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Chris Lau
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FREE: Don't miss out. Follow author and get real-time alerts. Free. _____________________________________________________________________________ PREMIUM SUBSCRIPTION OFFER: BE penny foolish, pound (US dollar) wise. BEWARE of authors who claim a "peak return of 40% return in months".... More
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  • Nokia's Quarter Weak: Alcatel-Lucent In Focus Next

    FREE: Don't miss out. Follow and "get real-time alerts."

    WHY be penny wise, pound foolish? BEWARE of authors who claim a peak return of 40% return in months. DEMAND proof.

    SUBSCRIBE to the PREMIUM newsletter at below market rates - 'Value Stocks for DIY (Do it yourself) Investors' includes access to real-time portfolio, monthly performance report, and timely actionable alerts.

    Ranked #51 out of 3591 Bloggers last year (#61 out of 6798 total experts) (TipRanks). #31 blogger for 2013 (from over 3,700 bloggers). This author searches for value and catalysts. Follows Warren Buffet's mantra: do not lose money. *Insights posted on www.Kapitall.com and Twitter.

    ***

    This was originally posted Apr 22, 8:48 PM for premium subscribers. Nokia's quarterly results are out this a.m.

    In the next few weeks, there may be a catalyst for Alcatel-Lucent or Nokia stock moving up: quarterly results. Nokia reports on April 30, 2015. If the results are good, Nokia will rally. Similarly, Alcatel-Lucent reports on May 7 2015.

    Nokia (NYSE:NOK) is "paying" for the firm with its shares. Debt raters loved the deal, upgrading the rating of Nokia's debt. Unfortunately,Alcatel-Lucent may fall between now and in 2016, when the deal closes.

    ...The problem I have with owning Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE:ALU) is that the recovery thesis is no longer valid. The bullish thesis is now based on Nokia cutting costs in 2016, winning out contracts for LTE/4G in China over Ericsson (NASDAQ:ERIC),Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO), and other Chinese network equipment firms.

    Merger motivated by boosting market share size. ALU executives get rewarded nicely, but let's ignore that:

    (click to enlarge)

    Source: Nokia

    For readers bullish on Nokia and confident the merger will go through...<more>

    Subscribe to get play by play strategy for Alcatel-Lucent in May and for Nokia beyond the current quarter.

    Exclusive Interview of this author found here.

    The model portfolio is up 40 percent.

    Tags: NOK, ALU
    Apr 30 8:16 AM | Link | Comment!
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    All stock pick performance, returns, changes are done through real time, shareable model portfolio:

    Act now! Learn more here.

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    The Good ("buy" with ~25% upside):

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    Tags: IMOS, HIMX
    Apr 06 9:21 AM | Link | Comment!
  • Beat The Market In 2014

    Update: Find my portfolio on www.kapitall.com

    Measured over 1 full year, beat the market:

     3 mo6 mo1 year
    Chris0.1%8.8%21.8%
    SPY6.5%5.3%13.5%
    Nasdaq (NASDAQ:QQQ)6.6%9.2%19.2%

    Conclusion:

    Subscribers may experience paper losses over the short-term (3 mo, 6 mo) but it's what counts over the year.

    Tags: BBRY, AMD, ALU
    Jan 05 8:36 AM | Link | 2 Comments
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