Four private female investors and one Dachshund.
We've consigned our careers as fund managers to the shredder, as we no longer have confidence that we can grow our clients' money anywhere near approaching the sparkling results that we achieved for them in the past.
Now Heidi and Desiree's investing interests involve global water distribution, agriculture, and timberland, while Clarissa and Helga manage strategies of certain commodities and hard assets.
We're also self-styled asset-manager vigilantes, who will bitch-slap those who take advantage of innocent retirees and other retail investors who have been ground into muesli by the Wall Street machine.
Sleazy RIA's, CFA's and 99% of the rest of financial "helpers" service their clients like Bonny and Clyde serviced banks.
As you can see, we're touchy, emotional, irascible, opinionated, and sometimes inebriated. But we admit that we do love the attention here on SA, so don't stop sending us those bawdy comments, angry criticisms, steamy love letters, veiled death threats, and tempting marriage proposals. Hey, you never know...
Oh, we almost forgot... While our names (Heidi, Helga, Clarissa and Desiree) may or may not be our real names, Schnitzel the Dachshund's name really is "Schnitzel the Dachshund."
I am a former engineer in topography (ESGT Paris 80) and specialized later in metrology or very precise measurement (CERN). I was interested in quantum metrology for a while...
I live mostly between California (Santa Monica), Provence-Cote d'Azur (Where my children and grandchildren live) and Sweden (South West Skåne) with my loving wife.
I am managing (investment manager) a large and old private family fund and trade personally a medium-size portfolio for over 25 years
“Logic will get you from A to B. Imagination will take you everywhere.” Einstein.
Kevin T. Jacques is a former senior economist with the U.S. Treasury Department in Washington, D.C. During his 14 years with the Treasury Department, he worked on topics including risk measurement and management systems, bank capital regulations, and systemic risk. In the mid-1990's, he served as staff on the President's Working Group in Financial Markets examining systemic risk in the U.S. financial system. In addition, during his time in Washington, Dr. Jacques taught finance in the McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University.
Dr. Jacques’ economic and financial commentaries have received hundreds of radio, television and newspaper citations including Bloomberg Financial News, National Public Radio (NPR), PBS television, American Banker, U.S. News & World Report, and others.
Currently, he teaches investments at Baldwin Wallace University. He holds a Ph.D. in Economics from Michigan State University.
As an investor I would like to be value oriented, however I find it increasingly difficult to locate any value opportunities in the current environment. I have previously focused my efforts on investing in highly illiquid assets on steep discounts in the secondary market for alternative investments (with fantastic results). The AI secondary market has been floating over with buyers as of late, making the space unattractive. Finding attractive value opportunities in the public space is nearly impossible these days. During 2016 I have focused my efforts and capital on energy stocks, although I exited the space last month. I am currently invested in illiquid Private Equity and Infrastructure assets which I have held for several years in addition to recently acquired gold, managed futures, treasuries and equity short positions. I am confident that the markets currently are in a huge bloated bubble of everything.
More about me:
I have more than nine years of Corporate Finance and Alternative Investment experience, including seven years of Alternative Investment Secondary experience. I currently focus my efforts on the co-founded Alternative Investment advisory business Intrinsic AI alongside managing my own assets (50/50 Alternative Investment Secondaries and public market equities). As a deal maker within the Alternative Investment space I have facilitated numerous deals worth billions. I have previously lead the Institutional Secondary Advisory efforts at Castelar. I also encompass Corporate Finance experience from DnB Markets and Private Equity buyside experience from Argentum Private Equity. I hold a BA in Business and Administration from Flagler College (St. Augustine) and is a CFA® charterholder.
“The way to win is to work, work, work, work and hope to have a few insights.”
– Charlie Munger
“People err who think my art comes easily to me. I assure you, dear friend, nobody has devoted so much time and thought to compositions as I. There is not a famous master whose music I have not industriously studied through many times.”
- Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart
"It is better to be roughly right than precisely wrong."
- John Maynard Keynes
My time frame for looking at an investment would generally be between two to five years.
Kevin is the CEO and founder of Blue Water Capital Advisors. He is involved in all aspects of the business, including portfolio management, financial advisory services, team management and business development, and he is Chairman of the Investment Committee. Kevin is an experienced speaker and is available (under certain conditions) by request.
