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  • AAII Sentiment Survey: Pessimism Hits A 10-Month High [View article]
    jprizzuto - The article has been edited. Bullish sentiment historical average is 39%. June 18 was the 15th consecutive week that bullish sentiment was below this number. Thank you, and we apologize for the error.
    Jun 25, 2015. 12:00 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • AAII Sentiment Survey: Steady Optimism Remains Above Average [View article]
    Here is an analysis of the survey results we did a few months ago:

    It will take several years of future data to determine if the correlation between high and low readings and market direction holds up or is severed.
    Sep 28, 2014. 12:15 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • AAII Sentiment Survey: Pessimism Falls To A 6-Month Low [View article]

    I referenced an article with an analysis of how the market has performed following high and low sentiment readings. You can see it at

    Jun 30, 2014. 08:20 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Changes I Made To My Portfolio [View article]
    Miguel/Slowly Learning - Will health care be the best performing sector over the next 10-20 years? Nobody knows, and those who say they do know, don't. As I said in the article, I avoid making big bets on uncertain outcomes.

    Teach English-The rules may differ depending on the 403(b) plan. Vanguard has told me several times that admiral funds are off limits.

    Jrez-The per fund exists even if we get electronic delivery of our statements.

    Nov 4, 2013. 09:41 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • AAII Sentiment Survey: Bullish Sentiment Rebounds [View article]
    We average about 300 respondents to the Sentiment Survey.
    Aug 9, 2013. 01:45 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Streaks, Observations And Notes [View article]
    Dancing Diva,

    It is important to consider the prevailing yields at the time you are investing. If a stock's yield is considerably higher than the prevailing range for most quality stocks, then questions should be asked. Specifically, why is X stock yielding so much? What risks are other investors demanding compensation for.

    In the current environment, yields above 3.5% on quality stocks are hard to fine.

    Jun 10, 2013. 10:10 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Focus On The Fundamentals, Not The Story [View article]

    Model S priced at $62k after federal tax rebate - Telsa website:

    Consensus earnings estimates don't show a profit being made until 2014 - Yahoo! Finance -
    May 31, 2013. 10:59 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • AAII Sentiment Survey: Optimism At Second-Highest Level Of The Year [View article]
    The Recusant,

    The June AAII Journal will discuss the survey's response rates and how it has performed historically as a contrarian indicator.

    May 23, 2013. 01:03 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Shrinking Dividend Yield [View article]
    Dollars withdrawn from dividends are shares that could have been purchased, which would have paid additional dividends. Either way, money is coming out of the portfolio.
    Apr 12, 2013. 09:10 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Dividends' Unintended Consequences [View article]

    Howard did not publish a list of the companies. Rather, he just sent me the numbers on how many companies have declared dividends, both regular and special.

    Dec 7, 2012. 11:34 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Lessons From Black Monday [View article]
    The two are not contradictory statements. Weak technicals are a sign something is wrong, but when everybody is fearful that the market is a in a freefall, buying opportunities often exist.
    Oct 22, 2012. 10:13 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • AAII Investor Update: Stocks Are Pricey, But Inexpensive [View article]
    Table 2 has been updated. I incorrectly sorted the stocks when the article was first published, from high to low P/Es, when it should have been from low to high P/Es. Sorry for the confusion.

    As far as the comments, anchoring is a very common error among investors of all skill levels--and it is very important to be aware of it.

    Just look at all of the current chatter about Facebook. Yes, the stock is now $6 below its offering price, but it is still very expensive on a valuation basis. But, how much do you hear about the stock's P/E ratio?

    So is the article simple, yes? But, it's underlying point is very important.

    -Charles Rotblut
    May 25, 2012. 05:46 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • AAII Sentiment Survey: Bullish Sentiment Near A 2-Year Low [View article]

    It should have read, "This is also the seventh consecutive week that bullish sentiment has been below its historical average of 39%."

    Unfortunately, the typo slipped by both me and my editors. I've asked Seeking Alpha to correct.

    Sorry for the confusion,
    May 17, 2012. 03:13 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • AAII Investor Update: How I Monitor My Stocks [View article]

    We have not announced the location yet. We'll probably make an announcement near the end of this year or early next year.

    Apr 20, 2012. 09:29 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Rewards May Exist in Muni Bonds [View article]
    Thanks Shanky.
    Jan 22, 2011. 09:04 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment