<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">
  <channel>
    <title>David Segelov - Seeking Alpha</title>
    <description>'David Segelov' Tag RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com</description>
    <author>
      <name>SeekingAlpha.com</name>
    </author>
    <link>http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-segelov</link>
    <item>
      <title>Alexco Resource: A Cheap, Unlevered and Near Term Silver Producer</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/149004-alexco-resource-a-cheap-unlevered-and-near-term-silver-producer?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">149004</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><b>Thesis </b></p> <p>Alexco (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/axu' title='More opinion and analysis of AXU'>AXU</a>) has by dint of history full ownership over one of the most prolific silver producing regions in Canada. It is funded to get to production and has no debt. AXU is a very clean, simple story, enabling the investor to have full access to a cheap, unlevered silver near-term to be producer. AXU will be producing as a low-cost producer in a well-proven high grade area.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 15 Jul 2009 12:02:43 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Segelov</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><b>Thesis </b></p> <p>Alexco (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/axu' title='More opinion and analysis of AXU'>AXU</a>) has by dint of history full ownership over one of the most prolific silver producing regions in Canada. It is funded to get to production and has no debt. AXU is a very clean, simple story, enabling the investor to have full access to a cheap, unlevered silver near-term to be producer. AXU will be producing as a low-cost producer in a well-proven high grade area.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/149004-alexco-resource-a-cheap-unlevered-and-near-term-silver-producer?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/axu">AXU</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/slw">SLW</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-segelov">David Segelov</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The Long Case for Trinity Biotech</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/103839-the-long-case-for-trinity-biotech?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">103839</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong> Business Description</strong></p><p>Trinity Biotech (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/trib' title='More opinion and analysis of TRIB'>TRIB</a>) has two distinct segments:</p><ol><li>Clinical laboratory machines which function in the areas of haemostasis, infectious disease and clinical chemistry. These are machines designed for high through-put laboratories with the profit coming from high level of disposables. This segment accounts for 83% of revenues.</li><li>Point of Care Tests for HIV and a Tristat test for Diabetes (about to be released late 2008). This segment accounts for 17% of revenues.</li></ol> <p>My thesis is that this is an excellent and cheap acquisition for a number of players. Due to its small size, TRIB's cost structure (a combination of direct [63% sales] and indirect sales force [37% of sales], which is somewhat out of proportion due to the $150m in sales size when melded into a larger organization) would be wildly accretive.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 04 Nov 2008 05:33:49 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>David Segelov</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong> Business Description</strong></p><p>Trinity Biotech (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/trib' title='More opinion and analysis of TRIB'>TRIB</a>) has two distinct segments:</p><ol><li>Clinical laboratory machines which function in the areas of haemostasis, infectious disease and clinical chemistry. These are machines designed for high through-put laboratories with the profit coming from high level of disposables. This segment accounts for 83% of revenues.</li><li>Point of Care Tests for HIV and a Tristat test for Diabetes (about to be released late 2008). This segment accounts for 17% of revenues.</li></ol> <p>My thesis is that this is an excellent and cheap acquisition for a number of players. Due to its small size, TRIB's cost structure (a combination of direct [63% sales] and indirect sales force [37% of sales], which is somewhat out of proportion due to the $150m in sales size when melded into a larger organization) would be wildly accretive.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/103839-the-long-case-for-trinity-biotech?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/trib">TRIB</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-segelov">David Segelov</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The Long Case for Perceptron</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/103816-the-long-case-for-perceptron?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">103816</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><b>Business Description</b></p> <p>Perceptron (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/prcp' title='More opinion and analysis of PRCP'>PRCP</a>) makes automated systems which historically have been used for automobile assembly. The core competency is in measurement for process control. Newer products enhance enabling robots to automate flexible vehicle assembly. Other products measure gap and flush in the finished good to see if the fit and finish is within acceptable limits.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 04 Nov 2008 04:06:18 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>David Segelov</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><b>Business Description</b></p> <p>Perceptron (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/prcp' title='More opinion and analysis of PRCP'>PRCP</a>) makes automated systems which historically have been used for automobile assembly. The core competency is in measurement for process control. Newer products enhance enabling robots to automate flexible vehicle assembly. Other products measure gap and flush in the finished good to see if the fit and finish is within acceptable limits.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/103816-the-long-case-for-perceptron?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/prcp">PRCP</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-segelov">David Segelov</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The Long Case for Greatbatch </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/103806-the-long-case-for-greatbatch?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">103806</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Business Description</strong></p> <p>Greatbatch (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gb' title='More opinion and analysis of GB'>GB</a>) is a designer and manufacturer of custom parts and technologies for implantable devices and within the commercial battery industry (mostly for oil and gas applications). This is specialty power. GB's legacy emerges from a private battery company that transformed itself to a public company in 2000&nbsp; providing implantable batteries for cardiac medical devices.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 04 Nov 2008 03:14:22 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>David Segelov</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Business Description</strong></p> <p>Greatbatch (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gb' title='More opinion and analysis of GB'>GB</a>) is a designer and manufacturer of custom parts and technologies for implantable devices and within the commercial battery industry (mostly for oil and gas applications). This is specialty power. GB's legacy emerges from a private battery company that transformed itself to a public company in 2000&nbsp; providing implantable batteries for cardiac medical devices.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/103806-the-long-case-for-greatbatch?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/gb">GB</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-segelov">David Segelov</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Solar Stocks Don't Necessary Rebound With Oil: The Short Case on SunPower</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/17497-solar-stocks-don-t-necessary-rebound-with-oil-the-short-case-on-sunpower?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">17497</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<strong>SunPower (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spwr' title='More opinion and analysis of SPWR'>SPWR</a>) </strong> designs, develops, manufactures and markets solar electric power products based on proprietary processes and technologies. Solar cells are semiconductor devices that directly convert sunlight into electricity. SPWR’s cells have 3.1 watts and a conversion efficiency of approx 21%. 

