Whoa! So you're saying that if someone goes to a small college they can't possibly write something worth reading or have an intelligent opinion? I imagine that you would not have written that comment if you would have agreed with the comment.
Looks like someone is a little emotionally tied to Apple -
And the comment about being a poly sci major - makes me smile. A college major reflects the number of courses a person took about a particular subject. The author took X number of credit hours in that subject. For all you know he could have been a Goldman trader or worked at a hedge fund (probably not, but you understand the point).
If you say that a political science major can't write an informed finance piece, then you might as well say that all M.D.'s can't either. Then all of a sudden you are attacking a number of doctors-gone-hedge fund managers.
Think before you write, lest you make yourself look ... well, stupid.
Thank you for the comment. BP has 4 legal names, and British Petroleum was one of its past names (from 1954) - it is how people normally refer to the company now.
Trading Natural Gas: The Buy Of The Decade [View article]
Good insight. A major risk with playing natural gas with stocks is the risk of a market downturn, which is more likely when the S&P has jumped higher (i.e. in the 1300+ range).
In contrast, natural gas is not nearly as correlated with the market as stocks are.
Major Return On Natural Gas: How To Trade Options [View article]
Those are great points. The issue there is that the bid/ask spreads are so wide that the initial debit is artificially low. The best example is with the 14 and 15 strikes. See how the open interest is so low on the 14 that the cost is way too low?
My guess is that the 16 strike was not traded very much the day of this writing, and that is why the breakeven is so much lower (because the cost is lower). This is the biggest reason that it is important to trade options that you can exit (meaning they are liquid).
Major Return On Natural Gas: How To Trade Options [View article]
Here are some things to think about:
1) When do you think UNG will spike? If you think it won't spike until 2013 then the Jan 2014 call could be better.
2) Liquidity - Look at the open interest in the options to see how many contracts are outstanding. How many contracts change hands each day? The issue is getting out of the position when you are ready.
3) Liquidity Again - Check on the spreads. Can you drive a truck through the bid/ask spreads (meaning they are super wide)? If so, then you may not want to trade that particular strike or expiration.
Thank you for the great trading idea. Entering with a wide body (short strikes far apart) is a great way to capture premium more safely. Based on Amazon's history over the last 6 months, the above trade could work out very well.
If implied volatility (IV) does spike up, however, then traders may be able to enter another iron condor for the next strike date - perhaps even at wider strikes.
1. I use Thinkorswim - I love the training, and I love the software. It makes options trading far simpler. 2. In terms of why I did not initiate the trade - I simply am not able to manage it for the next week. Had I come across this trade 2 days earlier I would have initiated the trade.
Trading Natural Gas: The Buy Of The Decade [View article]
One issue with buying the futures is that buying further dated futures increases the contango. This is a much worse problem with Nat. gas funds than for individual investors.
A Rotten Apple [View article]
Looks like someone is a little emotionally tied to Apple -
And the comment about being a poly sci major - makes me smile. A college major reflects the number of courses a person took about a particular subject. The author took X number of credit hours in that subject. For all you know he could have been a Goldman trader or worked at a hedge fund (probably not, but you understand the point).
If you say that a political science major can't write an informed finance piece, then you might as well say that all M.D.'s can't either. Then all of a sudden you are attacking a number of doctors-gone-hedge fund managers.
Think before you write, lest you make yourself look ... well, stupid.
Piecing Together Yahoo's Value [View article]
Trade Alert: Iron Condor On Amazon [View article]
http://seekingalpha.co...
OIL: The Buy Of 2012 [View article]
http://bit.ly/N5wpyW
"In 1954, the board changed the company’s name to The British Petroleum Company."
OIL: The Buy Of 2012 [View article]
In the Short-Term:
Is oil is driven more by the economy?
In the Long-Term:
Is oil more driven by supply/demand, which is controlled by the cartel members?
OIL: The Buy Of 2012 [View article]
http://on.wsj.com/N2jVEo
Thank you for the comment, Paul.
OIL: The Buy Of 2012 [View article]
Natural Gas: The Buy Of The Decade [View article]
http://seekingalpha.co...
Trading Natural Gas: The Buy Of The Decade [View article]
Here is a follow-up on trading UNG using options:
http://seekingalpha.co...
Trading Natural Gas: The Buy Of The Decade [View article]
In contrast, natural gas is not nearly as correlated with the market as stocks are.
Major Return On Natural Gas: How To Trade Options [View article]
My guess is that the 16 strike was not traded very much the day of this writing, and that is why the breakeven is so much lower (because the cost is lower). This is the biggest reason that it is important to trade options that you can exit (meaning they are liquid).
Major Return On Natural Gas: How To Trade Options [View article]
1) When do you think UNG will spike? If you think it won't spike until 2013 then the Jan 2014 call could be better.
2) Liquidity - Look at the open interest in the options to see how many contracts are outstanding. How many contracts change hands each day? The issue is getting out of the position when you are ready.
3) Liquidity Again - Check on the spreads. Can you drive a truck through the bid/ask spreads (meaning they are super wide)? If so, then you may not want to trade that particular strike or expiration.
Trade Alert: Iron Condor On Amazon [View article]
If implied volatility (IV) does spike up, however, then traders may be able to enter another iron condor for the next strike date - perhaps even at wider strikes.
Trade Alert: Iron Condor On Amazon [View article]
1. I use Thinkorswim - I love the training, and I love the software. It makes options trading far simpler.
2. In terms of why I did not initiate the trade - I simply am not able to manage it for the next week. Had I come across this trade 2 days earlier I would have initiated the trade.
Trading Natural Gas: The Buy Of The Decade [View article]