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David Jackson  

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  • On S&P Short ETF Action and Chesapeake Corp. Options [View article]
    Keith, I thought that the short ETFs didn't require payment of dividends, since they use futures? Or are the futures adjusted for dividend payments?
    Jun 28, 2007. 12:08 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is There An ETF Bubble On the Horizon? [View article]
    I understand why Dr Bernstein knocks the narrow theme ETFs (he's an indexing/asset allocation purist, and there's no role for narrow theme ETFs in an asset allocation strategy). But I think there are legitimate uses for narrow ETFs that he doesn't think about. Take the <b>HealthShares ETFs</b>:

    <blockquote>The HealthShares ETFs can also be used by individuals to hedge healthcare costs. For example, a 30 year old diabetic who expects to be treated for the next 50 years may want to own the HealthShares Metabolic-Endocrine Disorders ETF (HHM), so that increases in the cost of treatment may be offset by appreciation of the ETF.</blockquote>...

    That seems a pretty sound argument, and valuable use for an ETF, no?
    Jun 27, 2007. 01:26 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Microvision Ready For a Big Fall? [View article]
    Sorry I'm a bit late to this thread. Couple of comments:

    Like many bloggers, some contributors to Seeking Alpha who don't have their own blogs want to remain anonymous, and we actually publish a fair number of articles that are totally anonymous. Other bloggers and contributors stay anonymous by using pen names.

    In a conversation about this post, someone wrote to me that using the opening <i>An anonymous hedge fund manager submits</i> "subtlely implies the possibility of a manipulative motive". My personal view is that there's added risk with posts published without an author name, and we want readers to be on their guard, and to judge the article purely on the merit of the arguments it contains, not the authority of the author. We insist on disclosure of positions, and as you see the author disclosed a short position in the stock.

    NO DooDahs Bill, of course I'm not the author of the article, nor have I ever had any position in MVIS. Take a look at the compliance standards for Seeking Alpha employees here: seekingalpha.com/about

    I'd be interested to hear suggestions from the people in this thread on how you think we should handle the issue of contributions where the author wants to remain anonymous:
    - Would you want us to accept contributions only from people who provided us with real names and verified them, even if that meant losing a large number of helpful articles?
    - Should we try to provide more info about anonymous authors (eg. "money manager" or "hedge fund manager"), or less?
    - Do you read any blogs that are anonymous, and what do you think about them?

    Take a look at our compliance standards for contributors as you think about this:
    seekingalpha.com/artic...

    Best,
    David
    Founder, Seeking Alpha
    Jun 26, 2007. 07:42 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Covestor and VesTopia: Winners and Losers from Peer to Peer Investing [View article]
    Hi Guy,

    I mentioned in the article that most people's concerns focus on the security issues. Rikki addressed Covestor's approach to that in his comment above; can you talk about how VesTopia is approaching security?

    David
    Jun 5, 2007. 01:08 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Case Against Leveraged ETFs [View article]
    Tristan, how do dividends factor in here? The futures don't pay dividends, but the underlying stocks do, so do you lose out on the equity dividends if you buy these funds, or is that also factored into the price of the futures?
    May 19, 2007. 07:17 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Case Against Leveraged ETFs [View article]
    Roger, have you compared the interest on the bonds these funds pay out compared to the lost dividends from owning futures instead of the actual stocks? I wonder how the overall yield compares. V interested to hear your views on this and any numbers you have.
    May 19, 2007. 07:10 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Seeking Alpha Stock Market Email Alerts FAQ [View article]
    Thanks Jon. Charts are provided by QuoteMedia; we'll check with them.
    May 18, 2007. 03:12 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Diversified Pharma ETFs Are the Way to Go [View article]
    The interview with Jeffrey Feldman, founder of HealthShares, had a lot of discussion of these issues. He argued that growth will come from new treatments, so the mid-cap and small cap stocks are where you want to invest, not the large cap pharma stocks.

