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  • Preparing for the Likely Scenario of Deflation [View article]
    Thanks for the feedback.

    As I said in the article, this is not a call for history to repeat itself - I acknowledged that the conditions are different now, but rather simply evidence that Japan is not the only scenario we could be looking at in terms of slow growth and low inflation.
    Aug 13 09:55 AM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • AAII Investor Update: Dividends and Buybacks- A Good Use of Corporate Cash? [View article]
    tweedn - Thanks for the kind words. I personally prefer dividends over buybacks as well, though buybacks are preferable to bad business ventures and they do provide greater flexibility for a company undergoing strong growth.
    Sep 17 09:52 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Preparing for the Likely Scenario of Deflation [View article]

    The scenario of low inflation and slow growth, but not deflation is based on what many economists are currently projecting. As to whether they are being too optimistic or too pessimistic is for each investor to determine.

    I'm not making a forecast, just presenting the data and giving investors factors to consider should the U.S. continue experiencing such an environment.

    Aug 13 11:15 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Changes I Made To My Portfolio [View article]
    Miguel/Slowly Learning - Will health care be the best performing sector over the next 10-20 years? Nobody knows, and those who say they do know, don't. As I said in the article, I avoid making big bets on uncertain outcomes.

    Teach English-The rules may differ depending on the 403(b) plan. Vanguard has told me several times that admiral funds are off limits.

    Jrez-The per fund exists even if we get electronic delivery of our statements.

    Nov 4 09:41 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Focus On The Fundamentals, Not The Story [View article]

    Model S priced at $62k after federal tax rebate - Telsa website:

    Consensus earnings estimates don't show a profit being made until 2014 - Yahoo! Finance -
    May 31 10:59 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Shrinking Dividend Yield [View article]
    Dollars withdrawn from dividends are shares that could have been purchased, which would have paid additional dividends. Either way, money is coming out of the portfolio.
    Apr 12 09:10 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Income Strategies for a Low Yield Environment [View article]

    I purposely left covered calls out of the article, because most of members (but certainly not all) do not use options. As to your comment about risk, a covered call strategy still leaves you exposed to a big drop in a common stock's price. Though covered-calls do provide some income, the post-transaction and post-tax profit may not be to provide much a cushion. (And yes, I realize this statement depends on several factors.)

    Oct 18 11:11 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • AAII Sentiment Survey: Bullish Sentiment at 42.5%, Stays Above Historical Average [View article]
    We don't publish the number, but we have yet to find any difference between the number of responses and whether sentiment improves or decline.
    Oct 8 02:39 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • AAII Sentiment Survey: Neutral Sentiment at 7-Week High [View article]
    Hi Jeff,

    Only AAII Members are allowed to participate in the survey. We have approximately 125,000 members.

    May 21 11:32 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • AAII Sentiment Survey: Bullish Sentiment Rebounds [View article]
    We average about 300 respondents to the Sentiment Survey.
    Aug 9 01:45 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Streaks, Observations And Notes [View article]
    Dancing Diva,

    It is important to consider the prevailing yields at the time you are investing. If a stock's yield is considerably higher than the prevailing range for most quality stocks, then questions should be asked. Specifically, why is X stock yielding so much? What risks are other investors demanding compensation for.

    In the current environment, yields above 3.5% on quality stocks are hard to fine.

    Jun 10 10:10 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • AAII Sentiment Survey: Optimism At Second-Highest Level Of The Year [View article]
    The Recusant,

    The June AAII Journal will discuss the survey's response rates and how it has performed historically as a contrarian indicator.

    May 23 01:03 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Dividends' Unintended Consequences [View article]

    Howard did not publish a list of the companies. Rather, he just sent me the numbers on how many companies have declared dividends, both regular and special.

    Dec 7 11:34 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Lessons From Black Monday [View article]
    The two are not contradictory statements. Weak technicals are a sign something is wrong, but when everybody is fearful that the market is a in a freefall, buying opportunities often exist.
    Oct 22 10:13 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • AAII Investor Update: Stocks Are Pricey, But Inexpensive [View article]
    Table 2 has been updated. I incorrectly sorted the stocks when the article was first published, from high to low P/Es, when it should have been from low to high P/Es. Sorry for the confusion.

    As far as the comments, anchoring is a very common error among investors of all skill levels--and it is very important to be aware of it.

    Just look at all of the current chatter about Facebook. Yes, the stock is now $6 below its offering price, but it is still very expensive on a valuation basis. But, how much do you hear about the stock's P/E ratio?

    So is the article simple, yes? But, it's underlying point is very important.

    -Charles Rotblut
    May 25 05:46 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment