<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">
  <channel>
    <title>Andrew Wilkinson - Seeking Alpha</title>
    <description>'Andrew Wilkinson' Tag RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com</description>
    <author>
      <name>SeekingAlpha.com</name>
    </author>
    <link>http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson</link>
    <item>
      <title>Thursday Options Update: VIX, FSLR, HMY &amp; M </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/173044-thursday-options-update-vix-fslr-hmy-m?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">173044</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>CBOE Vix index &#40;VIX&#41;</strong> &ndash; With the equity market down and the dollar on the rise, investors across different asset classes today appear to be blaming one another for prevailing direction. No one seems to know why anything is moving in the fashion it is. The suggestion of course is that risk appetite is on the demise and fear is picking up. Compounding such indecision in the volatility class are trades suggesting ongoing disparate views on the fortunes for equities going forward. The so-called fear gauge is 5% higher at 24.90 today while trading has been two way. In the November options one investor loaded up on 25,000 call options at a 25 cent premium suggesting that the index will be above 25 when options expire next Tuesday. The December contract equally hinted at more volatility ahead as one traded bought the 27.5/35 call spread 25,000 times at a net 93 cents. In order for this trade to break even next month the Vix index would need to settle above 28.43. Arguing the bullish case another investor bought 15,000 put options at the December 20 strike, which suggests that volatility will subside into year end rally for equities.</p>  <p><strong>First Solar, Inc.  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fslr' title='More opinion and analysis of FSLR'>FSLR</a>)</strong> &ndash; Bullish options activity appeared in the November contract despite the 2.5% decline in shares of the semiconductor company today to $116.98. A bull call spread on FSLR suggests one investor doubts shares will continue much lower. The trader purchased approximately 2,300 calls at the in-the-money November 115 strike for 4.75 each, spread against the sale of roughly the same number of calls at the higher November 120 strike for 2.44 apiece. The net cost of the transaction amounts to 2.31 per contract. Shares must recover through $117.31 in order for the contrarian trader to breakeven by expiration next Friday. Maximum potential profits of 2.69 per share are available to the call spreader if the stock rebounds up to $120.00. We note that FSLR traded as high as $120.14 during yesterday&rsquo;s trading session. </p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 12 Nov 2009 13:06:14 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>CBOE Vix index &#40;VIX&#41;</strong> &ndash; With the equity market down and the dollar on the rise, investors across different asset classes today appear to be blaming one another for prevailing direction. No one seems to know why anything is moving in the fashion it is. The suggestion of course is that risk appetite is on the demise and fear is picking up. Compounding such indecision in the volatility class are trades suggesting ongoing disparate views on the fortunes for equities going forward. The so-called fear gauge is 5% higher at 24.90 today while trading has been two way. In the November options one investor loaded up on 25,000 call options at a 25 cent premium suggesting that the index will be above 25 when options expire next Tuesday. The December contract equally hinted at more volatility ahead as one traded bought the 27.5/35 call spread 25,000 times at a net 93 cents. In order for this trade to break even next month the Vix index would need to settle above 28.43. Arguing the bullish case another investor bought 15,000 put options at the December 20 strike, which suggests that volatility will subside into year end rally for equities.</p>  <p><strong>First Solar, Inc.  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fslr' title='More opinion and analysis of FSLR'>FSLR</a>)</strong> &ndash; Bullish options activity appeared in the November contract despite the 2.5% decline in shares of the semiconductor company today to $116.98. A bull call spread on FSLR suggests one investor doubts shares will continue much lower. The trader purchased approximately 2,300 calls at the in-the-money November 115 strike for 4.75 each, spread against the sale of roughly the same number of calls at the higher November 120 strike for 2.44 apiece. The net cost of the transaction amounts to 2.31 per contract. Shares must recover through $117.31 in order for the contrarian trader to breakeven by expiration next Friday. Maximum potential profits of 2.69 per share are available to the call spreader if the stock rebounds up to $120.00. We note that FSLR traded as high as $120.14 during yesterday&rsquo;s trading session. </p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/173044-thursday-options-update-vix-fslr-hmy-m?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fslr">FSLR</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/hmy">HMY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/m">M</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Thursday Options Update: A Dollar Inspired</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/173016-thursday-options-update-a-dollar-inspired?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">173016</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>A late in the week boost for the U.S. dollar finds its basis in the shrouded optimism of words of Chinese Premier, Wen Jiabao. His words on a televised state television interview were reminiscent of just about any other global financial leader when he pointed out that global economic recovery would be &ldquo;a slow and bumpy process&rdquo; and noted the uneven nature of world recovery. Asian stocks retreated after his cautious tone and risk preference took a back seat leading to a marginally more appealing dollar. The dollar is up against its Japanese counterpart to &yen;90.31 while one euro today buys fewer dollars at $1.4913. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124e90da725272f8&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 12 Nov 2009 10:50:53 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>A late in the week boost for the U.S. dollar finds its basis in the shrouded optimism of words of Chinese Premier, Wen Jiabao. His words on a televised state television interview were reminiscent of just about any other global financial leader when he pointed out that global economic recovery would be &ldquo;a slow and bumpy process&rdquo; and noted the uneven nature of world recovery. Asian stocks retreated after his cautious tone and risk preference took a back seat leading to a marginally more appealing dollar. The dollar is up against its Japanese counterpart to &yen;90.31 while one euro today buys fewer dollars at $1.4913. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124e90da725272f8&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/173016-thursday-options-update-a-dollar-inspired?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ade">ADE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cud">CUD</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ere">ERE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxa">FXA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxb">FXB</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxc">FXC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxe">FXE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxf">FXF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxy">FXY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jyn">JYN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sze">SZE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/udn">UDN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup">UUP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Wednesday Options Update: PG, DRYS, DTV, M, &amp; EMC</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/172800-wednesday-options-update-pg-drys-dtv-m-emc?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">172800</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>The Proctor &amp; Gamble Co. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pg' title='More opinion and analysis of PG'>PG</a>)</strong> &ndash; Options activity in the January 2011 contract on the consumer products company today indicates one investor expects little fluctuation in shares over the next 14 months. Shares of PG are slightly up by less than 0.25% to stand at $61.90. The trader initiated a sold strangle by selling 2,000 puts at the January 60 strike for 5.73 each, and by selling 2,000 calls at the higher January 65 strike for a premium of 3.82 apiece. The gross premium pocketed on the sale amounts to 9.55 per contract. The strangle-seller retains the full premium if shares of PG remain &lsquo;strangled&rsquo; within the parameters of the strike prices described. The investor will benefit from lower option implied volatility on the stock, as well as from the inevitable erosion of extrinsic value (time decay) over the life of the option contracts.</p>  <p><strong>DryShips, Inc.  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/drys' title='More opinion and analysis of DRYS'>DRYS</a>) </strong>&ndash; Investors initiated bullish positions on the Greek drybulk shipping company. Shares of the firm rallied 1.5% to $6.32. Option traders favored the call spread today and utilized the strategy in the January 2010 contract to position for continued upward movement in the price of the underlying by expiration. Approximately 25,000 calls were purchased at the January 7.5 strike for an average premium of 45 cents each, spread against the sale of roughly the same number of calls at the higher January 9.0 strike for 15 cents apiece. The average net cost of the bullish transaction amounts to 31 cents per contract. DryShips&rsquo;s shares must rally 23% in order for call-spreaders to breakeven at $7.81. Investors stand ready to accumulate maximum potential profits of 1.19 per contract if the stock surges 42% over the current price to $9.00 by expiration in January.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 11 Nov 2009 12:15:43 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>The Proctor &amp; Gamble Co. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pg' title='More opinion and analysis of PG'>PG</a>)</strong> &ndash; Options activity in the January 2011 contract on the consumer products company today indicates one investor expects little fluctuation in shares over the next 14 months. Shares of PG are slightly up by less than 0.25% to stand at $61.90. The trader initiated a sold strangle by selling 2,000 puts at the January 60 strike for 5.73 each, and by selling 2,000 calls at the higher January 65 strike for a premium of 3.82 apiece. The gross premium pocketed on the sale amounts to 9.55 per contract. The strangle-seller retains the full premium if shares of PG remain &lsquo;strangled&rsquo; within the parameters of the strike prices described. The investor will benefit from lower option implied volatility on the stock, as well as from the inevitable erosion of extrinsic value (time decay) over the life of the option contracts.</p>  <p><strong>DryShips, Inc.  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/drys' title='More opinion and analysis of DRYS'>DRYS</a>) </strong>&ndash; Investors initiated bullish positions on the Greek drybulk shipping company. Shares of the firm rallied 1.5% to $6.32. Option traders favored the call spread today and utilized the strategy in the January 2010 contract to position for continued upward movement in the price of the underlying by expiration. Approximately 25,000 calls were purchased at the January 7.5 strike for an average premium of 45 cents each, spread against the sale of roughly the same number of calls at the higher January 9.0 strike for 15 cents apiece. The average net cost of the bullish transaction amounts to 31 cents per contract. DryShips&rsquo;s shares must rally 23% in order for call-spreaders to breakeven at $7.81. Investors stand ready to accumulate maximum potential profits of 1.19 per contract if the stock surges 42% over the current price to $9.00 by expiration in January.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/172800-wednesday-options-update-pg-drys-dtv-m-emc?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/drys">DRYS</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dtv">DTV</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/emc">EMC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/m">M</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pg">PG</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Wednesday FX View: Geithner Versus the Fed</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/172776-wednesday-fx-view-geithner-versus-the-fed?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">172776</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Much of Tuesday&rsquo;s reluctance to follow-through in terms of selling the dollar has come undone today. Fresh evidence from China of the state of global growth is compounded by a slew of mediocre comments from Fed officials indicating low rates are part of the economic fixtures and fittings. The euro looks set to remain above $1.50 for the entire U.S. session against the dollar and that would likely create a basis for further gains during this week. The positive Asian market data wheeled the carry-trade back onto center stage right next to its partner of a sickly dollar.  </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124e3f0f3a3272d1&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 11 Nov 2009 11:00:51 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>Much of Tuesday&rsquo;s reluctance to follow-through in terms of selling the dollar has come undone today. Fresh evidence from China of the state of global growth is compounded by a slew of mediocre comments from Fed officials indicating low rates are part of the economic fixtures and fittings. The euro looks set to remain above $1.50 for the entire U.S. session against the dollar and that would likely create a basis for further gains during this week. The positive Asian market data wheeled the carry-trade back onto center stage right next to its partner of a sickly dollar.  </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124e3f0f3a3272d1&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/172776-wednesday-fx-view-geithner-versus-the-fed?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ade">ADE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cud">CUD</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ere">ERE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxa">FXA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxb">FXB</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxc">FXC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxe">FXE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxf">FXF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxy">FXY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jyn">JYN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sze">SZE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/udn">UDN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup">UUP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Tuesday Options Update: CF, PCLN, XLF, CX &amp; CAR </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/172538-tuesday-options-update-cf-pcln-xlf-cx-car?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">172538</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cf' title='More opinion and analysis of CF'>CF</a>) </strong>&ndash; Bearish option plays appeared on the manufacturer of nitrogen and phosphate fertilizer products today after the firm rejected rival Agrium Inc.&rsquo;s increased takeover offer of $4.52 billion. Shares of CF are currently trading 4% lower to $77.20. Investors purchased put options at the now in-the-money December 80 strike for an average premium of 6.70 apiece. Perhaps put-buyers are protecting long stock positions. Otherwise, they are hoping to accrue profits if shares of CF decline through the effective breakeven price of $73.30. Another trader unraveled a previously established bullish play in the January 2010 contract. The investor originally placed an extremely bullish 8,500-lot call spread at the January 90/100 strikes. However, the trader abandoned bullish sentiment today by closing out the spread. Option implied volatility on CF jumped 7.5% over Monday&rsquo;s closing value of 52.9% to reach an intraday high of 55.9%. </p>    <p><strong>Priceline.com, Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pcln' title='More opinion and analysis of PCLN'>PCLN</a>)</strong> &ndash; Third-quarter sales and profit at online travel agency, Priceline.com, exceeded analyst expectations and sent shares up 19% today to a new 52-week high of $206.78. PCLN posted earnings of $3.45 per share whereas previous forecasts averaged around $2.92 per share. Priceline raked in 30% higher sales of $730.7 million for the quarter. Investors initiated bullish stances on the stock by purchasing 3,200 calls at the November 210 strike for an average premium of 2.72 apiece. Traders will profit if shares of PCLN continue to rally another 4% and surpass the breakeven price of $212.72 by expiration this month. Nearly 1,000 call options were purchased at the November 230 strike for approximately 64 cents premium each. Investors long the November 230 strike calls could already reel in short term profits by selling the contracts, which now tote an asking price of 1.15 per contract. Option implied volatility imploded following earnings, falling 24%, to an intraday low of 42%. </p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 10 Nov 2009 12:35:39 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cf' title='More opinion and analysis of CF'>CF</a>) </strong>&ndash; Bearish option plays appeared on the manufacturer of nitrogen and phosphate fertilizer products today after the firm rejected rival Agrium Inc.&rsquo;s increased takeover offer of $4.52 billion. Shares of CF are currently trading 4% lower to $77.20. Investors purchased put options at the now in-the-money December 80 strike for an average premium of 6.70 apiece. Perhaps put-buyers are protecting long stock positions. Otherwise, they are hoping to accrue profits if shares of CF decline through the effective breakeven price of $73.30. Another trader unraveled a previously established bullish play in the January 2010 contract. The investor originally placed an extremely bullish 8,500-lot call spread at the January 90/100 strikes. However, the trader abandoned bullish sentiment today by closing out the spread. Option implied volatility on CF jumped 7.5% over Monday&rsquo;s closing value of 52.9% to reach an intraday high of 55.9%. </p>    <p><strong>Priceline.com, Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pcln' title='More opinion and analysis of PCLN'>PCLN</a>)</strong> &ndash; Third-quarter sales and profit at online travel agency, Priceline.com, exceeded analyst expectations and sent shares up 19% today to a new 52-week high of $206.78. PCLN posted earnings of $3.45 per share whereas previous forecasts averaged around $2.92 per share. Priceline raked in 30% higher sales of $730.7 million for the quarter. Investors initiated bullish stances on the stock by purchasing 3,200 calls at the November 210 strike for an average premium of 2.72 apiece. Traders will profit if shares of PCLN continue to rally another 4% and surpass the breakeven price of $212.72 by expiration this month. Nearly 1,000 call options were purchased at the November 230 strike for approximately 64 cents premium each. Investors long the November 230 strike calls could already reel in short term profits by selling the contracts, which now tote an asking price of 1.15 per contract. Option implied volatility imploded following earnings, falling 24%, to an intraday low of 42%. </p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/172538-tuesday-options-update-cf-pcln-xlf-cx-car?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/car">CAR</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cf">CF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cx">CX</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pcln">PCLN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/xlf">XLF</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Tuesday FX View: A Series of Known Factors </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/172498-tuesday-fx-view-a-series-of-known-factors?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">172498</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>The dollar has stabilized on Tuesday after a raucous battle to begin the week. However, key influences helping the dollar stand up appear to be a series of known factors that may have only provoked light profit taking before the move can continue. With many currencies reaching new highs for this move recently and the dollar index reaching a 13-month low there is a reasonable amount of resistance towards a headlong lunge into fresh territory for now at least. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124dea75ebf82842&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 10 Nov 2009 10:22:15 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>The dollar has stabilized on Tuesday after a raucous battle to begin the week. However, key influences helping the dollar stand up appear to be a series of known factors that may have only provoked light profit taking before the move can continue. With many currencies reaching new highs for this move recently and the dollar index reaching a 13-month low there is a reasonable amount of resistance towards a headlong lunge into fresh territory for now at least. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124dea75ebf82842&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/172498-tuesday-fx-view-a-series-of-known-factors?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ade">ADE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cud">CUD</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ere">ERE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxa">FXA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxb">FXB</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxc">FXC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxe">FXE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxf">FXF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxy">FXY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jyn">JYN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sze">SZE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/udn">UDN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup">UUP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Monday Options Update: GLD, AMR, ANF, CEPH &amp; ESV</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/172252-monday-options-update-gld-amr-anf-ceph-esv?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">172252</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>SPDR Gold Trust  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gld' title='More opinion and analysis of GLD'>GLD</a>)</strong> &ndash; Not 100% sure on this trade, but we&rsquo;re throwing it out there anyway on a best-efforts basis. It appears that an investor has built an iron-condor using the June contract in the gold exchange traded fund today. Gold has taken advantage of further weakness in the value of the dollar after weekend commentary from the IMF and G20 ministers (<a href="http://www.interactivebrokers.com/en/general/education/FX-View.php">see our IB FX View</a>) and broke convincingly through $1,100 per ounce and is heading for a ninth consecutive annual gain. Currently the yellow metal is up 1% at $1,10.90 per ounce. The gold ETF is up a similar amount (its price is supposed to track the value of one tenth of an ounce of the bullion) and stands at $108.62. We can see a 5,000 lot call spread using the 145 and 160 strikes. That would be equivalent to $1,400 and $1,600 per ounce on gold. The trade went through at a net 68 cent premium. On the put side the investor used the 94 and 80 strikes to pull off a put spread for 1.77 premium. The full premium on the two spreads is therefore 2.45 per contract. So far we can see same size call and put spreads and while the timing wasn&rsquo;t identical on both spreads,  it would make sense to us that the investor initiated credit spreads on both, which means he wants prices to remain below the lower call strike ($1,400) yet above the higher put strike ($940) throughout the life of the trade. If that happens, he retains the credit from both legs of the trade. Note that the put strike is closer and would require the price of gold to fall 15% from current in order to upset the investor. The call side of the trade would require a larger 26% rally in gold and confirms that the investor probably believes the dollar drubbing and gold rally each have further to run. </p>    <p><strong>AMR Corp.  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/amr' title='More opinion and analysis of AMR'>AMR</a>) </strong>&ndash; The operator of American Airlines attracted bullish option traders today as shares of the firm rallied approximately 1.5% to $5.74. Investors expecting shares to appreciate by expiration in December purchased call options. Approximately 7,000 calls were picked up at the December 6.0 strike for an average premium of 60 cents apiece. Traders also purchased about 4,000 calls at the higher December 7.0 strike for 30 cents premium each. Call-buyers at the higher strike may accumulate profits by expiration if shares of AMR increase at least 27% to surpass the breakeven price of $7.30. </p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 09 Nov 2009 13:04:31 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>SPDR Gold Trust  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gld' title='More opinion and analysis of GLD'>GLD</a>)</strong> &ndash; Not 100% sure on this trade, but we&rsquo;re throwing it out there anyway on a best-efforts basis. It appears that an investor has built an iron-condor using the June contract in the gold exchange traded fund today. Gold has taken advantage of further weakness in the value of the dollar after weekend commentary from the IMF and G20 ministers (<a href="http://www.interactivebrokers.com/en/general/education/FX-View.php">see our IB FX View</a>) and broke convincingly through $1,100 per ounce and is heading for a ninth consecutive annual gain. Currently the yellow metal is up 1% at $1,10.90 per ounce. The gold ETF is up a similar amount (its price is supposed to track the value of one tenth of an ounce of the bullion) and stands at $108.62. We can see a 5,000 lot call spread using the 145 and 160 strikes. That would be equivalent to $1,400 and $1,600 per ounce on gold. The trade went through at a net 68 cent premium. On the put side the investor used the 94 and 80 strikes to pull off a put spread for 1.77 premium. The full premium on the two spreads is therefore 2.45 per contract. So far we can see same size call and put spreads and while the timing wasn&rsquo;t identical on both spreads,  it would make sense to us that the investor initiated credit spreads on both, which means he wants prices to remain below the lower call strike ($1,400) yet above the higher put strike ($940) throughout the life of the trade. If that happens, he retains the credit from both legs of the trade. Note that the put strike is closer and would require the price of gold to fall 15% from current in order to upset the investor. The call side of the trade would require a larger 26% rally in gold and confirms that the investor probably believes the dollar drubbing and gold rally each have further to run. </p>    <p><strong>AMR Corp.  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/amr' title='More opinion and analysis of AMR'>AMR</a>) </strong>&ndash; The operator of American Airlines attracted bullish option traders today as shares of the firm rallied approximately 1.5% to $5.74. Investors expecting shares to appreciate by expiration in December purchased call options. Approximately 7,000 calls were picked up at the December 6.0 strike for an average premium of 60 cents apiece. Traders also purchased about 4,000 calls at the higher December 7.0 strike for 30 cents premium each. Call-buyers at the higher strike may accumulate profits by expiration if shares of AMR increase at least 27% to surpass the breakeven price of $7.30. </p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/172252-monday-options-update-gld-amr-anf-ceph-esv?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/amr">AMR</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/anf">ANF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ceph">CEPH</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/esv">ESV</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gld">GLD</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Monday FX View: Bon Appetit</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/172222-monday-fx-view-bon-appetit?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">172222</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Today investors are gorging on anything other than the U.S. dollar as a new feast of fourth quarter risk appetite gets underway. It took perhaps an hour to get over Friday&rsquo;s sticker-shock in the shape of a 10.2% headline reading of unemployment before the dollar would lie back down. Over the weekend it took admission from the G20 that the world economy is &ldquo;not out of the woods yet,&rdquo; and a weekend report from the IMF noting that the dollar has moved &ldquo;closer to medium term equilibrium&rdquo; but remains &ldquo;on the strong side,&rdquo; to rally another episode of risk appetite. The dollar so far has fallen to a two-week low in terms of the broad-based dollar index and the euro has once again regained $1.50. It seems that it&rsquo;s becoming easier to convince investors that trading in their worn out dollars might be rewarded with incremental gains in riskier overseas assets. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124d98489b81ce28&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 09 Nov 2009 10:27:04 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>Today investors are gorging on anything other than the U.S. dollar as a new feast of fourth quarter risk appetite gets underway. It took perhaps an hour to get over Friday&rsquo;s sticker-shock in the shape of a 10.2% headline reading of unemployment before the dollar would lie back down. Over the weekend it took admission from the G20 that the world economy is &ldquo;not out of the woods yet,&rdquo; and a weekend report from the IMF noting that the dollar has moved &ldquo;closer to medium term equilibrium&rdquo; but remains &ldquo;on the strong side,&rdquo; to rally another episode of risk appetite. The dollar so far has fallen to a two-week low in terms of the broad-based dollar index and the euro has once again regained $1.50. It seems that it&rsquo;s becoming easier to convince investors that trading in their worn out dollars might be rewarded with incremental gains in riskier overseas assets. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124d98489b81ce28&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/172222-monday-fx-view-bon-appetit?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ade">ADE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cud">CUD</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ere">ERE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxa">FXA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxb">FXB</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxc">FXC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxe">FXE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxf">FXF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxy">FXY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jyn">JYN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sze">SZE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/udn">UDN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup">UUP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Friday Options Update: UUP, VIX, AONE, SWKS</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/171872-friday-options-update-uup-vix-aone-swks?