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David Stafford
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Student of markets, enjoys following their course.
My book:
Around the World in Several Pieces
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  • Ukrainian Saga Continues

    Just as rabbits, possums, and some other animals(goats with certain genes,"involuntarily"), may feign death in an attempt to ward off predation, so do some political cadres do the same to maintain a sense of insulation or stability ultimately, and perhaps ironically. Though it was thought that there was a certain "truce", perhaps this was just a clever slight of hand.

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    Fainting goats;

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=we9_CdNPuJg

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    Where it will lead is perhaps based on certain analysis of Yanukovich's intentions. Is he striking back in an act of vengeance upon the protestors who ultimately impersonally and as a mass, drove him from power per se. Was the truce all part of a great "hammer and anvil"-esque plan, to feign retreat only to assume a greater sort of flanking "leverage" per se, figuratively speaking, perhaps no one can say.

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    False retreat to hammer and anvil counter attack was used by Alexander the Great's forces per se, at the battle of Chaeronea in ye olde 338 BC.

    http://quizlet.com/36380200/war-battles-flash-cards/

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    Either way, perhaps it is somewhat ironic in that just after reflecting on the "duality" of Putin hehe, if one could call it that, that this situation takes on a certain Janus-esque quality its self, perhaps it was in the cards given the influences at play potentially in the country, but either way, it should be an all the more interesting situation ultimately none the less.

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    For investing perhaps their are positives, which may perhaps be limited, perhaps due to another month of two of required "progress" in this certain stage of stability/instability to see where things lie per se, and to think about market-risk as well per se.

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    If violence does continue, the value of capital in the country may be driven lower, although of course presumably its already quite low. Sanctions of various sorts could also put somewhat of a crimp into the liquidity per se of capital as well, as could a potential rewriting of various "how-to"s concerning the market norms of the region, perhaps the market structure of investment in the region will be reconfigured, with new individual and institutional gate keepers, per se, and new sorts of "contracts" per se, by the time this is all said and done, so perhaps that should be taken into account. Hence, perhaps if there is a break down in "contract" norms per se, as well as sanctions, it could be sort of rough per se, for investments here. On the other hand, most people would probably be hard pressed for buyers for real-estate right on the main square there in Kiev, Ukraine, seeing as how its a little "ashen" as of late, and if anyone was unfortunate enough to be selling into this sort of supply/demand paradigm, surely there might be a great opportunity to have a nice get away on the Champs-Elysees of Ukraine per se, if that seems enticing, and one can somehow familiarize one's self with the sellers in said market.

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    Either way, perhaps this is just another sort of extension of the Daiyu islands situation that was cited earlier, namely the re-configuration of identities concerning boundaries and nationalism per se, post 1990 and perhaps this will all settle down one way or another.

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    In other news of the region, the somewhat famed Russian punk-protest/art band P Riot was dislodged from the site/set of one of there most recent music videos by a group of, I kid you not, Cossack policeman, wielding what looks like livestock inspired whips. After witnessing through videos, this, perhaps, we should just be grateful that these aren't the individuals dealing with the protests in Ukraine, for presumably they would live up to their age old tendencies for rebellion opposition per se, in being somewhat heavy handed with the situation. Either way, this is perhaps a really interesting time for this region perhaps. We have the Cossacks perhaps being given more limelight as the sort of inheritors of the "servants of the Tzar" mantle that they once embodied. All the whilst we have Eastern Europe trying to form an identity, whilst being the former capital of(Kiev) "Russia", all the whilst being lured by the temptations of the west, and the people of Ukraine, being sort of caught in the middle, with sort of anti-government in general nationalists per se, fueling the protests and making things even more complicated.

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    Either way, perhaps the truce in this situation was only for those who believed in it per se, just like so many other situations, but hopefully all will be just fine, and everyone can relax, and drink some Bellini's in that old famous port city of yore, made famous by various Russian short stories, Yalta, after this is all said and done. May everyone's investments continue to be successful, or turn a new leaf per se if otherwise.

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    For some fun reading, Russian short stories can be really great, Cervantes is perhaps the Spanish equivalent of great short story writers, but perhaps the Russians take this cake hands down, with the likes of Nabokov(sort of Russian),Chekhov, Pushkin, Gogol, and Turgenev, and to an extent Tolstoy, really making the field of Russian short stories, a really great genre per se in general, for relaxing, not to long-winded stories; for the short story mentioned above, here is a great and somewhat perhaps uplifting but simultaneously melancholy tale, as is par for the course per se, for this genre, with Chekhov's short story; "The Lady With The Dog"(set in Yalta);

    http://www.online-literature.com/wilde/1297/

    Feb 20 11:53 AM | Link | Comment!
  • Ukraine In The News Again, And Thoughts On Putin.

