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    <title>Andrew Wilkinson - Seeking Alpha</title>
    <description>'Andrew Wilkinson' Tag RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com</description>
    <author>
      <name>SeekingAlpha.com</name>
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    <link>http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson</link>
    <item>
      <title>Friday FX Interest Rate Monitor: Trichet Tempers European Rate Rally</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/174562-friday-fx-interest-rate-monitor-trichet-tempers-european-rate-rally?source=feed</link>
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        <![CDATA[<p>Apart from giving the euro a slap in the face (see our earlier <a href="http://www.interactivebrokers.com/en/general/education/FX-View.php">FX commentary</a>), Jean Claude Trichet&rsquo;s remarks about wrapping up the cheap loans awarded to the European banking system a year ago tempered the recent rally in European interest rate futures this morning. One has to be careful where to go with the hawkish comments, which we acknowledge are not new and simply underscore what we already knew about what the ECB would do when loans are coming due in December. Previously the ECB has pulled a line from the Loony Toons cartoons and basically said, &ldquo;That&rsquo;s all folks!&rdquo;</p>    <p>The firmly hawkish stance from Mr. Trichet lays the possibility of inflation as reason for withdrawing the exceptional stimulus measures. Still he also probably correctly points out that such lending practices to the private sector should be withdrawn promptly lest it becomes over reliant on the powers of the lender of the last resort. And we all know what moral hazards that can bring.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 20 Nov 2009 13:27:25 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>Apart from giving the euro a slap in the face (see our earlier <a href="http://www.interactivebrokers.com/en/general/education/FX-View.php">FX commentary</a>), Jean Claude Trichet&rsquo;s remarks about wrapping up the cheap loans awarded to the European banking system a year ago tempered the recent rally in European interest rate futures this morning. One has to be careful where to go with the hawkish comments, which we acknowledge are not new and simply underscore what we already knew about what the ECB would do when loans are coming due in December. Previously the ECB has pulled a line from the Loony Toons cartoons and basically said, &ldquo;That&rsquo;s all folks!&rdquo;</p>    <p>The firmly hawkish stance from Mr. Trichet lays the possibility of inflation as reason for withdrawing the exceptional stimulus measures. Still he also probably correctly points out that such lending practices to the private sector should be withdrawn promptly lest it becomes over reliant on the powers of the lender of the last resort. And we all know what moral hazards that can bring.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/174562-friday-fx-interest-rate-monitor-trichet-tempers-european-rate-rally?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ero">ERO</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gbb">GBB</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Friday Options Update: XLE, MU, ADCT, KBH</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/174560-friday-options-update-xle-mu-adct-kbh?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">174560</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Energy Select Sector SPDR (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/xle' title='More opinion and analysis of XLE'>XLE</a>) &ndash; </strong>The exchange-traded fund, which mirrors the performance of the Energy Select Sector of the S&amp;P 500 Index, popped up on our &lsquo;most active by options volume&rsquo; market scanner after a butterfly spread unfurled its wings in the December contract. Shares of the XLE are off 1.5% to stand at the current price of $56.30. The spread indicates one bearish investor expects shares of the fund to gravitate lower by expiration next month. The trader established the pessimistic play by purchasing 5,300 in-the-money puts at the December 57 strike for a premium of 2.47 apiece [wing 1] and by picked up another 5,300 puts at the lower December 51 strike for 66 cents premium each [wing 2]. Finally, the trader sold 10,600 puts at the central December 54 strike for a premium of 1.27 apiece [body].The net cost of the transaction amounts to 59 cents per contract and yields maximum potential profits of 2.41 each if shares settle at $54.00 by expiration. Profits begin to amass if shares slip beneath the breakeven point at $56.41.</p><p><strong>Micron Technology, Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mu' title='More opinion and analysis of MU'>MU</a>) &ndash; </strong>Options activity on the manufacturer of semiconductor devices suggests shares may recover slightly by expiration in December. Micron&rsquo;s share price suffered significant declines throughout the latter portion of the trading week, and continued lower today by 1.25% to $7.03. Bank of America&rsquo;s downgrade of the sector was largely responsible for a more than 4% slide on Thursday. A ratio bullish risk reversal by one investor offers a glimmer of optimism on the stock. It appears the trader sold 10,000 puts at the December 7.0 strike for 45 cents premium in order to offset the cost of buying 20,000 calls at the higher December 8.0 strike for 15 pennies apiece. The investor pockets a net credit of 15 cents per contract, which he retains in full as long as shares remain higher than $7.00 through expiration. Additional profits are available in the event that the stock rallies 14% from the current price to surpass the breakeven point at $8.00.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 20 Nov 2009 13:10:25 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Energy Select Sector SPDR (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/xle' title='More opinion and analysis of XLE'>XLE</a>) &ndash; </strong>The exchange-traded fund, which mirrors the performance of the Energy Select Sector of the S&amp;P 500 Index, popped up on our &lsquo;most active by options volume&rsquo; market scanner after a butterfly spread unfurled its wings in the December contract. Shares of the XLE are off 1.5% to stand at the current price of $56.30. The spread indicates one bearish investor expects shares of the fund to gravitate lower by expiration next month. The trader established the pessimistic play by purchasing 5,300 in-the-money puts at the December 57 strike for a premium of 2.47 apiece [wing 1] and by picked up another 5,300 puts at the lower December 51 strike for 66 cents premium each [wing 2]. Finally, the trader sold 10,600 puts at the central December 54 strike for a premium of 1.27 apiece [body].The net cost of the transaction amounts to 59 cents per contract and yields maximum potential profits of 2.41 each if shares settle at $54.00 by expiration. Profits begin to amass if shares slip beneath the breakeven point at $56.41.</p><p><strong>Micron Technology, Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mu' title='More opinion and analysis of MU'>MU</a>) &ndash; </strong>Options activity on the manufacturer of semiconductor devices suggests shares may recover slightly by expiration in December. Micron&rsquo;s share price suffered significant declines throughout the latter portion of the trading week, and continued lower today by 1.25% to $7.03. Bank of America&rsquo;s downgrade of the sector was largely responsible for a more than 4% slide on Thursday. A ratio bullish risk reversal by one investor offers a glimmer of optimism on the stock. It appears the trader sold 10,000 puts at the December 7.0 strike for 45 cents premium in order to offset the cost of buying 20,000 calls at the higher December 8.0 strike for 15 pennies apiece. The investor pockets a net credit of 15 cents per contract, which he retains in full as long as shares remain higher than $7.00 through expiration. Additional profits are available in the event that the stock rallies 14% from the current price to surpass the breakeven point at $8.00.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/174560-friday-options-update-xle-mu-adct-kbh?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/xle">XLE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mu">MU</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/adct">ADCT</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/kbh">KBH</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Thursday Options Update: ETFC, MA, V, RF, KG &amp; HW</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/174344-thursday-options-update-etfc-ma-v-rf-kg-hw?source=feed</link>
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        <![CDATA[<p><strong>E*Trade Financial Corp. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/etfc' title='More opinion and analysis of ETFC'>ETFC</a>)</strong> &ndash; A bearish risk reversal in the January 2011 contract on E*Trade today indicates long-term pessimistic sentiment on the online brokerage firm. ETFC&rsquo;s shares were down this morning, but rebounded by noon (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/edt' title='More opinion and analysis of EDT'>EDT</a>) to stand 2% higher at $1.72. One bearish investor established a risk reversal by selling 10,000 calls at the January 2011 2.5 strike for 30 cents premium apiece, spread against the purchase of 10,000 puts at the same strike for 1.14 each. The net cost of the transaction amounts to 84 cents per contract and yields a break even share price of $1.66. Thus, the trader may amass profits if shares of ETFC decline beneath $1.66 by expiration. </p>    <p><strong>Mastercard Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ma' title='More opinion and analysis of MA'>MA</a>) </strong>&ndash; A GAO report concluded that lowering processing fees charge by card payment processors charged at stores might not save consumers money, who might also end up paying more for purchases. As we stare at a sea of red on our market scanners today, options activity at two companies stands out to display healthy call activity. Meanwhile both share prices have jumped higher as investors respond to the lower likelihood of reduced profits at Mastercard, whose shares are 3% higher at $234.15. Option traders proved just how treacherous such movements in the underlying can be in the context of soon-to-expire options. For example the premium on put options expiring at the weekend with a 230 strike price dropped from 7.0 to just 65 cents as investors exchanged more than 5,000 contracts. On the other side of the coin investors drove up the call premium at the 230 strike from 50 cents to 6.00. In perhaps bolder bets, the 240 strike calls rose from 15 cents to 85 cents at one point on volume of almost 5,000 lots. </p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 19 Nov 2009 12:35:50 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>E*Trade Financial Corp. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/etfc' title='More opinion and analysis of ETFC'>ETFC</a>)</strong> &ndash; A bearish risk reversal in the January 2011 contract on E*Trade today indicates long-term pessimistic sentiment on the online brokerage firm. ETFC&rsquo;s shares were down this morning, but rebounded by noon (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/edt' title='More opinion and analysis of EDT'>EDT</a>) to stand 2% higher at $1.72. One bearish investor established a risk reversal by selling 10,000 calls at the January 2011 2.5 strike for 30 cents premium apiece, spread against the purchase of 10,000 puts at the same strike for 1.14 each. The net cost of the transaction amounts to 84 cents per contract and yields a break even share price of $1.66. Thus, the trader may amass profits if shares of ETFC decline beneath $1.66 by expiration. </p>    <p><strong>Mastercard Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ma' title='More opinion and analysis of MA'>MA</a>) </strong>&ndash; A GAO report concluded that lowering processing fees charge by card payment processors charged at stores might not save consumers money, who might also end up paying more for purchases. As we stare at a sea of red on our market scanners today, options activity at two companies stands out to display healthy call activity. Meanwhile both share prices have jumped higher as investors respond to the lower likelihood of reduced profits at Mastercard, whose shares are 3% higher at $234.15. Option traders proved just how treacherous such movements in the underlying can be in the context of soon-to-expire options. For example the premium on put options expiring at the weekend with a 230 strike price dropped from 7.0 to just 65 cents as investors exchanged more than 5,000 contracts. On the other side of the coin investors drove up the call premium at the 230 strike from 50 cents to 6.00. In perhaps bolder bets, the 240 strike calls rose from 15 cents to 85 cents at one point on volume of almost 5,000 lots. </p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/174344-thursday-options-update-etfc-ma-v-rf-kg-hw?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/etfc">ETFC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ma">MA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/v">V</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rf">RF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/kg">KG</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/hw">HW</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Thursday FX View: Fed Officials See Logical Dollar Trade Off
</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/174301-thursday-fx-view-fed-officials-see-logical-dollar-trade-off?source=feed</link>
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        <![CDATA[<p>Overnight comments in Asia from two Fed officials served to expand upon Monday&rsquo;s keynote speech at the Economic Club of New York in which chairman Bernanke discussed the falling dollar. Dallas Fed president, Richard Fisher noted that the value of the dollar was but one of the inputs when setting policy and that a gradual decline was not likely to lead to inflationary pressures. His fear for a sub-3% growth rate next year was compounded by a more optimistic OECD assessment for global growth, but one that only raised U.S. GDP for 2010 to 2.5%. Risk aversion is taking root once again today and is being played out in firming dollar and yen prices. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=1250c9ce9f4696f2&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 19 Nov 2009 10:00:27 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>Overnight comments in Asia from two Fed officials served to expand upon Monday&rsquo;s keynote speech at the Economic Club of New York in which chairman Bernanke discussed the falling dollar. Dallas Fed president, Richard Fisher noted that the value of the dollar was but one of the inputs when setting policy and that a gradual decline was not likely to lead to inflationary pressures. His fear for a sub-3% growth rate next year was compounded by a more optimistic OECD assessment for global growth, but one that only raised U.S. GDP for 2010 to 2.5%. Risk aversion is taking root once again today and is being played out in firming dollar and yen prices. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=1250c9ce9f4696f2&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/174301-thursday-fx-view-fed-officials-see-logical-dollar-trade-off?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ade">ADE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cud">CUD</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ere">ERE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxa">FXA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxb">FXB</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxc">FXC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxe">FXE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxf">FXF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxy">FXY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jyn">JYN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sze">SZE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/udn">UDN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup">UUP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
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    <item>
      <title>Wednesday Options Update: BG, ILMN, COH, TMO, &amp; SPG </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/174071-wednesday-options-update-bg-ilmn-coh-tmo-spg?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">174071</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Bunge Ltd. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bg' title='More opinion and analysis of BG'>BG</a>)</strong> &ndash; Option traders were fast to predict continuing gains in global agri-producer, Bunge Ltd., as they aggressively bought call options aimed at harnessing further gains in its shares. With shares trading a little above $60 this morning, sharp-shooters forced call premiums at the November 60 strike upwards starting at 70 cents up to 1.25 as around 3,000 calls were exchanged within a matter of minutes. After a brief dip back down during the course of the morning Bunge&rsquo;s share price attracted more attention and jumped to $62.64 for a 5.8% gain on the day. Those November calls rocketed to a premium of 2.70 per contract offering huge immediate gains to early-bird buyers. By noon more than 4,500 contracts have changed hands. The same picture was evident at the December 65 strike call where 5,500 calls have traded. About 2,000 contracts were purchased for as little as between 70cents and 1.00 before 10am and have since more than doubled to 1.95. The call activity caught the market napping and created a 15% jump in implied volatility driving premiums higher still. </p>    <p><strong>Illumina Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ilmn' title='More opinion and analysis of ILMN'>ILMN</a>)</strong> &ndash; Shares in the company that develops the toolkit for genomic researchers slipped 7% Wednesday to $29.05 on a day when EraGen announced a strategic partnership with Illumina to access its molecular tools technology. Option activity of 21,000 lots was above normal at 14-times the typical average volume. In the short-term investors appeared to sell call options at the 30 strike expiring in December in favor of bearish puts at the 25 strike. That would indicate whatever the catalyst for today&rsquo;s drop in its shares (we don&rsquo;t think the alliance with EraGen ought to send them into reverse gear) is likely to remain a negative factor through year end. Last month Illumina not only disappointed at earnings but also revised its forecast down.  Thereafter, however, investors appeared to expect better things from the company. More than 5,500 call options were eagerly sought as the share price shrank, with investors paying up to 1.90 per contract to lock into fixed buying rights on shares ahead of January expiration implying a 10% recovery from present. The activity caused option implied volatility to rise about 20% to 49% today. </p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 18 Nov 2009 12:29:58 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Bunge Ltd. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bg' title='More opinion and analysis of BG'>BG</a>)</strong> &ndash; Option traders were fast to predict continuing gains in global agri-producer, Bunge Ltd., as they aggressively bought call options aimed at harnessing further gains in its shares. With shares trading a little above $60 this morning, sharp-shooters forced call premiums at the November 60 strike upwards starting at 70 cents up to 1.25 as around 3,000 calls were exchanged within a matter of minutes. After a brief dip back down during the course of the morning Bunge&rsquo;s share price attracted more attention and jumped to $62.64 for a 5.8% gain on the day. Those November calls rocketed to a premium of 2.70 per contract offering huge immediate gains to early-bird buyers. By noon more than 4,500 contracts have changed hands. The same picture was evident at the December 65 strike call where 5,500 calls have traded. About 2,000 contracts were purchased for as little as between 70cents and 1.00 before 10am and have since more than doubled to 1.95. The call activity caught the market napping and created a 15% jump in implied volatility driving premiums higher still. </p>    <p><strong>Illumina Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ilmn' title='More opinion and analysis of ILMN'>ILMN</a>)</strong> &ndash; Shares in the company that develops the toolkit for genomic researchers slipped 7% Wednesday to $29.05 on a day when EraGen announced a strategic partnership with Illumina to access its molecular tools technology. Option activity of 21,000 lots was above normal at 14-times the typical average volume. In the short-term investors appeared to sell call options at the 30 strike expiring in December in favor of bearish puts at the 25 strike. That would indicate whatever the catalyst for today&rsquo;s drop in its shares (we don&rsquo;t think the alliance with EraGen ought to send them into reverse gear) is likely to remain a negative factor through year end. Last month Illumina not only disappointed at earnings but also revised its forecast down.  Thereafter, however, investors appeared to expect better things from the company. More than 5,500 call options were eagerly sought as the share price shrank, with investors paying up to 1.90 per contract to lock into fixed buying rights on shares ahead of January expiration implying a 10% recovery from present. The activity caused option implied volatility to rise about 20% to 49% today. </p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/174071-wednesday-options-update-bg-ilmn-coh-tmo-spg?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bg">BG</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ilmn">ILMN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/coh">COH</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tmo">TMO</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spg">SPG</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Wednesday FX View: Dollar Shoved to the Side as Risk-Aversion Falters</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/174025-wednesday-fx-view-dollar-shoved-to-the-side-as-risk-aversion-falters?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">174025</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>While the dollar managed to bully everything else lower on Tuesday especially after risk was discouraged by a poor showing from a gauge of homebuilders&rsquo; confidence, today it is once again on the defensive. The euro&rsquo;s recovery has lifted it to a session high of $1.4972 ahead of Wednesday&rsquo;s key homebuilding and consumer price reports. Ironically, analysts are seeking a boost to new home starts driven largely by government tax credits. If the data can carry the weight of expectations, it&rsquo;s likely to be dollar negative and euro positive, which means we might finally see another assault on the $1.50 area. Having tested the upside for the dollar it will now be no surprise to see the euro test its upside potential for the remainder of the week. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=125076c707380622&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 18 Nov 2009 09:19:44 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>While the dollar managed to bully everything else lower on Tuesday especially after risk was discouraged by a poor showing from a gauge of homebuilders&rsquo; confidence, today it is once again on the defensive. The euro&rsquo;s recovery has lifted it to a session high of $1.4972 ahead of Wednesday&rsquo;s key homebuilding and consumer price reports. Ironically, analysts are seeking a boost to new home starts driven largely by government tax credits. If the data can carry the weight of expectations, it&rsquo;s likely to be dollar negative and euro positive, which means we might finally see another assault on the $1.50 area. Having tested the upside for the dollar it will now be no surprise to see the euro test its upside potential for the remainder of the week. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=125076c707380622&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/174025-wednesday-fx-view-dollar-shoved-to-the-side-as-risk-aversion-falters?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ade">ADE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cud">CUD</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ere">ERE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxa">FXA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxb">FXB</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxc">FXC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxe">FXE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxf">FXF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxy">FXY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jyn">JYN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sze">SZE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/udn">UDN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup">UUP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
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    <item>
      <title>Tuesday Options Update: ISIS, DTV, SINA &amp; XOM </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/173850-tuesday-options-update-isis-dtv-sina-xom?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">173850</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Isis Pharmaceuticals Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/isis' title='More opinion and analysis of ISIS'>ISIS</a>)</strong> &ndash; Very heavy share volume is apparent at Isis, the drug-maker that, with Genzyme Corporation produces mipomersen, a drug that reduces bad cholesterol in patients genetically disposed to high levels. Typically daily volume in shares of Isis stands at about 1 million, which compares to more than 7 million so far on Tuesday. The drug attained its primary goal of reducing bad cholesterol by 25% compared to a 3% reduction in patients taking a placebo but the fact that Isis announced perhaps a one-year delay in seeking FDA and EU approval sent its shares tumbling by 20% at one stage. There was also some mention today of a possible concern over elevated liver enzyme readings in some patients. Having settled by noon, shares are currently trading at $11.72. The volume suggests some investors are perhaps walking away and may return when the company has a better time horizon in place.  Options trading patterns suggest that investors do not think that shares of Isis will slip below $10.00 judging by put options sold at that strike expiring in both November and December. Previously held positions at both strikes was non existent before today. There was also healthy volume at Friday&rsquo;s expiring call strike at the 12.5 line where 2,300 lots was bounced between buyers and sellers for a premium reduced to 35 cents by lunch. Option implied volatility on its options rose sharply to stand at 80% following today&rsquo;s news. </p>    <p><strong>The DIRECTV Group, Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dtv' title='More opinion and analysis of DTV'>DTV</a>)</strong> &ndash; The provider of subscription television services enticed one bullish trader to initiate a ratio call spread in the January 2010 contract. DTV&rsquo;s shares are currently up 1% to $30.61 as of 12:05 pm (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/edt' title='More opinion and analysis of EDT'>EDT</a>). It appears the investor purchased 2,500 calls at the now in-the-money January 29 strike for 2.85 each, and shed 5,000 calls at the higher January 32 strike for 1.27 apiece. The net cost of the transaction amounts to 31 cents per contract. The financing provided by selling twice as many out-of-the-money calls lowers the effective breakeven point on the trade to $29.31. Thus, the investor stands to accrue maximum potential profits of 2.69 per contract if shares of DTV rally up to $32.00 by January&rsquo;s expiration day. </p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 17 Nov 2009 12:45:25 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Isis Pharmaceuticals Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/isis' title='More opinion and analysis of ISIS'>ISIS</a>)</strong> &ndash; Very heavy share volume is apparent at Isis, the drug-maker that, with Genzyme Corporation produces mipomersen, a drug that reduces bad cholesterol in patients genetically disposed to high levels. Typically daily volume in shares of Isis stands at about 1 million, which compares to more than 7 million so far on Tuesday. The drug attained its primary goal of reducing bad cholesterol by 25% compared to a 3% reduction in patients taking a placebo but the fact that Isis announced perhaps a one-year delay in seeking FDA and EU approval sent its shares tumbling by 20% at one stage. There was also some mention today of a possible concern over elevated liver enzyme readings in some patients. Having settled by noon, shares are currently trading at $11.72. The volume suggests some investors are perhaps walking away and may return when the company has a better time horizon in place.  Options trading patterns suggest that investors do not think that shares of Isis will slip below $10.00 judging by put options sold at that strike expiring in both November and December. Previously held positions at both strikes was non existent before today. There was also healthy volume at Friday&rsquo;s expiring call strike at the 12.5 line where 2,300 lots was bounced between buyers and sellers for a premium reduced to 35 cents by lunch. Option implied volatility on its options rose sharply to stand at 80% following today&rsquo;s news. </p>    <p><strong>The DIRECTV Group, Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dtv' title='More opinion and analysis of DTV'>DTV</a>)</strong> &ndash; The provider of subscription television services enticed one bullish trader to initiate a ratio call spread in the January 2010 contract. DTV&rsquo;s shares are currently up 1% to $30.61 as of 12:05 pm (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/edt' title='More opinion and analysis of EDT'>EDT</a>). It appears the investor purchased 2,500 calls at the now in-the-money January 29 strike for 2.85 each, and shed 5,000 calls at the higher January 32 strike for 1.27 apiece. The net cost of the transaction amounts to 31 cents per contract. The financing provided by selling twice as many out-of-the-money calls lowers the effective breakeven point on the trade to $29.31. Thus, the investor stands to accrue maximum potential profits of 2.69 per contract if shares of DTV rally up to $32.00 by January&rsquo;s expiration day. </p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/173850-tuesday-options-update-isis-dtv-sina-xom?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/isis">ISIS</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dtv">DTV</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sina">SINA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/xom">XOM</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Tuesday FX View: Bernanke Underscores Geithner&#8217;s Dollar Policy </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/173776-tuesday-fx-view-bernanke-underscores-geithners-dollar-policy?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">173776</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Maybe Fed chairman Bernanke&rsquo;s mention of the level of the dollar was unconventional when he addressed the Economic Club of New York on Monday, but it was very much in line with what treasury secretary Geithner has been saying all along. On the one hand the government understands the fact that the nation and its international fan base benefits when the dollar is potent. On the other hand the cataclysmic events of the past two years have been a real game-changer. In order to address the consequences of those events exceptional measures must be taken in order to create a return to somewhere near what we considered normal. Acceptance of a weaker dollar in the short term as a result of an abandonment of the price of money will be countered in the medium to long term by a return to growth. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=1250260794e063f9&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 17 Nov 2009 09:11:32 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>Maybe Fed chairman Bernanke&rsquo;s mention of the level of the dollar was unconventional when he addressed the Economic Club of New York on Monday, but it was very much in line with what treasury secretary Geithner has been saying all along. On the one hand the government understands the fact that the nation and its international fan base benefits when the dollar is potent. On the other hand the cataclysmic events of the past two years have been a real game-changer. In order to address the consequences of those events exceptional measures must be taken in order to create a return to somewhere near what we considered normal. Acceptance of a weaker dollar in the short term as a result of an abandonment of the price of money will be countered in the medium to long term by a return to growth. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=1250260794e063f9&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/173776-tuesday-fx-view-bernanke-underscores-geithners-dollar-policy?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ade">ADE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cud">CUD</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ere">ERE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxa">FXA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxb">FXB</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxc">FXC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxe">FXE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxf">FXF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxy">FXY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jyn">JYN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sze">SZE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/udn">UDN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup">UUP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Monday Options Update: MJN, BMY, FTR &amp; FDO</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/173614-monday-options-update-mjn-bmy-ftr-fdo?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">173614</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Mead Johnson Nutrition Co.  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mjn' title='More opinion and analysis of MJN'>MJN</a>)</strong> &ndash; Over the weekend Bristol Myers Squibb decided to sell its remaining 83% stake in Mead Johnson, maker of baby formula, Enfamil. Mead Johnson shares declined by 2% to $44.35 and the additional uncertainty surrounding the issue caused options implied volatility to spike higher in early trading. On Friday the expected degree of movement on the stock stood at 36.5% before jumping today to 56.3% as investors wonder whether the company will be able to stand on its own two feet without Bristol Myers. One option trader who clearly knows the stock well enough appears to have used a short straddle combination to predict that today&rsquo;s move is bogus on two fronts. Using the December contract the seller wrote around 1,500 call options at 35 cents and sold a similar number of puts at the same strike. Being deep-in-the-money put options the premium here fetched 8.00. The premium especially on the put is boosted by the direction of the share price today but mostly by the 55% leap in implied volatility. The investor thus expects the share price to rise should Bristol find a buyer and similarly expects lower volatility. Last week those puts traded at 6.60. One analyst Bristol Myers has been hunting for a buyer at $60 per share, which may indicate the value this company might add to a willing buyer. </p>    <p><strong>Bristol Myers Squibb (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bmy' title='More opinion and analysis of BMY'>BMY</a>) </strong>&ndash; For its part shares surged to a one-year high after it jettisoned Mead Johnson, rising 5.7% to $24.47. The progress was slow throughout the morning that some call sellers were left wanting at the November 24 strike. Early sellers were forced to rethink as they tossed out calls at 27 cents per contract only to see buyers step in shortly after 10am to pay 34 cents before things really got interesting with call options currently commanding a 65 cent premium. Some 9,800 calls changed hands at this strike &ndash; almost equivalent to the 10,694 previously established calls. Put sellers were also in evidence using the same November contract and collected rich premiums in the expectation that the share price will rise despite the additional risk that the company has a less diversified product line in light of the Mead Johnson announcement.  Option implied volatility rose, but only jumped from 21% to 23%. </p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 16 Nov 2009 12:59:03 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Mead Johnson Nutrition Co.  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mjn' title='More opinion and analysis of MJN'>MJN</a>)</strong> &ndash; Over the weekend Bristol Myers Squibb decided to sell its remaining 83% stake in Mead Johnson, maker of baby formula, Enfamil. Mead Johnson shares declined by 2% to $44.35 and the additional uncertainty surrounding the issue caused options implied volatility to spike higher in early trading. On Friday the expected degree of movement on the stock stood at 36.5% before jumping today to 56.3% as investors wonder whether the company will be able to stand on its own two feet without Bristol Myers. One option trader who clearly knows the stock well enough appears to have used a short straddle combination to predict that today&rsquo;s move is bogus on two fronts. Using the December contract the seller wrote around 1,500 call options at 35 cents and sold a similar number of puts at the same strike. Being deep-in-the-money put options the premium here fetched 8.00. The premium especially on the put is boosted by the direction of the share price today but mostly by the 55% leap in implied volatility. The investor thus expects the share price to rise should Bristol find a buyer and similarly expects lower volatility. Last week those puts traded at 6.60. One analyst Bristol Myers has been hunting for a buyer at $60 per share, which may indicate the value this company might add to a willing buyer. </p>    <p><strong>Bristol Myers Squibb (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bmy' title='More opinion and analysis of BMY'>BMY</a>) </strong>&ndash; For its part shares surged to a one-year high after it jettisoned Mead Johnson, rising 5.7% to $24.47. The progress was slow throughout the morning that some call sellers were left wanting at the November 24 strike. Early sellers were forced to rethink as they tossed out calls at 27 cents per contract only to see buyers step in shortly after 10am to pay 34 cents before things really got interesting with call options currently commanding a 65 cent premium. Some 9,800 calls changed hands at this strike &ndash; almost equivalent to the 10,694 previously established calls. Put sellers were also in evidence using the same November contract and collected rich premiums in the expectation that the share price will rise despite the additional risk that the company has a less diversified product line in light of the Mead Johnson announcement.  Option implied volatility rose, but only jumped from 21% to 23%. </p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/173614-monday-options-update-mjn-bmy-ftr-fdo?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mjn">MJN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bmy">BMY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ftr">FTR</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fdo">FDO</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Monday FX View: Chinese Ambivalence Weighs on Dollar </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/173542-monday-fx-view-chinese-ambivalence-weighs-on-dollar?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">173542</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Commodity prices continue to accelerate to start the week after it appears that there was little hope that U.S. pressure on the Chinese authorities would allow for an appreciation of the Chinese yuan. The weekend APEC summit in Asia saw international leaders meet, with President Obama then flying off to Beijing, where limp expectations for a move from the Chinese were likely to be dashed. The picture of Chinese officials appearing to bow to international pressure is unlikely to sit well domestically, while the Chinese would rather allow the yuan to strengthen gradually over time and only when China is ready to do so. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124fd45ccc2ce4f0&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 16 Nov 2009 10:04:53 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>Commodity prices continue to accelerate to start the week after it appears that there was little hope that U.S. pressure on the Chinese authorities would allow for an appreciation of the Chinese yuan. The weekend APEC summit in Asia saw international leaders meet, with President Obama then flying off to Beijing, where limp expectations for a move from the Chinese were likely to be dashed. The picture of Chinese officials appearing to bow to international pressure is unlikely to sit well domestically, while the Chinese would rather allow the yuan to strengthen gradually over time and only when China is ready to do so. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124fd45ccc2ce4f0&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/173542-monday-fx-view-chinese-ambivalence-weighs-on-dollar?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ade">ADE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cud">CUD</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ere">ERE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxa">FXA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxb">FXB</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxc">FXC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxe">FXE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxf">FXF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxy">FXY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jyn">JYN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sze">SZE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/udn">UDN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup">UUP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Friday Options Update: AGO, UUP, PALM, DIS</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/173267-friday-options-update-ago-uup-palm-dis?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">173267</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Assured Guaranty Ltd. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ago' title='More opinion and analysis of AGO'>AGO</a>) &ndash; </strong>Shares in the bond issurer are 14.8% higher at $20.77 and broke right through the 52-week high after Moody&rsquo;s lowered its insurance financial strength rating on the company from Aa2 to Aa3. In a statement the company expressed its delight in having maintained a double-A rating in the current economic climate. It also noted that Moody&rsquo;s number-crunching of its insured residential mortgage exposure was conducted under a pretty dire scenario and was based on &ldquo;an extremely pessimistic view of the future performance of residential mortgage exposure.&rdquo; The company boasted that even on this worst case scenario its $12.5 billion claims paying resources are more than sufficient to meet projected obligations. The options activity confirmed the bullish jump in Assured&rsquo;s share price. Using the December contract investors established 11,000 bullish bought call options at the December 22.5 strike price indicating further bullish moves ahead. The 1.40 premium would require the share price to rise a further 15% to reach breakeven at expiration. Curiously the call buying frenzy caused options implied volatility to rise from 69% to 75% today. Options volume of almost 30,000 contracts is around nine times the usual on the stock.</p><p><strong>PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish Fund (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup' title='More opinion and analysis of UUP'>UUP</a>) &ndash; </strong>Once again options action in the dollar index fund catches our eye. The dollar index itself is down 0.3% at 75.45, while this ETF, which allegedly tracks its performance, is down 1.9% at $22.36. No one ever told me this was a leveraged fund, but its own volatility lives in a world of its own. However, the soon-to-expire November options that saw swollen open interest the size of a small African nation last week, are heavily offered this morning and are being sold actively at just five cents. So far it looks like longs are ditching about 23,000 lots of a massive 261,000 established positions for fear that shares in the fund don&rsquo;t stage a rally that would lift them above $23 by this time next week. Given the recent shenanigans, that may or may not require a rise in the value of the dollar index. It also appears that the pessimism spread to the same strike in the December contract where the action appears to have been inspired by sellers. Some 40,000 calls have changed hands, while open interest is 250,000 lots.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 13 Nov 2009 12:31:56 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Assured Guaranty Ltd. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ago' title='More opinion and analysis of AGO'>AGO</a>) &ndash; </strong>Shares in the bond issurer are 14.8% higher at $20.77 and broke right through the 52-week high after Moody&rsquo;s lowered its insurance financial strength rating on the company from Aa2 to Aa3. In a statement the company expressed its delight in having maintained a double-A rating in the current economic climate. It also noted that Moody&rsquo;s number-crunching of its insured residential mortgage exposure was conducted under a pretty dire scenario and was based on &ldquo;an extremely pessimistic view of the future performance of residential mortgage exposure.&rdquo; The company boasted that even on this worst case scenario its $12.5 billion claims paying resources are more than sufficient to meet projected obligations. The options activity confirmed the bullish jump in Assured&rsquo;s share price. Using the December contract investors established 11,000 bullish bought call options at the December 22.5 strike price indicating further bullish moves ahead. The 1.40 premium would require the share price to rise a further 15% to reach breakeven at expiration. Curiously the call buying frenzy caused options implied volatility to rise from 69% to 75% today. Options volume of almost 30,000 contracts is around nine times the usual on the stock.</p><p><strong>PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish Fund (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup' title='More opinion and analysis of UUP'>UUP</a>) &ndash; </strong>Once again options action in the dollar index fund catches our eye. The dollar index itself is down 0.3% at 75.45, while this ETF, which allegedly tracks its performance, is down 1.9% at $22.36. No one ever told me this was a leveraged fund, but its own volatility lives in a world of its own. However, the soon-to-expire November options that saw swollen open interest the size of a small African nation last week, are heavily offered this morning and are being sold actively at just five cents. So far it looks like longs are ditching about 23,000 lots of a massive 261,000 established positions for fear that shares in the fund don&rsquo;t stage a rally that would lift them above $23 by this time next week. Given the recent shenanigans, that may or may not require a rise in the value of the dollar index. It also appears that the pessimism spread to the same strike in the December contract where the action appears to have been inspired by sellers. Some 40,000 calls have changed hands, while open interest is 250,000 lots.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/173267-friday-options-update-ago-uup-palm-dis?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ago">AGO</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup">UUP</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/palm">PALM</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dis">DIS</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Daily FX View</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/173258-daily-fx-view?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">173258</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>The dollar continues to build on gains from Thursday despite the fact that investors began to tiptoe back into riskier assets in the overnight session. During mid-morning New York trading the dollar has jumped and forcing currencies back to break even levels. The evidence of ongoing global growth was apparent in two data readings earlier but seems to be getting washed away by a broader dollar turnaround. The yen also shows significant strength today and has pushed the dollar back to &yen;89.68 and the euro down to &yen;133.10.</p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=5b31d01614&amp;view=att&amp;th=124ee4c0a89f3c0a&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 13 Nov 2009 11:30:33 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>The dollar continues to build on gains from Thursday despite the fact that investors began to tiptoe back into riskier assets in the overnight session. During mid-morning New York trading the dollar has jumped and forcing currencies back to break even levels. The evidence of ongoing global growth was apparent in two data readings earlier but seems to be getting washed away by a broader dollar turnaround. The yen also shows significant strength today and has pushed the dollar back to &yen;89.68 and the euro down to &yen;133.10.</p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=5b31d01614&amp;view=att&amp;th=124ee4c0a89f3c0a&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/173258-daily-fx-view?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Thursday Options Update: VIX, FSLR, HMY &amp; M </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/173044-thursday-options-update-vix-fslr-hmy-m?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">173044</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>CBOE Vix index &#40;VIX&#41;</strong> &ndash; With the equity market down and the dollar on the rise, investors across different asset classes today appear to be blaming one another for prevailing direction. No one seems to know why anything is moving in the fashion it is. The suggestion of course is that risk appetite is on the demise and fear is picking up. Compounding such indecision in the volatility class are trades suggesting ongoing disparate views on the fortunes for equities going forward. The so-called fear gauge is 5% higher at 24.90 today while trading has been two way. In the November options one investor loaded up on 25,000 call options at a 25 cent premium suggesting that the index will be above 25 when options expire next Tuesday. The December contract equally hinted at more volatility ahead as one traded bought the 27.5/35 call spread 25,000 times at a net 93 cents. In order for this trade to break even next month the Vix index would need to settle above 28.43. Arguing the bullish case another investor bought 15,000 put options at the December 20 strike, which suggests that volatility will subside into year end rally for equities.</p>  <p><strong>First Solar, Inc.  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fslr' title='More opinion and analysis of FSLR'>FSLR</a>)</strong> &ndash; Bullish options activity appeared in the November contract despite the 2.5% decline in shares of the semiconductor company today to $116.98. A bull call spread on FSLR suggests one investor doubts shares will continue much lower. The trader purchased approximately 2,300 calls at the in-the-money November 115 strike for 4.75 each, spread against the sale of roughly the same number of calls at the higher November 120 strike for 2.44 apiece. The net cost of the transaction amounts to 2.31 per contract. Shares must recover through $117.31 in order for the contrarian trader to breakeven by expiration next Friday. Maximum potential profits of 2.69 per share are available to the call spreader if the stock rebounds up to $120.00. We note that FSLR traded as high as $120.14 during yesterday&rsquo;s trading session. </p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 12 Nov 2009 13:06:14 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>CBOE Vix index &#40;VIX&#41;</strong> &ndash; With the equity market down and the dollar on the rise, investors across different asset classes today appear to be blaming one another for prevailing direction. No one seems to know why anything is moving in the fashion it is. The suggestion of course is that risk appetite is on the demise and fear is picking up. Compounding such indecision in the volatility class are trades suggesting ongoing disparate views on the fortunes for equities going forward. The so-called fear gauge is 5% higher at 24.90 today while trading has been two way. In the November options one investor loaded up on 25,000 call options at a 25 cent premium suggesting that the index will be above 25 when options expire next Tuesday. The December contract equally hinted at more volatility ahead as one traded bought the 27.5/35 call spread 25,000 times at a net 93 cents. In order for this trade to break even next month the Vix index would need to settle above 28.43. Arguing the bullish case another investor bought 15,000 put options at the December 20 strike, which suggests that volatility will subside into year end rally for equities.</p>  <p><strong>First Solar, Inc.  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fslr' title='More opinion and analysis of FSLR'>FSLR</a>)</strong> &ndash; Bullish options activity appeared in the November contract despite the 2.5% decline in shares of the semiconductor company today to $116.98. A bull call spread on FSLR suggests one investor doubts shares will continue much lower. The trader purchased approximately 2,300 calls at the in-the-money November 115 strike for 4.75 each, spread against the sale of roughly the same number of calls at the higher November 120 strike for 2.44 apiece. The net cost of the transaction amounts to 2.31 per contract. Shares must recover through $117.31 in order for the contrarian trader to breakeven by expiration next Friday. Maximum potential profits of 2.69 per share are available to the call spreader if the stock rebounds up to $120.00. We note that FSLR traded as high as $120.14 during yesterday&rsquo;s trading session. </p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/173044-thursday-options-update-vix-fslr-hmy-m?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fslr">FSLR</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/hmy">HMY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/m">M</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Thursday Options Update: A Dollar Inspired</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/173016-thursday-options-update-a-dollar-inspired?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">173016</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>A late in the week boost for the U.S. dollar finds its basis in the shrouded optimism of words of Chinese Premier, Wen Jiabao. His words on a televised state television interview were reminiscent of just about any other global financial leader when he pointed out that global economic recovery would be &ldquo;a slow and bumpy process&rdquo; and noted the uneven nature of world recovery. Asian stocks retreated after his cautious tone and risk preference took a back seat leading to a marginally more appealing dollar. The dollar is up against its Japanese counterpart to &yen;90.31 while one euro today buys fewer dollars at $1.4913. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124e90da725272f8&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 12 Nov 2009 10:50:53 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>A late in the week boost for the U.S. dollar finds its basis in the shrouded optimism of words of Chinese Premier, Wen Jiabao. His words on a televised state television interview were reminiscent of just about any other global financial leader when he pointed out that global economic recovery would be &ldquo;a slow and bumpy process&rdquo; and noted the uneven nature of world recovery. Asian stocks retreated after his cautious tone and risk preference took a back seat leading to a marginally more appealing dollar. The dollar is up against its Japanese counterpart to &yen;90.31 while one euro today buys fewer dollars at $1.4913. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124e90da725272f8&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/173016-thursday-options-update-a-dollar-inspired?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ade">ADE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cud">CUD</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ere">ERE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxa">FXA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxb">FXB</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxc">FXC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxe">FXE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxf">FXF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxy">FXY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jyn">JYN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sze">SZE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/udn">UDN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup">UUP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Wednesday Options Update: PG, DRYS, DTV, M, &amp; EMC</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/172800-wednesday-options-update-pg-drys-dtv-m-emc?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">172800</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>The Proctor &amp; Gamble Co. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pg' title='More opinion and analysis of PG'>PG</a>)</strong> &ndash; Options activity in the January 2011 contract on the consumer products company today indicates one investor expects little fluctuation in shares over the next 14 months. Shares of PG are slightly up by less than 0.25% to stand at $61.90. The trader initiated a sold strangle by selling 2,000 puts at the January 60 strike for 5.73 each, and by selling 2,000 calls at the higher January 65 strike for a premium of 3.82 apiece. The gross premium pocketed on the sale amounts to 9.55 per contract. The strangle-seller retains the full premium if shares of PG remain &lsquo;strangled&rsquo; within the parameters of the strike prices described. The investor will benefit from lower option implied volatility on the stock, as well as from the inevitable erosion of extrinsic value (time decay) over the life of the option contracts.</p>  <p><strong>DryShips, Inc.  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/drys' title='More opinion and analysis of DRYS'>DRYS</a>) </strong>&ndash; Investors initiated bullish positions on the Greek drybulk shipping company. Shares of the firm rallied 1.5% to $6.32. Option traders favored the call spread today and utilized the strategy in the January 2010 contract to position for continued upward movement in the price of the underlying by expiration. Approximately 25,000 calls were purchased at the January 7.5 strike for an average premium of 45 cents each, spread against the sale of roughly the same number of calls at the higher January 9.0 strike for 15 cents apiece. The average net cost of the bullish transaction amounts to 31 cents per contract. DryShips&rsquo;s shares must rally 23% in order for call-spreaders to breakeven at $7.81. Investors stand ready to accumulate maximum potential profits of 1.19 per contract if the stock surges 42% over the current price to $9.00 by expiration in January.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 11 Nov 2009 12:15:43 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>The Proctor &amp; Gamble Co. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pg' title='More opinion and analysis of PG'>PG</a>)</strong> &ndash; Options activity in the January 2011 contract on the consumer products company today indicates one investor expects little fluctuation in shares over the next 14 months. Shares of PG are slightly up by less than 0.25% to stand at $61.90. The trader initiated a sold strangle by selling 2,000 puts at the January 60 strike for 5.73 each, and by selling 2,000 calls at the higher January 65 strike for a premium of 3.82 apiece. The gross premium pocketed on the sale amounts to 9.55 per contract. The strangle-seller retains the full premium if shares of PG remain &lsquo;strangled&rsquo; within the parameters of the strike prices described. The investor will benefit from lower option implied volatility on the stock, as well as from the inevitable erosion of extrinsic value (time decay) over the life of the option contracts.</p>  <p><strong>DryShips, Inc.  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/drys' title='More opinion and analysis of DRYS'>DRYS</a>) </strong>&ndash; Investors initiated bullish positions on the Greek drybulk shipping company. Shares of the firm rallied 1.5% to $6.32. Option traders favored the call spread today and utilized the strategy in the January 2010 contract to position for continued upward movement in the price of the underlying by expiration. Approximately 25,000 calls were purchased at the January 7.5 strike for an average premium of 45 cents each, spread against the sale of roughly the same number of calls at the higher January 9.0 strike for 15 cents apiece. The average net cost of the bullish transaction amounts to 31 cents per contract. DryShips&rsquo;s shares must rally 23% in order for call-spreaders to breakeven at $7.81. Investors stand ready to accumulate maximum potential profits of 1.19 per contract if the stock surges 42% over the current price to $9.00 by expiration in January.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/172800-wednesday-options-update-pg-drys-dtv-m-emc?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pg">PG</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/drys">DRYS</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dtv">DTV</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/m">M</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/emc">EMC</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Wednesday FX View: Geithner Versus the Fed</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/172776-wednesday-fx-view-geithner-versus-the-fed?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">172776</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Much of Tuesday&rsquo;s reluctance to follow-through in terms of selling the dollar has come undone today. Fresh evidence from China of the state of global growth is compounded by a slew of mediocre comments from Fed officials indicating low rates are part of the economic fixtures and fittings. The euro looks set to remain above $1.50 for the entire U.S. session against the dollar and that would likely create a basis for further gains during this week. The positive Asian market data wheeled the carry-trade back onto center stage right next to its partner of a sickly dollar.  </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124e3f0f3a3272d1&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 11 Nov 2009 11:00:51 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>Much of Tuesday&rsquo;s reluctance to follow-through in terms of selling the dollar has come undone today. Fresh evidence from China of the state of global growth is compounded by a slew of mediocre comments from Fed officials indicating low rates are part of the economic fixtures and fittings. The euro looks set to remain above $1.50 for the entire U.S. session against the dollar and that would likely create a basis for further gains during this week. The positive Asian market data wheeled the carry-trade back onto center stage right next to its partner of a sickly dollar.  </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124e3f0f3a3272d1&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/172776-wednesday-fx-view-geithner-versus-the-fed?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ade">ADE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cud">CUD</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ere">ERE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxa">FXA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxb">FXB</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxc">FXC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxe">FXE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxf">FXF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxy">FXY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jyn">JYN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sze">SZE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/udn">UDN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup">UUP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Tuesday Options Update: CF, PCLN, XLF, CX &amp; CAR </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/172538-tuesday-options-update-cf-pcln-xlf-cx-car?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">172538</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cf' title='More opinion and analysis of CF'>CF</a>) </strong>&ndash; Bearish option plays appeared on the manufacturer of nitrogen and phosphate fertilizer products today after the firm rejected rival Agrium Inc.&rsquo;s increased takeover offer of $4.52 billion. Shares of CF are currently trading 4% lower to $77.20. Investors purchased put options at the now in-the-money December 80 strike for an average premium of 6.70 apiece. Perhaps put-buyers are protecting long stock positions. Otherwise, they are hoping to accrue profits if shares of CF decline through the effective breakeven price of $73.30. Another trader unraveled a previously established bullish play in the January 2010 contract. The investor originally placed an extremely bullish 8,500-lot call spread at the January 90/100 strikes. However, the trader abandoned bullish sentiment today by closing out the spread. Option implied volatility on CF jumped 7.5% over Monday&rsquo;s closing value of 52.9% to reach an intraday high of 55.9%. </p>    <p><strong>Priceline.com, Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pcln' title='More opinion and analysis of PCLN'>PCLN</a>)</strong> &ndash; Third-quarter sales and profit at online travel agency, Priceline.com, exceeded analyst expectations and sent shares up 19% today to a new 52-week high of $206.78. PCLN posted earnings of $3.45 per share whereas previous forecasts averaged around $2.92 per share. Priceline raked in 30% higher sales of $730.7 million for the quarter. Investors initiated bullish stances on the stock by purchasing 3,200 calls at the November 210 strike for an average premium of 2.72 apiece. Traders will profit if shares of PCLN continue to rally another 4% and surpass the breakeven price of $212.72 by expiration this month. Nearly 1,000 call options were purchased at the November 230 strike for approximately 64 cents premium each. Investors long the November 230 strike calls could already reel in short term profits by selling the contracts, which now tote an asking price of 1.15 per contract. Option implied volatility imploded following earnings, falling 24%, to an intraday low of 42%. </p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 10 Nov 2009 12:35:39 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cf' title='More opinion and analysis of CF'>CF</a>) </strong>&ndash; Bearish option plays appeared on the manufacturer of nitrogen and phosphate fertilizer products today after the firm rejected rival Agrium Inc.&rsquo;s increased takeover offer of $4.52 billion. Shares of CF are currently trading 4% lower to $77.20. Investors purchased put options at the now in-the-money December 80 strike for an average premium of 6.70 apiece. Perhaps put-buyers are protecting long stock positions. Otherwise, they are hoping to accrue profits if shares of CF decline through the effective breakeven price of $73.30. Another trader unraveled a previously established bullish play in the January 2010 contract. The investor originally placed an extremely bullish 8,500-lot call spread at the January 90/100 strikes. However, the trader abandoned bullish sentiment today by closing out the spread. Option implied volatility on CF jumped 7.5% over Monday&rsquo;s closing value of 52.9% to reach an intraday high of 55.9%. </p>    <p><strong>Priceline.com, Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pcln' title='More opinion and analysis of PCLN'>PCLN</a>)</strong> &ndash; Third-quarter sales and profit at online travel agency, Priceline.com, exceeded analyst expectations and sent shares up 19% today to a new 52-week high of $206.78. PCLN posted earnings of $3.45 per share whereas previous forecasts averaged around $2.92 per share. Priceline raked in 30% higher sales of $730.7 million for the quarter. Investors initiated bullish stances on the stock by purchasing 3,200 calls at the November 210 strike for an average premium of 2.72 apiece. Traders will profit if shares of PCLN continue to rally another 4% and surpass the breakeven price of $212.72 by expiration this month. Nearly 1,000 call options were purchased at the November 230 strike for approximately 64 cents premium each. Investors long the November 230 strike calls could already reel in short term profits by selling the contracts, which now tote an asking price of 1.15 per contract. Option implied volatility imploded following earnings, falling 24%, to an intraday low of 42%. </p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/172538-tuesday-options-update-cf-pcln-xlf-cx-car?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cf">CF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pcln">PCLN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/xlf">XLF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cx">CX</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/car">CAR</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Tuesday FX View: A Series of Known Factors </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/172498-tuesday-fx-view-a-series-of-known-factors?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">172498</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>The dollar has stabilized on Tuesday after a raucous battle to begin the week. However, key influences helping the dollar stand up appear to be a series of known factors that may have only provoked light profit taking before the move can continue. With many currencies reaching new highs for this move recently and the dollar index reaching a 13-month low there is a reasonable amount of resistance towards a headlong lunge into fresh territory for now at least. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124dea75ebf82842&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 10 Nov 2009 10:22:15 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>The dollar has stabilized on Tuesday after a raucous battle to begin the week. However, key influences helping the dollar stand up appear to be a series of known factors that may have only provoked light profit taking before the move can continue. With many currencies reaching new highs for this move recently and the dollar index reaching a 13-month low there is a reasonable amount of resistance towards a headlong lunge into fresh territory for now at least. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124dea75ebf82842&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/172498-tuesday-fx-view-a-series-of-known-factors?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ade">ADE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cud">CUD</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ere">ERE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxa">FXA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxb">FXB</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxc">FXC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxe">FXE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxf">FXF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxy">FXY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jyn">JYN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sze">SZE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/udn">UDN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup">UUP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Monday Options Update: GLD, AMR, ANF, CEPH &amp; ESV</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/172252-monday-options-update-gld-amr-anf-ceph-esv?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">172252</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>SPDR Gold Trust  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gld' title='More opinion and analysis of GLD'>GLD</a>)</strong> &ndash; Not 100% sure on this trade, but we&rsquo;re throwing it out there anyway on a best-efforts basis. It appears that an investor has built an iron-condor using the June contract in the gold exchange traded fund today. Gold has taken advantage of further weakness in the value of the dollar after weekend commentary from the IMF and G20 ministers (<a href="http://www.interactivebrokers.com/en/general/education/FX-View.php">see our IB FX View</a>) and broke convincingly through $1,100 per ounce and is heading for a ninth consecutive annual gain. Currently the yellow metal is up 1% at $1,10.90 per ounce. The gold ETF is up a similar amount (its price is supposed to track the value of one tenth of an ounce of the bullion) and stands at $108.62. We can see a 5,000 lot call spread using the 145 and 160 strikes. That would be equivalent to $1,400 and $1,600 per ounce on gold. The trade went through at a net 68 cent premium. On the put side the investor used the 94 and 80 strikes to pull off a put spread for 1.77 premium. The full premium on the two spreads is therefore 2.45 per contract. So far we can see same size call and put spreads and while the timing wasn&rsquo;t identical on both spreads,  it would make sense to us that the investor initiated credit spreads on both, which means he wants prices to remain below the lower call strike ($1,400) yet above the higher put strike ($940) throughout the life of the trade. If that happens, he retains the credit from both legs of the trade. Note that the put strike is closer and would require the price of gold to fall 15% from current in order to upset the investor. The call side of the trade would require a larger 26% rally in gold and confirms that the investor probably believes the dollar drubbing and gold rally each have further to run. </p>    <p><strong>AMR Corp.  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/amr' title='More opinion and analysis of AMR'>AMR</a>) </strong>&ndash; The operator of American Airlines attracted bullish option traders today as shares of the firm rallied approximately 1.5% to $5.74. Investors expecting shares to appreciate by expiration in December purchased call options. Approximately 7,000 calls were picked up at the December 6.0 strike for an average premium of 60 cents apiece. Traders also purchased about 4,000 calls at the higher December 7.0 strike for 30 cents premium each. Call-buyers at the higher strike may accumulate profits by expiration if shares of AMR increase at least 27% to surpass the breakeven price of $7.30. </p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 09 Nov 2009 13:04:31 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>SPDR Gold Trust  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gld' title='More opinion and analysis of GLD'>GLD</a>)</strong> &ndash; Not 100% sure on this trade, but we&rsquo;re throwing it out there anyway on a best-efforts basis. It appears that an investor has built an iron-condor using the June contract in the gold exchange traded fund today. Gold has taken advantage of further weakness in the value of the dollar after weekend commentary from the IMF and G20 ministers (<a href="http://www.interactivebrokers.com/en/general/education/FX-View.php">see our IB FX View</a>) and broke convincingly through $1,100 per ounce and is heading for a ninth consecutive annual gain. Currently the yellow metal is up 1% at $1,10.90 per ounce. The gold ETF is up a similar amount (its price is supposed to track the value of one tenth of an ounce of the bullion) and stands at $108.62. We can see a 5,000 lot call spread using the 145 and 160 strikes. That would be equivalent to $1,400 and $1,600 per ounce on gold. The trade went through at a net 68 cent premium. On the put side the investor used the 94 and 80 strikes to pull off a put spread for 1.77 premium. The full premium on the two spreads is therefore 2.45 per contract. So far we can see same size call and put spreads and while the timing wasn&rsquo;t identical on both spreads,  it would make sense to us that the investor initiated credit spreads on both, which means he wants prices to remain below the lower call strike ($1,400) yet above the higher put strike ($940) throughout the life of the trade. If that happens, he retains the credit from both legs of the trade. Note that the put strike is closer and would require the price of gold to fall 15% from current in order to upset the investor. The call side of the trade would require a larger 26% rally in gold and confirms that the investor probably believes the dollar drubbing and gold rally each have further to run. </p>    <p><strong>AMR Corp.  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/amr' title='More opinion and analysis of AMR'>AMR</a>) </strong>&ndash; The operator of American Airlines attracted bullish option traders today as shares of the firm rallied approximately 1.5% to $5.74. Investors expecting shares to appreciate by expiration in December purchased call options. Approximately 7,000 calls were picked up at the December 6.0 strike for an average premium of 60 cents apiece. Traders also purchased about 4,000 calls at the higher December 7.0 strike for 30 cents premium each. Call-buyers at the higher strike may accumulate profits by expiration if shares of AMR increase at least 27% to surpass the breakeven price of $7.30. </p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/172252-monday-options-update-gld-amr-anf-ceph-esv?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gld">GLD</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/amr">AMR</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/anf">ANF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ceph">CEPH</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/esv">ESV</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Monday FX View: Bon Appetit</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/172222-monday-fx-view-bon-appetit?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">172222</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Today investors are gorging on anything other than the U.S. dollar as a new feast of fourth quarter risk appetite gets underway. It took perhaps an hour to get over Friday&rsquo;s sticker-shock in the shape of a 10.2% headline reading of unemployment before the dollar would lie back down. Over the weekend it took admission from the G20 that the world economy is &ldquo;not out of the woods yet,&rdquo; and a weekend report from the IMF noting that the dollar has moved &ldquo;closer to medium term equilibrium&rdquo; but remains &ldquo;on the strong side,&rdquo; to rally another episode of risk appetite. The dollar so far has fallen to a two-week low in terms of the broad-based dollar index and the euro has once again regained $1.50. It seems that it&rsquo;s becoming easier to convince investors that trading in their worn out dollars might be rewarded with incremental gains in riskier overseas assets. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124d98489b81ce28&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 09 Nov 2009 10:27:04 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>Today investors are gorging on anything other than the U.S. dollar as a new feast of fourth quarter risk appetite gets underway. It took perhaps an hour to get over Friday&rsquo;s sticker-shock in the shape of a 10.2% headline reading of unemployment before the dollar would lie back down. Over the weekend it took admission from the G20 that the world economy is &ldquo;not out of the woods yet,&rdquo; and a weekend report from the IMF noting that the dollar has moved &ldquo;closer to medium term equilibrium&rdquo; but remains &ldquo;on the strong side,&rdquo; to rally another episode of risk appetite. The dollar so far has fallen to a two-week low in terms of the broad-based dollar index and the euro has once again regained $1.50. It seems that it&rsquo;s becoming easier to convince investors that trading in their worn out dollars might be rewarded with incremental gains in riskier overseas assets. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124d98489b81ce28&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/172222-monday-fx-view-bon-appetit?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
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      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ade">ADE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cud">CUD</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ere">ERE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxa">FXA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxb">FXB</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxc">FXC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxe">FXE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxf">FXF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxy">FXY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jyn">JYN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sze">SZE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/udn">UDN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup">UUP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
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