Seeking Alpha

Chris Lau's  Instablog

Chris Lau
Send Message
*** Premium Update 19 May 2015: Spread between Micron and IMOS widened to +18% *** Value ideas on deck this week: $KING $BABA $AMAT $PBF. +Follow. *** Premium Update 16 May 2015: Best call last week +8%. Worst call -1%, loss avoided: 2.7% LUCK and SKILL are two different things. People believe... More
My company:
DIY (Do-it-yourself) Value Investing
My blog:
SA Performance
View Chris Lau's Instablogs on:
  • Good Daily Return

    Daily Return

    Watching the portfolio move up strongly for one day does not meant much, but it is still fun to do so.

    The majority of the picks in an article sent to premium subscribers is green. The Dow is down today, Nasdaq up slightly. I expect a major turn of events to the downside. The big question is when.

    Thanks (NASDAQ:BBRY). Six other picks helped today too.

    The cash level means the portfolio is only 65 percent invested.

    Quarterly Return:
    Click follow (left) and get updated when next set of returns is reported. It's FREE.

    TitleSymbolLong/Date of3m from
    Shortpublicationpublication
    4 Reasons Pain For Freeport-McMoRan Is EndingFCXLong2/2/201525.00%
    5 Reasons BP Is A Buy Ahead Of Quarterly ResultsBPLong1/25/201510.50%
    4 Things To Consider For Linn Energy As Uncertainty RisesLINELong1/20/201548.10%

    Sign up above and note excellent refund policy. BBRY was not the biggest winner today. Here is a portfolio view (preview only) for 15 stock holdings.

    Tags: BBRY
    May 11 12:22 PM | Link | 2 Comments
  • Nokia's Quarter Weak: Alcatel-Lucent In Focus Next

    FREE: Don't miss out. Follow and "get real-time alerts."

    WHY be penny wise, pound foolish? BEWARE of authors who claim a peak return of 40% return in months. DEMAND proof.

    SUBSCRIBE to the PREMIUM newsletter at below market rates - 'Value Stocks for DIY (Do it yourself) Investors' includes access to real-time portfolio, monthly performance report, and timely actionable alerts.

    Ranked #51 out of 3591 Bloggers last year (#61 out of 6798 total experts) (TipRanks). #31 blogger for 2013 (from over 3,700 bloggers). This author searches for value and catalysts. Follows Warren Buffet's mantra: do not lose money. *Insights posted on www.Kapitall.com and Twitter.

    ***

    This was originally posted Apr 22, 8:48 PM for premium subscribers. Nokia's quarterly results are out this a.m.

    In the next few weeks, there may be a catalyst for Alcatel-Lucent or Nokia stock moving up: quarterly results. Nokia reports on April 30, 2015. If the results are good, Nokia will rally. Similarly, Alcatel-Lucent reports on May 7 2015.

    Nokia (NYSE:NOK) is "paying" for the firm with its shares. Debt raters loved the deal, upgrading the rating of Nokia's debt. Unfortunately,Alcatel-Lucent may fall between now and in 2016, when the deal closes.

    ...The problem I have with owning Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE:ALU) is that the recovery thesis is no longer valid. The bullish thesis is now based on Nokia cutting costs in 2016, winning out contracts for LTE/4G in China over Ericsson (NASDAQ:ERIC),Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO), and other Chinese network equipment firms.

    Merger motivated by boosting market share size. ALU executives get rewarded nicely, but let's ignore that:

    (click to enlarge)

    Source: Nokia

    For readers bullish on Nokia and confident the merger will go through...<more>

    Subscribe to get play by play strategy for Alcatel-Lucent in May and for Nokia beyond the current quarter.

    Exclusive Interview of this author found here.

    The model portfolio is up 40 percent.

    Tags: NOK, ALU
    Apr 30 8:16 AM | Link | Comment!
  • Exclusive Research

    All stock pick performance, returns, changes are done through real time, shareable model portfolio:

    Act now! Learn more here.

    Samples:

    Deep discussions and alerts on"

    The Good ("buy" with ~25% upside):

    the Bad (stock was a "buy the dip" call last year):

    Tags: IMOS, HIMX
    Apr 06 9:21 AM | Link | Comment!
Full index of posts »
Latest Followers

StockTalks

  • $MRVL: Value Play or Value trap? Next week's focus also on $KING $BP $RIG +Follow $http://bit.ly/1P2c2SS
    about 2 hours ago
  • $BBRY buyback AHEAD of ER, which implies +EPS quarter. This suggests stock $11 - $13 (June 23) a +25% return for +Follow, +37% +Subscribers
    about 3 hours ago
  • $BBRY a perfect acquisition target...cash, user base, security patents, lean cost. Buy. EBIT margins are on the... http://bit.ly/1Q12rcX
    about 3 hours ago
More »

Latest Comments


Most Commented
  1. Beat The Market In 2014 (2 Comments)
  2. Good Daily Return (2 Comments)
Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.