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Bret Jensen  

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  • 2 Biotech Juggernauts That Belong In Every Growth Portfolio
    Sat, Jan. 31 BIIB, CELG 32 Comments

    Summary

    • The market has had a rough start to 2015 as the overall market has dropped some three percent in January as earnings estimates continue to be revised downward.
    • One sector that has held up well in this downdraft is the large cap biotech space which makes sense given earnings growth here is still robust and not softening.
    • Below are two biotech juggernauts that just reported excellent quarterly numbers and belong in every long term growth portfolio.
  • Boeing To Bound Higher Over Time
    Thu, Jan. 29 BA 24 Comments

    Summary

    • Boeing reported standout results Wednesday morning in what has been a very challenging environment for American multinationals this earnings season.
    • The company now has half a trillion order backlog; enough to sustain it for over five years even it received no new orders for a half-decade.
    • The stock should be a long term core holding for large cap growth investors. The stock is selling at a slight discount to the market and has a solid yield.
  • Not Even Apple Can Save This Market
    Thu, Jan. 29 SPY, DIA, QQQ 69 Comments

    Summary

    • Despite blow out earnings from Apple and other Fortune 500 companies on Wednesday, the market posted its second day of deep declines as volatility continue to increase.
    • Three main factors caused equities to sell off; the continued collapse of oil prices, comments from the Federal Reserve and once again Greece.
    • The market continues to feel like it is at a major inflection point and until these issues get resolved investors could be in for a rocky start to 2015.
  • Do You Believe Me Now?
    Tue, Jan. 27 DIA, SPY, QQQ 262 Comments

    Summary

    • For many months I have become less and less sanguine on the prospects for the market to continue its long rally which I have articulated many times recently.
    • It is appearing more and more this pessimistic outlook is not only warranted but more prudent by the day.
    • The market is starting to wake up to the negative impacts of a strong dollar, a collapse in oil prices, tepid global growth prospects and overly optimistic earnings estimates.
    • Equities feel overdue for a significant pull back if not an outright correction. Investors should pay heed and error right now to the side of caution.
  • Greece, 'Europe's Argentina', Strikes Again
    Mon, Jan. 26 IBM, FXE, UUP 31 Comments

    Summary

    • The story of the day are the election results in Greece which had the result of installing the far left Syriza party in power.
    • Although not as dire as this would have been several years ago, these election results will have impacts to global currencies and markets.
    • What I think this means for global markets and some investable ideas off these events are profiled below.
  • Valero Now Belongs In An Income And Value Portfolio
    Sun, Jan. 25 VLO 63 Comments

    Summary

    • One of the few sectors within the energy complex that has held up well in the market in the face of plunging crude has been the refinery space.
    • Valero Energy is the largest domestic refinery company and my pick within the sector for long-term value and income investors.
    • The company is extremely well positioned for the long term, the stock is cheap and now with an over 3% dividend yield can go into an income portfolio as well.
  • 3 Attractive Biotech Picks For 2015
    Fri, Jan. 23 CRIS, GILD, EGRX 47 Comments

    Summary

    • The biotech sector has outperformed the overall market over the past couple of months, and has been one of the stronger areas within equities during that time frame.
    • There are myriad reasons for this development, which I expect to continue over the near term, as the sector has some outstanding growth prospects.
    • Below I offer up three selections that should thrive within a well-diversified biotech/biopharma portfolio in 2015.
  • Market At Its First Major Inflection Point Of 2015 - Final Chapter
    Wed, Jan. 21 AAPL, AGEN, DIA 21 Comments

    Summary

    • Over the past two days we have taken a look at the key factors deriving the market down to begin 2015 and some reasons investors should remain optimistic.
    • Today we look at some stocks and sectors that should outperform the overall market in the New Year regardless of whether bulls or bears win this current tug of war.
    • These picks include the easiest single stock decision in the market, some plays in the strongest area of the REIT space and a shout out to some biotech selections.
  • Market At Its First Major Inflection Point Of 2015 - Part II
    Tue, Jan. 20 SPY, DIA, QQQ 25 Comments

    Summary

    • In the second of a three part series we take a look at the key drivers that should keep the market from a deep sell-off even as volatility increases.
    • Among these factors are the United States remains the best house in a bad neighborhood and the lack of investable alternatives.
    • Why domestic economic growth should improve and equities should continue to bump along despite stretched valuations and other worries detailed below.
  • Market At Its First Major Inflection Point Of 2015 - Part I
    Mon, Jan. 19 DIA, SPY, QQQ 115 Comments

    Summary

    • It has been a tough beginning of 2015, as volatility has increased markedly, driving stocks down four percent from recent highs.
    • There are three key factors driving the market lower that should be watch items for investors as we go through the next few months in the market.
    • In the first of a three-part series, we will look at these headwinds and what impacts they are having on equities in the new year.
  • My Predictions For 2015 - Final Chapter
    Mon, Jan. 12 AAPL, AGEN, DVAX 40 Comments

    Summary

    • In the final segment of a three part series on predictions for the New Year, we will take a look at some specific stocks that should outperform the market.
    • Investors should tilt their portfolios towards domestic concerns as well as large cap growth stocks selling at attractive valuations.
    • Below are some attractive picks within the biotech, technology and industrial sectors that should have very solid years in 2015.
  • Ford Starts The New Year Off Right
    Fri, Jan. 9 F 42 Comments

    Summary

    • After having a very challenging 2014, Ford is looking at much brighter days in 2015 as new models roll out and earnings ramp up again in the New Year.
    • The company just announced a 20% dividend hike and saw year-over-year growth in China of just under 20 percent.
    • The shares offer a rare combination of value, solid growth prospects in 2015 and now an almost four percent yield as well.
  • Gilead Fires Back
    Wed, Jan. 7 GILD 128 Comments

    Summary

    • The stock of Gilead Sciences was bolstered Monday despite the rout in equities by a new deal to be the preferred vendor in the Hep C space with CVS Health.
    • This is solid first step in firing back at Express Scripts which recently granted exclusive rights to AbbVie for treating some forms of hepatitis C in its network.
    • That announcement caused the stock of Gilead Sciences to decline some 20% and offered investors a great entry point on this cheap long term growth stock in biotech.
  • Agenus: A Speculative But Attractive $4 Small Cap Gem
    Sat, Jan. 3 AGEN 60 Comments

    Summary

    • To start off the New Year, I offer up a deep dive on a small, speculative, but attractive $4/share biotech stock named Agenus Inc.
    • The share price of this biotech firm has been on the move recently, as several positive catalysts have come to the forefront.
    • The stock has many of the traits I like to see in this inherently volatile space, and if things fall into place, the stock could have a great 2015.
  • Morgan Stanley Provides Some Sage Words On Gilead Sciences
    Dec. 30, 2014 GILD 102 Comments

    Summary

    • The shares of biotech juggernaut Gilead Sciences are bouncing nicely off recent declines in the start of a holiday shortened trading week.
    • Fueling the rally are some positive analyst comments and some realistic perspective on the true impact of new competition from AbbVie.
    • This large cap growth stock is offering extremely cheap valuations in light of its earnings growth trajectory and the comparative valuation of the overall market.
  • My Predictions For 2015 - Part II
    Dec. 29, 2014 SPY, DIA, QQQ 57 Comments

    Summary

    • In the second of a three part series on predictions for the New Year, we will take a look at where the domestic economy and markets are headed in 2015.
    • The United States economy has the wind at its back as we enter the New Year and job & economic growth should remain robust in 2015.
    • Domestic markets should continue to benefit from being the best house in a bad neighborhood. Some ideas on what sectors to over and under weight in the coming 12 months.
  • Navidea Pharmaceuticals: An Update On My $2 Biotech Lottery Ticket
    Dec. 23, 2014 NAVB 82 Comments