<p>SunPower did a secondary of 7m shares at $29.50 in June 2006. <strong>Cypress Semiconductor (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cy' title='More opinion and analysis of CY'>CY</a>) </strong> owns 76% of the common stock and 98% of voting stock. 
</p>
<p>SunPower's  advantage is that they believe they can reduce the cost of cells by 50% in next five years and reach a grid parity. To accomplish this, they will rely on their expertise in semi manufacturing. SWPR is working on developing  thinner wafers (using less silicon) with a better yield. 
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 26 Sep 2006 04:01:33 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Segelov</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<strong>SunPower (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spwr' title='More opinion and analysis of SPWR'>SPWR</a>) </strong> designs, develops, manufactures and markets solar electric power products based on proprietary processes and technologies. Solar cells are semiconductor devices that directly convert sunlight into electricity. SPWR’s cells have 3.1 watts and a conversion efficiency of approx 21%. 

<p>SunPower did a secondary of 7m shares at $29.50 in June 2006. <strong>Cypress Semiconductor (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cy' title='More opinion and analysis of CY'>CY</a>) </strong> owns 76% of the common stock and 98% of voting stock. 
</p>
<p>SunPower's  advantage is that they believe they can reduce the cost of cells by 50% in next five years and reach a grid parity. To accomplish this, they will rely on their expertise in semi manufacturing. SWPR is working on developing  thinner wafers (using less silicon) with a better yield. 
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/17497-solar-stocks-don-t-necessary-rebound-with-oil-the-short-case-on-sunpower?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cy">CY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/spwra">SPWRA</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-segelov">David Segelov</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>VeriSign's News Corp. Deal Signifies Renewed Focus - But Big Challenges Remain</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/16815-verisign-s-news-corp-deal-signifies-renewed-focus-but-big-challenges-remain?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">16815</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[VeriSign's (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vrsn' title='More opinion and analysis of VRSN'>VRSN</a>) decision to sell a majority stake in its Jamba! unit to News Corporation (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nws' title='More opinion and analysis of NWS'>NWS</a>) represents two fundamental shifts:

<ul>
<li>A move away from content in the mobile space to mobile infrastructure.
</li><li>A more cautious directive from its Board to "harvest" more non-core acquisitions.
</li></ul>
<p>Looking at the first shift - VeriSign divides its Communications Services Group (52% of total revenue in Q2 2006 or $206M) into two categories:
</p>
<p><strong>1. Communications -</strong> connectivity, database and messaging ($120m in Q2 2006)
<br />
<strong>2. Commerce and Content -</strong> included Business to Consumer applications such as Jamba! and Jamster!, and Business to Business digital content services and mobile marketing. ($86m in Q2 2006)
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 13 Sep 2006 13:26:53 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Segelov</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[VeriSign's (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vrsn' title='More opinion and analysis of VRSN'>VRSN</a>) decision to sell a majority stake in its Jamba! unit to News Corporation (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/nws' title='More opinion and analysis of NWS'>NWS</a>) represents two fundamental shifts:

