Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Portfolio App for iPad
Finance
(1)

Andrew Shapiro

View as an RSS Feed
View Andrew Shapiro's Comments BY TICKER:
Latest  |  Highest rated
  • I Told You So: These 5 Stocks Have More Downside Than Upside [View article]
    I wouldn't say Delta Petroleum went bankrupt recently. It has already emerged from Chap 11 with its debt converted into equity in "newco" Parr Petroleum (PARR on the bulletin board for now)
    Mar 4 08:09 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Q2 Box Office Dip Creates Upside Opportunity In Reading International [View article]
    177K shares and 1650 Oct 5 strike call options traded today Not so quiet anymore!
    Mar 1 04:05 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Citing royalty costs, Pandora (P) is reinstating a 40-hour monthly listening cap for free users.... only this time, it applies to mobile listeners. The company insists the move should only affect 4% of mobile users. The timing of the announcement is noteworthy, given it comes: 1) 8 days before Pandora's FQ4 report. 2) 3 months after Pandora provided light FQ4 guidance and reported mobile ad rates remain well below PC rates. 3) A day after founder Tim Westergren made a renewed call for passing the Internet Radio Fairness Act, introduced in Congress last November. [View news story]
    If the move only affects 4% of mobile users then cost control only is limited to 4% of mobile users.
    Feb 27 07:43 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Cinedigm Offers A Leveraged Way To Play Digital Films And Software [View article]
    You aren't the only one. It seems most sell side "analysts" don't know it either. Even if they don't provide coverage on RDI or MCS, you would think they would at least include them in their comp tables or at least even call the company's mgmt periodically - But they don't/haven't.
    Feb 25 09:10 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Cinedigm Offers A Leveraged Way To Play Digital Films And Software [View article]
    If you are going to list theater exhibitors in the supply chain for comparables then you ought not list Cinemark (CNK), IMAX (IMAX) and Regal (RGC) who aren't CIDM partners, while at the same time leaving out Reading Int'l (RDI) and Marcus (MCS) who ARE both CIDM partners.
    Feb 21 02:55 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Reading International: Analysts Expect This Real Estate Play To Double [View article]
    That value was conservative estimate of liquidation value. Note that interview also highlighted that liquidation wasn't a likely scenario as it is neither contemplated nor possible to force. Catalysts to narrow the gap as well as to advance the value of that estimate (thus making $13 a possible non-liquidation going concern price) primarily involve the migration of the huge amount of real estate not presently generating any cash flow (15MM of 16.5MM sq ft of real estate in NYC, Aus, and NZ) into either cash flow generation and/or sale or JV. There is steady growth and opportunity in the cinema segment but that growth alone won't boost values in excess of $13 to have $13 be the discounted market trading price. There is also steady reduction of interest expense and paydown of debt that accrues to the value of the equity as well. All these little things do add up. The stock is trading below the levels the book value has continued to grow to.

    As for the Real Estate catalysts - Several of the small properties have been migrated and/or sold over the past year while "movement" towards same has been made on large parcels. Taringa - sold; Lake Taupo to be sold - fell out of contract; Indooroopilly- sold; Courtenay Central phase II - to be put under development; Cinema 123 - offers being entertained. Union Sq- to be developed. Burwood - major portions to be sold - not yet found a buyer. Clearly the movement on 'crown jewels' has been slow and in spurts, but they also move the needle ALOT, when consumated. One insight I can provide as a very long term shareholder is the pace of disposition and development steps has really accelerated while the acquisition steps have been greatly reduced and have all been strategic, but for the coachella bankruptcy land purchase, which, while a huge bargain and appreciation % opportunity, is, in my opinion, an unnecessary distraction from the main mission of monetizing the 15MM sq feet already fallow.

    Other catalysts include less likely spin-off/break up of the cinema business from the real estate business as the parts are worth far more than the whole right now. Again not on mgmt's agenda and one that can't be forced.

    The 10-K and follow on annual meeting in May has usually been associated with news and action. Let's revisit this issue in the next few months after further disclosure.
    Feb 18 12:22 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Natural Gas Should Be A Buy Within The Next Few Weeks [View article]
    The NG rig count drop is not all one needs to look at. There are plenty of Oil rigs finding and adding NG alongside their primary Oil focus.
    Feb 17 01:27 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Mark Cuban Raises His Position In Vringo. Should You? [View article]
    Cuban still owns >13% of RDIB and shares of RDI
    Feb 14 03:52 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 3 Companies Who Will Enjoy The Benefit Of Spring [View article]
    While PFIN shares have enjoyed a substantial run, they have only rebounded back to near book value/share levels. Note its trailing earnings and EBITDA and you will see a security still trading at very conservative valuation multiples. As an added note, we have been very successful over the past few years in greatly improving the composition and independence of P&F's board of directors, and moderately successful in obtaining reforms in the CEO's compensation agreement that increases shareholders participation in the company's financial rebound and growth. Read BOTH our letters to P&F board found in our latest 13D filings and the company's quick and favorable response. http://1.usa.gov/11DO5vh
    Feb 12 09:46 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Netflix Bulls Don't Get It [View article]
    many many more households at home for superbowl with some members of household not interested in game or advertising resorting to Netflix in another room or household watching movie after the game.
    Feb 4 04:10 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Netflix Bulls Don't Get It [View article]
    There are 29MM reasons not to pay 100X earnings now vs when when there were few streaming subscribers.
    Jan 25 03:11 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Amazon's Run: Coming To An End? [View article]
    In this instance - price is trailing indicator
    Jan 20 09:10 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Sparton Corp Q1 FY 2013 Call Highlights Temporary Nature Of Lower Profits [View article]
    Another higher margin Foreign sonobuoy sales contract for Sparton. Note - to be delivered by this June 2013

    Sparton Corporation and USSI Joint Venture (SonobuoyTech Systems) Awarded $4.0M in Direct Foreign Sales Contracts
    http://bit.ly/13jHfcl
    Jan 17 11:26 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Sparton Corp Q1 FY 2013 Call Highlights Temporary Nature Of Lower Profits [View article]
    Navy finally approved Sparton's press release on the above mentioned contract on January 7. Here it is:

    Sparton Corporation and Ultra Electronics - USSI Joint Venture (ERAPSCO) Awarded $71.2 Million for U.S. Navy Sonobuoy Contracts
    http://bit.ly/VNZ90C
    Jan 17 11:21 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Reading International: Analysts Expect This Real Estate Play To Double [View article]
    Reading won't report its Q4 2012 (btw a good box office qtr) results until March. At that time the company will also its 10-K, which is always loaded with substantial information.
    Jan 15 09:02 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
1,695 Comments
1,005 Likes