Turley You are exactly right. Taking EPS growth at 20% annually out to 20 years gives about $590/share. I used 10 years for a very practical reason: I suspect Steve Jobs will be sipping Mai Tais in Miami in less than 20 years (Bill Gates is already bowing out and Andy Grove is long gone, but John Chambers is still going strong at 58). In other words, 20 years is a long time and Apple may not even exist as we know it today. It was certainly a mess before Jobs came back--who knows what'll happen after he leaves. Then again, maybe in 20 years Warren Buffett will still be around (at 97) and Berkshire Hathaway's A shares could be trading at $1 million? Thanks for the comment.
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Turley
Feb 08 14:05 pm
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All Comments by Daniel Agramonte »Air T vs. Apple? Not Even Close [View article]
You are exactly right. Taking EPS growth at 20% annually out to 20 years gives about $590/share. I used 10 years for a very practical reason: I suspect Steve Jobs will be sipping Mai Tais in Miami in less than 20 years (Bill Gates is already bowing out and Andy Grove is long gone, but John Chambers is still going strong at 58). In other words, 20 years is a long time and Apple may not even exist as we know it today. It was certainly a mess before Jobs came back--who knows what'll happen after he leaves. Then again, maybe in 20 years Warren Buffett will still be around (at 97) and Berkshire Hathaway's A shares could be trading at $1 million? Thanks for the comment.