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Craig Van Pelt

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  • Herbalife: Who's Consuming All Those Shakes? And Why... [View article]
    Stunning. Depressing. So very well written. Congratulations, Christine.

    Craig Van Pelt
    SA Contributor
    Sep 9 08:14 AM | 32 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Transocean's 8% Yield Can't Even Help A Tough Offshore Drilling Complex [View article]

    I feel your pain! Indeed, RIG is the worst trade I have ever done. Yet, there is so much I like about the company including the way the stock trades and the dividend + the management.

    Unfortunately, I'm nearing the point where averaging down and selling call options on it aren't helping!

    Thanks for you article.

    Craig Van Pelt
    Alpha Contributor
    Aug 24 06:06 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • This Oversold Healthcare High Dividend Stock Pays Monthly And Goes Ex-Dividend Soon [View article]
    Great find. Very interesting play.

    Craig Van Pelt
    Jan 12 11:08 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Cliffs Natural Resources Is Falling, And How It Can Help You [View article]
    Is not the weakness in CLF (as well as X etc) a result of the weakness in China???
    Jan 12 09:51 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Not To Invest In Herbalife [View article]
    I enjoyed your analysis and your conclusion that much of the Herbalife business model is based upon "Hope." You are 100% correct. However, while "hope" is an integral part of the HLF success, the Company should be congratulated for offering "hope" ....not castigated.

    It's been said that the only difference between a church and a successful MLM company is that the church doesn't pay income tax, but the MLM does. While this concept may appear humorous, it is essential to the MLM model, and few people really understand or appreciate the power of it. The elite in our society are turned off by this concept, just as they are turned off by organized religion.

    Folks seeking to lose weight and/or develop a healthier lifestyle succeed when they receive support....not just ingest product. HLF and the like offer a HUGE support system, and it becomes almost evangelical, but it works.

    The "one-on-one" personalized system of distribution, while foreign to execs of traditional fortune 500 companies (And Wall Street Hedge Fund Managers) is pure, powerful and it works. When HLF began business many years ago their distributors roamed the streets and malls with a button with the simple phrase: "Lose Weight Now...Ask Me How." Sales went from ground zero to multi-millions and moved the HLF warehouse from the trunk of Mark Hugh's car to more respectable facilities. Why did it work? Because of the offer of personalized attention, the need of folks to be part of something and their belief that the products work. (which they do)

    Concerning your comments about the products being overpriced: of course, the products are overpriced compared to what can be found in the supermarket or drug stores. So what??? Built into the SRP of the products is the margin for distributors, the support they offer to customers, delivery to customers, and a hefty profit for HLF. All companies (MLM's included) have the absolute right to set their prices and we see it everyday in virtually every sector of the market. I consider it to be a necessary and rather brilliant business model.

    Concerning the dismal success ratio as a business opportunity, it should be no surprise to anybody! Unfortunately, most people do not have the abilities, discipline etc to make a success of the HLF opportunity (Or ANY business opportunity). How many kids dream of becoming a professional football or baseball player....and how many succeed? How many young MBA's dream of becoming CEO's of major public companies, and how many reach that goal??? I suspect, if a statistical analysis was done, we'd find those stats to be even more dismal than the HLF/MLM sector.

    Our free enterprise, capitalistic system is in large part based upon hope and dreams. The guys at HLF have found a legitimate way to put it into a bottle so-to-speak and make it work.

    This whole attack upon HLF has become as much political as it is business. Folks are doing what they want based upon their own free choice. The HLF experience has positively affected millions of people worldwide.....Unfortun... guys like Ackerman and others who don't (or can't) understand the essence of the business model
    somehow believe that it's their right and obligation to "police" a free market enterprise along with the government and tell folks what they can, or cannot do.

    Lastly, your criticism of HLF's policy of not allowing products to be sold in retail stores is off base. That policy was established to protect distributors and maintain the integrity of the unique business model. Why not just accept that fact instead of considering it to be evil or an admission of guilt?

    HLF has demonstrated a long history of success and growth. It's a huge money-maker, and will continue to grow and prosper and the stock will continue to appreciate. The shorts will get crushed.