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">171872</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>PowerShares DB U.S. Dollar Index Fund (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup' title='More opinion and analysis of UUP'>UUP</a>) &ndash; </strong>Call options continue to be bought again today in this ETF tracking the performance of the U.S. dollar index. We&rsquo;re coming around to the view that rather than expecting a bullish perspective on the behavior of the dollar, some savvy options traders paid attention to the filing on Tuesday by the fund&rsquo;s managers who noted that they may have to create more shares in order to meet growing demand. Heavy option activity followed, which may have created further liquidity issues at the fund and caused a short squeeze on Thursday when shares were halted pending this announcement. What is noteworthy is the fact that the UUP veered off in a direction all of its own, surging two percent at a time when the dollar index was practically unchanged. So we&rsquo;re not quite sure what the buyers of November and December 23 strike calls are doing on the other side of this trade. It&rsquo;s possible they have a ready made hedging or arbitrage position to offset as many calls as they can. Open interest in the November calls today grew to 310,000 from 40,000 on Monday, while the 20 cent premium today has seen a further 30,000 contracts change hands. The dollar did get a short-lived boost after the rate of unemployment broke the double-digit barrier earlier in the morning. Non-farm payrolls fell by 190,000 in October lifting unemployment to 10.2% - the highest in 26 years. Dollar buying as a safe haven quickly abated as investors came round to realizing that the economic gloom continues to clear.</p><p><strong>CBOE Vix index (.VIX)&ndash; </strong>Equities traded either side of unchanged after nerves were soothed in the wake of the unemployment reading. Yet now that the Dow industrials average has reclaimed 10,000 and the earnings reports at eight-out-of-10 S&amp;P 500 index constituents have beaten estimates, fear has once again slipped. This time last week saw heavy demand for the protection that option premium offers investors but a week later the vix index has slipped back to 24.73. There was contrarian call option buying to be found though. Investors bought 5,000 calls maturing in January at the 27.5 strike and twice as many calls at the 35 strike for what&rsquo;s shaping up to be a rich 1.35 premium. Elsewhere there appears to be significant put selling at the December 22.5 strike where almost 28,000 lots have traded at 50 cents. Either someone has a strong desire to sit on an attractive 50 cent bid, making room for arbitrage selling or someone is abandoning a long position as the whole volatility trade goes sour.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 06 Nov 2009 13:44:12 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>PowerShares DB U.S. Dollar Index Fund (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup' title='More opinion and analysis of UUP'>UUP</a>) &ndash; </strong>Call options continue to be bought again today in this ETF tracking the performance of the U.S. dollar index. We&rsquo;re coming around to the view that rather than expecting a bullish perspective on the behavior of the dollar, some savvy options traders paid attention to the filing on Tuesday by the fund&rsquo;s managers who noted that they may have to create more shares in order to meet growing demand. Heavy option activity followed, which may have created further liquidity issues at the fund and caused a short squeeze on Thursday when shares were halted pending this announcement. What is noteworthy is the fact that the UUP veered off in a direction all of its own, surging two percent at a time when the dollar index was practically unchanged. So we&rsquo;re not quite sure what the buyers of November and December 23 strike calls are doing on the other side of this trade. It&rsquo;s possible they have a ready made hedging or arbitrage position to offset as many calls as they can. Open interest in the November calls today grew to 310,000 from 40,000 on Monday, while the 20 cent premium today has seen a further 30,000 contracts change hands. The dollar did get a short-lived boost after the rate of unemployment broke the double-digit barrier earlier in the morning. Non-farm payrolls fell by 190,000 in October lifting unemployment to 10.2% - the highest in 26 years. Dollar buying as a safe haven quickly abated as investors came round to realizing that the economic gloom continues to clear.</p><p><strong>CBOE Vix index (.VIX)&ndash; </strong>Equities traded either side of unchanged after nerves were soothed in the wake of the unemployment reading. Yet now that the Dow industrials average has reclaimed 10,000 and the earnings reports at eight-out-of-10 S&amp;P 500 index constituents have beaten estimates, fear has once again slipped. This time last week saw heavy demand for the protection that option premium offers investors but a week later the vix index has slipped back to 24.73. There was contrarian call option buying to be found though. Investors bought 5,000 calls maturing in January at the 27.5 strike and twice as many calls at the 35 strike for what&rsquo;s shaping up to be a rich 1.35 premium. Elsewhere there appears to be significant put selling at the December 22.5 strike where almost 28,000 lots have traded at 50 cents. Either someone has a strong desire to sit on an attractive 50 cent bid, making room for arbitrage selling or someone is abandoning a long position as the whole volatility trade goes sour.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/171872-friday-options-update-uup-vix-aone-swks?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aone">AONE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/swks">SWKS</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup">UUP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Thursday Options Update: XRT, CVS, STT &amp; PFE</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/171534-thursday-options-update-xrt-cvs-stt-pfe?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">171534</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>SPDR S&amp;P Retail ETF (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/xrt' title='More opinion and analysis of XRT'>XRT</a>) </strong>&ndash; Disappointing earnings from a number of retailers such as Aeropostale and American Eagle Outfitters, declining same-store sales at Whole Foods, and gloomy guidance at CVS Caremark Corp are just some of the factors weighing down the retail exchange-traded fund today. Shares of the XRT started the trading session higher but have since edged 1% lower to $33.97. Curiously, dismal data from the retail sector this morning is not curtailing overall market gains. Option trading by one investor on the fund suggests shares are likely to trend lower by expiration in December. The trader appears to have established a short strangle in combination with a long put position. The strangle portion of the strategy involved the sale of 5,000 calls at the December 35 strike for 92 cents apiece and the sale of 5,000 puts at the December 30 strike for 56 cents premium. The gross premium of 1.48 on the strangle more than offset the cost of purchasing 5,000 puts at the December 33 strike for 1.45 apiece. The investor pockets a 3 cent credit on the three-legged transaction, which he retains in full as long as shares of the XRT remain &lsquo;strangled&rsquo; within the confines of the 30/35 strike prices through expiration. Additional profits accumulate if shares decline beneath $33.00. The trader will benefit from lower volatility as well as bearish movement in the price of the underlying shares through expiration in December.</p>  <p><strong>CVS Caremark Corp. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cvs' title='More opinion and analysis of CVS'>CVS</a>)</strong> &ndash; Shares dipped 22% lower to $28.13 as the trading session approached midday (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/edt' title='More opinion and analysis of EDT'>EDT</a>). Option traders employed both bearish and bullish strategies in the November contract, while longer-term investors were decidedly bearish on the pharmacy chain. Investors who are not yet ready to throw in the towel on CVS took advantage of today&rsquo;s significant share price declines by buying out-of-the-money call options. The November 29 strike had 4,600 calls picked up for an average premium of 95 cents each while the higher November 30 strike attracted buying of 10,000 calls for a 68 cents premium. Other traders initiated bullish positions by selling 3,600 puts short at the November 26 strike for 38 cents each. Put-sellers pocket and retain the premium if shares remain above $26.00 through expiration. The short sale of put options at that strike implies traders are happy to have shares put to them at an effective price of $25.62 should the contracts land in-the-money. Bearish traders purchased 1,800 in-the-money puts at the November 29 strike for 1.50 apiece. Another 7,600 put options were scooped up at the lower November 27.5 strike for 76 cents each. Long-term uber-bearish traders bought 5,100 puts at the January 22.5 strike for 34 cents apiece. Finally, the May 2010 25 strike had nearly 3,000 puts picked up for an average of 1.60 per contract. Investors exchanged more than 133,950 contracts &ndash; a whopping 40% of existing open interest on the stock of 334,788 lots &ndash; before noon-time (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/edt' title='More opinion and analysis of EDT'>EDT</a>).</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 05 Nov 2009 13:05:44 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>SPDR S&amp;P Retail ETF (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/xrt' title='More opinion and analysis of XRT'>XRT</a>) </strong>&ndash; Disappointing earnings from a number of retailers such as Aeropostale and American Eagle Outfitters, declining same-store sales at Whole Foods, and gloomy guidance at CVS Caremark Corp are just some of the factors weighing down the retail exchange-traded fund today. Shares of the XRT started the trading session higher but have since edged 1% lower to $33.97. Curiously, dismal data from the retail sector this morning is not curtailing overall market gains. Option trading by one investor on the fund suggests shares are likely to trend lower by expiration in December. The trader appears to have established a short strangle in combination with a long put position. The strangle portion of the strategy involved the sale of 5,000 calls at the December 35 strike for 92 cents apiece and the sale of 5,000 puts at the December 30 strike for 56 cents premium. The gross premium of 1.48 on the strangle more than offset the cost of purchasing 5,000 puts at the December 33 strike for 1.45 apiece. The investor pockets a 3 cent credit on the three-legged transaction, which he retains in full as long as shares of the XRT remain &lsquo;strangled&rsquo; within the confines of the 30/35 strike prices through expiration. Additional profits accumulate if shares decline beneath $33.00. The trader will benefit from lower volatility as well as bearish movement in the price of the underlying shares through expiration in December.</p>  <p><strong>CVS Caremark Corp. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cvs' title='More opinion and analysis of CVS'>CVS</a>)</strong> &ndash; Shares dipped 22% lower to $28.13 as the trading session approached midday (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/edt' title='More opinion and analysis of EDT'>EDT</a>). Option traders employed both bearish and bullish strategies in the November contract, while longer-term investors were decidedly bearish on the pharmacy chain. Investors who are not yet ready to throw in the towel on CVS took advantage of today&rsquo;s significant share price declines by buying out-of-the-money call options. The November 29 strike had 4,600 calls picked up for an average premium of 95 cents each while the higher November 30 strike attracted buying of 10,000 calls for a 68 cents premium. Other traders initiated bullish positions by selling 3,600 puts short at the November 26 strike for 38 cents each. Put-sellers pocket and retain the premium if shares remain above $26.00 through expiration. The short sale of put options at that strike implies traders are happy to have shares put to them at an effective price of $25.62 should the contracts land in-the-money. Bearish traders purchased 1,800 in-the-money puts at the November 29 strike for 1.50 apiece. Another 7,600 put options were scooped up at the lower November 27.5 strike for 76 cents each. Long-term uber-bearish traders bought 5,100 puts at the January 22.5 strike for 34 cents apiece. Finally, the May 2010 25 strike had nearly 3,000 puts picked up for an average of 1.60 per contract. Investors exchanged more than 133,950 contracts &ndash; a whopping 40% of existing open interest on the stock of 334,788 lots &ndash; before noon-time (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/edt' title='More opinion and analysis of EDT'>EDT</a>).</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/171534-thursday-options-update-xrt-cvs-stt-pfe?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cvs">CVS</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pfe">PFE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/stt">STT</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/xrt">XRT</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Thursday FX View: Trichet Offers the U.S. His Sledgehammer </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/171488-thursday-fx-view-trichet-offers-the-u-s-his-sledgehammer?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">171488</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>The ECB was the last of the three major central banks to leave its short term benchmark rate unchanged today. On Wednesday the Fed reiterated the same message it conveyed in September by stating that policy would remain accommodative. With official short term yields steady investors focused on the posturing and variety of tones apparent within each statement. After today&rsquo;s ECB press conference its president, Jean Claude Trichet tossed the challenge of a vulnerable dollar back into the court of the U.S. treasury when he stated that a strong dollar was in the interests of United   States. Such sledgehammer diplomacy is unlikely to provoke the U.S. into intervention mode in what has been a rather orderly decline of the greenback. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124c4e8a26ba46f0&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 05 Nov 2009 10:24:40 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>The ECB was the last of the three major central banks to leave its short term benchmark rate unchanged today. On Wednesday the Fed reiterated the same message it conveyed in September by stating that policy would remain accommodative. With official short term yields steady investors focused on the posturing and variety of tones apparent within each statement. After today&rsquo;s ECB press conference its president, Jean Claude Trichet tossed the challenge of a vulnerable dollar back into the court of the U.S. treasury when he stated that a strong dollar was in the interests of United   States. Such sledgehammer diplomacy is unlikely to provoke the U.S. into intervention mode in what has been a rather orderly decline of the greenback. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124c4e8a26ba46f0&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/171488-thursday-fx-view-trichet-offers-the-u-s-his-sledgehammer?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ade">ADE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cud">CUD</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ere">ERE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxa">FXA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxb">FXB</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxc">FXC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxe">FXE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxf">FXF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxy">FXY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jyn">JYN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sze">SZE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/udn">UDN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup">UUP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Wednesday Options Update: UUP, NWL, HNZ &amp; EWZ</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/171196-wednesday-options-update-uup-nwl-hnz-ewz?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">171196</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>PowerShares DB U.S. Dollar Index Fund (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup' title='More opinion and analysis of UUP'>UUP</a>)</strong> &ndash; There was huge volume today in this exchange traded fund that tracks the American dollar&rsquo;s index value ahead of this afternoon&rsquo;s FOMC statement, which is likely to leave monetary policy unchanged and point to an ongoing situation in which interest rates remain accommodative for as long as the eye can see. Such an outlook for the dollar at a time of modest recovery has created a weak fundamental backdrop for the greenback. So today&rsquo;s 155,000 call options bought for tiny premiums ranging between 10-15 cents per contract smacks of a large institution placing a sizeable gamble that change might be in the air either in what the Fed says this afternoon or for a more general change of heart towards the dollar before expiration on November 20. The dollar index on which this ETF is based is lower today and close to its weakest point in the current environment. With the price of the fund trading at $22.54, the investor needs to see a dollar rally lift the index and boost the price of the ETF beyond $23.15 by expiration in order to not lose money. A sharp turnaround in the fortune of the dollar today would automatically boost the index and therefore the value of this sizeable set of trades. </p>    <p><strong>Newell Rubbermaid Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nwl' title='More opinion and analysis of NWL'>NWL</a>)</strong> &ndash; Shares of the global marketer of consumer and commercial products edged 1% higher today to $14.28, but options activity on the stock suggests shares may continue to trend upward. Rubbermaid-bulls bought nearly 5,000 calls at the November 15 strike for an average premium of 34 cents apiece. Another 2,000 calls were coveted at the December 15 strike where investors shelled out 60 cents per contract. NWL&rsquo;s shares were trading at around $15.50 on October 22, 2009, before the market buckled and sent the stock back down to $13.96. Apparently call-buying investors expect shares to rebound to at least the breakeven price of $15.60 by expiration in December. The sudden demand for options drove implied volatility 20% higher to the current reading of 48% -- the highest level since July 30, 2009.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 04 Nov 2009 12:49:58 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>PowerShares DB U.S. Dollar Index Fund (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup' title='More opinion and analysis of UUP'>UUP</a>)</strong> &ndash; There was huge volume today in this exchange traded fund that tracks the American dollar&rsquo;s index value ahead of this afternoon&rsquo;s FOMC statement, which is likely to leave monetary policy unchanged and point to an ongoing situation in which interest rates remain accommodative for as long as the eye can see. Such an outlook for the dollar at a time of modest recovery has created a weak fundamental backdrop for the greenback. So today&rsquo;s 155,000 call options bought for tiny premiums ranging between 10-15 cents per contract smacks of a large institution placing a sizeable gamble that change might be in the air either in what the Fed says this afternoon or for a more general change of heart towards the dollar before expiration on November 20. The dollar index on which this ETF is based is lower today and close to its weakest point in the current environment. With the price of the fund trading at $22.54, the investor needs to see a dollar rally lift the index and boost the price of the ETF beyond $23.15 by expiration in order to not lose money. A sharp turnaround in the fortune of the dollar today would automatically boost the index and therefore the value of this sizeable set of trades. </p>    <p><strong>Newell Rubbermaid Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nwl' title='More opinion and analysis of NWL'>NWL</a>)</strong> &ndash; Shares of the global marketer of consumer and commercial products edged 1% higher today to $14.28, but options activity on the stock suggests shares may continue to trend upward. Rubbermaid-bulls bought nearly 5,000 calls at the November 15 strike for an average premium of 34 cents apiece. Another 2,000 calls were coveted at the December 15 strike where investors shelled out 60 cents per contract. NWL&rsquo;s shares were trading at around $15.50 on October 22, 2009, before the market buckled and sent the stock back down to $13.96. Apparently call-buying investors expect shares to rebound to at least the breakeven price of $15.60 by expiration in December. The sudden demand for options drove implied volatility 20% higher to the current reading of 48% -- the highest level since July 30, 2009.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/171196-wednesday-options-update-uup-nwl-hnz-ewz?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ewz">EWZ</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/hnz">HNZ</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nwl">NWL</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup">UUP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Wednesday FX View: An End to the Exit Talk?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/171174-wednesday-fx-view-an-end-to-the-exit-talk?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">171174</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>The two low-yielding soft currencies (the dollar and yen) are lower today as FOMC decision day has finally arrived. We can now look back with the benefit of hindsight and say that the recent boost to the dollar and yen were due to worries over the prospects for the U.S. economy and how that might transmit less cause for other central bankers to push for removal of monetary stimulus. That causes a wider yield differential and harms the appeal of the dollar. Instead, dealers have concluded that it&rsquo;s business as usual and that the economy continues to progress, which means that it&rsquo;s once again time to ditch the dollar.   </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124bfebac145f004&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 04 Nov 2009 11:35:38 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>The two low-yielding soft currencies (the dollar and yen) are lower today as FOMC decision day has finally arrived. We can now look back with the benefit of hindsight and say that the recent boost to the dollar and yen were due to worries over the prospects for the U.S. economy and how that might transmit less cause for other central bankers to push for removal of monetary stimulus. That causes a wider yield differential and harms the appeal of the dollar. Instead, dealers have concluded that it&rsquo;s business as usual and that the economy continues to progress, which means that it&rsquo;s once again time to ditch the dollar.   </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124bfebac145f004&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/171174-wednesday-fx-view-an-end-to-the-exit-talk?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ade">ADE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cud">CUD</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ere">ERE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxa">FXA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxb">FXB</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxc">FXC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxe">FXE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxf">FXF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxy">FXY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jyn">JYN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sze">SZE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/udn">UDN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup">UUP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Tuesday Options Update: RRI, WFR, CAR &amp; FRX</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/170888-tuesday-options-update-rri-wfr-car-frx?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">170888</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>RRI Energy, Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rri' title='More opinion and analysis of RRI'>RRI</a>) </strong>&ndash; Yesterday afternoon one investor purchased 10,000 calls at the December 4.0 strike for 1.30 apiece despite the fact that shares were down 3% to $5.10. The seemingly contrarian strategy suggested shares of RRI were likely to rebound by expiration in December. Yet, the investor only needed to wait 24 hours because the stock is currently trading 2% higher to $5.25. The same individual was rewarded today for assuming an optimistic stance on RRI because he sold all 10,000 calls this morning for 1.45 apiece. Net profits on the closing sale amount to 15 cents per contract for a grand total of $150,000 &ndash; not bad for one day&rsquo;s work. </p>    <p><strong>MEMC Electronic Materials, Inc.  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wfr' title='More opinion and analysis of WFR'>WFR</a>) </strong>&ndash; Option traders driving call volume in the November contract are in fact taking bullish positions on the stock by purchasing the options. We noted earlier today that heavier than usual option activity was driving implied volatility higher. Volatility is now up 20.25% to 68.92% versus this morning&rsquo;s reading of 65.16%. Shares retreated slightly by lunchtime but are still up more than 1% to $12.45. Some traders targeted the in-the-money November 11 strike where 1,400 calls were picked up for an average premium of 1.49 apiece. Other investors selected the now in-the-money November 12 strike to take ownership of 2,900 calls for about 83 cents each. Bullish individuals expecting shares to continue higher paid an average of 49 cents to purchase 6,100 calls at the November 13 strike. The stock must rise another 8% to $13.49 before investors holding the November 13 strike calls breakeven. </p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 03 Nov 2009 12:56:36 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>RRI Energy, Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rri' title='More opinion and analysis of RRI'>RRI</a>) </strong>&ndash; Yesterday afternoon one investor purchased 10,000 calls at the December 4.0 strike for 1.30 apiece despite the fact that shares were down 3% to $5.10. The seemingly contrarian strategy suggested shares of RRI were likely to rebound by expiration in December. Yet, the investor only needed to wait 24 hours because the stock is currently trading 2% higher to $5.25. The same individual was rewarded today for assuming an optimistic stance on RRI because he sold all 10,000 calls this morning for 1.45 apiece. Net profits on the closing sale amount to 15 cents per contract for a grand total of $150,000 &ndash; not bad for one day&rsquo;s work. </p>    <p><strong>MEMC Electronic Materials, Inc.  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wfr' title='More opinion and analysis of WFR'>WFR</a>) </strong>&ndash; Option traders driving call volume in the November contract are in fact taking bullish positions on the stock by purchasing the options. We noted earlier today that heavier than usual option activity was driving implied volatility higher. Volatility is now up 20.25% to 68.92% versus this morning&rsquo;s reading of 65.16%. Shares retreated slightly by lunchtime but are still up more than 1% to $12.45. Some traders targeted the in-the-money November 11 strike where 1,400 calls were picked up for an average premium of 1.49 apiece. Other investors selected the now in-the-money November 12 strike to take ownership of 2,900 calls for about 83 cents each. Bullish individuals expecting shares to continue higher paid an average of 49 cents to purchase 6,100 calls at the November 13 strike. The stock must rise another 8% to $13.49 before investors holding the November 13 strike calls breakeven. </p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/170888-tuesday-options-update-rri-wfr-car-frx?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/car">CAR</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/frx">FRX</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rri">RRI</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/wfr">WFR</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Tuesday FX View: Currency Traders Take a Beating as Dollar Rally Gives Way</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/170869-tuesday-fx-view-currency-traders-take-a-beating-as-dollar-rally-gives-way?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">170869</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Today&rsquo;s exchange rate movements are a little tough to decipher. Broadly speaking the dollar was well bid earlier, while the price of gold also jumped and is clearly mulling over the notion of making a thunderous bolt to the upside towards a record high. But a mid-morning event, that we are yet to isolate, has sent the dollar careening. Weakness in equity markets once again brings focus back onto the aftermath of the financial crisis. Further British government injections to the banking system are stirring the mix, reminding investors that stability does not necessarily encompass recovery.  </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124bac9d0ab85630&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 03 Nov 2009 11:15:24 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>Today&rsquo;s exchange rate movements are a little tough to decipher. Broadly speaking the dollar was well bid earlier, while the price of gold also jumped and is clearly mulling over the notion of making a thunderous bolt to the upside towards a record high. But a mid-morning event, that we are yet to isolate, has sent the dollar careening. Weakness in equity markets once again brings focus back onto the aftermath of the financial crisis. Further British government injections to the banking system are stirring the mix, reminding investors that stability does not necessarily encompass recovery.  </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124bac9d0ab85630&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/170869-tuesday-fx-view-currency-traders-take-a-beating-as-dollar-rally-gives-way?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ade">ADE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cud">CUD</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ere">ERE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxa">FXA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxb">FXB</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxc">FXC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxe">FXE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxf">FXF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxy">FXY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jyn">JYN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sze">SZE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/udn">UDN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup">UUP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Monday Options Update: XLF, ETFC, CF, HGSI, EEM, BEBE, SMH and VRTX </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/170658-monday-options-update-xlf-etfc-cf-hgsi-eem-bebe-smh-and-vrtx?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">170658</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Financial Select Sector SPDR</strong> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/xlf' title='More opinion and analysis of XLF'>XLF</a>) &ndash; A large bearish spread in the June 2010 contract suggests one investor feels the need for downside protection through expiration. Shares are slightly up this afternoon by about 0.25% to $14.09. The trader purchased 20,000 put options at the June 14 strike for an average premium of 1.91 apiece. He financed the long position by selling 20,000 puts at the June 11 strike for 74 cents each, and by selling another 20,000 puts at the lower June 10 strike for 51 cents premium. The net cost of the transaction amounts to 66 cents per contract. The investor responsible for the three-legged spread is possibly holding a long stock position in the XLF. The put options might then serve to protect the value of the position in the event that shares decline beneath the effective breakeven point at $13.34 by expiration. The fact that the trader is short two times as many puts indicates this investor expects a pullback but not a collapse beneath the lower strike price of $10.00. </p>    <p><strong>E*Trade Financial Corp. </strong>(<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/etfc' title='More opinion and analysis of ETFC'>ETFC</a>) &ndash; The Wall Street Journal reported that ETFC withdrew its application for funding through the Troubled Asset Relief Program (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tarp' title='More opinion and analysis of TARP'>TARP</a>) because the company&rsquo;s &ldquo;recent capital-raising and debt-reduction efforts negates the need for the money.