Christopher Bush - Seeking Alpha 'Christopher Bush' Tag RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com SeekingAlpha.com http://seekingalpha.com/author/christopher-bush Is There a Decline in Short Sales? http://seekingalpha.com/article/119873-is-there-a-decline-in-short-sales?source=feed 119873 From The Big Picture:

short-sales1

Interesting…

]]> Wed, 11 Feb 2009 05:48:02 -0500 Christopher Bush Christopher Bush submits:

From The Big Picture:

short-sales1

Interesting…


Complete Story »]]> SPY VXX Christopher Bush Are We Seeing Shades of 2003 Markets? http://seekingalpha.com/article/113089-are-we-seeing-shades-of-2003-markets?source=feed 113089 We have an interesting start to the year, as there has been broad based anticipation for a good start to 2009 - but not to the extent to jinx a prolonged rally.

Via Bloomberg:

]]> Sun, 04 Jan 2009 08:27:56 -0500 Christopher Bush Christopher Bush submits:

We have an interesting start to the year, as there has been broad based anticipation for a good start to 2009 - but not to the extent to jinx a prolonged rally.

Via Bloomberg:


Complete Story »]]> DIA Christopher Bush Will the Fed Target Long-Term Rates? http://seekingalpha.com/article/108951-will-the-fed-target-long-term-rates?source=feed 108951 There was a lot of news to write about on Monday…Seriously.

Besides Arnie calling California’s situation “a fiscal emergency”, the Dow crashing 680 points, more Goldman bonus cuts, Oil falling below $50…oh, and of course. It’s finally an official recession. However some of the biggest news comes from the FED concerning alternative measures to adding liquidity to the markets.

]]> Wed, 03 Dec 2008 07:05:56 -0500 Christopher Bush Christopher Bush submits:

There was a lot of news to write about on Monday…Seriously.

Besides Arnie calling California’s situation “a fiscal emergency”, the Dow crashing 680 points, more Goldman bonus cuts, Oil falling below $50…oh, and of course. It’s finally an official recession. However some of the biggest news comes from the FED concerning alternative measures to adding liquidity to the markets.


Complete Story »]]> PST Christopher Bush Would Glass-Steagall Have Stopped this Mess? http://seekingalpha.com/article/107440-would-glass-steagall-have-stopped-this-mess?source=feed 107440 First, here's a little history about the Glass-Steagall act, courtesy of PBS's Frontline:

Following the Great Crash of 1929, one of every five banks in America failed. In 1933, Senator Carter Glass (D-Va.) and Congressman Henry Steagall (D-Ala.) introduced historic legislation which sought to limit the conflicts of interest created when commercial banks are permitted to underwrite stocks or bonds.

]]> Sun, 23 Nov 2008 13:43:03 -0500 Christopher Bush Christopher Bush submits:

First, here's a little history about the Glass-Steagall act, courtesy of PBS's Frontline:

Following the Great Crash of 1929, one of every five banks in America failed. In 1933, Senator Carter Glass (D-Va.) and Congressman Henry Steagall (D-Ala.) introduced historic legislation which sought to limit the conflicts of interest created when commercial banks are permitted to underwrite stocks or bonds.


Complete Story »]]> Christopher Bush Consumer Spending: Cut Through Unemployment http://seekingalpha.com/article/103494-consumer-spending-cut-through-unemployment?source=feed 103494 "Chrysler to Shut Delaware Plant a Year Early, Drop Shift at Ohio Factory"

"Goldman May Slash 3,200 Jobs, 10% of Workforce, as Credit Turmoil Worsens"

]]> Sun, 02 Nov 2008 07:58:44 -0500 Christopher Bush Christopher Bush submits:

"Chrysler to Shut Delaware Plant a Year Early, Drop Shift at Ohio Factory"

"Goldman May Slash 3,200 Jobs, 10% of Workforce, as Credit Turmoil Worsens"


Complete Story »]]> Christopher Bush Citi/Wachovia/Wells Fargo Saga Takes Center Stage http://seekingalpha.com/article/98801-citi-wachovia-wells-fargo-saga-takes-center-stage?source=feed 98801 This Wachovia (WB) episode is only getting more interesting. Before there is a resolution to this catfight, I thought it would be worthwhile to point out the pros and cons of each outcome.

This deal is a no-brainer for everyone but Citi (C):

]]> Tue, 07 Oct 2008 06:27:09 -0400 Christopher Bush Christopher Bush submits:

This Wachovia (WB) episode is only getting more interesting. Before there is a resolution to this catfight, I thought it would be worthwhile to point out the pros and cons of each outcome.

This deal is a no-brainer for everyone but Citi (C):


Complete Story »]]> C WB WFC Christopher Bush Barron's: 'How to Keep Your Nest Egg From Cracking' http://seekingalpha.com/article/95423-barron-s-how-to-keep-your-nest-egg-from-cracking?source=feed 95423 While I find much of our financial and economic news inspiring, It is not very often that I find something that really resonates with me from a moral perspective.

