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Brian Nichols  

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  • One Chart Shows Why Skechers Can Continue To Move Higher
    Dec. 3, 2014 SKX Comment!

    Summary

    • SKX at $60 is actually cheaper than it was at $34.
    • SKX net income growth has far exceeded its stock price.
    • Analyst expectations have consistently risen.
    • SKX is a better investment opportunity than UA.
  • Is Amazon.com A Good Holiday Buy Now?
    Dec. 3, 2014 AMZN 10 Comments

    Summary

    • By all accounts AMZN is performing well this holiday season, as expected.
    • In assessing AMZN as an investment, the valuation of AWS must be considered.
    • Is AMZN presenting a good investment opportunity or should investors stick with the likes of WMT and TGT?
  • 4 Investment Ideas Following The Crash Of Oil Prices
    Dec. 2, 2014 CLR, DRI, EOG 8 Comments

    Summary

    • Two industries where investors can profit long term from current oil prices.
    • What's the best way to hedge the unknowns of future oil prices?
    • Are there any good buys in oil?
  • Seadrill: I Stand Corrected, So Now What?
    Nov. 28, 2014 SDRL 130 Comments

    Summary

    • I was dead wrong about SDRL.
    • While the news is surprising, did SDRL make a good decision by suspending the dividend?
    • Is there more value than investors realize in the buybacks?
    • Should investors buy now, wait, or avoid SDRL following its big news?
  • Why Oracle Should Buy Workday
    Nov. 28, 2014 WDAY, ORCL 28 Comments

    Summary

    • Oracle needs help in the cloud, specifically in SaaS.
    • Oracle faces stiff competition from Workday in the future $70 billion HR management industry.
    • While expensive, Workday would give ORCL more than a cloud service, but rather a growing ecosystem.
    • If ORCL doesn't buy WDAY, there are other companies that might.
  • Why Qihoo 360 Shares Are Worth Far More Than $76
    Nov. 28, 2014 QIHU 10 Comments

    Summary

    • Qihoo 360 trades at $75 a share, with a market capitalization of just $9 billion.
    • WhatsApp was purchased for over $20 billion for its 600 million users; Qihoo's security user base is much larger.
    • Baidu has a market capitalization over $85 billion, but Qihoo has consistently stolen market share and now has half Baidu's search share.
    • Qihoo is now launching monetization tools for search, which should have a profound effect on the business.
    • Given Qihoo's large user base in two different segments, combined with future monetization efforts, $75 is too cheap.
  • Why My Outlook On Rackspace Hosting Has Changed, Significantly!
    Nov. 25, 2014 RAX 6 Comments

    Summary

    • Why I have been one of the biggest bears on RAX the last year, even sparking a response from CEO Taylor Rhodes.
    • Up until this point, I've been right entirely, but the company continues to prove that a niche market exists for its cloud business.
    • While RAX will never replicate MSFT, AMZN, or GOOG's success in the cloud, large stock gains can still be created.
  • The Simple Way To Hedge Halliburton's Buyout Of Baker Hughes
    Nov. 25, 2014 BHI, HAL 21 Comments

    Summary

    • There are a lot of questions surrounding whether or not HAL will win regulatory approval to acquire BHI.
    • If HAL does acquire BHI, what's the best investment?
    • If the deal falls through, is there any investment value?
    • Here's how I am hedging the many scenarios.
  • Should Investors Buy Foot Locker After Earnings Or Stay Away?
    Nov. 24, 2014 FL 1 Comment

    Summary

    • FL fell after beating earnings expectations.
    • Why did it trade lower?
    • Is FL now a buying opportunity?
  • 2 Retail Stocks Poised For A Holiday Pop
    Nov. 24, 2014 COH, KORS, NKE 3 Comments

    Summary

    • This holiday season is expected to be far better than last year.
    • 2 companies in particular present a rare combination of value and growth leading into the holiday season.
    • Given this combination, large stock gains are more than likely.
  • 3 Key Takeaways From Best Buy's Earnings You May Have Missed
    Nov. 21, 2014 BBY 4 Comments