<ul>
<li>A move away from content in the mobile space to mobile infrastructure.
</li><li>A more cautious directive from its Board to "harvest" more non-core acquisitions.
</li></ul>
<p>Looking at the first shift - VeriSign divides its Communications Services Group (52% of total revenue in Q2 2006 or $206M) into two categories:
</p>
<p><strong>1. Communications -</strong> connectivity, database and messaging ($120m in Q2 2006)
<br />
<strong>2. Commerce and Content -</strong> included Business to Consumer applications such as Jamba! and Jamster!, and Business to Business digital content services and mobile marketing. ($86m in Q2 2006)
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/16815-verisign-s-news-corp-deal-signifies-renewed-focus-but-big-challenges-remain?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vrsn">VRSN</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-segelov">David Segelov</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Corning - A Shattered Company</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/16080-corning-a-shattered-company?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">16080</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[On August 22, 2006, <a href="https://www.bernstein.com">Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. LLC</a>, produced a report which brought together the thinking of their U.S. retail analyst Colin McGranahan, and Jeff Evenson, their U.S. data networking analyst. With regard to Corning Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/glw' title='More opinion and analysis of GLW'>GLW</a>), the report argued a few essential points:
</p>
<blockquote><p>• In 2007, demand for LCD TV screens would be higher than anticipated because 25% of TV demand stems from North America, where LCD TV penetration is low. Bernstein anticipates it will be in the low 40s. As of the end of Q2 2006, LCD penetration sits at 19%. <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S_curve">S-Curve</a> adoption rates, according to Bernstein, make Corning a buy.
<br />
 • Corning will benefit from supplying the key players.
<br />
 • 42-inch will emerge as the size of choice for LCD TV, replacing 32-inch. Corning stands to benefit from this in two ways: 1) By increasing glass sales per TV set dramatically. And 2) A dramatic surge in unit-volume sales as demand ascends the S-Curve.<br />
</blockquote><p>However, reading the <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/14371">Corning conference call transcript</a> from Q2 2006, the issues do not appear to be at all what Bernstein purports:
</p></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 29 Aug 2006 05:51:58 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Segelov</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[On August 22, 2006, <a href="https://www.bernstein.com">Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. LLC</a>, produced a report which brought together the thinking of their U.S. retail analyst Colin McGranahan, and Jeff Evenson, their U.S. data networking analyst. With regard to Corning Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/glw' title='More opinion and analysis of GLW'>GLW</a>), the report argued a few essential points:
</p>
<blockquote><p>• In 2007, demand for LCD TV screens would be higher than anticipated because 25% of TV demand stems from North America, where LCD TV penetration is low. Bernstein anticipates it will be in the low 40s. As of the end of Q2 2006, LCD penetration sits at 19%. <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S_curve">S-Curve</a> adoption rates, according to Bernstein, make Corning a buy.
<br />
 • Corning will benefit from supplying the key players.
<br />
 • 42-inch will emerge as the size of choice for LCD TV, replacing 32-inch. Corning stands to benefit from this in two ways: 1) By increasing glass sales per TV set dramatically. And 2) A dramatic surge in unit-volume sales as demand ascends the S-Curve.<br />
</blockquote><p>However, reading the <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/14371">Corning conference call transcript</a> from Q2 2006, the issues do not appear to be at all what Bernstein purports:
</p></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/16080-corning-a-shattered-company?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/auo">AUO</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/glw">GLW</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-segelov">David Segelov</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Verisign Quarterly Update: This One Continues to be a Good Short Candidate</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/14368-verisign-quarterly-update-this-one-continues-to-be-a-good-short-candidate?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">14368</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Verisign's (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vrsn' title='More opinion and analysis of VRSN'>VRSN</a>) business model is weakening and not strengthening as the management would like investors to believe.  Cashflow from Operations which is the most important metric for a serial acquisition company continues to be unimpressive and hints that many acquisitions have been less than successful.  Deferred Revenue also remained fairly flat which was a worrying sign on the services side of the business.

