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Aram Durphy

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  • 2 Deep Value Stocks With Excellent Fundamentals [View article]
    Thank you for the feedback. Atmel's price has risen quite a bit recently, off those all-time lows, but I believe it's still an excellent value.
    Jan 11 12:31 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Discounted Free Cash Flow Analysis For 2 Fundamentally Strong Mid-Cap Value Stocks [View article]
    Yes, the discount rate can be more art than science. You can use the weighted average cost of capital formula, but even that isn't as exact as one would like. That's why I like a conservative rate, such as 12% for these companies. We're looking for a margin of safety, so better to play it safe with the analysis. And yes, whenever one selects a rate, it will compound and have a logarithmic effect on the calculation.
    Dec 22 05:30 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Discounted Free Cash Flow Analysis For 2 Fundamentally Strong Mid-Cap Value Stocks [View article]
    I appreciate the comments on whether DCF is a good predictor of growth. Inherent in my approach to BIG and WDC is the concept that we can't simply take the last five year growth rate, and expect FCF growth at the same rate. Especially, if growth is all over the place. That's why I give several FCF growth scenarios for the future. Projecting future growth is independent of the DCF analysis, but the DCF helps with your value analysis once you decide on growth.
    Dec 5 12:29 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Discounted Free Cash Flow Analysis For 2 Fundamentally Strong Mid-Cap Value Stocks [View article]
    I would be interested to hear your objections. It's certainly not the only way to value a company, but I've found DCF useful.
    Nov 15 07:28 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 2 Deep-Value Small Caps [View article]
    BillySundance puts it well. Dividends are great if a company doesn't have better things to do with its cash. But I don't ever view dividends as necessary, especially with growing small-caps.
    Oct 31 02:14 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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