While it is bothersome on many levels that [Bear Stearns (BSC), Fannie (FNM) & Freddie (FRE), Indy Mac, and probably / most recently Lehman Brothers (LEH)  / Washington Mutual (WM) / AIG (AIG) ] have failed in our free market system, the thought of people giving money to “experts” to invest in these companies and the broader market is far more unpalatable.

]]> Mon, 15 Sep 2008 02:33:26 -0400 Christopher Bush Christopher Bush submits:

While I find much of our financial and economic news inspiring, It is not very often that I find something that really resonates with me from a moral perspective.

While it is bothersome on many levels that [Bear Stearns (BSC), Fannie (FNM) & Freddie (FRE), Indy Mac, and probably / most recently Lehman Brothers (LEH)  / Washington Mutual (WM) / AIG (AIG) ] have failed in our free market system, the thought of people giving money to “experts” to invest in these companies and the broader market is far more unpalatable.


Complete Story »]]> Christopher Bush Responding to an Irrational Market http://seekingalpha.com/article/93656-responding-to-an-irrational-market?source=feed 93656 I see very little conviction when considering the behavior of the market (huge gains one day, followed by losses which erase them the next), and it seems to be reacting only to the headlines, since our fundamental standing is always being jumbled by news reports and speculation (like Lehman finally having a buyer). There is no sector which is attracting people's money, and this could be a significant driver behind the confusion and volatility.

That said, there is always ProShares UltraShort Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury ETF (PST) which effectively shorts the price of the 10 year note at 200% (you are betting that the yields will go up). This would be the best bet for a Bernanke rate hike, *which is followed by a higher yield in the treasuries*, or a bet on our credit markets returning to normal, on a 10 year horizon.

]]> Wed, 03 Sep 2008 04:30:45 -0400 Christopher Bush Christopher Bush submits:

I see very little conviction when considering the behavior of the market (huge gains one day, followed by losses which erase them the next), and it seems to be reacting only to the headlines, since our fundamental standing is always being jumbled by news reports and speculation (like Lehman finally having a buyer). There is no sector which is attracting people's money, and this could be a significant driver behind the confusion and volatility.

That said, there is always ProShares UltraShort Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury ETF (PST) which effectively shorts the price of the 10 year note at 200% (you are betting that the yields will go up). This would be the best bet for a Bernanke rate hike, *which is followed by a higher yield in the treasuries*, or a bet on our credit markets returning to normal, on a 10 year horizon.


Complete Story »]]> PST Christopher Bush Tuesday: Turning Point in Our Financial Crisis? http://seekingalpha.com/article/90719-tuesday-turning-point-in-our-financial-crisis?source=feed 90719 Well, the Olympics have begun and oil is down 22% from its all time high.

click to enlarge

]]> Wed, 13 Aug 2008 07:02:56 -0400 Christopher Bush Christopher Bush submits:

Well, the Olympics have begun and oil is down 22% from its all time high.

click to enlarge


Complete Story »]]> GS JPM MER MS SKF XLF Christopher Bush Speed with Which Financials Have Fallen Is Disconcerting http://seekingalpha.com/article/85208-speed-with-which-financials-have-fallen-is-disconcerting?source=feed 85208

Lehman’s (LEH) best course of action would be a `going private’ transaction, since it is the public equity markets that are the threat to the company’s survival,” Trone wrote in a note today. “Without a public stock, there would be no shorting, thus no motivation for rumor-mongering, thus no source to spook the counterparties and creditors.
- Bloomberg

I think this is an interesting excerpt. At this juncture, and for the foreseeable future for that matter, what is the benefit to Lehman in being a public company? The tone of the market has been such that people sell into any sort of rally, and recind their bullish sentiment in the course of a single trading day.

]]> Wed, 16 Jul 2008 06:56:34 -0400 Christopher Bush Christopher Bush submits:

Lehman’s (LEH) best course of action would be a `going private’ transaction, since it is the public equity markets that are the threat to the company’s survival,” Trone wrote in a note today. “Without a public stock, there would be no shorting, thus no motivation for rumor-mongering, thus no source to spook the counterparties and creditors.
- Bloomberg

I think this is an interesting excerpt. At this juncture, and for the foreseeable future for that matter, what is the benefit to Lehman in being a public company? The tone of the market has been such that people sell into any sort of rally, and recind their bullish sentiment in the course of a single trading day.


Complete Story »]]> DIA IYF LEH SPY XLF Christopher Bush What the Law of Diminishing Returns Means for the U.S. http://seekingalpha.com/article/82784-what-the-law-of-diminishing-returns-means-for-the-u-s?source=feed 82784  

There are several applications of the Law of Diminishing Returns, most commonly used in reference to marginal production of labor (which I could not find a good chart of), but in this case we also have an example of optimal power use.

]]> Thu, 26 Jun 2008 06:19:52 -0400 Christopher Bush Christopher Bush submits:

 

There are several applications of the Law of Diminishing Returns, most commonly used in reference to marginal production of labor (which I could not find a good chart of), but in this case we also have an example of optimal power use.


Complete Story »]]> APA MON PBR PCU POT RTP VALE XTO Christopher Bush