<p>I remain short the stock (see <a href="http://internet.seekingalpha.com/article/12992">original post</a>).
</p>
<p><em>click to enlarge</em>
<br />
<a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/VRSN1.gif"><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/thumb-VRSN1.gif" border="0" height="169" alt="VRSN 1" width="450" /></a>
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 26 Jul 2006 12:02:12 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Segelov</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Verisign's (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vrsn' title='More opinion and analysis of VRSN'>VRSN</a>) business model is weakening and not strengthening as the management would like investors to believe.  Cashflow from Operations which is the most important metric for a serial acquisition company continues to be unimpressive and hints that many acquisitions have been less than successful.  Deferred Revenue also remained fairly flat which was a worrying sign on the services side of the business.

<p>I remain short the stock (see <a href="http://internet.seekingalpha.com/article/12992">original post</a>).
</p>
<p><em>click to enlarge</em>
<br />
<a href="http://static.seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/VRSN1.gif"><img src="http://static.seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/thumb-VRSN1.gif" border="0" height="169" alt="VRSN 1" width="450" /></a>
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/14368-verisign-quarterly-update-this-one-continues-to-be-a-good-short-candidate?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vrsn">VRSN</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-segelov">David Segelov</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Why I Continue to be Long McMoran Exploration</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/14364-why-i-continue-to-be-long-mcmoran-exploration?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">14364</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<a href="http://energy.seekingalpha.com/article/13309">I recently wrote</a> about why I'm long McMoran Exploration (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mmr' title='More opinion and analysis of MMR'>MMR</a>). MMR's recent quarterly conference call only convinced further of the correctness of my long position in this stock.

<p>Perhaps the most pleasant aspect of the call was the continuing ramp from exploration to production. MMR has always been a little "blue sky story" of plumbing the deep hitherto unexplored and unproduced natural gas in the Gulf of Mexico. For the first time, the hard numbers began to show some long term promise.
</p>
<p><strong>Highlights include</strong>:
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 26 Jul 2006 11:14:34 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Segelov</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<a href="http://energy.seekingalpha.com/article/13309">I recently wrote</a> about why I'm long McMoran Exploration (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mmr' title='More opinion and analysis of MMR'>MMR</a>). MMR's recent quarterly conference call only convinced further of the correctness of my long position in this stock.

<p>Perhaps the most pleasant aspect of the call was the continuing ramp from exploration to production. MMR has always been a little "blue sky story" of plumbing the deep hitherto unexplored and unproduced natural gas in the Gulf of Mexico. For the first time, the hard numbers began to show some long term promise.
</p>
<p><strong>Highlights include</strong>:
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/14364-why-i-continue-to-be-long-mcmoran-exploration?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mmr">MMR</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-segelov">David Segelov</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Psivida Shares Drop 20% -- Should Recover Soon (PSDV)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/13795-psivida-shares-drop-20-should-recover-soon-psdv?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">13795</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Here is an update to the <a href="http://biotech.seekingalpha.com/article/13106">piece I wrote about Psivida </a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/psdv' title='More opinion and analysis of PSDV'>PSDV</a>) on July 6. 

<p>Yesterday, <a href="http://www.psivida.com/">PSDV announced</a> certain amendments to a $15m subordinated convertible that was completed in June 2005. Investors reacted angrily chopping the share price by 20%.
</p>
<p>Most obvious was the change to the conversion price from AU98c to AU32c. Further changes included a pushing out of the repayment dates to July 2007 and January 2008, removal of a cash reserve requirement, and the ability to redeem the notes anytime from royalties or new raisings.
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 18 Jul 2006 14:45:55 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Segelov</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Here is an update to the <a href="http://biotech.seekingalpha.com/article/13106">piece I wrote about Psivida </a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/psdv' title='More opinion and analysis of PSDV'>PSDV</a>) on July 6. 