    Summary

    • Best Buy had a solid third quarter, led by comparable sales growth of 2.2%.
    • Besides top and bottom line performance, Best Buy provides very detailed analysis full of hints as to how it will perform this holiday season.
    • The company also provides an unbiased outlook at how certain segments are performing, allowing to determine which companies may be a buy this holiday season.
  • Alibaba's Potential Game Changer Is Set To Launch
    Nov. 21, 2014 BABA 8 Comments

    Summary

    • Alibaba controls a large chunk of China's B2C market, meaning the company's future growth in China could be tied to the industry itself.
    • Alibaba must pursue international growth aside from B2C.
    • A recent report states that BABA is planning to launch an international version to its Taobao Marketplace, a potential game changer.
  • Why I'm Buying More Vipshop Holdings Stock After Q3 Earnings
    Nov. 19, 2014 VIPS 6 Comments

    Summary

    • Despite being one of the best-performing stocks of the last two years, VIPS might still present a good investment opportunity.
    • A look at VIPS Q3 earnings.
    • China's online retail trends and market share leaders.
    • VIPS opportunity to grow larger long term.
  • Seadrill, Linn Energy, And BP All Have One Thing In Common
    Nov. 19, 2014 BP, LINE, SDRL 13 Comments

    Summary

    • SDRL, LINE, and BP all operate in energy, but are very different companies.
    • All have seen significant stock losses with the fall of oil prices.
    • Aside from stock performance, there's one more thing these stocks share that investors will like.
  • Why 15% Of BlackBerry Is Worth The Entire Market Capitalization
    Nov. 18, 2014 BBRY 157 Comments

    Summary

    • BBRY investors have seemingly focused on services and phones while neglecting fast-growing segments.
    • This fast-growing segment will drive the future of BBRY, leading to Project Ion and the company's place in IoT.
    • BBRY might be the most undervalued company in technology.
  • Why Celldex Therapeutics' Stock Is Now Ready For Takeoff
    Nov. 18, 2014 CLDX 10 Comments

    Summary

    • CLDX's Rindopepimut data confirms a strong pipeline beyond CDX-011.
    • The stock was oversold and beaten down stemming from CDX-1135's pilot study.
    • The high volume on Monday combined with large stock gains suggests a long-term reversal in stock.
    • The long-term potential gains in CLDX based on Rindopepimut and CDX-011's peak sales is enormous.
  • Apple, IBM, Cisco, Oracle Or Microsoft: Which Tech Giant Has The Most 'Effective' Buyback Program?
    Nov. 17, 2014 AAPL, CSCO, IBM 9 Comments

    Summary

    • AAPL has the largest buyback program in world, but is it the most effective?
    • Which tech giant's buybacks are the largest percentage of stock gains?
    • The most effective buyback program is not your first, or likely second, choice. The outcome is quite surprising.
  • Fossil Investors Are Forgetting This Looming Threat
    Nov. 14, 2014 FOSL 8 Comments

    Summary

    • Fossil's Q3 was solid, its stock attractively valued, but investors must remember that Fossil is significantly lagging in the smart watch arena.
    • Apple Watch is coming soon, therefore Fossil's performance today is hardly an indication of the future.
    • Despite partnerships with Intel and Google, 3 other developers are already in line for Android Wear products, whereas Fossil is not.
  • Why Rite Aid Will Retest $9
    Nov. 13, 2014 RAD 34 Comments

    Summary

    • 2 years left in patent cliff, which means higher margins for pharmacies.
    • Generic introduction delays and supply chain problems are temporary; these problems forced RAD to lower EPS guidance.
    • RAD is now a growing company.
    • RAD is cheap relative to competitors.
  • Seadrill: You'd Have To Be Crazy To Sell This Stock
    Nov. 13, 2014 SDRL 309 Comments

    Summary

    • SDRL risks are fully reflected in the stock.
    • SDRL's rig utilization rate, minimal short-term debt obligations, and industry-best dividend are all reasons to buy.
    • Oil is historically volatile, and will recover until a large scale alternative is found.
    • Concerns of dividend risk are overstated, if not illogical given SDRL's recent history.
  • Why Alcatel-Lucent Investors Should Rest Easy About AT&T's CAPEX
    Nov. 12, 2014 ALU 19 Comments