    Summary

    • It seems time for an investment update on small biotech Navidea Pharmaceuticals given the stock's recent rally and positive developments at the company.
    • Navidea is expanding the geographical footprint of its main product Lymposeek and has made the decision to pursue therapeutic opportunities.
    • These are positive developments that could drive still substantial upside at this small speculative opportunity for aggressive growth investors in the biotech space.
  • My Predictions For 2015 - Part I
    Dec. 23, 2014 SPY, VGK, OIL 105 Comments

    Summary

    • With only a few more trading sessions left in 2014, it is the time of the year financial commentators offer up their predictions for the New Year.
    • This is the first of a three part series that will look at two macro trends that should continue, what's ahead for the market and some good stocks to own.
    • Today we look at why oil should end higher than its current levels and why the Eurozone will continue to show disappointing growth facilitating a further slide in the euro.
  • Oasis Petroleum: High Risk/High Reward Oil Play
    Dec. 22, 2014 OAS 21 Comments

    Summary

    • After three months of a deep consistent decline, the exploration & production sector finally had a significant surge in the market this week as oil prices started to stabilize.
    • Sometimes the best time to invest is when there is "blood in the streets". The E&P sector certainly qualifies. Encouragingly insiders are also increasing their purchases in this space recently.
    • One stock with recent insider activity is Bakken play Oasis Petroleum. Why I believe this energy concern will be a long term winner for patient investors is detailed below.
  • Gilead: What's Ahead In 2015 For This Biotech Juggernaut
    Dec. 20, 2014 GILD 438 Comments

    Summary

    • Biotech juggernaut Gilead Sciences has provided its shareholders with better than a 30% gain in 2014 so far as we head into the end of the year.
    • Although the stock has spent the last three months consolidating those gains in a relatively narrow trading range, the direction for 2015 remains up.
    • Gilead has several major positive catalysts on the horizon in 2015. Why I believe the stock will head much higher in the twelve months ahead is detailed below.
  • Micron: A Big Value Story Most Of The Market Is Missing
    Dec. 18, 2014 MU 62 Comments

    Summary

    • After a very solid first half of 2014, the stock of Micron has spent the last six months moving in a relatively narrow trading range consolidating first half gains.
    • However, core business fundamentals are improving, the stock is very cheap and earnings estimates continue to rise.
    • Why I believe the stock has 40% to 50% upside over the next 12 months is profiled below.
  • Procera Networks: A Cash Rich Small-Cap Gem To Consider
    Dec. 17, 2014 PKT 11 Comments

    Summary

    • Beaten down Procera Networks is rallying today on the announcement of some new orders and this could be the start of a significant rally in the stock.
    • The shares have had a tough year as the stock has been cut in half from earlier highs as revenue growth failed to materialize during the year.
    • However, the company has a cash rich balance sheet, activist funds are circling and positive catalysts are on the horizon. The environment is starting to look brighter for Procera.
  • Time To Buy Boeing
    Dec. 17, 2014 BA 28 Comments

    Summary

    • The market just had its worse week in more than two years and that pullback has extended into this week.
    • The decline in equities has started to yield some solid entry points on some strong businesses, one of these is Boeing which has a massive order backlog.
    • The company also just announced it is rewarding shareholders by increasing its dividend and stock repurchase program. Why the stock is a good value here is detailed below.
  • Plays For The Euro Heading To Parity To The Dollar
    Dec. 15, 2014 FXE, UUP, MCD 52 Comments

    Summary

    • Barron's had a good piece in this weekend's magazine speculating the recent fall in the euro will take the currency to parity to the dollar in 1-2 years.
    • This seems a likely occurrence given the divergence of the two continents' economic performance and the need of the European Central Bank to engage in further quantitative easing.
    • What this likely convergence will mean for the markets, and some ideas on how to play this upcoming parity.
  • The Collapse In Oil Prices Rocks The Markets
    Dec. 13, 2014 OIL, CRUD, USO 73 Comments

