Next Up, an Ownership Share in Banks 28 comments
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The Fed and Treasury are perplexed. Liquidity schemes like the TAF, PDCF, TSLF, TARP, ABCPMMMFLF, and the CFFF did not help stimulate bank.
Liquidity measures cannot solve the crisis or stimulate lending for reasons I've stated in Pushing on a String In Academic Wonderland and Thoughts On The Commercial Paper Funding Facility.
Paulson is foolish enough to force the issue and is threatening to take an ownership stake in banks to do it. From NYT:
Having tried without success to unlock frozen credit markets, the Treasury Department is considering taking ownership stakes in many United States banks to try to restore confidence in the financial system, according to government officials. Treasury officials say the just-passed $700 billion bailout bill gives them the authority to inject cash directly into banks that request it. Such a move would quickly strengthen banks’ balance sheets and, officials hope, persuade them to resume lending. In return, the law gives the Treasury the right to take ownership positions in banks, including healthy ones.
The Treasury plan, still preliminary, resembles one announced on Wednesday in Britain.
My Comment: Now it seems the US may abandon the TARP in favor of a
This new interest in direct investment in banks comes after yet another tumultuous day in which the Federal Reserve and five other central banks marshaled their combined firepower to cut interest rates but failed to stanch the global financial panic. ...
Yet the world’s markets hardly seemed comforted. Credit markets on Wednesday remained almost as stalled as the day before. Stock prices, which had plunged in Europe and Asia before the announcement, continued to plummet afterward. And stock prices in the United States went on a roller-coaster ride, at the end of which the Dow Jones industrial average was down 189 points, or 2 percent.
My Comment: The world’s markets hardly seemed comforted;
global coordinated rate cuts won't solve the economic crisis
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... Yet behind the scramble for solutions lies a hard reality: the financial crisis has mutated into a global downturn that economists warn will be painful and protracted, and for which there is no quick cure.
My Comment: Indeed there is no cure other than time, price, and replenishing the pool of savings.
“Everyone is conditioned to getting instant relief from the medicine, and that is unrealistic,” said Allen Sinai, president of Decision Economics, a forecasting firm in Lexington, Mass. “As hard as it is for investors and jobholders and politicians in an election year, this crisis will not end without a lot more pain.”
My Comment: That is one of the few reasonable opinions I have seen in the mainstream media for days on end.
Treasury officials worry that aggressive government purchases, if not done properly, could alarm bank shareholders by appearing to be punitive or could be interpreted by the market as a sign that target banks were failing.
My Comment: Now that's ridiculous. Anyone with half a clue already knows damn well that banks are failing. Those who don't won't know aren't paying any attention to what the Fed and Treasury are doing.
At a news conference on Wednesday, the Treasury secretary, Henry M. Paulson Jr., pointedly named the Treasury’s new authority to inject capital into institutions as the first in a list of new powers included in the bailout law.
My Comment: Who cares whether that's in the bill or not? Besides, it's perfectly predictable according to the
Corollary Number Four, which states:
The Fed simply does not care whether its actions are illegal or not. The Fed is operating under the principle that it's easier to get forgiveness than permission. And forgiveness is just another means to the desired power grab it is seeking.
Substitute the word "Treasury" for "Fed" in the above paragraph and you have a perfect match.
“We will use all the tools we’ve been given to maximum effectiveness,” Mr. Paulson said, “including strengthening the capitalization of financial institutions of every size.”
My Comment: Paulson and Bernanke are using all the tools and then some. However, none of them is effective.
The idea is gaining support even among longtime Republican policy makers who have spent most of their careers defending laissez-faire economic policies.
My Comment: We're all socialists now.
“The problem is the uncertainty that people have about doing business with banks, and banks have about doing business with each other,” said William Poole, a staunchly free-market Republican who stepped down as president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis on Aug. 31. “We need to eliminate that uncertainty as fast as we can, and one way to do that is by injecting capital directly into banks. I think it could be done very quickly.”
