Dale Roberts is an Investment Funds Associate with Tangerine Investment Funds Limited, a subsidiary of Tangerine Bank wholly owned by Scotiabank. My articles are for information purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or an offer or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. These articles are my personal opinion and are not those of Tangerine Bank or its subsidiaries. Remember past performance is not guaranteed and may not be repeated. Investment strategies are not suitable for everyone and you should always conduct your own research or speak to a financial advisor.
Full-time Investor, and frequent speculator.
Focus on US Stocks and Real Estate.
Degree in Economics and Finance.
Over 35 years of economic analysis and active investing experience. Retired Financial Services CEO (company had $2 Billion in financial assets).
Macroeconomic conditions and cycle progression are the foundation of my investment strategy. I evaluate the macro trend, and then select investments that will benefit from that trend, shifting the mix as the cycle progresses. Earnings growth is the sustainable fuel for investment gains. So, I look to position my portfolio accordingly.
I stay fully invested during the rising tide of a growing economy. I use leverage until the expansion shows signs of constraints and exhaustion. Rising input costs (wages, materials, energy, interest rates) eventually squeeze corporate profits, making growth less feasible. When I see evidence of a coming recession combined with weakness in the market, I exit my equity positions, reduce my real estate holdings, and shift to the safety of cash and treasury bonds. After the market slides deeply, and after the panic reaches headline proportions, I begin to reinvest as I anticipate or see evidence of the market bottom. I successfully avoided the 2001-2002 and the 2008 bear markets, while being fully invested for the bull markets around those declines.
In prior cycles I purchased individual stocks. However, during this bull market I am making heavy use of ETFs (including Sector ETFs). This is much less work, but results in more average returns. I do purchase some individual company stocks when I think the company will perform better than the average in its industry sector. I do not sell short, and rarely use options.
My portfolio is about half market tracking. I also use sector rotation, selected specific companies, modest margin debt, and 3x leveraged ETFs, within the rising cycle trend to magnify and outperform the average trend. I also adjust the size of my market exposure based on market conditions, and historic patterns.
My gross investment asset allocation target is roughly 70% stock, and 30% real estate (rentals). Current Stock Portfolio Mix (Feb 2017): 47% Broad Market Tracking (VTI, SPY, RSP, QQQ, VB...),15% Homebuilders and related, 14% Consumer Discretionary (VCR), 8% Industrials (XLI), 05% Berkshire Hathaway, 11% all other. Margin Debt is about 2% of portfolio value. Total Market Leverage is 1.08x (down from 1.34x in 2014). No bonds, and cash is less than 2% of gross assets. Real Estate is Residential Rentals, mostly near the beach (average LTV is about 40%).
Over the past 35+ years of active investing in stocks and real estate, my investment returns have been significantly above the average return of the S&P 500 (largely due to market timing and leverage). Since October 2007, my Stock portfolio average total return on equity has been about 15% per year, compounded. My Real Estate portfolio average total return has been about 9% per year for the same period. The S&P 500 average total return has been about 7% per year during the same period.
25 years experience in Quantitative investment research, portfolio management, and stock market data analytics. 18 years experience in index trading / ETF strategist. Risk manager.
Evidence based, mean revision / time series / seasonal studies applied towards general market trends with a focus on long term format.
Relative newcomer to the world of Mr. Market, hoping to slowly but surely build a sustainable, diversified, and dividend-growth focused portfolio. Looking to share ideas with fellow contributors and take advice of those more experienced in investing.
Please note that the article that you are reading here was originally written on my blog and is republished in Seeking Alpha and other forums. Consequently, I neither track nor respond to comments here. I am sorry! ================ Editors' Note: Seeking Alpha monitors Dr. Damodaran blog and posts relevant articles on his behalf.
The stock market is an incredibly interesting and dynamic puzzle that continues to draw me in like a game of chess where every few moves your opponent changes and parts of the board are obscured.
The investment models I design are typically used by family offices, hedge funds, brokerages and single investors. If you are interested in developing a certain model and want to throw a few ideas around, you are most welcome to contact me without feeling pressure or obligation.
My other passion is volunteering with the deaf. My wife and I moved to Malawi Africa from 2014 to 2016 where we learned Malawi Sign Language.
A mid-30s ex-venture capitalist and investment banker (finance degree)...now a serial startup CFO. I used to look for yield in all the wrong places, but have created a modified dividend growth (DGI) strategy that works for me.
