Award-winning global investor who resigned from his job managing a set of funds with over US$2bn under management so he could take full advantage of the current financial market opportunities. Likes to fuse bottom-up insights with top-down macroeconomic thought. Looks at all sectors and, with a reasonable liquidity filter, all countries.
Netherlands based non-professional stocktrader with a private portfolio; good at stockpicking; not good at options. I prefer companies with a good ROI, ROE, PEG-ratio, good and inspiring management, a durable competative advantage. BUY AND ACCUMULATE (B&A) is my approach. I'm in the market for the company's profit, not the stockprice in the first place.
I have written 2 dutch books on value investing: "Aandelen selecteren als waardebelegger" and "Beleggen in bull- en bearmarkten". See bol.com (search for the titles).
As a mathematician (Ph.D.) I am most interested in investment strategies with statistically favorable returns. In particular I invest in net-nets (20-30% average annual returns). I find companies with low Enterprise Value/Earnings before Tax and Interest (EV/EBIT) and strong balance sheets (20% average annual returns) also very interesting. Since such stocks are rare I invest globally.
Click "Learn more" below to see my exclusive research description on net-nets and low EV/EBIT stocks.
Finished CFA level 1 & CAIA level 1 in a breeze. Looking forward to CAIA level 2 and CFA level 2. Made top 1% on the Bloomberg BAT, but was a black sheep at my mediocre college, and I was foolish to let it affect me. (non-traditional student)
Hope to write some quality articles in the coming year.
I was playing with fire my first year in the market, using a lot of call options. It was easy to make 50+% gain in 1st yr, summer '13 to summer '14 (thank you bull mkt). This past half year has been a little rough; I wish I had acted more decisively on material information about the energy market and the movement of the Ruble ($YNDX is a favorite).
I remember announcing the probably course of events to family the morning after OPEC's Thanksgiving's Day announcements, and I regrettably decided to wait it through b/c our professors chided us to take a buy and hold approach, and b/c I had bought some quality energy names at very fair prices in October. In retrospect, I realize the importance of optionality or in a sense, degrees of freedom.
In this case, I realize I am too committed to a base scenario (energy stocks recovering in the next year) that has too much opportunity cost. If the price adjustment cycle lasts longer than the expected scenario, then I will be unhappy with the opportunities lost. An equal weight short position would have been an ideal temporary maneuver, expressing my short-term thesis, while not causing commitment angst in the present, hoping for the long-term adjustment to blow over.
I was entrusted with a fresh 100K family capital this past summer, and I plan to be more prudent and thorough (obviously with minimal leverage or derivatives). This market is a little dangerous with high debt loads in China, somewhat high valuation levels (horrible Schiller CAPE ratio, but not sure if that matters as much), and jitters over rate hike, Ukraine, terrorism, epidemics, difficulty of private sector adjusting to Obamacare, and possible fiscal & monetary stimulus tapering.
I think low energy prices is a great stimulus, but the possibilities of a perfect storm with semi-hard landing in China or Europe, a serious violent flare-up with Russia or the Terror War, and disease outbreak could somehow happen at just the wrong time (perhaps, right after a rate hike).
I've read a fair amount of Buffett. But I love the tech industry mostly. To humor Buffett (a tech dinosaur), I bought a tiny bit of IBM. It has been working hard to transform its whole business, and actually has some top-notch talent and product portfolios with a fairly conservative valuation. The market is probably right that is a long-shot that IBM will grow significantly again, despite its immense technology assets and partnerships. Recent comment: feel lucky to have exited IBM at a small gain; mulling a re-entry and annoyed that I missed the recent Google explosion. Google is solidifying its reach and ecosystem, but at steep multiples.
I've been away from investing for much of the past half year (now dec'15), partly because I was getting cyberattacks on my twitter account, my computer, and broker connection was being intercepted, which made me very uncomfortable. My car also very suddenly needed an engine replacement that same week, despite a thorough check-up a month prior. I'm having a hard time moving forward, after severe blacklisting after-effects, (too long & weird to discuss).
