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Boris Marjanovic

 
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  • Profiting From Market Randomness [View article]
    Mr. Capitalist,

    Yes, but these patterns are only visible over very long periods of time. In the short term there are patterns too, but they are mostly random ones.
    Jan 23, 2015. 10:17 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Profiting From Market Randomness [View article]
    hotpbwiki,

    Finding random patterns and trends is easy in any data rich environment. Understanding this randomness in financial market is not rocket science, I agree - it's even more complicated!
    Jan 23, 2015. 10:15 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Profiting From Market Randomness [View article]
    Mitchad2,

    It is not impossible to beat the market. After all, the market is simply an index that tracks a basket of stocks. So the easiest way to beat something like, say, the S&P 500 is to construct an even better index. It's that easy! However, personally I see absolutely no reason to go out and research individual stocks when a systematic approach is easier and performs just as well, if not better.
    Jan 23, 2015. 10:12 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Profiting From Market Randomness [View article]
    papita,

    Thank you for the compliment it truly means a lot!
    Jan 23, 2015. 10:09 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Profiting From Market Randomness [View article]
    Sujan,

    I have read all of Taleb's work, including his research papers. If you are interested in books on randomness, I suggest you pick up "Dance with Chance," it's another great read.
    Jan 23, 2015. 10:06 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Risk Reward Shows Market In The Toilet For 2015 [View article]
    Bradley,

    "oil supply hit record high in the 4th qtr and no end in sight we need to see shut in wells and help from opec to stabilize this decline"

    Such a vague answer. You know who else gives vague answers about the future? Charlatan fortunetellers! If you're honestly as good at forecasting as you said you were, please tell me the "exact" price oil will be at in 6 months. Don't avoid the question. I'm waiting......
    Jan 22, 2015. 10:56 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Risk Reward Shows Market In The Toilet For 2015 [View article]
    Bradley,

    If you knew that oil was going to drop more than 50% over a very short time frame I can guarantee you would have written about it (as well as made enormous profits betting against oil). Nobody expected this crash, simple as that. As they say, hindsight is always 20/20. It seems to me you're better at "postdicting" than predicting.
    Jan 22, 2015. 10:48 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Risk Reward Shows Market In The Toilet For 2015 [View article]
    Nobody can accurately predict when the market will crash...just like nobody predicted, or even expected, the 2014 oil crash. This is because each event is influenced by trillions (and probably an infinite) number of variables. We don't even know what most of the variables are, so it's no wonder we can't accurately predict anything, and we shouldn't even try.

    The wisest thing a trader/investor can do is to always own out-of-the-money puts on the market. Most years they will expire worthless. But when the actual crash does occur your payoff will be enormous and more than make up for those long years of small losses.
    Jan 21, 2015. 07:58 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Twitter Is Buried By Junk Accounts [View article]
    Monkeywine,

    I love the fact that you're trying to attack me personally for no reason (using a fake user name, of course; you're to cowardly to use your real one). This is what people tend to do when they can't find anything wrong with your research.
    Jan 13, 2015. 10:03 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Twitter Is Buried By Junk Accounts [View article]
    Augustus9,

    It's an undeniable fact that most Twitter users don't log back in again after creating an account. In addition, there are tens of millions of fake/bot accounts. Overall, most Twitter accounts are useless and cannot be monetized.
    Jan 13, 2015. 10:00 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Twitter Is Buried By Junk Accounts [View article]
    Monkeywine,

    It seems like you are being a troll.
    Jan 4, 2015. 11:34 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Twitter Is Buried By Junk Accounts [View article]
    agzand,

    "Well, the third world freedom fighter is probably the most serious social media user!"

    Terrorists and freedom fighters will not be too interested in ads. This means they are NOT the type of audience advertisers are looking for!
    Jan 1, 2015. 06:53 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Twitter Is Buried By Junk Accounts [View article]
    "TWTR will be here making money long after most of us are gone."

    Lets assume that the average reader here has another 50 years left to live. What makes you honestly believe that Twitter will be around (let alone be making money) for that long? This is an overly optimistic assumption considering the undeniable "fact" that over any 50-year time frame 99.99% of companies cease to exist (most go bankrupt).
    Jan 1, 2015. 06:47 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Twitter Is Buried By Junk Accounts [View article]
    "I think Twitter is their last chance to own a world class social network, and the price is chump change for them."

    Twitter is hardly a "world class" social network.
    Jan 1, 2015. 02:49 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Twitter Is Buried By Junk Accounts [View article]
    Dave McKay1,

    "What is much more likely is that the Obama team did it to him (it's very cheap $$ to do), then "exposed" the fake accounts to make him look bad."

    The funny thing is that I mentioned in my article that Obama, too, has many fake followers. Perhaps Romney's team bought fake accounts for Obama to make him look bad!
    Jan 1, 2015. 01:40 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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