    Well, as it seems Ukraine has "fallen" I guess one could say, perhaps future Ukrainians will look back on today as some sort of Bastille-day esque moment. The resignation of the different police forces mentioned in a previous piece may have either been the straw that broke the camels back, or a sign of the failing government morale per se in general. The infamous "Berkut" surrendering aswell perhaps being a dire symbol, with their authoritarian identity, and hence their submission as perhaps that of the submission of Ukrainian authoritarianism in general.

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    Apart from that it recently occurred to me, that in a sense, Putin is perhaps a "Rovian" president. Karl Rove was famous for turning public "patron" G. Bush the younger, into essentially a man of the people per se. Surely Rove, helped Bush further strengthen his "twang" per se, and helped him to relate to the "the people". Though perhaps this isn't new with the pruning of such former figures as Raegan per se in the same sort of changing room that is the sort of schism that exist between public and intention based profiles of various presidents, perhaps Putin as well gives off this feel.

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    Putin is somewhat comically or reverently known to be a sort of "sportsman". He is often photographed riding horses, or engaged in some sort of adventurous activity per se, and of course this somehow helps him relate to the average person in his country who is perhaps somewhat drawn to these sorts of activities or whatnot. All the whilst as was recently reported today on NHK, Putin is like a thoughtful older gentleman in a sense, tiding up his countries borders peacefully, in many cases with neighboring countries.

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    Though it may be more commonly known that Russia has been causing a fracas in Georgia somewhat recently and its hand in Syria etc. what is perhaps lesser reflected upon are its peaceful and synergistic border renegotiations with most recently Estonia, and also somewhat recently, Norway.

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    It has been argued that this is in preparation to lay a stronger groundwork per se for the more privatized version of Russia's economy that is in the pipeline per se, and with the sort of behind the deals nature of today's government's, I wouldn't be surprised if these sorts of things are almost always done on a long time frame.

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    This may be a good thing for investors who want to invest in Russia, because who better to be preparing your "soil" per se, than a powerful and secretive government that comes off as a government of the people. Stability, and a healthy economic "setting" per se is always good news for investors per se, whilst hopefully pseudo-soviet era norms concerning greasing palms per se, will hopefully be changed at some similar point in the future, presumably using the same mechanics who keep the current system of negative "PR"(blackmail) based political truces in place, namely secret agencies of one color or another per se.

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    As to why Putin is Rovian, perhaps as discussed above, it is perhaps because though he may come off as a "down to earth" kind of guy, behind the scenes he seems to be somewhat flexible, and thinking along a very long timeline per se. As opposed to being "Mr. Right Now Sportsman" he seems to be much more adept at working behind the scenes per se to cobble together truces of various sorts to sort of get the country to where it needs to be from a sort of Russian Neo-con based perspective per se, more specifically one that is very academic/nationalistic in its approach per se. Just as behind Rove's candidates there was a sort of silent cadre of individuals with an academic and perhaps very practical per se, approach to politics, it would seem as though Putin is part of a similar apparatus per se. Hence where will Russia be in a few years, is probably without Putin as head, but perhaps with the former PM, and Foreign minister in the wings somewhere, with Putin most likely offering G. Washington-style advice from some cottage/mansion somewhere.

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    This could be a somewhat decent time for investors per se, even though as the "Hermitage Capital" fiasco years ago showed, possession is key perhaps to dealing with investments in said region(precious metals related joke, my apologies). However, its perhaps always good to get in on the "ground floor" per se, if that is still a possible context for Russian investment, and perhaps one could see one's self as a sort of PE investor in a sense, given that the completion of the economic reforms the Putin cadre has planned may lead to a certain growth in the countries economy in general.

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    Their are other similarities between the Putin and Rovian school per se, most specifically drawing attention to specific groups within their societies per se, and this is perhaps a sort of peculiar phenomenon, almost medieval in its tendencies, like the writings contained in that famous "witch-hunting" book of old, the Maleus Maleficarum(believe it or not, yes that is the name of a book hehe). Russia may have an interesting future with this sort of leadership, with its presumed jostling of Oligarchs in the name of nationalizing commercial pursuits key to the countries "national security" per se(Oil, an important part of the USSR's economy), to operating with a sort of agenda that is not immediately apparent, masked in Rovian way in a sort of populist fashion per se, these sorts of political/economic situations are always sort of "fun" perhaps from a sort of Sherlock Holmes-esque perspective, but hopefully if one has investments in Russia, or elsewhere, they will all turn out for the better one way for another. While in other news, Norway somehow continues to dominate the Gold-medal-count for the Sochi Olympics, most notably today having one of their shooting skiing biathletes come away with a 12+th gold medal making him the most "decorated" winter Olympian ever I believe. Either way, hopefully everyone's investments are going great, whether one is skiing around with a rifle in Sochi, or busting out some cool moves on a snowboard, or generally speaking, chilling.