&rdquo; E*Trade raised $150 million by selling stock in the third quarter out of some $765 million of sold stock this year. The seemingly bullish news that the company no longer plans to participate in the capital-purchase program did not do much for the current share price, which slipped 6% lower to $1.37. Our scanners picked up on interesting options activity this afternoon that may or may not have been inspired by today&rsquo;s news. It appears 95,000 put options sold at the January 1.0 strike for about 5.5 pennies apiece. One may infer the transaction represents bullish sentiment on ETFC if the sale of the put options is fresh activity. If this is the case, the trader pockets the 5.5 cents premium, and expects shares to remain above $1.00 through expiration. However, the sale could also be the work of an investor closing out a long put position given the already high reading of open interest at the small number of available strike prices. </p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 02 Nov 2009 15:58:20 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Financial Select Sector SPDR</strong> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/xlf' title='More opinion and analysis of XLF'>XLF</a>) &ndash; A large bearish spread in the June 2010 contract suggests one investor feels the need for downside protection through expiration. Shares are slightly up this afternoon by about 0.25% to $14.09. The trader purchased 20,000 put options at the June 14 strike for an average premium of 1.91 apiece. He financed the long position by selling 20,000 puts at the June 11 strike for 74 cents each, and by selling another 20,000 puts at the lower June 10 strike for 51 cents premium. The net cost of the transaction amounts to 66 cents per contract. The investor responsible for the three-legged spread is possibly holding a long stock position in the XLF. The put options might then serve to protect the value of the position in the event that shares decline beneath the effective breakeven point at $13.34 by expiration. The fact that the trader is short two times as many puts indicates this investor expects a pullback but not a collapse beneath the lower strike price of $10.00. </p>    <p><strong>E*Trade Financial Corp. </strong>(<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/etfc' title='More opinion and analysis of ETFC'>ETFC</a>) &ndash; The Wall Street Journal reported that ETFC withdrew its application for funding through the Troubled Asset Relief Program (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/tarp' title='More opinion and analysis of TARP'>TARP</a>) because the company&rsquo;s &ldquo;recent capital-raising and debt-reduction efforts negates the need for the money.&rdquo; E*Trade raised $150 million by selling stock in the third quarter out of some $765 million of sold stock this year. The seemingly bullish news that the company no longer plans to participate in the capital-purchase program did not do much for the current share price, which slipped 6% lower to $1.37. Our scanners picked up on interesting options activity this afternoon that may or may not have been inspired by today&rsquo;s news. It appears 95,000 put options sold at the January 1.0 strike for about 5.5 pennies apiece. One may infer the transaction represents bullish sentiment on ETFC if the sale of the put options is fresh activity. If this is the case, the trader pockets the 5.5 cents premium, and expects shares to remain above $1.00 through expiration. However, the sale could also be the work of an investor closing out a long put position given the already high reading of open interest at the small number of available strike prices. </p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/170658-monday-options-update-xlf-etfc-cf-hgsi-eem-bebe-smh-and-vrtx?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bebe">BEBE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cf">CF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/eem">EEM</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/etfc">ETFC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/hgsi">HGSI</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/smh">SMH</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vrtx">VRTX</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/xlf">XLF</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Monday FX View: A Smoother Start to a Week Has Dealers Mark Down Dollar</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/170552-monday-fx-view-a-smoother-start-to-a-week-has-dealers-mark-down-dollar?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">170552</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>It&rsquo;s amazing the difference a weekend can make and once again as we situate ourselves this morning, it&rsquo;s as if nothing ever happened last week. At the least one couldn&rsquo;t really tell that equity markets came under severe stress and that broadening ranges jolted implied volatility into action. At the start of a busy week with the global focus on central bank decisions, the soother start has given dealers cause to soften their demand for dollars and yen and once again commodity dollars are back in demand. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124b57552b65c0b5&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 02 Nov 2009 10:20:44 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>It&rsquo;s amazing the difference a weekend can make and once again as we situate ourselves this morning, it&rsquo;s as if nothing ever happened last week. At the least one couldn&rsquo;t really tell that equity markets came under severe stress and that broadening ranges jolted implied volatility into action. At the start of a busy week with the global focus on central bank decisions, the soother start has given dealers cause to soften their demand for dollars and yen and once again commodity dollars are back in demand. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124b57552b65c0b5&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/170552-monday-fx-view-a-smoother-start-to-a-week-has-dealers-mark-down-dollar?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ade">ADE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cud">CUD</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ere">ERE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxa">FXA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxb">FXB</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxc">FXC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxe">FXE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxf">FXF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxy">FXY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jyn">JYN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sze">SZE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/udn">UDN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup">UUP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Friday's Options Update: VIX, FEED, ODP, NRG</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/170210-friday-s-options-update-vix-feed-odp-nrg?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">170210</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>CBOE Vix index &#40;VIX&#41; &ndash; </strong>With equity prices sadly wilting by noon on Friday, investors were threatening to completely reverse Thursday&rsquo;s giddy 2% advance. Traders were despondent after a 0.5% drop in consumer spending last month, which soured the tone following Thursday&rsquo;s stimulus-stuffed GDP gain. The fear-gauge expanded by 8% to 26.70 as a result and one large options player appears to have placed a trade suggesting that volatility will be omnipresent &ndash; at least through year-end. The investor sold 10,000 December expiration puts at the 25 strike for a 1.75 premium, while buying half as many puts in the January expiration at the same strike. If the underlying Vix index settles at expiration above a value of the 25 strike price, the puts would expire worthless. This suggests this investor sees a rocky close to the year with volatility remaining elevated. The purchase of 5,000 puts for a 1.95 premium expiring 30 days later suggests the investor sees a calmer start to next year.</p><p><strong>AgFeed Industries, Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/feed' title='More opinion and analysis of FEED'>FEED</a>) &ndash;</strong> Shares of the Chinese feed and commercial hog producing company are trading 2.5% higher today to stand at $4.73. The firm received a &lsquo;buy&rsquo; recommendation at EVA Dimensions yesterday. Option traders took to the May 2010 contract to initiate bullish positions on the stock. It appears a ratio risk reversal was established through the sale of 3,000 in-the-money puts at the May 5.0 strike for an average premium of 1.43 apiece, spread against the purchase of approximately 9,000 calls at the higher May 7.5 strike for 45 cents each. The transaction results in a net credit of 8 pennies per contract. Shares of FEED must rise and subsequently remain higher than $5.00 in order for investors to retain the full 8 cent credit received on the trade. Additional profits are available in the event that the stock rallies a whopping 59% from the current price to surpass the $7.50-level by expiration in May. Options trading volume of approximately 14,000 contracts today represents about 47% of total existing open interest on the stock of 29,805 lots.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 30 Oct 2009 13:40:38 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>CBOE Vix index &#40;VIX&#41; &ndash; </strong>With equity prices sadly wilting by noon on Friday, investors were threatening to completely reverse Thursday&rsquo;s giddy 2% advance. Traders were despondent after a 0.5% drop in consumer spending last month, which soured the tone following Thursday&rsquo;s stimulus-stuffed GDP gain. The fear-gauge expanded by 8% to 26.70 as a result and one large options player appears to have placed a trade suggesting that volatility will be omnipresent &ndash; at least through year-end. The investor sold 10,000 December expiration puts at the 25 strike for a 1.75 premium, while buying half as many puts in the January expiration at the same strike. If the underlying Vix index settles at expiration above a value of the 25 strike price, the puts would expire worthless. This suggests this investor sees a rocky close to the year with volatility remaining elevated. The purchase of 5,000 puts for a 1.95 premium expiring 30 days later suggests the investor sees a calmer start to next year.</p><p><strong>AgFeed Industries, Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/feed' title='More opinion and analysis of FEED'>FEED</a>) &ndash;</strong> Shares of the Chinese feed and commercial hog producing company are trading 2.5% higher today to stand at $4.73. The firm received a &lsquo;buy&rsquo; recommendation at EVA Dimensions yesterday. Option traders took to the May 2010 contract to initiate bullish positions on the stock. It appears a ratio risk reversal was established through the sale of 3,000 in-the-money puts at the May 5.0 strike for an average premium of 1.43 apiece, spread against the purchase of approximately 9,000 calls at the higher May 7.5 strike for 45 cents each. The transaction results in a net credit of 8 pennies per contract. Shares of FEED must rise and subsequently remain higher than $5.00 in order for investors to retain the full 8 cent credit received on the trade. Additional profits are available in the event that the stock rallies a whopping 59% from the current price to surpass the $7.50-level by expiration in May. Options trading volume of approximately 14,000 contracts today represents about 47% of total existing open interest on the stock of 29,805 lots.