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Carlton Chin, CFA's  Instablog

Carlton Chin, CFA
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Carlton Chin, CFA, is Managing Director, Portfolio Strategy & Research at Price Asset Mgmt (PAM) and portfolio manager and head of research for ADAMAH Capital, which specializes in Computer Aided Research & Advanced Technology (CARAT). He is a specialist in quantitative investment... More
My company:
Price Asset Mgmt & ADAMAH / CARAT Capital
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My book:
Baseball + Numbers = Fun & Games
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  • 2015 NBA And NHL Finals And Quant Facts

    For sports fans, this is one of the highlights of the year. The NHL and NBA Finals are set to start.

    Who will win the respective championships?

    Check out our "Who Will Win" quant facts analysis for both series:

    2015 NHL Stanley Cup Finals

    2015 NBA Finals

    Carlton Chin is a fund manager, MIT-trained quantitative analyst, and co-author of "Who Will Win the Big Game?" He has been quoted by the Wall St. Journal, New York Times, and ESPN -- and worked with the Sacramento Kings on the 2014 NBA Draft.

    Jun 03 8:19 PM | Link | Comment!
  • 2015 Super Bowl Square Pool Odds (By Quarter)

    The Super Bowl is fast-approaching - along with interest in the popular Super Bowl Square Pools. If you are participating in a Square Pool (where only the last digit for each team counts), you are randomly assigned a digit for each team, such as New England 3, and Seattle 4. Many fans have an idea of what numbers are "good." Here, we compute Super Bowl Square Pool probabilities by quarter, based on recent historical results.

    Read more here (charts are posted at this link):

    Jan 24 5:21 PM | Link | Comment!
  • 2014 Super Bowl Square Pool Probabilities By Quarter

    Are you in one of those popular Super Bowl Square Pools? Pool participants are randomly assigned numbers randomly, like Denver 3, Seattle 7. If your numbers match the last digits of the actual score at the end of any quarter, you win a prize. For instance, if you had this square of Denver 3 and Seattle 3, and the final score is 33-17 for Denver, you would win the big prize.

    Here are the probabilities of your numbers winning, for the final score. In the link below, we also compute the probabilities for the square pool winner for each quarter.

    Super Bowl Square Pool Odds - Final Score

    If you are participating in a square pool (where only the last digit for each team counts), you will be randomly assigned a digit for each team, such as the Seattle Seahawks (or NFC) 3, and the Denver Broncos (or AFC) 4. Many fans have an idea of what numbers are "good." Here, we compute square pool probabilities, or odds, based on historical results by quarter.
    Most people know that numbers like 7, 3, and 0 are good, due to the key numbers associated with touchdowns and field goals. But how good are these numbers? And what about the 4, 6, or 1? Several years ago, I computed the probabilities of the digits winning for each quarter - based on every Super Bowl ever played. The results were published by the New York Times, in their Super Bowl Sunday spread print edition.
    Jan 28 10:01 AM | Link | Comment!
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