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Christopher Wallace

 
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  • Can Long Run Exploration Sustain Its 30% Dividend Yield?
    Fri, Dec. 12 WFREF 56 Comments

    Summary

    • Intermediate Canadian oil and gas producer stock price has dropped 75%, creating a 30% dividend yield.
    • Dividend payout only 23% of Q3 funds flow.
    • Funds flow model shows ability to withstand a further 25% drop in commodity prices and still cover dividend.
    • Valuation metrics show massive under-valuation as negative sentiment approaches an extreme.
  • GoPro: 5 Factors To Push It Lower
    Editors' Pick • Thu, Sep. 18 GPRO 48 Comments

    Summary

    • Stock price infers valuation metrics that are impossibly high.
    • Priced for perfection but has increasing competition.
    • Is merely a camera company but treated like a media company.
    • Showing classic bubble stock trading characteristics.
    • Lock-up stock coming due will increase the float 5 times.
  • Tekmira Pharmaceuticals: What Does The 'Animal Rule' Mean For Their Ebola Drug Development?
    Editors' Pick • Thu, Aug. 21 TKMR 23 Comments

    Summary

    • The animal rule was set up in 2001 in response to 9/11 and other terrorist attacks to allow the development of experimental drugs where using them in human trials would be unethical or unfeasible.
    • Once this pathway has been approved by the FDA, data on other animals (often primates) who are believed to react in a similar fashion to how humans react to a drug, are provided with drug in various doses to determine more about efficacy of the drug, appropriate dosages, etc.
    • Two apparently common mis-conceptions are that the Animal Rule will shorten and make less expensive the approval process.
  • What Tekmira Investors Are Missing
    Editors' Pick • Wed, Aug. 20 TKMR 56 Comments

    Summary

    • Ebola outbreak has created unusual price swings and volume increases in TKMR since beginning of August.
    • Investors jumping on recent headlines fail to appreciate outbreak is eight months old.
    • Commercialization and approval of a drug still takes years; no reason for the rapid rise in the stock.
  • A Different Case For Valuing Kandi
    Thu, Aug. 14 KNDI 106 Comments

    Summary

    • An SA article uses momentum-based price-to-sales valuation to predict 9-bagger.
    • 66 months into a bull market, the valuation game is likely to change.
    • A more traditional earnings-based model gives vastly different results.
  • Kandi Technologies: The Latest Bubble Stock?
    Editors' Pick • Tue, Mar. 18 KNDI 123 Comments

    Summary

    • Many alternative energy stocks saw a terrific run end with declines of 8%-45% last week.
    • A parabolic chart pattern, stretched valuations and rapid turnover of float were shared characteristics.
    • KNDI is now demonstrating those same characteristics.
  • The Fuel Cell Fab Four: A Bubble About To Burst?
    Mon, Mar. 10 BLDP, FCEL, PLUG 34 Comments

    Summary

    • Price appreciation for the group has exceeded 200% just this year.
    • Volume and turnover of float have reached levels that cannot be sustained.
    • Valuation metrics of P/S and P/BV have reached extremes.
  • Mean Reversion Opportunity With Natural Gas Producers Indicates 70% Potential Upside
    Fri, Feb. 21 FCG 12 Comments
  • North American Palladium's Operating Guidance: More Bad News
       • Wed, Jan. 8 PAL 87 Comments
  • North American Palladium: Desperate Times Call For Desperate Measures
    Dec. 19, 2013 PAL 67 Comments
  • Energy Fuels: Deep Value In Uranium
       • Dec. 18, 2013 UUUU 38 Comments
  • How The Market Has Excessively Discounted IAMGOLD
    Dec. 17, 2013 IAG 36 Comments
  • 2 Near-Term Catalysts To Push Uranium Prices Higher
    Dec. 10, 2013 URA, NLR, URPTF 10 Comments
  • SAExploration: My Variant Point Of View
       • Nov. 26, 2013 SAEX 18 Comments
  • North American Palladium's Liquidity Squeeze
    Nov. 19, 2013 PAL 30 Comments
  • Arotech: Blowout Q3, Blow Up Q4?
    Nov. 18, 2013 ARTX 10 Comments
  • Volatility And The Last Debt Ceiling Crisis: A Lesson From History
    Oct. 8, 2013 VXX 15 Comments
  • BlackBerry: Why No One Is Going To Top The Fairfax Bid
    Sep. 29, 2013 BBRY 118 Comments
  • Shareholder Inequality: Fairfax's Other Motivations In Its Bid For BlackBerry
    Sep. 26, 2013 BBRY 134 Comments
  • 3 Indicators That Signaled The 2007 Top: They're Back
    Sep. 10, 2013 SPY 141 Comments
  • Syria Puts Defense Contractors In Spotlight: Arotech Shines
    Sep. 9, 2013 ARTX 7 Comments
  • The Impossible Situation For North American Palladium
       • Aug. 29, 2013 PAL 29 Comments
  • The Unique Opportunity In Stillwater Mining
       • Aug. 27, 2013 SWC 31 Comments
  • The Case For Platinum
    Aug. 25, 2013 PPLT 8 Comments
  • Politics And The Sequester: Near-Term Impacts For The Stock Market
    Feb. 20, 2013 VXX 20 Comments
  • A Review Of The Correlation Between Natural Gas And Coal Stocks
    Jan. 3, 2013 KOL, UNG 22 Comments
  • Natural Gas In 2013: It's Now A Trading Sardine
    Jan. 2, 2013 UNG 40 Comments
  • The Problems With LinkedIn's Q3 Revenue And Earnings
    Nov. 5, 2012 LNKD 11 Comments
  • Shipping Stocks: Sink Or Swim?
    Editors' Pick • Oct. 16, 2012 BALT, DRYS, DSX 26 Comments
  • 4 Important Catalysts For The Coal Sector
    Oct. 8, 2012 ACI, ANR, BTU 8 Comments
  • Why Natural Gas Has Not Lifted Coal Stocks
    Editors' Pick • Sep. 22, 2012 ACI, ANR, BTU 249 Comments
  • Natural Gas Contango Has Returned: Implications For Investors
    Sep. 5, 2012 UNG 31 Comments