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Adam Smith

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  • StealthGas: Hungry For A Buyback [View article]
    yes we can read thanks
    Mar 15 09:52 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • StealthGas: Hungry For A Buyback [View article]
    Of course you agree with them - the stock's going up, charter rates are still high...it's pretty easy to agree when times are good.
    Mar 14 10:51 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Does Bruce Berkowitz's Sears Math Add Up? Do Your Own Diligence [View article]
    Why make the presentation at all then
    Feb 25 09:58 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Does Bruce Berkowitz's Sears Math Add Up? Do Your Own Diligence [View article]
    It has nothing to do with law, it is merely accounting convention.

    Your comments do not really address anything I've raised in the article. Instead you want people to merely "trust" Berkowitz. There's nothing wrong with that, but that's not the focus of the article. If all you want to do is trust other people, just buy Fairholme and be done with it.
    Jan 31 08:38 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Does Bruce Berkowitz's Sears Math Add Up? Do Your Own Diligence [View article]
    Good stuff, very well put. I agree pretty much entirely with everything you've said.

    I don't really want to get into a St Joe's discussion, because that's not the focus of the article, but in St Joe's you had in 2011 them taking a $300+ million impairment loss on the land after years of claiming that the book values of the land on the balance sheet UNDERstated true market value. And yes they've utterly failed to monetize any of these so-called "hidden asset values" as has been the case with Sears. Surprising number of similarities in the two investments.
    Jan 30 04:07 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Does Bruce Berkowitz's Sears Math Add Up? Do Your Own Diligence [View article]
    Yes this is an interesting comment. Very well said.

    Would you mind explaining how you arrived at the $500M to $1B number step by step...I followed most of that but toward the end it gets a bit difficult to follow.

    Regardless, that $500m-$1B number is the sort of number that one would expect. I remember reading Sears' past reports of cash raised from property sales and inventory liquidations...while they like to say that closing stores generates cash because they liquidate inventory, etc., the number has almost always in the past been substantially lower than one would expect.

    Also although this is not directly relevant, this is not the first time that someone has disagreed with Berkowitz's opinion on real estate values: case in point Einhorn's St. Joe (JOE) short presentation!
    Jan 30 02:41 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Does Bruce Berkowitz's Sears Math Add Up? Do Your Own Diligence [View article]
    Hey you are completely free to criticize my article, as a reader that's your prerogative.

    I don't know how much property tax records have to do with fair market value? Aren't property tax records based on cost, not FMV? Not sure.

    Don't know why he couldn't append this research to his Sears case study found on Fairholme's website? Really I don't see who he would be hurting, certainly not himself if it would drum up interest in the stock and hence his fund.

    Third, in the slide I excerpted from his presentation and put into this article, Berkowitz for some reason focuses exclusively on total square footage.

    I have no doubt that he performed an exhaustive evaluation of the properties, but (1) why isn't this disclosed; (2) why isn't this mentioned anywhere in the presentation, instead opting for a simplistic total square footage valuation?
    Jan 30 08:33 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Does Bruce Berkowitz's Sears Math Add Up? Do Your Own Diligence [View article]
    Thanks for the comment. I wrote this article in large part to present a somewhat controversial view and to invite debate, these are the sort of comments that help foster that debate.
    Jan 29 01:18 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Does Bruce Berkowitz's Sears Math Add Up? Do Your Own Diligence [View article]
    Just to be clear, I have no position in Sears stock and therefore absolutely no vested interest; I am merely presenting the facts as I see them:

    Current assets: $11.2B
    Real Estate value: UKNOWN
    Brand value: UNKNOWN
    Liabilities: $17.9 billion

    If either Lampert or Berkowitz want people to make reasoned, well-informed decisions on the basis of available facts (not rumor, showmanship, etc.), they should do a better job of disclosing those facts.
    Jan 29 10:41 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Knightsbridge Tankers: Consider Adding This 12% Dividend Yield To Your Portfolio [View article]
    Hi Doug

    As far as I can tell, the stock price may have increased somewhat, however absent any meaningful news. This may be a case of a rising tide lifting all boats, as the S&P has increased in price during this time as well.
    Jan 28 02:26 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Lukoil: More Attractive Than Western Integrated Oil Companies? [View article]
    I'd be interesting in reading what you find out. Maybe contribute an article to seekingalpha if you want.
    Jan 23 08:21 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Lukoil: More Attractive Than Western Integrated Oil Companies? [View article]
    Yes I just read probably that same article today actually but really I was wondering if they have that cash why didn't they do more with it already? Accounting convention usually doesn't (and shouldn't) dictate capital allocation.
    Jan 22 03:38 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Lukoil: More Attractive Than Western Integrated Oil Companies? [View article]
    No sir, I don't believe in target prices.

    Absent any significant changes, I will probably hold this stock for 5-10-15 years or more, there really is no limit for me.
    Jan 22 12:32 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Knightsbridge Tankers: Consider Adding This 12% Dividend Yield To Your Portfolio [View article]
    If you don't have a clue why do you expect me to?

    I'll stop replying to your comments.
    Jan 10 08:56 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Knightsbridge Tankers: Consider Adding This 12% Dividend Yield To Your Portfolio [View article]
    Don't know what you mean by "doing well" in those stocks?

    Take DCIX for instance where they paid a $0.30 dividend last quarter (about $10M on their roughly 30M shares outstanding) when they only had $5M or so of EBITDA.

    So that's a 10% yield or so, this one is 12% at the time of writing.

    I mean, it is a strange question in the sense that usually when people are disgusted with a stock, they sell their shares. You just like to complain, it seems like, without offering any kind of rational suggestions or solutions. You don't even state what bothers you other than "the stock is going down."

    After you figure it out, let me know what you found out.

    When charter rates decline, revenues decline and earnings decline.
    Jan 9 09:32 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
72 Comments
24 Likes