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/170210-friday-s-options-update-vix-feed-odp-nrg?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/feed">FEED</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nrg">NRG</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/odp">ODP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Thursday Options Update: HGSI, MSTR, INTC, FXI, EFA, AA, AVP, RDC, &amp; PLL</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/169876-thursday-options-update-hgsi-mstr-intc-fxi-efa-aa-avp-rdc-pll?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">169876</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Human Genome Sciences, Inc.  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/hgsi' title='More opinion and analysis of HGSI'>HGSI</a>)</strong> &ndash; Shares of the biopharmaceutical company made a miraculous recovery since yesterday&rsquo;s slaughter by exploding 13.25% higher during the session to $20.40. Traders populated various contracts with bullish plays after HGSI was raised to &lsquo;overweight&rsquo; from &lsquo;neutral&rsquo; with a 12-month target share price of $25.00 at JPMorgan. Heavy call volume in the November contract was likely driven by traders anticipating results of Phase 3 trials employed to evaluate the efficacy of HGSI&rsquo;s potential drug treatment for lupus, Benlysta. Trading at the November 20/25/30 strike prices mimicked the butterfly spread strategy, and suggests perhaps that traders expect shares to rise to $25.00 by expiration. Investors bought at least 3,500 calls at the November 20 strike for 1.88 apiece as well as purchased 3,500 calls at the November 30 strike for 60 cents each. These contracts effectively mimic the wings of the spread while the 9,000 calls sold at the central November 25 strike perhaps represent the body of the spread. Call spreads were initiated in both the December and January contracts. The December transaction, for example, involved the purchase of 1,000 calls at the December 25 strike for 2.60 each, spread against the sale of 1,000 calls at the higher December 30 strike for 1.00 apiece. The net cost of the trade amounts to 1.60 per contract. Thus, the investor may accumulate maximum potential profits of 3.40 per contract if shares of HGSI rally up to $30.00 by expiration day in December.  </p>    <p><strong>Microstrategy, Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mstr' title='More opinion and analysis of MSTR'>MSTR</a>) </strong>&ndash; The software company appeared on our &lsquo;hot by options volume&rsquo; market scanner this afternoon due to bullish options activity. Investors initiated optimistic plays on the stock despite the 1% decline in shares to $73.03. Profit-taking action appeared in the January 2010 contract while fresh positions were taken in the April 2010 contract. It looks like one investor originally purchased 3,600 calls at the now in-the-money January 70 strike for an average premium of between 3.00 to 3.50 per contract back on July 31, 2009. Today the trader sold the calls for a whopping 7.20 apiece. Net profits enjoyed on the closing sale amount to a minimum of 3.70 up to 4.20 each. Thus, total potential profits earned by the trader are anywhere from $1,332,000 to $1,512,000. In the April contract a bullish risk reversal suggests investors expect the stock to rise significantly by expiration.  The reversal involved the sale of 3,600 puts at the January 60 strike for 2.45 apiece, spread against the purchase of 3,600 calls at the higher April 85 strike for 3.70 each. The net cost of the transaction amounts to 1.25 per contract. Profits are available in the event that shares surge at least 18% to $86.25 by expiration day in April. We note that shares have not traded higher than $85.00 since April 30, 2008. </p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2009 15:55:07 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Human Genome Sciences, Inc.  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/hgsi' title='More opinion and analysis of HGSI'>HGSI</a>)</strong> &ndash; Shares of the biopharmaceutical company made a miraculous recovery since yesterday&rsquo;s slaughter by exploding 13.25% higher during the session to $20.40. Traders populated various contracts with bullish plays after HGSI was raised to &lsquo;overweight&rsquo; from &lsquo;neutral&rsquo; with a 12-month target share price of $25.00 at JPMorgan. Heavy call volume in the November contract was likely driven by traders anticipating results of Phase 3 trials employed to evaluate the efficacy of HGSI&rsquo;s potential drug treatment for lupus, Benlysta. Trading at the November 20/25/30 strike prices mimicked the butterfly spread strategy, and suggests perhaps that traders expect shares to rise to $25.00 by expiration. Investors bought at least 3,500 calls at the November 20 strike for 1.88 apiece as well as purchased 3,500 calls at the November 30 strike for 60 cents each. These contracts effectively mimic the wings of the spread while the 9,000 calls sold at the central November 25 strike perhaps represent the body of the spread. Call spreads were initiated in both the December and January contracts. The December transaction, for example, involved the purchase of 1,000 calls at the December 25 strike for 2.60 each, spread against the sale of 1,000 calls at the higher December 30 strike for 1.00 apiece. The net cost of the trade amounts to 1.60 per contract. Thus, the investor may accumulate maximum potential profits of 3.40 per contract if shares of HGSI rally up to $30.00 by expiration day in December.  </p>    <p><strong>Microstrategy, Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mstr' title='More opinion and analysis of MSTR'>MSTR</a>) </strong>&ndash; The software company appeared on our &lsquo;hot by options volume&rsquo; market scanner this afternoon due to bullish options activity. Investors initiated optimistic plays on the stock despite the 1% decline in shares to $73.03. Profit-taking action appeared in the January 2010 contract while fresh positions were taken in the April 2010 contract. It looks like one investor originally purchased 3,600 calls at the now in-the-money January 70 strike for an average premium of between 3.00 to 3.50 per contract back on July 31, 2009. Today the trader sold the calls for a whopping 7.20 apiece. Net profits enjoyed on the closing sale amount to a minimum of 3.70 up to 4.20 each. Thus, total potential profits earned by the trader are anywhere from $1,332,000 to $1,512,000. In the April contract a bullish risk reversal suggests investors expect the stock to rise significantly by expiration.  The reversal involved the sale of 3,600 puts at the January 60 strike for 2.45 apiece, spread against the purchase of 3,600 calls at the higher April 85 strike for 3.70 each. The net cost of the transaction amounts to 1.25 per contract. Profits are available in the event that shares surge at least 18% to $86.25 by expiration day in April. We note that shares have not traded higher than $85.00 since April 30, 2008. </p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/169876-thursday-options-update-hgsi-mstr-intc-fxi-efa-aa-avp-rdc-pll?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aa">AA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/avp">AVP</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/efa">EFA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxi">FXI</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/hgsi">HGSI</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/intc">INTC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mstr">MSTR</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/pll">PLL</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/rdc">RDC</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Thursday FX View: Dollar Flexing at an Impasse After Growth Soothes Nerves</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/169838-thursday-fx-view-dollar-flexing-at-an-impasse-after-growth-soothes-nerves?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">169838</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>The oversize rebound in the value of the British pound this morning indicates the reliance the globe has on U.S. led growth. Third quarter American GDP jumped at a 3.5% pace. Today&rsquo;s data provided investors with a reason to breathe easier after several sessions in which they fretted about weaker growth ahead despite the fact that just about all S&amp;P component companies are turning in A-plus report cards. The data caused the risk pendulum to reach its maximum extent and on the backstroke has clipped the dollar and yen on the hop. The dollar is down across the board except against the yen. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124a0c93074beb0a&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2009 11:00:19 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>Andrew Wilkinson</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p>The oversize rebound in the value of the British pound this morning indicates the reliance the globe has on U.S. led growth. Third quarter American GDP jumped at a 3.5% pace. Today&rsquo;s data provided investors with a reason to breathe easier after several sessions in which they fretted about weaker growth ahead despite the fact that just about all S&amp;P component companies are turning in A-plus report cards. The data caused the risk pendulum to reach its maximum extent and on the backstroke has clipped the dollar and yen on the hop. The dollar is down across the board except against the yen. </p>    <p><img src="https://mail.google.com/a/seekingalpha.com/?ui=2&amp;ik=166acd8ad7&amp;view=att&amp;th=124a0c93074beb0a&amp;attid=0.1&amp;disp=emb&amp;zw" /></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/169838-thursday-fx-view-dollar-flexing-at-an-impasse-after-growth-soothes-nerves?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ade">ADE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cud">CUD</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ere">ERE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxa">FXA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxb">FXB</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxc">FXC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxe">FXE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxf">FXF</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxy">FXY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/jyn">JYN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sze">SZE</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/udn">UDN</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup">UUP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/andrew-wilkinson">Andrew Wilkinson</category>
    </item>
  </channel>
</rss>
