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I'm a retired manager with interests in business, finance, and especially, the stock market. My academic training has included significant work in behavioral science, math, and especially statistics. I look at the market as an aspect of behavior--investor behavior--and apply analytic tools to teasing out what implicit rules other investors (predominantly institutions) are following. One useful result of this approach is determining not only where a particular stock might go on the upside, but also where it might go on the downside. This is important in order to determine where to buy in.
My pseudonym, "CarpWatcher" reflects my interest in the behavior of a bottom feeding fish. I usually start with ...More assumption that institutions and insiders are bottom feeding fish, who know more about the bottom than I do. I watch them, and try to ferret out what trading "rules" they are using.