<p>Yesterday, <a href="http://www.psivida.com/">PSDV announced</a> certain amendments to a $15m subordinated convertible that was completed in June 2005. Investors reacted angrily chopping the share price by 20%.
</p>
<p>Most obvious was the change to the conversion price from AU98c to AU32c. Further changes included a pushing out of the repayment dates to July 2007 and January 2008, removal of a cash reserve requirement, and the ability to redeem the notes anytime from royalties or new raisings.
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/13795-psivida-shares-drop-20-should-recover-soon-psdv?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/psdv">PSDV</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-segelov">David Segelov</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Insmed's Stock Already Has Worst Case Scenario Priced In (INSM)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/13701-insmed-s-stock-already-has-worst-case-scenario-priced-in-insm?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">13701</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[When is a biotech actually worth less after their drug is FDA approved? Answer: When the new drug means there is a lawsuit from Genentech (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dna' title='More opinion and analysis of DNA'>DNA</a>).  The market has already factored into Insmed’s (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/insm' title='More opinion and analysis of INSM'>INSM</a>) stock price the worse case scenario. This is a potential blockbuster drug with definitive advantages over its competition.

<p>Here is my thesis as to why I believe it's time to go long with this stock:
</p>
<p>a.	<strong>Insmed has a once a day injectable drug approved by the FDA</strong>.  It is called Iplex. The drug is a combination of igf-1 and bp3.  It is approved for small indication -  a treatment for very short children that aren't helped by growth hormone. It has Orphan Drug Designation. 
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 17 Jul 2006 21:28:30 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Segelov</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[When is a biotech actually worth less after their drug is FDA approved? Answer: When the new drug means there is a lawsuit from Genentech (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dna' title='More opinion and analysis of DNA'>DNA</a>).  The market has already factored into Insmed’s (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/insm' title='More opinion and analysis of INSM'>INSM</a>) stock price the worse case scenario. This is a potential blockbuster drug with definitive advantages over its competition.

<p>Here is my thesis as to why I believe it's time to go long with this stock:
</p>
<p>a.	<strong>Insmed has a once a day injectable drug approved by the FDA</strong>.  It is called Iplex. The drug is a combination of igf-1 and bp3.  It is approved for small indication -  a treatment for very short children that aren't helped by growth hormone. It has Orphan Drug Designation. 
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/13701-insmed-s-stock-already-has-worst-case-scenario-priced-in-insm?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/insm">INSM</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/trca">TRCA</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-segelov">David Segelov</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>McMoran Exploration-- An Energy E&amp;P That Appears Perfect for a Long Play (MMR)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/13309-mcmoran-exploration-an-energy-e-p-that-appears-perfect-for-a-long-play-mmr?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">13309</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[McMoran Exploration (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mmr' title='More opinion and analysis of MMR'>MMR</a>) represents one of the most aggressive ultra-deep water drilling plays in the Gulf of Mexico [GOM]. Additionally, MMR has an embedded upside if its Main Pass Energy Hub (a re-gasification facility located on the old sulfur and salt dunes some eighteen miles offshore) gains final approval from the Coast Guard. 

<p><strong>Here is my thesis on why now is the time to go long this company</strong>:
</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>a.	MMR’s focus is on the ultra-deep gas plays where less than 5% of all wells have been drilled</strong>. MMR currently has rights to over 400,000 gross acres in the GOM. According to management, MMR has at least 23 high potential drilling targets which hold about 1.8 Tcfe of net un-risked reserves.
</p></blockquote>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 10 Jul 2006 11:45:02 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Segelov</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[McMoran Exploration (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mmr' title='More opinion and analysis of MMR'>MMR</a>) represents one of the most aggressive ultra-deep water drilling plays in the Gulf of Mexico [GOM]. Additionally, MMR has an embedded upside if its Main Pass Energy Hub (a re-gasification facility located on the old sulfur and salt dunes some eighteen miles offshore) gains final approval from the Coast Guard. 

<p><strong>Here is my thesis on why now is the time to go long this company</strong>:
</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>a.	MMR’s focus is on the ultra-deep gas plays where less than 5% of all wells have been drilled</strong>. MMR currently has rights to over 400,000 gross acres in the GOM. According to management, MMR has at least 23 high potential drilling targets which hold about 1.8 Tcfe of net un-risked reserves.
</p></blockquote><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/13309-mcmoran-exploration-an-energy-e-p-that-appears-perfect-for-a-long-play-mmr?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/mmr">MMR</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-segelov">David Segelov</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Uranium's Hot, But This One's Not: The Short Case On USEC (USU)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/13128-uranium-s-hot-but-this-one-s-not-the-short-case-on-usec-usu?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">13128</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Not all uranium plays are created equal. While I'm bullish on the outlook for uranium prices in general, USEC, Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/usu' title='More opinion and analysis of USU'>USU</a>) would be the one stock in the group to avoid. 

