.

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MOS 08 10 02

Lessons learned:

  1. Commodities are highly cyclical.  They have been since the dawn of time.  This truism did not change at the beginning of the 21st century.
  2. When any asset has moved an extraordinary upward amount in a short period of time at the end of a long uptrend, the final move is usually the frothiest.  Be highly distrustful of this move.  It must always be sold.
  3. It's never different this time.

Disclosure: The author holds a small position in POT.

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This article has 2 comments:

  •  
    #4. Hedge fund liquidation can be a bitch.
    2008 Oct 03 12:59 PM | Link | Reply
  •  
    # 5 never trust someone making comments under a pseudo
    2008 Oct 05 12:34 AM | Link | Reply