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David Pinsen

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  • Downside Protection For Cisco Systems [View instapost]
    This article gives more of a step-by-step example of hedging, if you'd like to take a look: http://seekingalpha.co...
    May 22 08:14 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Downside Protection For Cisco Systems [View instapost]
    Thanks, but bear in mind that what I've described above isn't roulette. There are, broadly speaking, two ways of using options -- speculation ('roulette') and hedging (insurance). The examples above are of insurance.
    May 22 02:10 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Cisco's Price Correction Is Far From Over: Part 2 [View article]
    For CSCO longs who may want to add some downside protection now, I showed a couple of ways to hedge it in this instablog post today: http://seekingalpha.co...
    May 21 10:59 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Diana Containerships Business Model Continues To Deteriorate [View article]
    That's an interesting theory re how DSX might be using its loan. I haven't been following DSX closely, but I took a look at the cost of hedging it today and noticed something interesting. If you're willing to cap your potential upside at 20% over most of the rest of the year, the cost of hedging DSX against a greater than 20% drop over that time frame is pretty inexpensive. I showed the optimal collar for that in this instablog post: http://seekingalpha.co...
    May 21 08:48 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • ARM Holdings: Imagination's Recent Fall Invites Caution [View article]
    For ARMH longs who decide to keep holding the stock but are wary of the threats you and Ashraf have highlighted, I showed a couple of ways to hedge the stock in this instablog post: http://seekingalpha.co...
    May 21 04:55 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Risky Stocks In An Expensive Market [View article]
    In what way, Bill?
    May 20 08:26 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Silver: Is This The 'Last' Decline? [View article]
    Interesting article, I'm glad he linked to it or I wouldn't have seen it. The first thing that popped in my head reading the quote about bubbles from the former helicopter pilot at FIG was that, in hindsight, "bubble" described his own company's share price immediately following its IPO.

    Incidentally, earlier this year, I showed two inexpensive ways SLV longs could have hedged their positions in this instablog post: http://bit.ly/1163E88

    I hope it saved a few readers some money.
    May 20 01:58 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Two Ways Of Hedging Apple [View instapost]
    Purchasing those $350 strike puts would you give you the right to sell your apple shares for $350 between now and October. So, in the worst case scenario, your downside from here would be limited to $350. But, as we've shown in previous examples (e.g., with GLD in this article: http://seekingalpha.co... ).
    May 20 01:47 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple's Magic Is Broken [View article]
    I like my iPhone 4S as well, but I would differentiate between the company and the stock. I think Apple the company will continue to be profitable for years, but AAPL the stock's best days are behind it.

    Incidentally, for those AAPL investors who prefer to hold their shares but are wary of downside, I showed a couple of ways to hedge the stock in an instablog post late last week: http://seekingalpha.co...
    May 20 01:16 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Risky Stocks In An Expensive Market [View article]
    We looked at hedging AAPL in a previous article: http://seekingalpha.co...

    And more recently, in this instablog post: http://seekingalpha.co...
    May 20 01:13 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Risky Stocks In An Expensive Market [View article]
    Thanks, Heliskiier. See the second italicized paragraph at the bottom of the article for an explanation of the origin of the optimal collar algorithm.
    May 19 04:53 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Beware Long-Term Damage From Stock Market Bubble Forming Now [View article]
    Going to cash is always one alternative, but another alternative is to remain invested and hedge. And as the market has continued to rise, it has been inexpensive to hedge recently, as I showed in this recent instablog post: http://seekingalpha.co...
    May 17 02:18 PM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Caution May Be Warranted With These Stocks [View article]
    Any word from Soros and friends on JC Penney's bigger than expected quarterly loss?: http://yhoo.it/11IQAgJ
    May 16 10:50 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • J.C. Penney's CEO Discusses Q1 2013 Results - Earnings Call Transcript [View article]
    J.C. Penney had been sell-rated by at least 3 independent research firms, as I noted in this recent article: http://bit.ly/16CMcR6
    May 16 07:19 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The A.B.E. Of Economics [View article]
    According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics ( http://1.usa.gov/uNwVWh ), lawyers average $130,880 annually, and physicians & surgeons average $190,060.

    I mentioned off-shoring and automation as factors in unemployment above, but it's an absolute lie on your part that immigration has no effect on wages. As Harvard economist George Borjas notes ( http://bit.ly/18OcGOY ):

    "An increase in the number of workers leads to lower wages."

    "Classifying workers by education level and age and comparing differences across groups over time shows that a 10 percent increase in the size of an education/age group due to the entry of immigrants (both legal and illegal) reduces the wage of native-born men in that group by 3.7 percent and the wage of all native-born workers by 2.5 percent. "

    Supply & demand. It's common sense. If there are fewer jobs (due, in part, to offshoring and automation), there is less demand for workers; therefore, it makes no sense to import more job seekers.
    May 16 04:59 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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