CAIA & CFA level 1s were super-easy even though I was underprepared. I look forward to embracing the challenge. I will end up working in Europe or abroad, if I have to. Lucky to get tons of invites from Bloomberg recruitment due to top notch scores, but haven't really applied b/c of crummy school issues. Plan to work on Wall Street Prep & hopefully some SA articles.
Dreamjob: working for a hedge fund focussing in equities, preferably with a multicultural bunch (I'm half european / half asian american)
Long-term dream job: top-notch hedge fund manager
My favorite time horizon: 3mo to 18mo, b/c best chance of having a direct connect with news & analysis. market moves too fast to be primarily buy & hold, albeit such a mid-term outlook forfeits the benefit of effective interest-free loan in the the form of deferred taxes (as Buffett makes use of) as well as benefit of a capital gains rate, but on the other hand, a mid-term outlook maximizes flexibility. I'm trying to stay more grounded in fundamentals, flesh out the invest case for a quite a handful of stocks, and balancing risks in wide portfolio. Plan to explore ETF's more.
Private investor focused on value and GARP. Began investing in mutual funds just a month or so before Black Monday in 1987! I survived that and stayed the course. Been investing now in individual stocks for 16 years. I find that capital markets are a continual learning opportunity, particularly when one is getting his or her ass kicked! SA is a tremendous vehicle for exchanging ideas in a thoughtful and respectful manner.
Tony Abbate, CFA is founder and Managing Director of Granite Value Capital, a Hanover, NH based investment management firm.
Tony received his BBA in Finance and Business Economics from University of Notre Dame in 1992. He received his Chartered Financial Analyst designation in 1997. Prior to starting Granite Value Capital, he worked for nine years as a Portfolio Manager in Fleet/Bank of America's Private Wealth Management division.
Tony has thoroughly studied the teachings of the value investment philosophy set forth by Benjamin Graham during the 1930s and 1940s and expanded upon by Warren Buffett and other investors in the second half of the 20th century. In 2000 he completed a study of every publicly traded company with a minimum market capitalization of $25 million (over 5,000 companies) in the United States. From this study he created a universe of about 1,500 stocks that he continuously monitors.
Tony's equity investment selection process focuses on minimizing three elements of risk: business risk, balance sheet/bankruptcy risk, valuation risk. Tony looks at stock ownership as owning an interest in a business. His goal is to own a portfolio of companies with return and risk characteristics that are superior to the broader market.
Age 67, high school and self educated. Retired after 38 years with one of the largest financial services companies in the world. Handle my own portfolio on-line since 2002 before retirement in 2008. I am a momentum investor 100% equities, stocks only, now only mid to high dividend payers with 10% mad money which is in cash. When first took over portfolio lucked into precious metals and energy for major gains for years until I learned serious lessons in 2008-9. As a Canadian have been big in REITS, metals and minerals and energy. Often played Canadian Banks as short or day trades with great success. Blackberry was my first substantial tech investment so as "Sgt. Shultz" used to say "I know nothing" about it (technical aspects). I would consider my expertise if one would call it that, having a knowledge of the momentum of a stock based on every word (and the numbers although not a strength of mine) written about it, including the company itself. Also, always understand completely what the company does and what it needs to do to increase in value. I track almost daily over 200 companies entering their movement and any forecasts and opinions of recognized rating entities and any individuals who make sense.
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Joseph Hogue, founder and analyst, has more than ten years in the investment industry and holds the Chartered Financial Analyst designation. His experience covers a wide range of investment related areas but he specializes in web & social media content for financial advisors and other professionals. His work has been published by the International Economic Development Council, Alternative Latin Investor, Emerging Money, Morningstar, and the financial website Seeking Alpha. Mr. Hogue is also the administrator for the FinQuiz Blog, an online source for CFA exam preparation advice and preparation.
Working from Medellin, Colombia, he has worked for clients ranging from individual investors to large multinational firms. Prior to his work as a financial writer, Mr. Hogue worked as an economist for the State of Iowa, as a consultant on trade issues and analyzed real estate development deals in Colombia.
A veteran of the United States Marine Corps, Mr. Hogue is a graduate of Iowa State University with a B.S. in Finance, a B.A. in Communications, and a Master’s in Business Administration. He is the former Communications Chair on the board of directors for the CFA Society of Iowa.
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