I am a 40 year old investor with a long term perspective and a lot of patience. I mainly think about the future when investing in stocks. I do not care about what my selection of stocks will do next year, but what the result will be in 2040 or so. To paraphrase Warren Buffett: "You should only have stocks that you would feel comfortable having if the stock market closes up for 10 years." That means that I look for stocks that combine growth and value. It has been proven that the group of dividend initiators and fastest dividend growers outperforms the markets by far in the long run. So I mainly select stocks from this group, although I also select some non-dividend payers that I believe will grow out to great future value players. Hence: from Growth to Value. I appreciate your comments, because I believe I can learn a lot from your feedback and I believe in the wisdom of crowds.
Ben Hunt is the Chief Risk Officer of Salient Partners, L.P., a $19 billion investment management firm based in Houston, Texas. Dr. Hunt is an experienced portfolio and risk manager, as well as the author of Epsilon Theory, a popular weekly newsletter for money managers and investors that examines the capital markets through the lenses of game theory and history. Dr. Hunt received his Ph.D. from Harvard University in 1991, and he is the author or co-author of two books on international politics and applications of game theory and econometric analysis.
More than 50 years an active investor, during the last 30 years, I have been running the first online, interactive investment advisor service. I place emphasis on fundamental analysis and value, not only as shown on financial statements but as imputed from assets such as patents.
I have three degrees from the University of Michigan, the last of which is a doctorate in Urban and Regional Planning and have worked in many countries throughout the world, including Indonesia, Turkey, and Tunisia. I am also familiar with the workings of federal, state and local government, and their impacts on investors.
Besides publishing a weekly newsletter for investors, my views have appeared in publications such as BARRON'S and Science (weekly journal of the American Association for the Advancement of Science).
Michael Harris is a trader, book author, software program developer and blogger. He started developing advanced pattern recognition software for the benefit of position and swing traders in the late 1990s. In years past, Michael has also done work for a number of different financial firms, where he developed a bond portfolio optimization program and trading systems for commodities and stocks. Michael is also a well-known author. His first book “Short-Term Trading with Price Patterns” was published in 1999. His other two books “Stock Trading Techniques with Price Patterns” and “Profitability and Systematic Trading” were published in 2000 and 2008, respectively. His most recent book is "Fooled By Technical Analysis". Michael holds a Masters degree in Operations Research, with emphasis in forecasting and financial engineering and another Masters degree in Mechanical Engineering. Website: www.priceactionlab.com
As Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investment Partners, Jeff spearheads the investment research efforts while providing close contact to Alhambra’s client base.
Jeff joined Atlantic Capital Management, Inc., in Buffalo, NY, as an intern while completing studies at Canisius College. After graduating in 1996 with a Bachelor’s degree in Finance, Jeff took over the operations of that firm while adding to the portfolio management and stock research process.
In 2000, Jeff moved to West Palm Beach to join Tom Nolan with Atlantic Capital Management of Florida, Inc. During the early part of the 2000′s he began to develop the research capability that ACM is known for. As part of the portfolio management team, Jeff was an integral part in growing ACM and building the comprehensive research/management services, and then turning that investment research into outstanding investment performance.
As part of that research effort, Jeff authored and published numerous in-depth investment reports that ran contrary to established opinion. In the nearly year and a half run-up to the panic in 2008, Jeff analyzed and reported on the deteriorating state of the economy and markets. In early 2009, while conventional wisdom focused on near-perpetual gloom, his next series of reports provided insight into the formative ending process of the economic contraction and a comprehensive review of factors that were leading to the market’s resurrection.
In 2012, after the merger between ACM and Alhambra Investment Partners, Jeff came on board Alhambra as Head of Global Investment Research.
Currently, Jeff is published nationally at RealClearMarkets, ZeroHedge, Minyanville and Yahoo!Finance.
Jeff holds a FINRA Series 65 Investment Advisor License.