My Comment: The problem is not uncertainty. It is 100% certain that the system is insolvent. The problem is insolvency.
“The turmoil will not end quickly,” Mr. Paulson told reporters on Wednesday. “Neither the passage of this law nor the implementation of these initiatives will bring an immediate end to the current difficulties.”
My Comment: That is about the only thing Paulson has said for months that has made any sense whatsoever.
Fed officials increasingly talk about the challenge they face with a phrase that President Bush used in another context: “regime change.”
This regime change refers to a change in the economic environment so radical that, at least for a while, economic policy makers will need to suspend what are usually sacred principles: minimal interference in free markets, gradualism and predictability.
My Comment: Sacred principles? What a joke. The Fed itself is a violation of free market principles. We need a regime change all right. The best thing to do is abolish the Fed.
“The core problem is that the smart people are realizing that the banking system is broken,” said Carl B. Weinberg, chief economist at High Frequency Economics. “Nobody knows who is holding the tainted assets, how much they have and how it affects their balance sheets. So nobody is willing to believe that anybody else isn’t insolvent, until it’s proven otherwise.”
Carl B. Weinberg confuses the symptoms with the disease. The symptoms are tainted assets, insolvency, and mistrust. The cancerous disease is fractional reserve lending, the very existence of the Fed, and an unsound monetary system. The only cure is to eliminate the Fed, abolish fractional reserve lending, and put in place a sound monetary system backed by gold.
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This article has 28 comments:
As for the govt buying banks it is a huge mistake -if the whole credit derivative markets unravel (many think this is only the beginning of a 59 trillion dollar mkt unraveling ) -the govt is now left holding the bag exactly like fannie and freddie but on a larger scale where investors will start trading the credit derivatives or loaning overnight with the implied notion that the junk cds 's or loans are govt backed -
they would be better off setting up 700 - 1 billion dollar banks which are whole -the banks are going off a cliff the US govt can easily get pulled over with it if they attach a rope to them like this -
Mish, about fractional reserves. Grandpa Milton argued for privately-issued competing currencies, which I think is correct, however there's no reason to fear fractional reserves. Pretty basic to the concept of deposit taking. Competition keeps good institutions strong, tempts the cowboys to fail and lose everything.
Lastly, I wanted to mention gold. What we need most is gold lending at gold-priced interest. Have to repeal the "legal tender" doctrine.
You know what is coming next, dont' you! A big sh*t load of govt. regulations, and you will have only yourselves to blame.
I'm a big believer in capitalism, and now because of the unrepentant arrogance of a a relative few, we all have to endure the rath of Socialism.
why? better recapitalize and do not interfere in the pricing in the stuff they're trading and wipe partially or fully their shareholders for keeping morons and rewarding them with huge pay packages.
what do we get instead? every CEO stays in office and keeps his pay, the taxpayer is saddled with nonperforming assets and servicing the newly created 700bn debt.
I agree that fractional reserve lending is bad particularly with a monopoly currency as we have now. It is IMMORAL under our current system. Even with competing currencies it is suspect but at least people could choose a 100% reserve currency instead. Thanks for considering the roots of this problem. God bless.
Then bbzz24 said: "buying up banks should have been the only option.
why? better recapitalize and do not interfere in the pricing in the stuff they're trading and wipe partially or fully their shareholders"
Mike,
Please explain to this guy that we COULD recap the banks if we had savings (delayed gratification) to recap them with. But recap'ing them with printed new money (since we're already in debt up to our eyeballs) is mathematically pointless: if we could print genuine capital, we'd all be rich beyond our wildest dreams. In fact, just a year ago we thought we were.
bbzz24, can you see how it doesn't work?
Hmmmm, aren't these the same people who can't deliver the mail without losing billions? Now they're going to run the banks? Great. Lucky us.
I'm sure this time "it's different" though. Really. It will be just fine.
The shareholders should be diluted for having these idiots as their captains. Then the gov't trust holding the equity can get first dibs on any stock buy-backs when the banks are well again in a few years (or decades!) But Paulson was just trying to help out his buddies by not decimating their equity stakes. But I guess that strikes at the deeper problem, rent seeking/lobbying of banks (or other corporations for that matter) of congress and regulatory capture. But of course, that then gets to a deeper problem (not talked about much problem) of congress continuously "tinkering" with the "free market" (I use that term loosely) necessitating the need of business interests to lobby congress to protect themselves from that very same congress, lest they be held at the mercy of overregulation and overtaxation. But the firms with better lobbying efforts and more congressfolk in their pockets get more subsidies and less taxes (i.e. unfair advantage) while the less politically connected get shafted. The distortions in the market propagate over the years until a often volitile "snap-back" occurs. So what does that mean? They should stick to the Constitution which means currency backed by gold or silver, and equal protection under the law, which also would imply equal treatment under the law i.e. no favortism to individuals or organizations (basically treat everyone the same in the tax code and ban subsidies, and clear rules of the market). This is a problem of both sides of the political spectrum. On the Left, more housing for the poor, coers..ahem, encouragment of the banks to make bad loans. On the Right, deregulation on an uneven playing field (which might be as bad as overregulation on an "even" playing field). So, the Right pushes for deregulation at the behest of the business interests. So these banks are not that dumb, they want these bad loans off their balance sheets. Enter stage right Wall street, "ok banks, we have a new thing called debt securitization." Wall street slices and dices these securities to a point where they are unrecognizable, which is not good for a market (keyword:transparency)... This set the stage for a positive feedback loop bubble and the rest is history currently being written.
Sorry for the lengthy rant, but there seems to be too much simplification in the mainstream media these days.
PROTEST THE FED`S EXTORTION RACKET
WITH A WRITE-IN ELECTION CAMPAIGN
TO REVOLUTIONIZE RESOURCE DISTRIBUTION AND TAXATION
The `HOW TO FIX THE ECONOMY` plan addresses three problems with America`s economic system which are destroying our economic security.
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Problem 1.
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America`s National Debt is approaching 10 trillion dollars and the system is less than 100 years old. Nice work. If human bodies worked like America's currency supply, every time a kid grew a little he would need to take out a loan to buy a transfusion of new blood. We can easily replace Federal Reserve Debt-Money with debt-free U.S. money and pocket the difference.
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Problem 2.
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The Income Tax law was drafted by the same rich guys who invented the Federal Reserve system. They came up with a way to tax us `cash cows` while simultaneously avoiding paying taxes on their own wealth. A kid right out of college shouldn`t be paying a greater percentage of his accumulated wealth in taxes than Bill Gates. We need a flat, transparent, automatically-collecte... tax that produces results corresponding closely to `benefits previously received`.
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Problem 3.
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Thanks to automation, robotics and computers, the days of plentiful, highly-paid jobs employing vast numbers of manual and mental laborers are gone. Remember the days when there were millions of jobs that paid well enough to buy a house, two cars, an RV and a cottage on the lake...and still save plenty for retirement? If you do, then you`re pretty old. For most of us, those days are gone and they`re not coming back. To address this problem we need to either `kill off a lot of people` or else develop a new resource distribution model suitable for a world where jobs are rapidly going the way of `the buggy whip`.
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**********************...
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HOW TO FIX THE ECONOMY
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a plan to stimulate the economy, lower taxes, start paying off the National Debt, alleviate poverty and decrease crime
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by replacing our OLD economic system with a NEW system based on
- a new and debt-free U.S. currency to replace Federal Reserve Debt-Money,
- a 0.5% tax on electronic transfers to replace the Federal Income Tax and the IRS,
- and $1000 per month government privatization compensation for legal U.S. residents
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The problem is always THE SYSTEM, never just `the people who screwed up`. Until we fix THE SYSTEM, similar bad things will keep on happening. Fault for the credit scam lies not with the banks and borrowers who lost their shirts and homes, but with our predecessors for allowing this SYSTEM to become and remain law, and with ourselves for not getting rid of it earlier.
