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Chris Lau
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28-07-2014: Yahoo no longer displays Seeking Alpha articles. Don't miss out. Follow and/or get "real-time alerts on this author." *Why?* This author is ranked Ranked #51 out of 3591 Bloggers on July 22 2014 (Ranked #61 out of 6798 total experts) according to TipRanks. He is an... More
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  • 2nd Quarter 2014 Performance

    A late recovery in shares of Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE:AMD) helped boost the Kapitall model portfolio's return for the first half of 2014.

    (click to enlarge)

    This led to the portfolio's outperformance relative to the S&P 500, but this is not an excuse for investors to act complacent. The "melt up" in markets on very low volume and on even less engaging readers suggests elevated risks. Expect a sudden decline in the markets, with any negative news being the trigger.

    For now, this analyst will enjoy the boost in rankings on TipRanks:

    "Ranked #66 out of 3594 Bloggers (Ranked #76 out of 6751 total experts)"

    This represents a move up by 7 spots.

    (click to enlarge)

    Disclosure: The author is long AMD.

    Tags: AMD
    Jul 06 4:21 PM | Link | Comment!
  • Stock Pick Performance Up, Thanks To AMD

    The best analysts find a niche market and in it, the best companies. Such was the case in covering Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE:AMD). From all the times AMD was called a 'buy,' the rating was a correct one:

    (click to enlarge)

    Source: https://www.tipranks.com/experts/chris-lau?period=2years&benchmark=none

    If AMD helped push my ranking to the 70's, there's one company holding the rating down. Below, 1 year ranking, data via TipRanks:

    That company is BlackBerry (NASDAQ:BBRY). Thanks to a 25 percent surge in recent days, the buy call was right just once (as opposed to never):

    In relation to portfolio management, returns improved, thanks to favorable stock splits, surging stock prices in oil drilling, and stocks reverting back towards their intrinsic value. Total return is 52%:

    (click to enlarge)

    Source: Kapitall.com

    Disclosure: The author is long AMD, BBRY.

    Tags: AMD
    Jun 23 8:44 PM | Link | Comment!
  • Performance Review

    There is a big difference between making buy and sell calls and making investment decisions. Below is the total and average return of the calls made between 2012 - present.

    1) Stock selection performance

    The average return was 19.1%. Note that in 2014, the returns from bullish calls were nearly flat on average. Bearish calls were up 9.9% on average.

    Disclaimer to data:

    1. Where a buy/sell call was not made, the data point was excluded
    2. For the sake of efficacy, subsequent analyses on the same company are treated as new investment positions. This inflates or deflates the total return value.

    For 2014 so far, companies covered the most were Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE:AMD) (5), Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE:ALU) (3), and SeaDrill (NYSE:SDRL) (3).

    The best performer was Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), up 29.1%. The worst performer was BlackBerry (NASDAQ:BBRY), down 19.2% on average.

    2) Portfolio management performance

    Generating the same return is harder when managing a portfolio. Using Kapitall, the life to date return is 43.7%:

    (click to enlarge)

    Stocks on the hot list include:

    Technology - (AMD), (NYSE:RAX)

    Biotech - (NASDAQ:THRX), (NASDAQ:IDIX).

    Disclosure: I am long AMD, THRX.

    Tags: AMD, THRX, RAX
    May 22 5:03 PM | Link | Comment!
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