    Thanks again for your article and the time you spent on putting it together. Regards. Craig

    S/A Contributor
    Dec 7 05:29 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Potash Corp. Continues To Cut Production And Jobs [View article]
    Thanks for a clear & well written article. It paints the true picture, and concisely explains the stocks trend.


    CRAIG VAN PELTS/A Contributor
    Dec 4 08:34 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Obamacare "fix" puts insurers in a tough spot [View news story]

    Brilliant! You are 100% correct. It is the media's responsibility to investigate and report the truth. They enabled Obama and his crowd at the expense of truth and the best interest of the country. All of them, with few exceptions, should be punished.

    Nov 15 11:05 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Buffett's "40 Chances" Book Review [View article]

    While you are obviously are a great financial now have demonstrated unique talent as a literary critic. Extraordinarily well written. Thanks

    SA Contributor
    Nov 3 09:38 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Lower WTI Oil Price Ahead [View article]
    Wonderful analysis and great article. Thanks. I agree 100%.

    Alpha Contributor
    Nov 3 09:00 AM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Chemical And Mining Co. Of Chile Is A DOG! I Think We'll Adopt It... [View article]
    Mr. Shaefer,

    Great article and terrific analysis. I trade POT, and was not familiar with SQM.

    Thanks for your efforts in bringing SQM to the forefront.

    Alpha Contributor
    Oct 25 09:16 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Puerto Rico: Severe Economic Trends Cloud Fiscal Solution [View article]
    Mr. Mier,

    Congratulations on a very well done and researched article about the woes of Puerto Rico. I lived in PR for some 18 years and find the current state of affairs quite depressing.

    One issue that you failed to mention is the extraordinary crime problem on the island brought about by drugs. As you know, it's not unusual for as many as 100 murders to occur over a weekend.

    This overwhelming crime problem accounts for a large % of the people leaving the island. I have friends on the island that hire personal body guards just to go out to dinner. Until this issue is resolved, in my opinion, nothing in the economic sector will work.

    Thanks for the article. Craig Van Pelt/Alpha Contributor
    Oct 17 10:46 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Potash forecasts below-consensus Q3 EPS, shares -2.8% AH [View news story]
    Hi Kevin,

    I liked your comments. Sorry to hear you're still underwater.

    I agree with you that POT is a very well company. Their financials are solid and their investments around the word are very valuable.

    I'm a shareholder of POT, but I also trade around my position on a weekly basis.

    Have a great day.

    Oct 11 06:57 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is The Debt Issue Phony? [View article]
    An interesting, and VERY Democratic analysis of our debt problem. Instead of comparing and touting interest expense as % of GDP, why not compare apples with apples, and compare government tax receipts to its spending? I believe a new and "scary" picture will appear.
    Oct 5 08:53 AM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Stock Markets May Be Lagging Indicators [View article]
    Interesting perspective, BUT I found some of you rhetoric confusing and contradictory. In your opening paragraph you state "tapering" would lead to a bond rally....Wouldn't the opposite be true (or did you mean "rally" in terms if rising interest rates?)

    Then, further down in your article you suggest that the market is a poor leading indicator, noting that "Every U.S. recession bar one over the past century has followed a downturn in stock markets. A lead indicator for stock markets, the economy is not." Would not this suggest that the market was, indeed, an indicator. Just doesn't make sense to me and it's irritating to read such contradictions in english language!

    Sep 22 08:45 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Most Dangerous Idea [View article]
    Mr. Roche,

    When world powers (like they're beginning to do now), eliminate the USD as a Reserve Currency, the game will be over. Movements are now afoot in China, Korea, Russia and the Middle East to move away from the USD as the "Oil Currency."

    When the status of USD as a Reserve Currency changes it will be the most catastrophic event in our history. Add to that the rising interest rates, the government will reach the point where not even interest payments could be satisfied....yet our leaders continue the deficit spending binge to the extent of around $200,000,000 DAILY.

    As the author suggests, by having printing presses it is impossible for the government to "run out of money." That's not the point....the point is that it won't be worth the paper and ink used to produce it.

    In many respects, I'm glad I'm not a young man.

    S/A Author
    Sep 15 09:27 AM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment