Andy Abraham

10 Reasons Why We Still Haven't Hit Bottom

Technical Analysis does not work >>> what ...I can not disagree further...what about fundamental... any trend follower would have benefitted from this trend... it is so clear...

Just put up a monthly chart with a 13 period moving average..if you are above it...you are long...below...you are short.. not all that complicated... I agree to disagree with you

That Wasn't a Bear Market, This Is a Bear Market!

How about all the money that has been lost trying to catch a bottom....seems like the last 6 months have been brutal...look at Abu Dhabi Investment authority purchase of Citi... or Singapore's investment ...or even China's in Black rock...Follow the trend... it will save you money.. don't predict

John Hussman: Are Stocks Really Undervalued?

All one has to do is look at periods of 1982 or 1974 and compare... we are not cheap yet...

What happened to the concept of being a long term partial owner of a great company...and let compounding work over years...

Hopefully we will have oppurtunities again...

Can the Fed Really Just Print Money?

Watch for the Long Bond to start falling this is a Jim Rogers Trade...but so obvious... just as the housing bubble no one wanted to see....

Europe's Bank Nationalization Fever

Why are you so sure that the market can't rebound?

Cramer: Dow Could Drop Another 14%, Oil's Going to $50

It is interesting you mentioned oil going to $50 dollars..One of the members of Myinvestorsplace.com sent me a chat that Richard Rainwater has started buying oil again... he bought at $14 in 1998 ...watched it go to $10.00 ...then to the $140s.. maybe he is right..who do you really believe Cramer or Rainwater???

Learn from Japan and Have a Plan

Thank you for your input...as far as a plan for specifics it totally depends on ones risk tolerances and beliefs. Personally I have a seller of much of my stock holdings and some Hedge Funds and in turn a purchaser of short term treasuries in my and wife's name.

I believe it is too early to be locating extreme value situations in stocks...and more downside is possible. I am focusing on another one of my tenents...that there are always Bull and Bear markets and always something is always trending. I am participating in these by moves by investing as a trader..Looking to buy strength and sell weakness... Looking at groups of commodities,currencies... 100 as well as the OEX100. This is a very basic concept that many Hedge Funds use. The difference is that I am not using leverage, I am using strict money management and correlation. It is the plan that I am using. thank you again for your input

Learn from Japan and Have a Plan

Maybe... but history has shown us that volatility exists in many developing countries.. ie..Russia 1998...eventhough it came back very strongly... thank you for your comments...

Learn from Japan and Have a Plan

That is my point or should I say my opinion with a historical foot note. It seems the US is following in the foot steps of Japan as a pose to letting the market wring out the excesses. ...As far as China and the BRIC components they are experiencing high inflation as well as parabolic stock moves. In another of my articles I stated the BRICs might be vulnerable from a technical standpoint not withstanding the fundamentals. Take a look at my article... I am currently short one of the BRIC ETFs...No one knows where any market is going...there are fundamentalists and technicians... I rather look and try to be a contrarian and ask myself how much will this cost me if the trade does not work out. Any trade is 50/50 and as in Poker I am simply placing my bet.

capitalinvestor1836.bl.../

Learn from Japan and Have a Plan

Sometimes short term tresuries are not so distasteful... Personally I have been purchasing them and avoiding like the plague ..cash equivalent funds with the SIV,CDO and CLOs spicings. A plan is something thought out some time ago... not in the moment with all the emotions..Yes as you mentioned the above ideas are not favorable at this time possibly.. but there are many markets to be involved in... there are always bull markets and bear markets. It all depends on your comfort levels and thoughts on investing. I personally have sold off virtually all my stock holdings as well as some of my Hedge Funds but actively pursuing investment ideas. Thank you in advance...

Learn from Japan and Have a Plan

Even in this situation ...as in all situations...there are and will be oppurtunities. There are all different avenues to make money. There are always markets going up and those going down. The key is to have a thought out plan which encompasses many ideas such as money management, risk and correlations.

Learn from Japan and Have a Plan

Let me say this.. I believe anything can happen..In the late 1980's Japan was also flowing with lax lending standards. The result is history. Even today in Japan many financials are having issues due to current lax consumer lending.