Kevin brings a unique perspective to wealth and risk management that is very intuitive and measured. Clients are confident in his abilities and trust that their assets are managed by the best in the business. Although he has been a leader within the regional wealth management industry for the majority of the last two decades, it is not his first career. He was a petroleum geologist and academic research scientist for 17 years in his first career. Kevin’s keen sense of risk-reward dynamics was developed during his geological career when he served as an exploration team leader and senior manager in the oil and gas exploration business. He drilled over 100 wells on his own geological interpretations and found millions of barrels of oil. This was a very high risk kind of business, and Kevin learned a great deal about how risk really works from his experiences in exploration geology.
He was also a professor at The University of New Hampshire and Bryn Mawr College for several years and has published 11 papers in international scientific journals and books. Highlights of Kevin’s geological career include surviving a violent well blowout, working as a consultant to Phillips Petroleum, Texaco, Exxon, and numerous independent firms, acting as a Principal Investigator on a dinosaur dig in Montana, diving Australia’s Great Barrier Reef, teaching and advising students, receiving numerous research awards and grants, and conducting funded scientific research on sedimentology, paleoceanography, paleoclimatology, geochemistry, and global plate tectonics.
Kevin left his geology career when the global oil price collapse finally caught up to him in 1992. He went into the financial advising industry because his father had been a nationally-ranked leader in that field with a major national firm, so he felt comfortable with making the transition. Over the years he was awarded the Chartered Financial Consultant (ChFC) designation and has completed about half of the coursework for a Master’s degree in Financial Services. Kevin served as a Trust Officer and Vice President for a major Midwestern regional bank for seven years, and served as a Senior Vice President at National Bank of Commerce in Duluth for four years. He was a member and board member of the Arrowhead Estate Planning Council for a number of years. He has a refined sense of the big economic picture that is grounded in his ability to differentiate meaningful information from “noise,” as he once did while working in science and petroleum geology. Kevin is the principal shareholder of Blue Water Capital Advisors, LLC.
Katy Delay is a freelance commentator, an amateur cartoonist in economics, and the self-published author of a short biography of her father, economist Edward C. Harwood. He was the founder of the third oldest think tank in the U.S., the American Institute for Economic Research, of which she is currently a voting member. Having grown up literally inside the Institute offices, Katy absorbed a great deal about the dismal science; yet she also sympathizes with a public lulled to sleep by the phrase "economic research," combining as it does two of the most boring words in the English language. After getting her degree from Mount Holyoke College, she spent the next 30 years taking her American heritage for granted on five continents. Ultimately, through personal experience, she came to appreciate the significance of her father's lifework and to realize that the degree of freedom and opportunity we are supposed to have in this country is unique. It is also just as fragile as her father had warned. She began to study, and then to write. Since 2004, various websites and newspapers such as Mises.Org, PrudentBear.com, SeekingAlpha.com, and the Los Angeles Business Journal have published her articles. In 2005, she started a blog with the byline: "Proving that economics and a sense of humor are not mutually exclusive." Her first book, the Harwood biography, was published in 2013.
Being an Austrian petroleum engineering student, I have always had a strong fascination for the stock market. I bought my first stocks about 5 years ago. My main interests are European stocks, but I am continuously broadening my horizon.
Donovan Schafer spent four years working as a petroleum engineer for a small privately held E&P company in the Marcellus Shale region. By participating in professional development program, Donovan was able to rotate through the key departments that compose an E&P company (geology, reservoir engineering, drilling, completions, production) and thereby develop an intimate understanding of what's required for the healthy functioning of the anatomy of an E&P company. All the while he supplemented his experience-gained expertise through graduate-level petroleum engineering courses. Prior to entering the petroleum industry, Donovan received his undergraduate degree in electrical engineering from the University of Southern California. He has also developed a deeper understanding of other non-operational aspects of the business through a year spent in law school and time spent working as a policy advocate defending the use of hydraulic fracturing. Together, these experiences provide Donovan with a big-picture view of the broader energy sector, and the exploration and production sub-sector in particular.
Nothing I write should be considered investment advice. Only you can decide if any specific financial asset, security, allocation, opinion, idea, etc. is best for your financial portfolio.
