A*L was established in 2010 by Jon Carnes, a growth and value-oriented investor who lived for six years (from 2005 to 2011) in China where he researched and invested in dozens of Chinese companies, first long (2005-2009) and then primarily short (2010-2012). Mr. Carnes outperformed other investors by performing extensive “on the ground” due diligence, conducted by a team of experienced analysts and local researchers. His investment opinions were greatly respected by other China focused fund managers attracted to the booming economy but wary of getting duped. Over several years of scrutinizing over a hundred companies in every corner of China, Mr. Carnes realized that many of those that had gone public were seriously exaggerating their financial performance in their SEC filings. Investors raced to invest billions into Chinese companies that were dishonest and legally accountable to no one, a recipe for disaster for investors, both large and small. Deciding to take action, Mr. Carnes decided to publicly expose the most egregious frauds he had discovered over the years, focusing on the worst offenders: companies that had exaggerated their profitability by at least 100%. In February 2010, he published a series of reports titled “Management Leaving Investors Stuck at the Pumps” showing that China Natural Gas (formerly NASDAQ: CHNG) management defrauded investors by failing to disclose and likely misappropriating $20 million from an acquisition of an undisclosed related party. Unfortunately, when CHNG discovered that Mr. Carnes wrote the reports, its chairman Qinan Ji responded by sending an agent to threaten him where he lived in China. Frightened by Ji’s threat, Mr. Carnes removed the reports from the Internet. From this point onward Mr. Carnes knew that publishing the truth while living in China might get him killed. Mr. Carnes nevertheless chose to remain in China to continue exposing fraud. Knowing that the safety of his researchers depended upon absolute secrecy and anonymity, he published my reports anonymously online using the obvious pseudonym “Alfred Little.” Beginning with CHNG, over the next two years Mr. Carnes exposed a diverse array of investment fraud committed by a U.S. listed Chinese companies. After two years, CHNG Chairman Qinan Ji’s effort to conceal his fraud finally failed. On 9/21/11 NASDAQ halted trading of CHNG and on 3/8/12 CHNG was delisted. Most importantly, on 5/14/12 the SEC filed fraud charges against CHNG and its Chairman Qinan Ji. Two more of the companies that Mr. Carnes first exposed faced the same fate. On 2/22/12 the SEC charged Puda Coal (formerly AMEX: PUDA) Chairman Ming Zhao with fraud, confirming each of the allegations in his 4/8/11 report, “Puda Coal Chairman Secretly Sold Half the Company and Pledged the Other Half to Chinese PE Investors.” Then on 4/23/12 the SEC charged SinoTech Energy (formerly NASDAQ: CTE) and two of its officers with fraud. On 8/16/11, Mr. Carnes was the first to blow the whistle exposing CTE’s massive fraud in a report titled “SinoTech Energy: Enhanced Oil Recovery or Capital Extraction.” Unlike other numerous smaller “reverse merger” frauds, Sinotech was a $168 million IPO listed on NASDAQ underwritten by UBS and Lazard Capital Markets and audited by Ernst & Young. Three companies, Deer Consumer Products (“DEER”), Sino Clean Energy (“SCEI”) and Silvercorp Metals (“SVM”) criticized in reports published by A*L sued Mr. Carnes for defamation. The three companies coordinated their legal and retaliatory efforts, both in the U.S., Canada and China to silence Mr. Carnes. The epic battle that followed ended swiftly in a complete rout. NASDAQ delisted DEER and SCEI. SVM and DEER both lost their defamation claims against Mr. Carnes. SCEI abandoned its defamation claim against Mr. Carnes. After winning the battle against DEER, SCEI and SVM, A*L emerged with the best track record of any China focused investment blog.
Black Mamba writes about long term, value-oriented investment ideas (both long & short), and invests in them as well. Black Mamba has extensive investment experience and has chosen to contribute to SeekingAlpha anonymously.
H.B.Sc. from the University of Toronto specializing in Biology and Life Sciences, current Doctor of Optometry candidate studying at the University of Waterloo, started my own business in 2014 in the retail healthcare sector, and currently manage my own portfolio of investments while studying.
Got into investing because I love the research element of finding a special opportunity, and having real time feedback on whether the logic used was right. I have no formal education in this field, everything I know is from dozens of books, and hundreds of articles, interviews, and podcasts that I've read and listened to in the past few years. I look for asymmetric opportunities that provide quick option like gains on investment to bolster returns while holding other assets for long term growth. I'm open to further opportunities in this field, feel free to get in touch.
Lastly, I am young and learning every day, and acknowledge the likelihood that my opinions and strategies will develop and change as I gain further knowledge and experience in this field. Thus, this is a disclaimer that I am not a certified, registered, or accredited financial planner and/or investor, and material provided by me is my own opinion and purely for informational/entertainment purposes.
