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David Braunstein, CFA  

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  • Lessons Learned From Our 3 Worst Performing Stocks Of 2014
    Wed, Jan. 7 LSTMF, SBS, SDRL 4 Comments

    Summary

    • Unforeseen oil price declines late in 2014 caused heavy stock price losses in Lightstream Resources and SeaDrill Limited.
    • The imperfect storm of unfavorable election results, a falling Brazilian Real, and unfavorable regulation took a heavy toll on the stock price of Companhia de Saneamento.
    • Lessons learned include debt and commodities don’t mix; even the most conservative investment in an emerging market can lead to significant losses.
  • Our 3 Best Performing Stocks Of 2014
    Mon, Jan. 5 ACCO, MSFT, NBIX Comment!

    Summary

    • Neurocrine Biosciences Inc. rose 134% last year and still has more to go in 2015.
    • ACCO Brands Corp. makes an interesting small cap value stock at lower prices.
    • Microsoft Corp. will likely consolidate last year’s gains in 2015, but should be accumulated on weakness.
  • These 2015 Predictions Could Be Vital For Your Wealth
    Fri, Jan. 2 DIA, SPY, QQQ 5 Comments

    Summary

    • 2015 will mark a major turning point in the market from liquidity driven to earnings driven.
    • Oil prices could fall to $30 per barrel in the first quarter of 2015; buying opportunity for EOG, DVN, OXY.
    • Second quarter Fed will likely raise rates to 0.50%; economic numbers should be strong.
    • Third and fourth economic numbers will likely be weaker than most expect as oil hedges roll over.
    • Opportunity in domestic retailers, transportation, and oil and gas bottom fishers on commodity weakness.
  • KVB Capital LLC's Best And Worst Third-Quarter Performers
    Oct. 10, 2014 DVN, EOG, GILD 3 Comments

    Summary

    • At KVB Capital LLC, every quarter we highlight our best and worst performers for the quarter.
    • Our best performers were Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD), Nokia Corporation (NOK), Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. (NBIX).
    • Our worst performers were Lightstream Resources Ltd (LSTMF), Devon Energy Corporation (DVN), EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG) and SeaDrill Limited (SDRL).
    • These stocks are part of a 40 stock model portfolio and are also owned by most of our clients.
  • Is The 10.7% Dividend Safe For Lightstream Resources? What Is The Downside Risk?
    Oct. 3, 2014 LSTMF 44 Comments

    Summary

    • During the last 10 to 40 years of a shale well’s life, production in the Bakken declines between 5% to 10% per year.
    • If Lightstream stopped all exploration and focused only on paying the existing dividend, how long could the existing dividend be maintained based on 2Q 2014 production?
    • Case I, doomsday scenario, where oil prices and production drop by 10% per year; even with extreme assumptions the dividend is safe.
    • Case III demonstrates a conservative scenario where prices stay flat for the next 10 years and production drops by 5% per year, showing Lightstream should not be below C9.11.
    • If the company uses excess funds to successfully grow, then Lightstream could trade much higher because 70% to 90% production occurs the first year in shale plays.
  • Why The Iranian Deal Is Not Bearish For Oil Stocks
    Nov. 25, 2013 USO, OIL, UCO 9 Comments
  • When The Music Stops, What Does The End Of Fed Policy Look Like?
    May. 7, 2013 DIA, SPY 10 Comments
  • My Top 10 Stock Picks for 2011
    Jan. 3, 2011 NTLS, TEVA, DVN 13 Comments
  • The Contrarian's Guide to 2011
    Dec. 28, 2010 DIA, SPY, QQQ 4 Comments
  • Should I Invest 10% of My Portfolio in Gold?
    Jul. 15, 2009 GLD 15 Comments
  • Applying Traumatic Emotions to Today's Stock Market
    Jun. 24, 2009 SPY, DIA, QQQ 2 Comments
  • 3 Economic Crises: My Take
    Jun. 8, 2008 SPY, DIA, QQQ 3 Comments