Author of two books, available here, Options Strategies Every Investor Should Know and The 5 Fundamentals of Building a Retirement Portfolio (both available in paperback and eBook).
SSR is the product of the principals of Sitka Pacific Capital Management, LLC (SPCM) and is intended to improve communication with clients of SPCM and share our strategy and research with paying subscribers. SSR will feature timely and in-depth analysis and discussion of market cycles, fundamental trends, valuations, and macroeconomic issues, among other things. The goal of SSR is to give readers our often uncommon perspective to empower a deeper level of thinking and understanding to improve their own decision making.
SSR subscribers will receive:
A comprehensive monthly strategy letter
A shorter mid-month insight note
Christopher Balding is an associate professor business and economics at the HSBC Business School of Peking University Graduate School. An expert in sovereign wealth funds, he recently released a book entitled Sovereign Wealth Funds: The New Intersection of Money and Power published by Oxford University Press. His work has been cited by a variety of media outlets including the Wall Street Journal and Financial Times and published in such leading journals as the Review of International Economics, the International Finance Review, and the Journal of Emerging Market Finance.
We have over 60 years of investment analysis experience. We have published investment research from the perspective of the buy side and the sell side. Our work has been used by institutions managing over $1 trillion in aggregate. We have published reports from both the long and short perspective and have worked with the largest short selling mutual fund in the world. We are long term value investors. It is our belief that, contrary to popular opinion, most individual investors and patient professional investors have the best opportunity since the beginning of our investment career to beat institutional and mutual fund managers in terms of risk adjusted performance. The "Information Arbitrage" advantage institutional investors have had is mostly eliminated, while the individual investor still can maintain an edge with "Time Arbitrage". Our goal is to provide institutional quality buy side articles that educate and stimulate investors in the hope of improving their returns. We also are willing to mentor young analysis who wish to improve their analytical skills.
Hale Stewart spent 5 years as a bond broker in the late 1990s before returning to law school in the early 2000s. He is currently a tax lawyer in Houston, Texas. He has an LLM from the Thomas Jefferson School of Law in domestic and international taxation where he graduated Magna Cum Laude and is also a Chartered Asset Manager, Chartered Wealth Manager and Chartered Trust and Estate Planner from the American Academy of Financial Management. He is the author of the book US Captive Insurance Law. You can read him daily at the XE.com currency blog (http://community.xe.com/blog/xe-market-analysis).
I hold a PhD in the field of epidemiology a masters degree in public health. My undergraduate training is in policy, economics and the sciences. I have utilized my training in employment with government, academia, private industry and to further analyze the fundamentals and technicals of all manner of companies in different sectors. Specifically, I like to trade growth companies, REITS, biotechnology/ pharmaceuticals, precious metals, blue chips and small-cap companies.
Each market day I get up at 530 am and begin working/analyzing data before my day job. I focus much on current events, earnings, and developments. I also work after market hours to cover after hours developments or interesting action during the day. I aim to conduct 2 analysis per business day, which helps me stay focused on my own finances.
I have been investing for about 10 years. I also enjoy trading short expiration options, and investing in stocks with 3-20 year horizons. I enjoy writing with Seeking Alpha to share my opinion and analyses. I am a large believer in the crowd source model championed by Seeking Alpha and believe every ounce of analysis and opinion should be considered when you invest your personal finances.
Founded in 1990, TrimTabs Investment Research is the leading independent institutional research firm focused on the supply and demand of shares of stock and the money available for investment. Our key premise – which we term Liquidity Theory – is that stock prices are a function of liquidity rather than value. Like the prices of any tradable good, the prices of stocks are driven primarily by supply and demand.
Unlike most quantitative stock-evaluation models, which focus on easily available price, volume, and earnings data, Liquidity Theory insights depend on detailed data on asset flows and how they shift over time. Since data on the supply and demand for stocks is scattered across so many sources, most strategies ignore stock market liquidity altogether.
By maintaining detailed quantitative models that track key areas of market liquidity and changes in the supply and demand for equities and equity-like vehicles, TrimTabs provides our clients with comprehensive real-time analysis of all aspects of equity-market liquidity.
