Apple's iPhones: 10 Million and Counting? 19 comments
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Seeking Alpha authors Andy Zaky and Turley Muller estimate that 9 months into 2008, Apple has already surpassed Steve Jobs’ widely quoted (and oft-ridiculed) projection of selling 10 million iPhones this year. In particular, they calculate that Apple sold 7-7.5 million units in Q3, the final quarter of the Apple fiscal year, building on the strong sales spurt with July’s release of the iPhone 3G.
They use a clever strategy of tracking serial numbers (IMEI) as a way to estimate how many phones have been built, and use convergent numbers from web browser stats.
Apple’s FYQ4 earnings release is due a week from Tuesday. If Zaky and Muller are right, Jobs will proudly proclaim that Apple has blown past the 10 million figure in hopes of supporting the stock.
So far the stock is in freefall, off even more than Google due to worries about consumer spending. Next week’s rumored announcement of a sub-$1K laptop won’t turn that around, but perhaps unexpectedly strong iPhone earnings could provide support for the stock.
More importantly, if Apple is lucky the announcement will correspond to a shift in the overall macroeconomy. In a rare example of local TV actually interviewing someone who knows something about the economy, our local NBC station tonight ran an interview with a really smart Chicago school economist who also happens to be a former Congressman and business school dean. Tom Campbell says the economy will keep falling until the Feds start spending the bailout money, hopefully in a few weeks.
Disclosure: No position AAPL.
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This article has 19 comments:
er no. Steve doesn't attend the Earnings reports
Check out my other moves at 20smoney.com
Only those that have sold, have actually lost anything. Now is not a time to liquidate to cash. This time next year, those accounts will be substantially recovered.
We are in a buyers market with yard sale prices.
Steve Jobs declared, that he would invest and spend on R & D if the economy became recessionary. He has made good on his promise. New acquisitions, new factories, new technologies, recruiting and hiring the smartest people.
What is different, however, that their product line has been immune to this recession; their products continue to inspire record sales.
An economic downturn is one of the best opportunities for companies, small and large, to invest in expansion. Costs are low, competitors are pulling back. Once the economy comes back around, the one that ignored the "news" and "fear", and kept moving forward always ends up way in the lead.
WE are the economy, not the stock market; invest in ourselves, our families, and our own businesses, that's something we all have control over.
Apple is the new IBM & the new Sony all rolled into one.
Long IBM & Apple is a very smart move; adding to your position at these sale prices is even smarter. This is a chance of a lifetime that does not often come around.
but i think there's a part of the growth that is still not cited much and that is for businesses trying to pare down their IT departments, which are very expensive.
it's becoming obvious that if you have computers that are easier to use, require less tech support, and have great FREE tech support available, esp. in cities with Apple stores, (though online is good too), why would you stay with computers that are so troublesome and need a lot of coddling...to say nothing of the downtime in production by workers whose computers are frozen or virus laden? they won't. they'll eventually move to Macs.
It won't make any difference if microsoft advertises about Vista every 5 minutes. We all know it sucks. It's just a matter of time for Apple, which is a great stock buy at these prices...whew! if you have some cash, now's the time!!
That was to rattyuk:
"er no. Steve doesn't attend the Earnings reports"
Ahh, but he did this time...
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