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The primary problem with the OLD SYSTEM is that `our` money (actually the Federal Reserve`s Debt-Money) leaks its purchasing power like a bucket with a hole in the bottom leaks water. The Fed dollar currently buys less than 5% of what it bought in 1913. (To view a video that makes the problems inherent in our use of the Fed`s Debt-Money much clearer, do an online search for `Zeitgeist Fed`.) There is NO BENEFIT AT ALL in having a Central Bank (well, none for us) compared to having the U.S. Treasury print and distribute to ourselves our own debt-free money, and THE ONLY DIFFERENCE between having a central bank (like the Federal Reserve System) or not, is that ``One system costs us 95% of our wealth every hundred years and puts us and our posterity into mind-boggling debt until the end of time``... and the other one doesn`t. So the first thing we need for our NEW SYSTEM is our own, debt-free U.S. Government currency, backed by the value of all of the property within the nation`s borders. Bankers will tell you this will cause `the end of civilization as we know it`. It will certainly end it as THEY knew it.
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Another problem is that the OLD SYSTEM`s income-based taxation creates wasteful tax avoidance behavior, requires an expensive tax reporting industry and an intrusive collection bureaucracy, and is, arguably, a form of `involuntary servitude`. Under a NEW SYSTEM, we could replace all income-related taxes with a one-half percent, automatically-collecte... electronic transfer tax (also known as a `debit tax`) which would be avoidable by business transactions that used only cash or barter. This change will not only rid us of the IRS (saving us the billions of dollars that are currently spent on `tax reporting`), it will also end the OLD SYSTEM`s penalization of work and entrepreneurism, as well as freeing up further untold billions currently spent on `tax avoidance`. (Also inhibits market speculation.)
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The third problem with the OLD SYSTEM is that, because governments privatize all of their claimed property (allocating it however they like), everyone winds up being denied their natural right to free access to all property without being compensated for that loss. That`s not a problem for those with access to capital and property ownership, but for the rest of us, it is totally unfair and creates a slanted playing field upon which wealth tends to gravitate to the rich and well-connected. Free-market or socialist, every government`s allocation method results in `denial to everyone of free access to all land`, for which ALL governments should provide compensation.
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Consequently, our NEW SYSTEM should pay to every legal adult resident $1000 per month (of the new, non-Fed, non-Debt-Money) which can REPLACE ALL FORMS OF PERSONAL AND CORPORATE WELFARE AND SUBSIDIES, no financial qualification required and no restriction on earning additional income (saving us billons in Social Security and Welfare bureauracracy costs and leaving Congress very little to do). Compensation for minors should be held in a trust fund to avoid incentivizing `baby factories`. Since everyone gets the same amount of compensation, this plan does NOT redistribute wealth, but will be of most help to those with the least accumulated wealth.
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Besides its immediate and direct assault on poverty, the benefits of this part of our NEW SYSTEM should include a reduction in crimes of all sorts, more jobs at better pay, better childcare, more rural homesteading, better maintained urban areas, no more `homeless veterans`, less intrusive and cheaper government with lower military-related expenses and a safer world in general. We can expect residents of other countries to insist their governments either copy our NEW SYSTEM or else apply for U.S. statehood (as Texas did in 1845) as soon as the see how well this NEW SYSTEM works.
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HEALTH CARE...the AMA and FDA work to constrain competition in order to maximize the medical and pharmaceutical industries` ability to extort unconscionable prices for services and substances that should be affordable out-of-pocket. We need to train up thousands more doctors and other healthcare professionals and to decriminalize and unbridle access for adults to WHATEVER drugs adults feel they need and let the market work to make prices of normal medical help and pharmacology affordable.
