Picks & Pans From The 2012 Ira Sohn Conference [View article]
Apple's a great company facing the law of large numbers. Aswath Damodaran, an expert on valuation and Apple shareholder for 15 years, provides this insight - http://bit.ly/JfzsVh
Buy In May And Go Away? 2 Perspectives [View article]
I believe ABT is only on the Credit Suisse list. But to your point (and having owned ABT in the past) - it does seem richly valued given the various possible futures. However, its 3 and 6 month charts look technically strong, and in this choppy market Pharma is likely to see rotation in, not out IMO. That said, if I had to pick a Pharma for my portfolio, it would be PFE or a 'special situation' such as Sanofi.
Buying Metals? Or Are You Just Buying China? [View article]
thanks. i sent out the correction a few minutes ago, but you beat the SA editors to the punch. however, i would differ from your statement that greenspan is not pumping things up anymore! -- http://bloom.bg/KFVdxC
Revisiting The JDS Uniphase Bull Case [View article]
so here's the re-revisit. there are near-term headwinds, not so much company specific as the combination of decreased carrier spend (despite tapped out networks), the typical summer tech doldrums & the possibility that the 'recovery' of the last 4 months is a head fake in a recession.
for the 3-4 month timeframe given carrier spend trends, no catalysts for optical in general. that said, i don't think JDSU has serious company specific problems, and my position on JDSU on a 9-12 month is optimistic.
5 Reasons To Hang Up On Software Outsourcers [View article]
the Foxconn point isn't related to what Foxconn does. It relates to the point that outsourcers might engage in labor HR practices that are acceptable within the country they operate in, but are not acceptable in the US and will create a backlash and net negative business value for their US client. See the link that is in that point for a different examples around violating US visa policy.
The only sustainable business advantage that outsourcers have is cost. While Cognizant may have Telco expertise (thus the stock is healthier than others like Infy) as a temporary differentiating checkbox, this advantage isn't sustainable against folk like IBM who have formidable technical skills across product, technologies (Java|Linux|Cloud| .. you name it) *and* scalable services. The equilibrium state of an outsourcer who does not have proprietary products is to be a low margin, commodity business
5 Reasons To Hang Up On Software Outsourcers [View article]
Inflationary policies by the Indian Government. Serious talent shortage in India. Rising competition from Brazil (as good and closer), China and even Canada (which is more expensive, but also closer, and very good talent). So, not a case of near-term oblivion, however no catalyst for increasing earnings and therefore increasing stock prices. Several possible scenarios for the reverse (lower earnings, lower but not zero stock prices).
if you have RealMoney subscription, go read Tero Kuittinen's comments about Nokia pre-2007 (http://bit.ly/GRMIet). Tero was a 'Nokia Evangelist' who could see no wrong in all things Nokia. Now think about the following - a) how much Nokia then sounds like Apple now (fabulous company, fabulous execution, fabulous profits), b) how clever and self assured those words sounded, and c) what happened to Nokia since then (fabulous company, fabulous execution, fabulous profits, .. um .. new product categories).
the point isn't whether a company is fabulous as much as the built-in risk in buying the stock at a particular market cap
p.s: And it's not that i'm unfamiliar with Apple products. this blog is written on a MacBook Pro, and read on an ipad 2 or ipad on a continual basis.
Picks & Pans From The 2012 Ira Sohn Conference [View article]
Picks & Pans From The 2012 Ira Sohn Conference [View article]
Picks & Pans From The 2012 Ira Sohn Conference [View article]
Buy In May And Go Away? 2 Perspectives [View article]
Buying Metals? Or Are You Just Buying China? [View article]
Revisiting The JDS Uniphase Bull Case [View article]
for the 3-4 month timeframe given carrier spend trends, no catalysts for optical in general. that said, i don't think JDSU has serious company specific problems, and my position on JDSU on a 9-12 month is optimistic.
5 Networking Stocks: What's Hot And What's Not [View article]
5 Reasons To Hang Up On Software Outsourcers [View article]
5 Reasons To Hang Up On Software Outsourcers [View article]
The only sustainable business advantage that outsourcers have is cost. While Cognizant may have Telco expertise (thus the stock is healthier than others like Infy) as a temporary differentiating checkbox, this advantage isn't sustainable against folk like IBM who have formidable technical skills across product, technologies (Java|Linux|Cloud| .. you name it) *and* scalable services. The equilibrium state of an outsourcer who does not have proprietary products is to be a low margin, commodity business
5 Reasons To Hang Up On Software Outsourcers [View article]
Risk Will Not Equate To Reward For The Near Future [View article]
2 Stocks For Playing 'Peak Water' [View article]
Revisiting The JDS Uniphase Bull Case [View article]
5 Reasons To Warm Up To Microsoft [View article]
the point isn't whether a company is fabulous as much as the built-in risk in buying the stock at a particular market cap
p.s: And it's not that i'm unfamiliar with Apple products. this blog is written on a MacBook Pro, and read on an ipad 2 or ipad on a continual basis.
5 Reasons To Warm Up To Microsoft [View article]