    Feb 19 10:06 PM | Link | Comment!
  • A Bookmark In A Future History Book; The South China Sea, And Various Japanese/Chinese Islands.

    Perhaps in 50-100 years, students will read of the current struggles concerning various islands and body of water names in Asia. Japan,China, Korea, and the Philippines are all sticking to their guns per se over the issue, and its interesting that this is all happening at once.

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    One may ask one's self, what does this signify potentially in the grander scheme of human history? One might answer this question in part by looking at some of the sources used in said discussion. Namely that all of these conflicting names, and attributions of ownerships of body of water/island X, are in many ways caused ironically by some hasty-notes, or whatnot written by some Western Explorer, or in some cases, as in the Japan-Korean island disputes, whether or not potentially "fictional" islands were really believed to be true etc.

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    One may often think that a history degree, namely the study of sources and their texts, may be a somewhat non-yielding degree. Perhaps however, it is ironic, that the friendly relations between the worlds 2 current economic vs military super-powers rests precisely on this field of study per se, of course its presumably all for sub-ocean or -terranean natural resources but perhaps that's another issue per se.

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    What's interesting perhaps in looking at these sources, and their various direct or indirect claims concerning ownership for these islands is the way that they may reflect an era that has come and gone.(Japan-Korea disputes are relying upon medieval writings in some cases for claims to ownership)

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    So which era is it that is coming to an end? Perhaps it is the era, of "colonialism" one could call it. Once upon a time, all these countries were simply allies-or not primarily of Western powers. They were at times, markets(see Opium and China), or factories of various types(more the case of India), but either way they were never really "partners" per se.

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    Now that the vestigial phantoms of this sort of non-partner age have come and gone, they are now perhaps broadly speaking, thinking for themselves. Pursuing their own self-interest, and in turn defining grey areas that were once not really theirs to contest. It would be kind of silly for locals per se in an imperials trade target per se, to quibble over their national boundaries, after all, they aren't really their own national boundaries per se, they are the colony in which they lives national boundaries, and these sorts of things aren't really their concern. These sorts of sovereignty related issues would be more in the space per se, of colonial powers, who would decide amongst themselves who owned what, not the locals.(Africa; amongst others see Heligoland Treaty, Berlin Conference, Asia; Post Opium-War treaties, Treaties following various World Wars.)

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    Now that "the West" generally speaking is really in a rough way per se, and now that pretty much everything from Astin Martin pedals, to Fight plane engine internals are made in former colonized territories per se, that old spectre of as Nietzsche would say "Thou Shalts" has perhaps salsad none-too ceremoniously back into the audience per se, it is now perhaps natural that these various locales would squabble citing various ancient pre-colonialism sources some fantastic, some verifiable over who controls what, on their own terms per se.

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    Hence, though we could say this is just another example of countries squabbling over unknown hydro-carbon etc boons, like in the North Sea, etc, perhaps the parties involved gives this conflict a somewhat different timbre per se, and hence perhaps this is really about a new Chapter per se, in so far as Asian history in general is concerned per se, bolstered by such unifications as the "Asean" group this that and the other, perhaps these countries who were formerly dictated to, and now pulling up their water-proof overalls per se, and wading deep into the annals of their own complex pasts to decide what really belongs where in so far as borders are concerned.

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    Either way, perhaps its an interesting process to witness. This clearly hasn't happened overnight, and its perhaps taken quite a while for these countries in question to get strong enough allies, and economies, to start claiming things on their own terms per se, and perhaps it will really be fascinating to see where the chips falls, especially with the US, now supposedly saying just recently that it will back up Japan's claims to the "Senkaku" islands where as before they had said that they would happily sit this one out per se.

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    Either way, perhaps the world has always been an interesting place, and this is just the latest trial and tribulation of the always meandering notions of self, and agency that humans individually and collectively may go through or experience, and hopefully this time everybody can get along.

    Thanks again for reading,

    Feb 12 6:09 AM | Link | Comment!
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