    The interview is really worth reading if you haven't already seen it:
    Interactive Q&amp;A: Jeffrey L. Feldman, Creator of HealthShares and Founder and Chairman of XShares Group LLC
    May 17, 2007. 03:47 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The "Incredible" Israeli Shekel [View article]
    Is the conclusion that the Israeli shekel will remain strong unless there's a conflict with Iran, and that the risk of that isn't sufficiently priced-in? Not sure whether the bottom line is that you're bullish or bearish on the shekel versus the dollar.
    May 13, 2007. 06:22 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Another Blow To Newspapers: Facebook Classifieds [View article]
    Student rentals aren't a huge market. But the Web 2.0 wave is about <b>fragmentation into niche markets</b>, each of which aren't necessarily huge, but which in aggregate chip away at large, non-segmented markets. For example, look at how highly focused blogs on topics like gadgets, cell phones, startups and telecom/internet are chipping away at the broad audiences previously dominated by mainstream tech journalism.

    So you're right about the market size, but this is part of a broader trend that is highly significant. And I think Scott is right that social networking is a good platform for consumer to consumer transactions due to the trust issue.
    May 11, 2007. 04:15 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 6 Book Stocks To Watch [View article]
    I love these lists; they're helpful and fun. But I'm not sure the inference from Amazon's results is correct, and this particular list is risky because -- as you point out -- many of the stocks have substantial non-book businesses.

    Barnes and Noble (BKS), a better proxy for book demand as it's more of a "pure play", said on its recent conference call (see transcript):

    <blockquote>Sale... at Barnes &amp; Noble stores were $4.5 billion for the year up 2% over a year ago. </blockquote>

    Not so great.

    Furthermore, note that Amazon never singled out books as a growth area on its conference call (see transcript):

    <blockquote>In the North America segment, revenue grew 30% to $1.62 billion. Media revenue grew 21% to $990 million. EGM revenue grew 51% to $564 million, representing 35% of North America revenues, up from 30%. We saw another quarter of strong sales in electronics and revenue from soft goods, which includes jewellery, apparel, shoes and sporting goods, more than doubled year over year.

    Additionally, we are pleased with the early customer response to our grocery subscription service, which offers automated replenishment plus a 15% additional discount. Some of the most popular items for subscription include diapers, nutrition bars and coffee.</blockquote...

    Media sales include books, movies and music; we know that Amazon has taken share from other stores, so much of the growth might be market share gains, not market growth.

    You're right that many of these stocks are leveraged to their non-book business. Peason is dominated by the perceived value of the Financial Times. McGraw Hill owns S&P and Business Week, and its book business is leveraged to the educational market. (The detailed info is in McGraw Hill's conference call transcript.)

    And isn't Scholastic almost a pure bet on Harry Potter? See Paul Kedrosky's Investing in Harry Potter.
    May 3, 2007. 01:44 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • New Russia ETF: Heavy On Metals, Mining, Energy [View article]
    V interesting; thank you. Why is the BRIC ETF allocation to Russia so low?
    May 1, 2007. 04:22 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Newspaper Stocks Climb on Dow Jones Bid [View article]
    Dow Jones has unique content, powerful brands, excellent management and a significant online presence, factors which are not necessarily true for some of the other newspaper stocks. My guess is that some of these stocks will trade back down. Remember also that the Tribune bid was at a low premium, so the newspaper space generally isn't exactly a bidding battlefield.

    And look at what Bill Nygren recently wrote about newspaper stocks.

    Full disclosure: short LEE.
    May 1, 2007. 02:04 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • News Corp. Offers $60/Share for Dow Jones [View article]
    Interesting that this is also pushing up the stocks of other newspaper companies with little online presence or financial content. I'm not sure that makes sense, because Dow Jones has unique content, powerful brands, excellent management and a significant online presence, factors which are not necessarily true for some of the other newspaper stocks.
    May 1, 2007. 01:29 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Circuit City Revises Downward: Where Does That Leave Best Buy? [View article]
    And bad news for the entire flat panel food chain...
    May 1, 2007. 11:00 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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