<p>USEC supplies low enriched uranium for nuclear power plants. USEC has lived off a twenty-year advantageous Russian contract for uranium. As a producer of enriched uranium, USEC is inefficient and needs to raise large amounts of capital (almost 1.5 to 2x its market capitalization).  Further competition will beset USEC given the July 5, 2006 announcement that Urenco will build a plant in New Mexico scheduled to start producing in 2008.
</p>
<p>Here's my short thesis for USU:
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 07 Jul 2006 10:05:41 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Segelov</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Not all uranium plays are created equal. While I'm bullish on the outlook for uranium prices in general, USEC, Inc. (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/usu' title='More opinion and analysis of USU'>USU</a>) would be the one stock in the group to avoid. 

<p>USEC supplies low enriched uranium for nuclear power plants. USEC has lived off a twenty-year advantageous Russian contract for uranium. As a producer of enriched uranium, USEC is inefficient and needs to raise large amounts of capital (almost 1.5 to 2x its market capitalization).  Further competition will beset USEC given the July 5, 2006 announcement that Urenco will build a plant in New Mexico scheduled to start producing in 2008.
</p>
<p>Here's my short thesis for USU:
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/13128-uranium-s-hot-but-this-one-s-not-the-short-case-on-usec-usu?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/usu">USU</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-segelov">David Segelov</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Psivida: A Biotech Platform With Great Potential (PSDV)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/13106-psivida-a-biotech-platform-with-great-potential-psdv?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">13106</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Biotechnology investors seem to want either a platform technology or mechanism of action that has multiple pathways. Yet most platform biotechs are rather limited in scope. Psivida (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/psdv' title='More opinion and analysis of PSDV'>PSDV</a>) has a platform with great potential and scope.
</p>
<p>I bought Psivida on 3 July at $3.95. Here's my long thesis:
<br />
<strong>
<br />
a. A novel delivery system with broad applications using a compound that is naturally found and broken down in the body – silicon.</strong> The advantage of the compound is that it can be machined into a nanostructure to dissolve at controlled rates.
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 06 Jul 2006 07:40:05 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Segelov</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Biotechnology investors seem to want either a platform technology or mechanism of action that has multiple pathways. Yet most platform biotechs are rather limited in scope. Psivida (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/psdv' title='More opinion and analysis of PSDV'>PSDV</a>) has a platform with great potential and scope.
</p>
<p>I bought Psivida on 3 July at $3.95. Here's my long thesis:
<br />
<strong>
<br />
a. A novel delivery system with broad applications using a compound that is naturally found and broken down in the body – silicon.</strong> The advantage of the compound is that it can be machined into a nanostructure to dissolve at controlled rates.
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/13106-psivida-a-biotech-platform-with-great-potential-psdv?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/psdv">PSDV</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-segelov">David Segelov</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>9 Reasons Why I'm Short Verisign (VRSN)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/12992-9-reasons-why-i-m-short-verisign-vrsn?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">12992</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[I shorted Verisign (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vrsn' title='More opinion and analysis of VRSN'>VRSN</a>) on June 19 when it was at approximately $22 (it closed yesterday at approx. $23). Here's the reasoning for my short:

<p><strong>a. VRSN is a serial acquisition company</strong> desperately trying to cover diminishing cash flow and eroding business. Goodwill on the balance sheet exploding to $1.3bn.
</p>
<p><strong>b. Income Statement misleading</strong> due to number of acquisitions. Revenue growth slowing and deferred revenue growth slowing suggesting past acquisitions have not been accretive.
</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 04 Jul 2006 03:29:21 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Segelov</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[I shorted Verisign (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vrsn' title='More opinion and analysis of VRSN'>VRSN</a>) on June 19 when it was at approximately $22 (it closed yesterday at approx. $23). Here's the reasoning for my short:

<p><strong>a. VRSN is a serial acquisition company</strong> desperately trying to cover diminishing cash flow and eroding business. Goodwill on the balance sheet exploding to $1.3bn.
</p>
<p><strong>b. Income Statement misleading</strong> due to number of acquisitions. Revenue growth slowing and deferred revenue growth slowing suggesting past acquisitions have not been accretive.
</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/12992-9-reasons-why-i-m-short-verisign-vrsn?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/vrsn">VRSN</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-segelov">David Segelov</category>
    </item>
  </channel>
</rss>