On the supply side, we measure changes in the float of shares by aggregating corporate actions. On the demand side, we track the money moving into and out of the stock market by measuring the flows into and out of mutual funds, exchange-traded funds, and hedge funds. To obtain an early edge on future liquidity trends, our Real Time Macro research focuses on real-time measures of consumer income and employment. Follow TrimTabs and Charles Biderman on Twitter, @CharlesBiderman
Joseph has been an analyst, investor, and student of economic theory; money and banking; and statistical methods for evaluating and implementing risk/reward trading algorithms since 1972. Joseph is also an occasional contributor to financial publications and his essays are frequently cited by other financial websites and publications.
Since the end of the Great Recession, Joseph came to recognize that traditional methodologies for forecasting economic growth and investment asset pricing are no longer of value, and a broader understanding of the post Glass Steagall, financially engineered world that has driven markets and economies since the turn of the century is required today.
He has a good grasp of Shadow Banking, High Frequency Trading, and Dark Pools, and their impact on today’s markets. He has also spent considerable time understanding the new global paradigm of central bank involvement in experimental policy designed to better control economies.
Joseph doesn’t subscribe to a specific school of theory on economics. Rather, his thinking is based on a combination of the Classical School, the Austrian School, and the Keynesian School. He even sees the writings of Karl Marx as particularly instructive.
Joseph is particularly fond of the following quote from Albert Einstein and sees his own work as driven by that same passionate curiosity that Einstein refers to:
“I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious.”
Coming in a close second in terms of favorite quotes that express his views, Joseph embraces Lord Acton’s views expressed here:
“The danger is not that a particular class is unfit to govern.
Every class is unfit to govern."
Wall Street Trading specializes in consulting with proprietary traders across multiple asset classes. Whether you are trading equities, options, futures or Forex, Wall Street Trading has the program to fuel your success in the volatility of today’s markets.
At Wall Street Trading, we are innovators and problem-solvers with a passion for the markets. Our firm is not just one office with a single expertise, but a network of partners bringing multiple capabilities to the doorstep of our customers. We are trusted advisors using our collective experience to provide unprecedented service and support.
I'm a philosopher who took a long sabbatical in finance, from currency options trading on Wall St. to financial and economic consulting in SE Asia. I started out chopping wood and carrying water, as the Zen saying goes, in Upstate NY, and, after enlightenment, currently chop wood and carry water.
Nigam Arora is an engineer and nuclear physicist by background, has founded two Inc. 500 fastest growing companies, has been involved in over 50 ventures, is the developer of Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management, is the author of the book on Theory ZYX, as well as the developer of the ZYX Change Method to profit from change in trading and investing.
Theory ZYX of Successful Change
Nigam Arora is the original developer of Theory ZYX. He is also the author of the book Theory ZYX – A Definitive Guide to Reach the Next Level.
The United States Patent and Trademark Office has awarded Nigam Arora 26 patent claims on Theory ZYX.
Necessity is the mother of invention. Upon concluding that no rigorous analytical methodology existed to help him successfully create and manage change in one of his ventures, he rolled up his sleeves and plunged into action. Thus, Theory ZYX of Successful Change Management was born.
Most change management experts primarily come from the background of academia and psychology. Nigam has added a new dimension to the state-of-the-art change management based on his extensive change experience in business, operations, and technology.
Theory ZYX has been applied to strategy development,merger integration, vision development, accelerating innovation, cost reduction, increasing revenues and culture change.
The ZYX Change Method of Investing and Trading
Upon requests to adapt Theory ZYX of Change to help manage investments, Nigam developed the ZYX Method for Profiting from Change in Investing and Trading taking advantage of his over two decades of experience in developing technical, quantitative, and fundamental models as well as implementing gray boxes* to execute the models in a variety of market conditions.
Since 2007, Nigam has been illustrating the power of the ZYX Change Method by providing concise actionable calls on this site. The Arora Report blog focuses on providing clear signals and being concise about the trigger event which is one of the six screens of the ZYX Change Method.
Conceiving and executing change for the better has been a way of life for Nigam Arora.His passion for innovations in business and technology led to his founding of two of the fastest growing (Inc. 500) companies and over 50 other ventures. Action Systems, Inc., a company he founded, was ranked the 29th fastest growing Inc. 500 company. This company grew by capturing over 60% of the market share in the startup of Radiation Monitoring Systems to nuclear power plants and diversifying into a variety of energy projects.
He also founded Action Systems Technologies, Inc. that was ranked the 103rd fastest growing Inc. 500 company. The company grew by providing innovative technology services to Department of Defense, Department of Energy, Aerospace, Automotive, Defense, Distribution, Electronics, Energy, Food, Healthcare Information Technology, Logistics, Manufacturing and Mining industries.
He was the CEO of KnowledgeAZ, Inc., which developed software for eCommerce, logistics, supply chain and asset management.
He was the CEO of Utility Frontier, Inc., which was a Business-to-Business Exchange for 369 municipalities.
Other companies he founded included a provider of printed circuit boards to the computer and electronics industries, a manufacturer of computer networking hardware, a manufacturer of instruments for the energy industry, a solar power producer, a software developer for warehousing and material tracking, a software developer for plant maintenance, a change management consulting firm, and a provider of semiconductor testing services to automotive and defense industries.
Early Years in USA
Nigam graduated with a M.S. in Electrical Engineering from the University of Kansas in less than one year .with a GPA of 3.94/4.00 Then he studied Marketing and Finance in an MBA program at Indiana University.
He developed an imaging system on a NASA funded project for the Center for Research, Inc.
Nigam led the development of one of the first automated computerized plant wide Radiation Monitoring and Control Systems for commercial nuclear power plants. He was also the first to discover and develop methods of accurately measuring certain nuclear isotopes in power plants. He was in charge of Engineering at NMC.
Early Years in India
Nigam Arora received a B.S. in Electronics Engineering from Punjab Engineering College with High Honors when he had just turned 20. He developed the first digital Phase Meter in India. He was selected in a program of the Indian Air Force under which he learned about electronics aboard fighter aircraft. He also worked on research at Central Scientific Instruments Organization.
Sid Klein has the most successful publicly verifiable long term track record of timing and analysis in the world, within the broadest coverage of global markets and asset classes; his monthly reports have demonstrated the significant effects of timely asset re-allocations on long term portfolio performance. Qualified investors may avail themselves of the world's leading trading platform to manifest his strategies, within a tailor-made portfolio, at this time of extreme secular upheaval in financial markets.
Shubhendu Pathak is a finance professional working in the Bay Area. Past: Capital One Shubhendu earned his Bachelors (B.Tech) and Masters (M.Tech) from IIT Delhi, and MBA with a concentration in Finance from Emory University.
Peter Way Associates is the only known provider of the price range forecasts of widely-held, actively traded stocks derived from the hedging activities of market-making [MM] firms as they balance big-$-fund sellers and buyers in large block trades. The price ranges offer explicit downside exposure forecasts not commonly found in publicly published investment analyses.
This is all forward-looking data, based on what the MMs will pay for protection against coming unwanted price change while temporarily committed firm capital is exposed to market risks. It is available by modest subscription cost at blockdesk.com.
The behavioral analysis involved has been performed daily since Y2K, now on over 3,000 stocks, ETFs, and market indexes. That has built an actuarial history of how market prices have subsequently behaved following several million price range forecasts, issue by issue.
That data provides a qualitative backdrop to current forecasts in terms of odds of profitable positions, size of prospective gains, credibility of forecasts, and worst-case price drawdown exposure experiences.
Peter F. Way is a veteran Chartered Financial Analyst, having taken and passed the CFA Institute’s required 3 examinations in the first years they were given, 40+ years ago.
Armed with BS in Economics from the Wharton School and an MBA degree from Harvard Business School, he has managed staffs of dozens of Investment Researchers and Quantitative Analysts for the nation’s largest bank, arbitraged index options for NYSE Specialists, and managed portfolios of hundred-million-dollar equity investments for Fortune 100 corporate pension funds and non-profit endowments.
He has been elected President of professional Investment Analyst Societies in San Diego and New York City and has served on the editorial boards of the Financial Analysts Journal and the CFA Digest. He has spoken at numerous schools and professional meetings.
Over 30 years of investing in individual stocks. Extensive business experience with small to mid-size companies, including as CEO. Many hundreds of blog posts on financial and economic matters since 2008. Focus on value with catalysts for upside price action. Background as a physician and pharmaceutical inventor and entrepreneur, however focus now is global and involves almost all economic categories.