Cheers and thanks for visiting,
Be healthy, wealthy, happy, and savvy
J Capital Research has been providing institutional investors differentiated research since 2011 when we published our inaugural report on China Green Agriculture (CGA US).
Since then we have provided clients with over eighty unique investment ideas ranging from companies like Suntech Power, to Fortescue Metals Group (FMG), to Sound Global, and VIPShop.
Our research provides a small group of sophisticated investors a six to twelve-month lead on the rest of the global investment community during which they can work with our analysts to understand our process, confirm our findings, and build their investment position.
Asset Classes: Equities, Commodities, Currency
Regions: China, Australia, Europe, North America
Research Approach:Fundamental Analysis, Forensic Accounting, Primary Research, Macro Commentary
Research Style: Idea Generation
Sector Focus: TMT, Finance, Industrials, Property, Solar, Autos, Consumer, Mining & Minerals
Contact: Director of Sales: Brian Emanuelson
I choose to analyze stocks based on their cash flow potential, relative value and economic moat. I strongly believe in value investing and the ability of individual investors to uncover overlooked companies with attractive risk/reward profile. In my idea generation process, story-telling must be always backed up by quantitative analysis to pin down upside/downside potential. If you choose to follow me, you will not receive 10 or more articles per month with little substance. I tend to turn down numerous ideas, before narrowing on few compelling stock ideas per year. I have five years of financial accounting experience at a Big Four company in private equity, technology and real estate sectors and hold graduate degrees in accounting and economics along with CPA license (currently inactive).
My investment philosophy is based on long-term analysis and quality investing. I focus on companies with sustainable business models generating substantial excess returns over their cost of capital through the cycle. That leads me towards asset-light business models with modest capital needs, robust balance sheets, and proven management teams with disciplined capital management.
K2 & Associates is a hedge fund with an 18 year track record of successfully managing money and creating value for our shareholders and stakeholders at large. Our returns rank in the top decile of all funds during this period.
Our repeatable investment model includes a diverse range of strategies employed in different weights across a variety of market cycles. We are activists who work to surface value, and we have competitive advantage in many areas that create alpha. We have a solid reputation as a good partner, lead investor and strong sponsor for companies looking for risk capital.
Our passionate and dedicated team of investment professionals and risk managers include have a broad array of skill sets ranging from the CA and CFA to Engineering and MBA designations. Moreover, we maintain relationships with domain experts across all industries. Our firm’s principals have all their material capital invested in the firm and represent 40% of all capital in the fund.
Simplistic value-investing ideas and commentary.
This contributor is a Sweden-based devoted student of the markets (and M.Sc. Finance holder).
Open-minded investment discussion on posts is much appreciated!
For other Seeking Alpha-related inquiries please use the private message function. Otherwise you find E(R) on Twitter (@EklundResearch)
* Update: Since late 2016 contributor is currently inactive until further notice, Will not discuss Nordic equities.
Over 6 years' experience on the buyside. Spent nearly 3 years of my professional career as a Research Analyst investing in public markets (stocks) and the other 2 in the private arena (VC/growth equity and distressed/restructurings). I am a highly passionate investor and always consider both the macroeconomic backdrop coupled with in-depth fundamental research to identify the best investment ideas, which are generally contrarian, value-biased, opportunistic or event-driven.
I specialize in understanding the dynamics that underlie and drive investment performance in today's global financial markets, despite a muddling of views among regulators and investors alike in the new, free money era. Following the global financial crisis, expansionary monetary policies of unprecedented magnitude implemented by major central banks across the globe (primarily those of the so called "core economies") have completely redefined the ways in which the global markets operate. I am not your typical hedge fund or money manager who stamps a disclaimer on investment performance with the assertion that "we are bottom-up, fundamental equity investors" who "do not attempt to forecast the markets." I go far beyond this basic, fundamental analysis and offer unique foresight into major anticipated (equity and credit) market movements BEFORE they materialize.
I have a with a knack for identifying under- and over-valued positions and a strong understanding of macroeconomics. I constantly analyze and evaluate central bank policies globally as well as global trade conditions. I have unique experience particular to sectors such as energy (both conventional and non-conventional), agriculture, infrastructure and real assets (industrials, real estate, water infrastructure, roads/railways, etc.), in addition to chemicals and consumer products; however, I've been a generalist research analyst for the majority of my career to date. Options are a trading mechanism of choice, particularly when I have visible catalysts for near-term price appreciation (or depreciation in the case of puts). I also utilize options strategies to earn large profits with limited downside risk.
Zach is a biotech investor with PhD training in Biochemistry and Molecular Biology. In real life, he is a scientific writer specializing in continuing medical education. He hopes to provide a crucial piece of total due diligence as well as interesting insight into clinical findings that may impact readers' portfolios and lives.