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TO KICK OUR CRUDE (OIL) HABIT, Congress could add on a 10% surcharge at the gas pump, bump it up another 10% every 6 months, and rebate the surcharge revenue in monthly equi-dollar amounts to every registered car OWNER, regardless of how much they drive. The surcharge will incentivize cheaper alternatives which will rapidly come to market, no government subsidies or mandates required.
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HELP ME SEND THIS MESSAGE to candidates running for Congress in 2010 and 2012. ``In order to get elected, you will need to pledge to help us THROW OFF the predatory Federal Reserve System and devise a NEW SYSTEM, one that ``provides new Guards for our future Security``. We can send a very clear message to those candidates with a MASS WRITE-IN CAMPAIGN for an unknown candidate running for no other purpose than to send that message. (That`s where I come in.) With the major parties fielding candidates who seem to be decent people but who are apparently unaware of the damage the present system is causing to us NORMAL folk, and with the 3rd parties addressing only symptoms rather than the BAD SYSTEM at cause, this election is the ideal time to vote for REAL CHANGE, not just new faces. I will register as a write-in candidate in every state that allows write-in votes from which I get emails expressing support. Pass this message along to several people every day (or, even better, to everyone you know today, and to everyone you meet from now on). IF EACH OF US EVERY DAY CONVINCE EVEN ONE OTHER PERSON TO JOIN US, OVER ONE BILLION PEOPLE CAN BE `ON BOARD` IN 30 DAYS. Get out (and online) and DO IT! For questions or more info, email alan_jacquemotte@yahoo...
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Tell Congress we need a TOTALLY NEW DEAL!
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VOTE TO
Replace the Federal Reserve System
with U.S. Government Debt-Free Money
Replace the Income Tax with a small, automatically-collecte... flat tax
and Create Better Social Security for ALL
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BY WRITING-IN
Alan Jacquemotte for U.S. President
(in states which allow write-in voting)
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WRITE-IN VOTES CAN`T BE HACKED!
Make them hand-count your vote
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MAKE COPIES OF THIS PLAN AND HAND THEM OUT
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A rule of thumb to help straighten out your thinking:
1. Good ideas do not have to be forced on others.
2. Bad ideas should not be.
3. brevity is the soul of wit.
Your welcome.
Why so? The Fed was created in 1913. That was a big step backwards. Why can't the good guys win one for a change?
sounds like a plan to ensure monetary responsibility. eliminating fractional reserve lending reduces the need to expand the money supply due to interest on the lending, but does not eliminate it. gold works because it has limited growth and zero consumption, however 80% of it has been discovered in the last 100 yrs. Price stability occurs when economic growth plus interest is comparable to money supply growth.
Can't help noticing that all economic events now are in billions whereas 10 yrs ago they were in millions. What was that Senators quote about pretty soon we're talking real money? Well, we're there, it just doesn't feel like it. Anyone for a 10:1 devaluation?
The assumption is that ensuring monetary responsibility also ensures fiscal responsibility, like a balanced budget amendment. It's not at all clear to me that one follows the other.
You have a point. The fractional reserve banking system corrupts virtually everyone. Ever got a bank loan? If you did you screwed someone via inflation.
An honest banking system is possible. Competing currencies are part of the solution.
Who says price stability is a good thing? The natural result of human progress is falling prices in many things. This does not mean falling profits. Also, with competing currencies, we could have any number of commodities serving as reserves. I would insist on 100% reserves but some say FRB would be OK since without a central bank, bank runs would keep it in check.
This is one reason central banks are set up: to finance government via inflation instead of unpopular tax increases.
If the government has to tax us directly, you can be sure government will shrink.
I never really expected Ron Paul to win in 2008. But I figure after 4 years of disaster under McCain or Obama the country will be ready for him. I will write in Ron Paul's name Nov 4, so the MSM can't ignore him in 2012.
After much thought, I've concluded there is a Creator and He holds the real power. (But we should do our part too since He is not fond of lazy.)
Albert Einstein
cheers
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I agree. Let's get a banking system not based on fraud and theft by inflation. Who would guess that such things could lead to instability?