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Carlos X. Alexandre  

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  • European Farce Endures And Fed's Not Confident?
    Wed, Mar. 4 DIA, FXE, FXY 3 Comments

    Summary

    • Market's queasiness is palpable.
    • Greek socialists get schooled by old man.
    • S&P 500 valuation exceeds dot.com era.
  • And Then There Was More Debt, Weaponized Oil And War Expansion
    Thu, Jan. 22 DIA, JNK, QQQ 28 Comments

    Summary

    • U.S. economic recovery viewed from a 50-year perspective.
    • Global public debt continues its march forward without results.
    • Conflict is inevitable and is in its expansion mode.
  • Sino Turbulence Shows A Failed State In Motion
    Dec. 18, 2014 FXI, IWM, QQQ 36 Comments

    Summary

    • China's distractions from core issues.
    • China's domestic demand is nothing but a myth.
    • Foreigners wanted now?
  • General Central Bank Hospital And Market Crash Denied?
    Nov. 5, 2014 SPY 5 Comments

    Summary

    • It's a market of double edged corrections.
    • Central banks come to the rescue because there's something very wrong.
    • American GDP and housing not responding quite as planned.
  • Markets Love Fed, Hate ECB, Want More QE
    Oct. 14, 2014 SPY, UGL 3 Comments

    Summary

    • Markets' crankiness and structural employment/consumer credit deficiency are explored.
    • Jawboning is reduced to physical exercise.
    • Gold bet still alive as conflicts continue to expand.
  • Market Bubbles And Repulsion, Dollar Demise And Other Cogitations
    Sep. 23, 2014 DIA, QQQ, SPY 7 Comments

    Summary

    • Fed talks as we fall asleep, and inflation still missing in action.
    • Dollar must be loved despite resentment.
    • Bubble definition elusive while waiting for widespread enthusiasm.
  • Markets Marry Fantasia And We Play Musical Chairs
    Sep. 3, 2014 SPY, DIA, QQQ 3 Comments

    Summary

    • Jobless claims are misinterpreted without context, and employment "skills gap" begs a question.
    • Markets do not discount the future, and short-sellers pay too much attention to conviction and crash callers.
    • Disruptive and undisclosed criteria have changed the game.
  • True Economic Condition Far Weaker, Market Valuation Reaching Peak
    Jul. 1, 2014 DIA, QQQ, IWM 13 Comments

    Summary

    • Home and auto sales not as good as they look.
    • S&P 500 reaching for the climax.
    • Economic sub-cycle entering a contraction phase.
  • Europe's Panicky Mode And The Odor Of War
    Jun. 16, 2014 SPY, DIA, QQQ 13 Comments

    Summary

    • ECB's rate decision and NIRP - yet another show without an audience.
    • Europe's default is only way out as bad loans surpass €1 trillion.
    • Global conflict continues to spread, as expected, and not priced in.
  • China's Unrelenting And Mythological Midas Touch
    May. 30, 2014 UGL, GLD, IAU 13 Comments

    Summary

    • A look at the gold market's transformation over 10 years.
    • China's impact on gold price is absent.
    • China's economic malaise keeps manifesting itself.
  • American 'Disemployment' Revisited And Fiddle-Footed Markets
    Editors' Pick • May. 15, 2014 SPY, QQQ, DIA 6 Comments

    Summary

    • Employment's weakness from different angles.
    • The Fed is extremely misguided about unemployment causes.
    • Erratic markets across the board, period.
  • Emerging Markets' Woes Only A Side Effect Of Conditional Strength
    Apr. 30, 2014 IWM, QQQ, EEM 8 Comments

    Summary

    • Emerging markets mindset is the obstacle.
    • China's on track to irreversible political collapse.
    • Markets' behavior goes beyond Russian/Ukrainian squabble.
  • Honey, I'm Home... Or Not!
    Apr. 15, 2014 C, JPM, WFC 7 Comments

    Summary

    • Markets haven’t processed housing weakness, yet.
    • Risks will be elevated in about three months; markets haven’t broken down, yet.
    • Central banks’ control over interest rates is a fallacy and exaggerated.
    • Thoughts about High Frequency Trading.
  • Quantitative Extravaganza Fiddle-Faddle, Up The River Without A Paddle
    Mar. 31, 2014 GLD, SPY, UGL 10 Comments

    Summary

    • Fed’s incompetence still masterfully spun and buried by the usual suspects.
    • QE has failed us and has impacted interest rates and the dollar far less than advertised, if at all.
    • Market’s crash call still too loud, global conflict update and my long-term gold bet.
  • Markets Digesting Change In Conversation's Tone
    Editors' Pick • Mar. 16, 2014 GLD, USO, FEZ 13 Comments

    Summary

    • ECB’s Mario Draghi candidly and summarily changed the conversation’s tone.
    • European austerity, as hard as it is, hasn’t been fully adopted, yet.
    • Crimea is a distraction from the real issue.
  • We're In The 'Whateva' Zone
    Mar. 3, 2014 GLD, SPY, DIA 5 Comments
  • Market's Perfect For Agnostics, Non-Believers Will Convert
    Feb. 25, 2014 SPXL, SPY 18 Comments
  • The Global Unresolved Vice
    Feb. 11, 2014 QQQ, SPY Comment!
  • China's Countdown Continues, Russia's Turning Point And Conflicts Galore
    Jan. 13, 2014 GLD, FXI, RSX 11 Comments
  • S&P 500's Valuation, Jobs Deficit And The Wealth Effect
    Dec. 17, 2013 DIA, SPY, QQQ 4 Comments
  • Note To Central Banks: Your Theatrics Are Exhausting!
    Dec. 4, 2013 SPY, DIA, QQQ 5 Comments
  • 1959: The Year Economics Changed And Nobody Noticed
    Nov. 19, 2013 SPY, DIA, QQQ 7 Comments
  • Markets See Beauty, Overlook New Ugly Normal
    Oct. 14, 2013 SPY, DIA, QQQ 8 Comments
  • Fed's Flawed Playbook Is Scoreless
    Sep. 22, 2013 SPY, DIA, QQQ 10 Comments
  • Distorted Housing Market Gives False Hope
    Jun. 29, 2013 SPY, DIA, QQQ 40 Comments
  • Markets Ignore Eurozone's Only Choice, And Growth Isn't It
    Editors' Pick • May. 29, 2013 FXE, SPY, DIA 41 Comments
  • The Massive Elephant In The Economic Room
    May. 15, 2013 DIA, GLD, IWM 28 Comments
  • Gold's Double Whammy Is In Play
    Apr. 29, 2013 IAU, GLD 61 Comments
  • China's 15 Minutes Of Fame Are Up
    Apr. 15, 2013 FXI 44 Comments
  • European Crisis Marathon Is Only Halfway
    Mar. 22, 2013 FXE, EU 12 Comments
  • BRIC By BRIC, The Emerging Markets House Being Dismantled
    Feb. 21, 2013 EEM, RSX, EWZ 6 Comments
  • Fiscal Cliff And Deficit Conversation Misses The Point
    Editors' Pick • Dec. 6, 2012 117 Comments