Anton Johnson

Country Funds En Masse Could Be the Answer

I regularly look at alternative ETFs to further diversify my portfolio. I often wonder whether country funds or regional funds offer better results when viewed from a practical sense. The 1 year daily correlation is over 80% between most country indices and their respective regional and/or type indices. Shorter term correlations can diverge significantly however, during brief spurts of country specific event driven volatility. These correlation characteristics imply that a short term rebalancing regime would be needed to capture relative price dislocations among similar country funds found within a broader index. Longer term, these price disparities should be arbitraged away thus providing little if any additional return. Thus, I believe country specific funds are only beneficial to portfolio methodologies that are short term oriented.

As an aside, what should be the goal when constructing a diversified portfolio; should it be a weighted net correlation of 0% (based desired investment timeframe), or maybe + or – 10% or something completely different?