Lawrence is the Managing Director of Fuller Asset Management. He has 20+ years of experience managing investment portfolios and serving the needs of individual clients. He began his career as a Financial Consultant in 1993 with Merrill Lynch. He worked for First Union Brokerage, Morgan Stanley and ING in the same capacity before realizing his long-term goal of complete independence. He graduated from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill with a B.A. in Political Science in 1992.
Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA (PR) is a precious metals investor and analyst who takes advantage of the emotionality on the markets, and invites you to do the same.
His company, Sunshine Profits, publishes analytical software that anyone can use in order to get an accurate and unbiased view on the current situation.
Recognizing that predicting market behavior with 100% accuracy is a problem that may never be solved, PR has changed the world of trading and investing by enabling individuals to get easy access to the level of analysis that was once available only to institutions.
High quality and profitability of analytical tools available at www.SunshineProfits.com are results of time, thorough research and testing on PR's own capital.
PR believes that the greatest potential is currently in the precious metals sector. For that reason it is his main point of interest to help you make the most of that potential.
As a CFA charterholder, Przemyslaw Radomski shares the highest standards for professional excellence and ethics for the ultimate benefit of society.
Eugene Eliot Narrett was born on December 27, 1948. He died on the night of December 6, 2013. Having just left an art gallery in Brattleboro, Vermont, where his paintings were on display, he crossed Union Street and was struck by a hit and run driver.
Professor Narrett was the first of five sons born to Dr. Sidney S. Narrett and Mrs. Beatrice Narrett.
Professor Narrett grew up in Passaic and Clifton, New Jersey. In 1963, at the age of fifteen, he won the Quality of Latin Certificate of Merit from the Philadelphia Classical Society. He attended Upper Montclair College High School and matriculated at Columbia University.
Professor Narrett graduated from Columbia in 1970 with a BA in Art History. He received his Masters degree with Honors in English and Comparative Literature in 1975 and his Ph.D in 1978 in these same disciplines all from Columbia University.
Professor Narrett’s dissertation on the Romantic poet, Percy Bysshe Shelley, The Comedic Vision of Shelley's Poetry, was written under the Columbia University scholar and professor, Karl Kroeber, who taught for nearly half a century in the English and comparative literature department. At the time his dissertation was completed, Professor Kroeber labelled Eugene Narrett as the greatest interpreter of Shelley extant.
Professor Narrett had a thirty plus year experience as a College teacher and was a published author in comparative literature, poetry, and art criticism. In 2010, Professor Narrett published in the English-American Association Journal, Identity, Theft, and Image Play in Coleridge. In 2010, Professor Narrett also authored a series of essays on Nietzsche and Schopenhauer and other western authors commenting on the nature of Western culture and how their views make use of or reflect on the relation of Judaism to the West.
In addition, Professor Narrett was an exhibiting artist (1977-92) and had gallery shows in New York City, Boston, Cambridge and Maynard Massachusetts and most recently and fatefully in Brattleboro, Vermont. He was also an accomplished self-taught flute player who once entertained strollers in the parks of Salzburg, Austria.
Professor Narrett taught, designed, created and directed many Liberal Arts courses and programs in fields including Art, Art History, History, Literature and Philosophy. His wide-ranging knowledge of history and his ability to integrate disciplines provided a comprehensive overview and rare insight into the most challenging conflicts and currents of our times. He published extensively on American politics and culture and on geopolitics and the Middle East. He is the author of three books: Gathered against Jerusalem: Essays on a False Peace; Israel Awakened: a Chronicle of the Oslo War; and Israel and the Endtimes: writings on the logic and surface turbulence of History (2006).
For much of his published work and radio guest appearances please see Israelendtimes.com as well as Amazon.com.
On language please see: http://www.webcommentary.com/php/ShowArticle.php?id=narrette&date=060924
As interpreter of Shakespeare please see: http://israelendtimes.com/blog/2010/08/28/thoughts-from-shakespeare.htm
Professor Narrett’s lifetime of scholarship and effort to find the essence in human behavior, as manifested in literature, art, and geo-politics came to a corporeal conclusion on a dark night in December but he always carried and forever will his soul carry the banner of learning and knowledge.
Professor Narrett was survived by his son, Gabriel Narrett and four younger brothers, David, Zachary, Seth and Matthew.