    Summary

    • ALU fell harder than any large equipment vendor after AT&T's CAPEX guidance for 2015.
    • ALU's operating focus lies in IP routing, IP switching, neither reflect areas where AT&T will see spending cuts.
    • AT&T is becoming less important to ALU, as China takes center stage for ALU.
    • 20% of ALU's business is worth more than its entire market capitalization.
  • Salix Pharmaceuticals: What Scares Me Most About Its High Inventory & Stock Collapse
    Nov. 11, 2014 SLXP 2 Comments

    Summary

    • SLXP inventory on top products are 3x higher than targeted levels.
    • The increase in Santarus product inventory is mindboggling in just three quarters time.
    • Past revenue reporting is likely unreliable.
    • Having to lower inventory combined with generic pressure leave a dire outlook on the stock.
  • XPO Logistics: Chapter 4 Begins With A Bang
    Nov. 11, 2014 XPO 30 Comments

    Summary

    • XPO Logistics is an aggressive growth company that's best viewed as a book, in multiple chapters.
    • This next chapter moves beyond revenue growth and into profits.
    • Why shares will eventually top $100.
  • Forget Nike & Under Armour, Why Skechers Is The Best Investment
    Nov. 10, 2014 SKX 6 Comments

    Summary

    • 2 charts show why SKX is a better investment than UA or NKE.
    • SKX growth in several categories suggest longevity.
    • NKE and UA are both too expensive.
  • Vipshop's Stock Might Be Better Than Alibaba
    Nov. 7, 2014 BABA, VIPS 28 Comments

    Summary

    • BABA's market share upside is limited.
    • BABA is too pricey given its market capitalization.
    • Vipshop's growth prospects are better than Alibaba, and its valuation more attractive.
  • Facebook Investors Face This Big Under-The-Radar Risk
    Nov. 7, 2014 FB 24 Comments

    Summary

    • Facebook's $200 billion market cap has been used to management's advantage since its IPO.
    • Acquisitions like WhatsApp and Oculus have been achieved with mostly stock.
    • FB's rising shares outstanding and history of stock generosity are all big risks facing current shareholders.
  • Western Digital Vs. Seagate Technology: The Key Takeaway From Earnings
    Nov. 7, 2014 STX, WDC 4 Comments

    Summary

    • WDC has performed better than STX over last 16 months.
    • In the past, STX drives were considered inferior to WDC in performance.
    • Last quarter, STX unveiled data that might make it a better investment of the two stocks.
  • Let's Put Michael Kors' 'Disappointing' Quarter In Perspective
    Nov. 7, 2014 KORS 8 Comments

    Summary

    • A realistic analysis of KORS Q3 without Wall Street expectations.
    • KORS valuation multiple is now cheaper than inferior companies like COH and RL.
    • The reason that KORS stock has fallen, and its multiple has fallen.
  • 4 Things To Like About Zulily Regardless Of Stock Price
    Nov. 6, 2014 ZU 4 Comments

    Summary

    • Analysis of Zulily's third quarter excluding stock price.
    • 4 different areas of Zulily's Q3, many hidden, that investors should like.
    • Is Zulily a good investment after such steep stock losses?
  • Why I'm Buying Restoration Hardware And Not Home Depot
    Nov. 5, 2014 RH 6 Comments

    Summary

    • The home improvement market is tied to consumer spending, construction growth, and low interest rates, none of which are reliable moving forward.
    • Luxury home improvement is not as tied to these factors for success.
    • Home Depot's upside is limited.
    • Restoration Hardware's growth plan could increase the size of the company threefold!
    • In looking at both RH and HD's growth outlook and valuation, the best investment isn't even a contest.
  • Michael Kors Vs Coach: 1 Chart Says It All
    Nov. 3, 2014 COH, KORS 9 Comments

    Summary

    • 1 chart perfectly explains the performance of both companies the last few years.
    • A look at Michael Kors and Coach's valuation multiples compared to this chart shows a huge disconnect.
    • This disconnect identifies a clear investment winner.
  • XPO Still Has Upside After 200% Run
    Sep. 17, 2014 XPO 5 Comments

    Summary

    • XPO Logistics has grown from a company with annual revenue of $177 million to a multi-billion dollar company in just three years.
    • The stock has soared more than 200%, but still has more to go.
    • There's another under-the-radar investment opportunity in the same space that should also soar higher.