Weekly Volatility Tracker: All That Glitters Is Volatile [View article]
Given how new those products are, I think it would be a bit hasty to draw such sweeping conclusions at this point. I don't trade VXX or VXZ since I have access to the CBOE volatility futures. But I disagree with your claim - evidence so far suggests that VXX does track its target range quite well.
Remember that the "real VIX" (if by that you mean the spot VIX) is just a statistic and is not directly tradable.
Weekly Volatility Tracker: Implosion in S&P 500 Volatility [View article]
Thanks, Alex.
VIX tracks 30 (calendar) day implied volatility, and can be lagged and compared to the 21 (trading) day realized vol. There isn't a 60-day version; the 90-day implied index, VXV, is certainly worth watching, but I haven't added it to chart #5 since it might make things a bit too crowded. The ratio of VXV and VIX is tracked in chart #8, what I'm calling the "VIX Premium Ratio."
conceptwizard: By "that VIX level" are you referring to the spot VIX, or VIX futures? Of course spot VIX can change quickly, and I don't think anything in the post contradicts that fact. Long-dated VIX futures tend to change slowly.
On Jul 30 08:43 PM conceptwizard wrote:
> I'm not on board with this one. That Vix level can change drastically > overnight with a bad breeze and will in my opinion.
Also, the quote from Brett Steenbarger didn't get formatted properly when transferred from the blog: his quote ends with "...over more speculative alternatives."
Alex, yes, today's realized vol corresponds to implied vol one month ago. So given today's realized vol, I want to know what the implied vol was one month ago, and that's what is reflected in the chart.
On Jun 11 03:39 AM Alex F. wrote:
> Either I'm having a brain fart or you are constructing the implied/realized > volatility ratio incorrectly. > > Implied volatility is a measure of expected volatility over the next > month. > > Realized volatility is a measure of realized volatility over the > previous month. > > So today's realized volatility value corresponds to the implied volatility > one month ago. Therefore, you should lag the realized volatility > and not implied.
Options: How to Be Risk-Averse [View article]
Thanks. I don't really have any control over this or any idea what might be wrong - this seems like something for the SA staff to sort out.
In any event, I always suggest people use Firefox, Safari, Chrome, or homemade papyrus before resorting to Internet Explorer.
Weekly Volatility Tracker: All That Glitters Is Volatile [View article]
Remember that the "real VIX" (if by that you mean the spot VIX) is just a statistic and is not directly tradable.
Weekly Volatility Tracker: Implosion in S&P 500 Volatility [View article]
VIX tracks 30 (calendar) day implied volatility, and can be lagged and compared to the 21 (trading) day realized vol. There isn't a 60-day version; the 90-day implied index, VXV, is certainly worth watching, but I haven't added it to chart #5 since it might make things a bit too crowded. The ratio of VXV and VIX is tracked in chart #8, what I'm calling the "VIX Premium Ratio."
Why Do VIX Futures Remain High? [View article]
On Jul 30 08:43 PM conceptwizard wrote:
> I'm not on board with this one. That Vix level can change drastically
> overnight with a bad breeze and will in my opinion.
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VIX Premium Ratio Finally Perks Up [View article]
On Jun 11 03:39 AM Alex F. wrote:
> Either I'm having a brain fart or you are constructing the implied/realized
> volatility ratio incorrectly.
>
> Implied volatility is a measure of expected volatility over the next
> month.
>
> Realized volatility is a measure of realized volatility over the
> previous month.
>
> So today's realized volatility value corresponds to the implied volatility
> one month ago. Therefore, you should lag the realized volatility
> and not implied.