John Thomas graduated with a bachelor’s degree in biochemistry with honors and a minor in mathematics from the University of California at Los Angeles (UCLA) in 1974. He moved to Tokyo, Japan where he was employed by a medium-sized Japanese securities house. Thomas became fluent in Japanese and was trained as a domestic Japanese research analyst and money manager. In 1977 Thomas became the Tokyo correspondent for The Economist magazine and the Financial Times of London. Thomas traveled extensively throughout Asia, interviewing premiers, presidents and prime ministers, writing on macroeconomic trends, and producing countless features about individual companies. Thomas witnessed China’s cultural revolution and was one of the first American correspondents to enter China prior to the U.S. normalization of relations. Thomas authored several books about the Japanese financial system still in use by business schools today. In 1983 Thomas joined a top US investment bank in New York with the mandate to develop an international equity business for the firm. In 1985 he moved to London, England to establish a presence in Japanese equity derivatives for the firm. In 1989 Thomas was appointed a director of one of the big three Swiss Banks with a mandate to design sophisticated hedging strategies for the bank’s considerable holdings of Japanese equity warrants and convertible bonds. With the invasion of Kuwait by Iraq, Thomas was drafted by the US Marine Corp to serve as a pilot. In 1990 Thomas became a pioneer in the nascent hedge fund industry by founding the first dedicated Japanese hedge fund. The firm managed segregated accounts for a variety of government agencies, banks, and high net worth individuals in Europe, the Middle East, and Asia. After a decade of spectacular absolute and relative performance he sold his firm in 1999 and retired to manage his personal investments in the oil and gas industry. Seeing incredible opportunities in the marketplace and yearning for the adrenaline and satisfaction offered by active management, Thomas launched a new hedge fund in 2007. In his free time Thomas is a commercial aircraft pilot, long distance hiker and mountain climber, wine collector and avid photographer.
I am a retired airline executive with legal and financial experience. I have a background in economics and finance with a focus on securities and securities analysis. I was in private practice for 10 years doing trial and appellate work prior to joining United Airlines where I did both transactions and litigation. I was with United for over 29 years, the last 17 as Assistant General Counsel. I now am a self directed investor, seeking to create cash flow to supplement our pensions and social security. I take a long term view focusing on securities that create a steady cash flow.
Loic LeMener is President of Opus Wealth Management. He specializes in providing his clients with holistic wealth management and investment solutions. Loic has access to a team of both local and national professionals to help preserve and grow the wealth of his clients. This team-based approach along with proprietary financial modeling software allows Loic to implement highly sophisticated design strategies. Loic received a Bachelor of Science degree in Finance from the University of Colorado after which he spent the better part of a decade in post-graduate education. Loic has earned an MBA from Southern Methodist University, holds the CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER® certification, the Chartered Life Underwriter and Chartered Financial Analyst® designations. Loic is a member of both the Chartered Financial Analyst Institute and the Chartered Financial Analyst Society of Dallas-Fort Worth. He is also an active member of the Southern Methodist University Alumni Association and has been quoted in national publications including Barron’s. When not in the office, Loic enjoys reading, tennis, running, and golf.
Loic LeMener, CFA®, MBA, CFP® is a registered representative of Lincoln Financial Advisors Corp. Securities and investment advisory services offered through Lincoln Financial Advisors Corp., a broker-dealer (member SIPC) and registered investment advisor. Insurance offered through Lincoln affiliates and other fine companies. Opus Wealth Management is not an affiliate of Lincoln Financial Advisors Corp. CRN-1574361-081816.
Jeremy Josse is managing director and head of the financial institutions group at Brock Capital in New York. He has spent the last twenty five years of his career working as an executive in some of the world's leading financial institutions, including Schroders, Citigroup, and N M Rothschild. He has specialized in complex restructurings and corporate finance issues in the banking, financial institutions and fin tech sectors. He has worked with banks, corporations and Governments throughout the U.S. and Europe. He studied philosophy and economics as an undergraduate at both Trinity College, Oxford University and as a graduate at London University. He also qualified as a banking attorney. He is the author of the Wiley published book "Dinosaur Derivatives and Other Trades" and has published numerous other articles on a wide range of financial subjects including the credit crisis, bank restructurings and financial engineering. Josse is a visiting researcher in finance at Sy Syms business school in New York. He lives with his wife, Muriel, and three kids in New York City.
Ronald J. Surz is a partner and CIO of Paladin FinTech, researching financial technology as well as providing a portal to leading edge financial technologies, including some developed by Paladin.
He is also President of PPCA and Target Date Solutions, and partner of TDF Builder and Sortino Investment Analytics.
Ron has served on several boards, and currently serves on a few. He earned an MBA in Finance at the University of Chicago and an MS in Applied Mathematics at the University of Illinois.
Douglas Tengdin, CFA is a portfolio manager and investment analyst living in Hanover, NH. He has worked in the investment industry since 1974, when started as a mail-boy for a regional municipal underwriter in Minneapolis, Minnesota. He has managed portfolios in Boston; Providence, Burlington, VT; and Tunis, Tunisia.
He is currently the Chief Investment Officer for Charter Trust Company, a New Hampshire-based Wealth Management firm with over $1.6 billion in assets. His daily blog has been published since 2007. He has several radio shows around New Hampshire, and his daily thoughts are published on his web-site.
