Stocks Headed Lower As Corporate Profits Peak And Households Rein In Spending [View article]
My article doesn't concern a 5-year outlook -- it's about the near-term (3 months - 6 month outlook) for stocks.
I agree with you that stock prices, in general, will likely move higher over the next five years. Like you, I also tend to"buy on dips", but only under certain circumstances.
I'm curious, did you "pocket substantial profits" during 2008???
Economic Outlook Worsens, Stay In Cash [View article]
hksche2000,
For the most part, I agree with your comments.
In addition to not betting the farm -- not putting too much of one's financial market assets into any given security -- I encourage investors and speculators to always manage risk by be willing to reverse course (i.e. selling stocks that decline by a pre-specified percentage) when future developments don't move in the same direction that those investors / speculators had initially anticipated.
Economic Outlook Worsens, Stay In Cash [View article]
Freddy, given the overwhelming number of so-called financial market "experts" who, for some reason, tend to always be either bullish or bearish (i.e. Abby Joseph Cohen - always bullish - and both Nouriel Roubini and Gary Shilling - always bearish), I understand the (false) assumptions that you made about me, and I fully accept your apology.
It's a shame that persons like the one's I mentioned still have jobs and that people, for some reason, continue to listen to their useless comments and forecasts.
Economic Outlook Worsens, Stay In Cash [View article]
Freddy,
I'm not, and never have, jumped on any bandwagon; and, I'm not a gloom-and-doomer. Unlike you, I also never say that any given outcome "could" happen. That's because almost anything "could" happen at some point in time.
Instead, I do extensive economic, geopolitical, and technical research in an effort to forecast what will likely happen in various economies and financial markets around the globe.
I use that research to advise investors on ways to properly invest their financial market assets during different types of investment environments.
In regard to "belated" forecasts, I am in no way late in my most recent economic and stock market forecast, as I advised investors on April 1 of this year to get completely out of the stock market and to temporarily allocate 100% of their financial market assets to cash-like investments (i.e. money market securities).
That's after advising many of those same investors from November 30, 2011 to March 30 of this year to invest heavily in several growth stocks, as well as in technology, financial, industrial and small-cap ETFs.
So, unlike the other persons that you mentioned above, investors who have followed my advice did not miss last year's substantial rally in stocks.
Those investors did, however, miss last year's big pullback in stocks, as I advised conservative investors from July 6, 2011 to November 30, 11 to allocate 100% of their financial market assets to cash.
During that same period, speculators who followed my Speculative Portfolio recommendations captured some sizeable gains, with 35 out of my 39 short-term trade recommendations during that period generating gains and all four of my losing trade recommendations generating less than a 12% loss.
Those same speculators were able to participate in a positive way from the relatively big drop in stock prices over the past few days, as I advised those speculators last Thursday to allocate 20% of their financial market assets to the ProShares Short S&P 500 ETF (SH).
So, I suggest that you learn a little more about me and my investment track record before suggesting that I supposedly “jumped on the Mcdoomer bandwagon”.
Stocks Headed Lower As Corporate Profits Peak And Households Rein In Spending [View article]
I agree with you that stock prices, in general, will likely move higher over the next five years. Like you, I also tend to"buy on dips", but only under certain circumstances.
I'm curious, did you "pocket substantial profits" during 2008???
Economic Outlook Worsens, Stay In Cash [View article]
For the most part, I agree with your comments.
In addition to not betting the farm -- not putting too much of one's financial market assets into any given security -- I encourage investors and speculators to always manage risk by be willing to reverse course (i.e. selling stocks that decline by a pre-specified percentage) when future developments don't move in the same direction that those investors / speculators had initially anticipated.
DF
Economic Outlook Worsens, Stay In Cash [View article]
It's a shame that persons like the one's I mentioned still have jobs and that people, for some reason, continue to listen to their useless comments and forecasts.
D. Frazier
Economic Outlook Worsens, Stay In Cash [View article]
So, I ask that anyone who's interested in my thoughts on the aforementioned subject to instead contact me via the telephone.
D. Frazier
Economic Outlook Worsens, Stay In Cash [View article]
I'm not, and never have, jumped on any bandwagon; and, I'm not a gloom-and-doomer. Unlike you, I also never say that any given outcome "could" happen. That's because almost anything "could" happen at some point in time.
Instead, I do extensive economic, geopolitical, and technical research in an effort to forecast what will likely happen in various economies and financial markets around the globe.
I use that research to advise investors on ways to properly invest their financial market assets during different types of investment environments.
In regard to "belated" forecasts, I am in no way late in my most recent economic and stock market forecast, as I advised investors on April 1 of this year to get completely out of the stock market and to temporarily allocate 100% of their financial market assets to cash-like investments (i.e. money market securities).
That's after advising many of those same investors from November 30, 2011 to March 30 of this year to invest heavily in several growth stocks, as well as in technology, financial, industrial and small-cap ETFs.
So, unlike the other persons that you mentioned above, investors who have followed my advice did not miss last year's substantial rally in stocks.
Those investors did, however, miss last year's big pullback in stocks, as I advised conservative investors from July 6, 2011 to November 30, 11 to allocate 100% of their financial market assets to cash.
During that same period, speculators who followed my Speculative Portfolio recommendations captured some sizeable gains, with 35 out of my 39 short-term trade recommendations during that period generating gains and all four of my losing trade recommendations generating less than a 12% loss.
Those same speculators were able to participate in a positive way from the relatively big drop in stock prices over the past few days, as I advised those speculators last Thursday to allocate 20% of their financial market assets to the ProShares Short S&P 500 ETF (SH).
So, I suggest that you learn a little more about me and my investment track record before suggesting that I supposedly “jumped on the Mcdoomer bandwagon”.
D. Frazier
Economic Outlook Worsens, Stay In Cash [View article]
386-956-9444
D. Frazier
Economic Outlook Worsens, Stay In Cash [View article]
Don't worry, I'm not going to try to sell you anything.
David Frazier
President and Chief Market Strategist
Frazier & Mayer Research, LLC
386-956-9444
DavidF@IntegrativeInve...