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Bryan Gomez
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Bryan S. Gomez is from Manila and has been a student of the markets for 10 years. He started working for Citisecurities upon graduating from Ateneo de Manila University with a bachelor's degree in Management Engineering. Because of the internet, the investing landscape has been put in a level... More
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  • Technically Speaking: Broken Trendlines
    The simple rule about MACD is that once it goes below its zero level, traders should go short. If you look at the S&P chart, going below zero is actually breaking a trendline. Now, broken trendlines are not always true to themselves. Traders almost always believe that if it breaks, it continues in that direction. But rather, we have to remember that timing tools like MACD and classic charting signal a possible move in a direction much like a switch that if turned on, it must immediately turn on. Otherwise, the switch is broken. As timing tools, timing is not always spot on. Or timing becomes delayed.
    The breaking of trendline also means that a new formation is going to be formed, either a continuation pattern or a reversal pattern.
    So far for the current S&P chart, no direction yet is being established that is why we have to be careful taking a position on either long or short side. Now how de we participate in this kind of market? Here are some options:
    1) Take a vacation and wait for the pattern to fully form.
    2) Keep your size very very small.
    3) Aside from the MACD, use stochastics to see if your stock is oversold then participate in light volume. Be quick!
    Nov 05 11:18 PM | Link | Comment!
  • Spook Me Not

    The government's first estimate of U.S. gross domestic product showed the economy expanded at an annual rate of 3.5 percent in the third quarter, suggesting it was emerging from the worst recession in 70 years. The quarter of growth was the first after more than a year of contraction in GDP.
    The S&P bounced off its bullish intermediate trendline with extra oomph from better than expected GDP data.  The easy money has been made and this news is, in hindsight, late. For what its worth, I hope this would quell at least a significant amount of negativity that has been hounding the markets. No more double-dips hopefully.

    Advance-decline indicators tell a lot about the characteristic of the markets' breadth, whether most of the stocks are going up along with the index or just a few. The trend of more ups than downs had been broken last week and it seems that last night's broad strength was first after how many days of general weakness. The weekly NYSE advance-decline trend tells us that we are close a resistance in terms of broad market strength.  I expect volatility in the coming weeks.  That is my expectation but without outsmarting the market, the weekly chart tells us that the broad strength trend may even try to break 2 year highs.


    The Nasdaq advance-decline trend had been bullish for 6 months now. Stay positive on this sector.

    The trend in new highs and new lows has turned up significantly and hopefully for the bulls this trend continues. The NYSE New Highs-New Lows weekly chart tells us that it seems that the trend has just turned around. But so far, it seems weak.
    Another glass half full and glass half empty question. I am really hoping that in the end, we will be right in saying that there is nothing wrong with the market, it is just overbought.

    Oct 30 4:23 AM | Link | Comment!
  • HEV price target
     Aside from the Volvo news, HEV stock has been going up the past few days because of the upward repricing of A123 Systems (AONE) IPO. The range was raised from $8-$9 to $13.5. The market seems to be putting a premium on A123 Systems compared to other lithium ion battery makers as they already initially have $90M in sales and better established relationship with suppliers and client OEMs. So they say! Assuming we ride on this perception and put a 20% discount from $13.5 just to put a relative ballpark estimate of HEV's earnings, then we get at least $10.8. Both have yet to turn a profit though.

    The author is long HEV.
    Sep 24 12:36 PM | Link | Comment!
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