He received his CFA Charter in 1992, and is an active volunteer with the CFA Institute. He was the founding President of the Vermont CFA Society.
sleek is a value investor who manages his own money and has been a full-time investor for about 25 years. He is self taught and has about two doctorate degrees worth of education in the study of Accounting, Finance, and Economics. He follows the investment style of Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, etc.
After 47 years in the financial markets, Robert P. Balan has retired. Education in mining engineering, computer science, finance, and training in economics led to a commodity analysis career during the commodity boom of the early 1970s. Robert made a switch to global macro focus in the early 1980 when the commodity bull market waned, with specialization in foreign exchange. Robert wrote a very high profile daily FX analysis while Geneva-based in the mid-1980s (the first FX commentary with a real global readership, "most accessed" in the Reuters and Telerate networks from 1988 to 1994). He worked for Swiss Bank Corp and Union Bank of Switzerland (precursors of today’s new UBS) as head of technical research and as proprietary trader in various major finance centers (London, New York, and subsequently head of proprietary trading in Toronto, respectively) from late 1980s to mid-1990s. A stint at Bank of America as head of global technical research (in London and New York) followed in late 1990s to early 2000s. Robert did technical analysis for Saxo Bank (Denmark) in the mid-200s based in New York. He returned to Switzerland in 2004 as head of technical research and strategy, and FX and commodity market analyst for Swiss Life Asset Management in Zurich. He joined Diapason Commodities Management in 2008 as senior market strategist, and subsequently as Chief Market Strategist, utilizing fundamental macroeconomic drivers, and structural/technical data in modeling asset price and sector movements. Robert wrote a book on the Elliott Wave Principle in 1988, which was hailed by the London Society of Technical Analysts as “the best book ever written on the subject”. Robert is a member of the National Association for Business Economics (NABE), USA.
Professionally, I have done a bit of everything in my long life, from playing rock and roll, to developing software, and running a successful entrepreneurial business. But I am best known as a writer of bestselling books about business and health. I write under a pseudonym here on Seeking Alpha because that way I know readers will evaluate my work strictly on the basis of what I actually said rather than who I am.
I write on a lot of different investing topics, so if you decide to follow me, drop me a line to let me know what topics you'd like me to write about more.
I was a software engineer for a little over 21 years before I decided to call it quits to the corporate world when I was 45 years old (in 2014). I have always dreamed of retiring early, but I didn't plan to retire until I was 50 years old. When I realized my investment portfolio could generate the income I needed to free my life from the shackles of the corporate world, I quit my job and never looked back.
I did not win the lottery, inherited large sums of money, nor got lots of stock options from a company that I worked at that IPO'ed. It was all very hard-earned. I lived below my means and saved a substantial percentage of my take-home pay ever since the third year of my professional life.
I've been a lurker on SeekingAlpha for years, and finally decided to become a contributor to document my journey as an early retiree.
It's hard to categorize me as an investor. Although I'm mostly "dividend growth" minded, I also dabble in growth, deep value, speculation, as well as a little hedging now and then with options.
I founded and manage Servo Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) firm that helps people achieve financial independence, a secure retirement, and positions them to leave a meaningful financial legacy.
Chris Cook's background is in UK market regulation, latterly as a Director of the International Petroleum Exchange. In recent years, he has been a strategic market consultant and commentator, and has also been actively developing new partnership-based legal and financial structures or "enterprise models". Since 2011 Chris has been a Senior Research Fellow at the Institute for Security & Resilience Studies at University College London.
Ron Patterson is a retired Computer Engineer. He spent five years in Saudi Arabia working for Saudi ARAMCO. He has followed the peak oil story since 2000. Ron started blogging on peak oil in 2013. His web site, PeakOilBarrel.com is one of the most followed blogs on the subject.
Ron's interest are geology, biology, paleontology, and ecology. His hobbies are blogging and kayak sailing.
Sorry I hide my true identity but I'm a physicist/engineer, native contrarian and idea generator. I am an eclectic dividend investor with motto "In God We Trust, All Others Pay Cash" applied to companies I invest in.
I like to read /and read a lot - did you look on my SA photo 8-)? / including popular and academic investment books and papers. After 200+ books I concluded that many (but not all) finance academics failed to delivery a good science because they usually are more concerned about match between their models and limited (in time and place) data-sets than about underlying assumptions of their models. On another hand, finance practitioners such as fund managers have different goals than I (for example, they want to outperform or replicate market each single year while my goal is to have smooth income from my investment and I don't worry to underperform in a bull market) and to some extend more limited in their choices than I (for example, with micro- and nano-cap stocks). It gives a chance for me as amateur investor to compete successfully with professionals in niche strategies such as dividend investment (see http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/725729-sds-seductive-dividend-stocks/266502-why-i-m-a-dividend-zealot-jan-31-2012).