I am an "extreme value" investor, focusing mostly on micro and nanocap companies selling for a steep discount to price/book, price/sales, EV/EBITDA and other traditional measures of value. (Price-to-book is my favorite.) My emphasis is on low priced stocks, since the marketplace is very inefficient in valuing them. I am a dyed-in-the-wool contrarian, and like to invest in the most unloved and out of favor sectors of the market, and numerically screen for the best relative values in those out of favor sectors. I like to buy companies where the insiders are buying in the open market, to "confirm" the underlying value proposition. I like to buy stocks trading near a multiyear low, and average down aggressively if the stock moves against me (assuming the circumstances for my purchase haven't changed.) I also like special situations, including selective leveraged turnaround situations, that I can catch at their "inflection" point. I have achieved outsized annualized returns, over the last 25 years, with these strategies. I also take 5%+ positions in companies, and engage in selective shareholder activism, to hold accountable the insular and/or corrupt boards that are sadly all too common, especially in smaller, "family run" public companies.
Contributors: Scott Tzu, Parke Shall, Thom Lachenmann
(contributors write under pen names for anonymity purposes)
Please read Seeking Alpha's Policy on Anonymous Contributors to familiarize yourself with the site's terms and conditions relating to anonymous authors.
My trading experience includes over twenty five years of intense investment analysis, trend analysis and deep level due diligence studies. My interest is to find small company opportunities that have established funding sources, have a plan of action and are in the preliminary to first stages of pipeline development and execution. My coverage and investment interest includes biotech, small cap and emerging growth companies, regardless of sector. I am a contributing writer at CNA Finance and cover emerging opportunities as well as breaking news events.
I focus on investments in the oil & gas & MLP sectors with an eye for dividend income growth and long-term capital appreciation. I typically allocate a portion of my own portfolio and devote some of my Seeking Alpha articles to small and medium sized companies offering compelling risk/reward propositions. I am an engineer, not a qualified investment advisor. While the information and data presented in my articles are obtained from company documents and/or sources believed to be reliable, they have not been independently verified. Therefore, I cannot guarantee its accuracy. I advise investors conduct their own research and/or consult a qualified investment advisor. I explicitly disclaim any liability that may arise from investment decisions you make based on my articles. Thanks for reading and I wish you much success with your investments.
BS in Economics, MA in Public Policy (International Economic Policy). J is a well-known voice in the global shipping community, with unparalleled investment results and a penchant for activist investing.
Mintzmyer founded Value Investor's Edge, a top-ranked deep value research service in May 2015, with the goal of establishing a top-tier community of deep value investors and activists. Value Investor's Edge subscribers leverage exclusive in-depth analytic reports and community investment experience to discover disconnects in global shipping and a variety of other beaten down sectors.
TipRanks.com ranked Mintzmyer’s performance in the top 3% of all global analysts at the end of 2015 for his 2-year investment performance. While compiling his research, Mintzmyer has interviewed numerous management teams at public maritime firms, and has worked with a multitude of investors. His exclusive analysis has received numerous 'Top Idea,' 'Must Read,' and 'Small Cap Insight' awards.
J is a CFA candidate and investment enthusiast who utilizes Seeking Alpha to provide an open exchange of both trading and investment ideas. Masters in Public Policy, with focus on International Security & Economic Policy from the University of Maryland, College Park. Distinguished Graduate of the United States Air Force Academy with a B.S. in Economics. President of Mintzmyer Investments LLC, a financial services company specializing in equity research and hedge fund advisory.
Extensive background in financial analysis, equity research, accounting, portfolio management, and customized asset allocation through nearly a decade of formalized education, personal studies, and practical experience. Avid reader of business/investments and biographies.
Legal Disclaimer: Any related contributions to Seeking Alpha, or elsewhere on the web, are to be construed as personal opinion only and do NOT constitute investment advice. An investor should always conduct personal due diligence before initiating a position. Provided articles and comments should NEVER be construed as official business recommendations. In efforts to keep full transparency, related positions will be disclosed at the end of each article to the maximum extent practicable. The majority of trades are reported live on Twitter, but this cannot be guaranteed due to technical constraints.
My premium service is a research and opinion subscription. No personalized investment advice will ever be given. I am not registered as an investment adviser, nor do I have any plans to pursue this path. No statements should be construed as anything but opinion, and the liability of all investment decisions reside with the individual. Although I do my utmost to procure high quality information, investors should always do their own due diligence and fact check all research prior to making any investment decisions. Any direct engagements with readers should always be viewed as hypothetical examples or simple exchanges of opinion as nothing is ever classified as “advice” in any sense of the word.
Engineer by trade and passion. Have worked internationally for over three decades, running my own business. I hold a PhD in engineering, but honestly believe that the school of hard knocks has taught me lessons that are more applicable to my writing here on Seeking Alpha. My investing interests mostly concern the resource sector, with a focus on precious metals, base metals and energy stocks of all sizes. My research explicitly includes small- and micro-cap juniors, and I try to manage the associated risks in a methodical manner.
I'm a young private investor. I prefer concentrated bets on small, quality businesses. I'm a strategic generalist, tactical specialist; I scan broadly looking for quirky things to become obsessed with for awhile, to accumulate clusters of competence in neglected niches. I'll place on my watch-list most anything that is predictable enough to value accurately, and wait for the right price. My idea horizons, which used to be ~1 year, seem to be lengthening.
My current top holdings are FN, KTCC, AGM, NVMI, EMAN, SILC, and SLP.
John Winsell Davies is the Chief Investment Officer of Tano Singapore Advisors Pte Ltd., owned by Charles Endler Johnson, formerly co-President of Franklin Templeton, member BoD Franklin Resources $879.1B AUM YE 2015. Tano Capital $500MM: two India PE Funds (third 2017), RE (Turkey Taiwan), VC iris biometric identification, early-stage tech (Poland, Japan) and gaming (Vietnam). Davies is launching $50MM hedge fund (global macro) Q2 2016.
Top performing global macro and emerging markets fund manager with worldwide experience in Beijing, Moscow, London, San Francisco, Singapore, Baku, Tehran, the Bahamas, South Florida and throughout CIS. Davies joined Tano from Oracle Capital Group Ltd., (UK) where he was CIO of Machlin Oracle. He started his career in 1995 with Franklin Templeton where he served as portfolio manager at Templeton Investment Counsel (Florida) and later managing director Templeton GF Securities China (Beijing). Davies has spent 20 years as CIO and fund manager with Metropol, Wermuth, Diamond Age, Harvard Capital, the Alfa Group, and McKinley Capital.
National Futures Association (NFA ID 0227476), National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD Series 7, 3, 63), and previously regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA CF-30). He is a powerful public speaker; well known, quoted, published and visible. Audited performance in public domain characterised by top decile annual return (absolute return), top quintile Sharpe Ratio (risk adjusted return), top decile Alpha α (excess return), and top quintile Beta β (lower systematic risk).
A published macro strategist and EM authority, Mr. Davies attended the Thacher School and is a graduate of Boston University. Charities: he was co-chairman Auction Napa Valley, London Prison Liaison (Wormwood Scrubs), Crisis at Christmas (homeless), London Intergroup (executive board), co-founder Mingachevir Refugee Project, and co-founder San Francisco Scholastics. Married, two children, resides in Singapore.
I am a former hedge fund portfolio manager that trades for my own personal account. I espouse Graham and Dodd/Buffett style investing, always on the lookout for value equities or bonds. A graduate of Northwestern's Kellogg School of Management, I lived in NYC for a decade before relocating with my family to the Charlotte, NC area in 2007.
“The way to win is to work, work, work, work and hope to have a few insights.”
– Charlie Munger
“People err who think my art comes easily to me. I assure you, dear friend, nobody has devoted so much time and thought to compositions as I. There is not a famous master whose music I have not industriously studied through many times.”
- Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart
"It is better to be roughly right than precisely wrong."
- John Maynard Keynes
My time frame for looking at an investment would generally be between two to five years.
After spending a dozen years making a big name for herself as a highly respected investigative reporter in the financial arena, Melissa Davis took a chance on her longtime dream in 2015 by becoming her own boss so that she could pour even more time and energy into uncovering the truth about suspicious public companies by conducting the deepest research of her award-winning career. At that point, Ms. Davis had already established herself as a fearless journalist with an impressive talent for exposing corporate fraud. Most recently, she served as the founding editor of TheStreetSweeper, a financial news website dedicated to warning investors about risky stocks that she essentially built from scratch. Under her leadership, TheStreetSweeper soon earned steady applause from some of the biggest names in the business and continued to flourish for years. Prior to launching that well-known website, Ms. Davis spent seven years on the staff of TheStreet.com -- an even more prominent financial outlet founded by "Mad Money" host Jim Cramer -- where she quickly rose to become one of the leading investigative reporters on a large and impressive editorial team. Already the recipient of numerous awards by the time that TheStreet.com hired her away from the largest newspaper in her home state, Ms. Davis went on to land a national prize for enterprise reporting from the Society of American Business Editors and Writers (SABEW) by the time that her tenure there came to an end. Today, she spends her days (and, when necessary, plenty of late nights) trying to do what she has always done the best even better: revealing the dirty secrets about publicly traded companies that investors desperately need -- and inherently deserve -- to know! (She also smothers her adorable granddaughter -- the other great love of her life -- with plenty of hugs and kisses at every available chance.)