    Summary

    • The oil markets continued their free fall last week. The accelerating decline in oil prices was a key factor to the big plunge in the markets this week.
    • The speed of the fall in crude is causing some severe dislocations in the economy and the market that investors should be aware of.
    • The market could remain very volatile until oil prices stabilize. The three main negative impacts of falling oil prices are profiled below.
  • Conatus Pharmaceuticals: A Potential Double Worth Consideration
    Dec. 13, 2014 CNAT 27 Comments

    Summary

    • The biotech sector continues to hold up well despite the recent carnage in specific other sectors of the market triggered by the deep declines in the oil market.
    • I continue to find worthy if speculative plays within the small biotech sector. Investors should diversify to a greater degree within the sector due to the volatility in the space.
    • One small cap that has behaved well since I profiled it in August is Conatus Pharmaceuticals. Why I am optimistic about additional potentially significant upside in 2015 is profiled below.
  • Chatham Lodging Trust: Still An Attractive Yield Play
    Dec. 12, 2014 CLDT 10 Comments

    Summary

    • The high yield space has been challenging of late with poor performance from both upstream energy partnerships and business development companies.
    • I continue to prefer real estate investment trusts for income as valuations are reasonable and interest rates should remain historically low for the foreseeable future.
    • My favorite area within the REIT space is lodging due to its improving business fundamentals. That's why Chatham Lodging Trust remains a core position within that industry in my portfolio.
  • Avago Technologies: A Blue-Chip Gem For The Holidays
    Dec. 11, 2014 AVGO 11 Comments

    Summary

    • Avago Technologies has more than tripled since I identified it as a great play on the huge LTE rollout happening in this country.
    • The company continues to hit on all cylinders and recently delivered a stellar quarterly earnings report.
    • Despite the huge run up in the shares of this blue-chip gem, the stock still sports an attractive valuation given its continued growth prospects.
  • Dow 18,000? Not So Fast
    Dec. 11, 2014 DIA, SPY, QQQ 30 Comments

    Summary

    • After advancing for six weeks in a row, the market is selling off this week on a variety of factors such as the implosion of oil prices.
    • Equities were overdue for a rally and it is becoming obvious that there are some major concerns investors should be aware of.
    • It feels like we could be in the middle of a decent pullback and caution continues to be call for at this point in time.
  • DynaVax Technologies: The Small Cap Gem Focus Stock Of The Week
    Dec. 10, 2014 DVAX 20 Comments

    Summary

    • The small cap biotech area has been a strong performer of late mitigating some of the pain in the small cap energy sector.
    • There are several things I look for when making an investment in this space including a promising pipeline, cash on hand and partnerships with major players in pharma or biotech.
    • DynaVax Technologies fits that bill and is why I have a small position in this high risk/high reward play.
  • The Contagion From The Imploding Oil Market Spreads
    Dec. 9, 2014 CHK, OIL, SLCA 108 Comments

    Summary

    • The fall in oil prices has decimated the stocks of exploration & production concerns as well as energy services companies.
    • This contagion is starting to spread to other sectors of the market and the economy and has been a factor in the decline of the overall market this week.
    • This development bears watching and could be one of the primary factors in determining market direction over the next few months.
  • Tutor Perini: An Oversold Small-Cap Gem
    Dec. 8, 2014 TPC 54 Comments

    Summary

    • This week's small-cap stock focus article revolves around Tutor Perini, a construction firm whose stock has sold off 20% over the past three months.
    • This presents a great long-term entry point on a company with a large and growing order backlog and which is benefiting from a decision to diversify its income streams.
    • No wonder how one slices the company, the stock is cheap and earnings are set to grow 20% annually.