My real portfolio consists of more than 100 dividend growth (DG) and high yield (HY) high quality stocks of USA and foreign companies with good history of dividend payments. I cherry-picked these stocks from the end of XX century in accordance with my ideas on diversification for income-equity investors ( http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/725729-sds-seductive-dividend-stocks/4183595-an-estimation-of-dividend-growth-portfolio-size). I also maintain artificial so-called "poor"folio of dividend stocks I use for self-education about market.
I understand that DGI is mostly trust in company's Board of Directors consistency and that HYI is mostly disagreement with market sentiment but both styles fit my goals and mentality,
My investor edges are
i) critical scientific approach (used in natural science rather than in liberal sciences) to finance academics ideas and strong selection between useful and worthless findings;
ii) quite predictable proprietary model of dividend reductions forecast in near future (couple years) that I have delivered from mix of hardware engineering ideas and physics concepts with finance data and behavior signals that allows me to sell stocks before such unpleasant event, and that I continue to polish;
iii) independence in time frames and market exposures forbidden for many finance practitioners;
iv) analyses of companies that are too small for institutional investors.
I have couple excellent ideas in dividend investing I'd like to capitalize, so serious requests are welcome.
I rather put my thoughts and ideas in SA Instablog and comments than in articles (I'm pretty busy/lazy/English-incompetent to perfect an article) but in all cases all standard disclaimers are applied. One of good things I have learned in Intel, that decision should be data driven. So I try to supply my ideas and thoughts with most relevant data. I love old Russian writer and dramatist Anton Chekhov principle "Brevity is the sister of talent" and think it is even more important nowadays with ocean of information in front of any investor. So, I try to follow this principle in my SA instablog and comments but please remember that "If I have more time, I would have written shorter".
Being a scientific journals referee I have a bad habit to find few weak points in almost any manuscript, so I probably too critical in some comments but I hope the article authors excuse me. I prefer communicate via SA email rather than inside comments (I usually turn off "Track new comments on this article" feature SA has). So send me a SA email if you have a question or would like to discuss my point of view.
The Parsimony community is made up of thousands of do-it-yourself dividend and income investors working toward one common goal...generating consistent income!
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Our research (which includes dividend stock rankings, single stock Buy Zone reports, stock screens, and model portfolios) will give you all the tools you need to build and monitor your own DIY Dividend Portfolio and super charge that portfolio with conservative option strategies (cover calls and cash-secured puts).
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Janus Capital Group Inc. (JCG) is a global investment firm dedicated to delivering better outcomes for clients through a broad range of actively managed investment solutions, including fixed income, equity, alternative and multi-asset class strategies. It does so through a number of distinct investment platforms, including investment teams within Janus Capital Management LLC (Janus), as well as INTECH Investment Management LLC (INTECH) and Perkins Investment Management LLC (Perkins), in addition to a suite of exchange-traded products under the VelocityShares brand as well as global macro fixed income products under the Kapstream brand. Each team brings distinct asset class expertise, perspective, style-specific experience and a disciplined approach to risk. Investment strategies are offered through open-end funds domiciled in both the U.S. and offshore, as well as through separately managed accounts, collective investment trusts and exchange-traded products.
I've spent considerable time working for a registered independent advisor, doing work such as structuring client accounts, researching stocks/bonds, and performing due diligence on external managers. My career shifted when I took a role at a major investment bank, where I've supported the front office in mortgage-backed securities and derivatives. I now work in an oversight and risk capacity, identifying areas of risk and control weakness when it comes to regulatory compliance. As for trading style, I lean towards small/mid-cap companies, as I believe they have the potential for greater risk-adjusted returns. I'm firmly contrarian, and look to buy out-of-favor equities that have an opportunity to revalue upwards in the medium term.
Just a guy with an interest in the stock market. Trying to find good companies with good yields so I can retire.
I am long:
Energy: CVX XOM
Finance: JPM AFL MA V
Retail: TGT VFC
Industrials: LMT BA GE MMM HON CMI
Teleco: T VZ
Consumer goods: MO PM KO PG GIS PEP
Consumer Discretionary: LUV SBUX DIS NKE
Tech: MSFT APPL CSCO QCOM
Healthcare : ABBV JNJ CVS GILD
REITs: O VTR