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    <title>David Wolf - Seeking Alpha</title>
    <description>'David Wolf' Tag RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com</description>
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      <name>SeekingAlpha.com</name>
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    <link>http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-wolf</link>
    <item>
      <title>Banks and the China UnStrategy
</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/165387-banks-and-the-china-unstrategy?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">165387</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>The <em><a href="http://www.ft.com/">Financial Times</a></em> has a style of reportage that I would place somewhere between a newswire and The Economist. The reporters are superb, the coverage is excellent, and I happily pay my monthly subscription for online-only access. But because of that same style, the FT all too rarely delivers stories that can deliver memorable analysis and insight. Those sorts of things tend to get shunted into &quot;special reports&quot; and the opinion section.</p><p>But occasionally there is an exception, and Sundeep Tucker and Jamil Anderlini penned one in early July entitled &quot;<a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0953fdaa-666e-11de-a034-00144feabdc0,dwp_uuid=03d100e8-2fff-11da-ba9f-00000e2511c8,print=yes.html">Exiting the Dragon</a>,&quot; which chronicled the recent spate of global banks divesting their China financial holdings, putting that activity into the context of the troubles that the global financial industry has faced in trying to build businesses in China.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 07 Oct 2009 17:29:06 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Wolf</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<img src='http://seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/davidwolf2.78px.jpg' title='david wolf' alt='david wolf' width="78" height="84" border='1' align="left" hspace="6" vspace="6" /><strong><a href="http://wolfgroupasia.com/">David Wolf</a> submits: </strong><p>The <em><a href="http://www.ft.com/">Financial Times</a></em> has a style of reportage that I would place somewhere between a newswire and The Economist. The reporters are superb, the coverage is excellent, and I happily pay my monthly subscription for online-only access. But because of that same style, the FT all too rarely delivers stories that can deliver memorable analysis and insight. Those sorts of things tend to get shunted into &quot;special reports&quot; and the opinion section.</p><p>But occasionally there is an exception, and Sundeep Tucker and Jamil Anderlini penned one in early July entitled &quot;<a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0953fdaa-666e-11de-a034-00144feabdc0,dwp_uuid=03d100e8-2fff-11da-ba9f-00000e2511c8,print=yes.html">Exiting the Dragon</a>,&quot; which chronicled the recent spate of global banks divesting their China financial holdings, putting that activity into the context of the troubles that the global financial industry has faced in trying to build businesses in China.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/165387-banks-and-the-china-unstrategy?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bac">BAC</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bachf.pk">BACHF.PK</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/c">C</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cichf.pk">CICHF.PK</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ubs">UBS</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-wolf">David Wolf</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Air China's Growth Strategy: One Dragon, Two Nests</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/158538-air-china-s-growth-strategy-one-dragon-two-nests?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">158538</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>There has been some buzz about <a href="http://www.airchina.com.cn/en/about_us/company_profile/company_profile.shtml">Air China</a> <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109&amp;sid=aoWV_3NJxK1U">(<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/airyy.pk' title='More opinion and analysis of AIRYY.PK'>AIRYY.PK</a>) spending US$812.8 million</a> to buy an additional 12.5% stake in <a href="http://www.cathaypacific.com/cpa/en_INTL/homepage">Cathay Pacific Airways, Ltd.</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cpcay' title='More opinion and analysis of CPCAY'>CPCAY</a>) from <a href="http://www.citicpacific.com/">CITIC Pacific</a>, another state-owned enterprise. That's a lot of greenbacks to lay down at a time when the world economy, rising fuel prices, and the spectre of an influenza pandemic hover over the airline business.<br><br>Of course, as both a government-owned business and the national flag carrier, Air China doesn't need to worry as much about empty coffers as, say, EasyJet (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ejetf.pk' title='More opinion and analysis of EJETF.PK'>EJETF.PK</a>) or Southwest Airlines (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/luv' title='More opinion and analysis of LUV'>LUV</a>). So the cash issue is a bit of a red herring.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 27 Aug 2009 05:16:02 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Wolf</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<img src='http://seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/davidwolf2.78px.jpg' title='david wolf' alt='david wolf' width="78" height="84" border='1' align="left" hspace="6" vspace="6" /><strong><a href="http://wolfgroupasia.com/">David Wolf</a> submits: </strong><p>There has been some buzz about <a href="http://www.airchina.com.cn/en/about_us/company_profile/company_profile.shtml">Air China</a> <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109&amp;sid=aoWV_3NJxK1U">(<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/airyy.pk' title='More opinion and analysis of AIRYY.PK'>AIRYY.PK</a>) spending US$812.8 million</a> to buy an additional 12.5% stake in <a href="http://www.cathaypacific.com/cpa/en_INTL/homepage">Cathay Pacific Airways, Ltd.</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cpcay' title='More opinion and analysis of CPCAY'>CPCAY</a>) from <a href="http://www.citicpacific.com/">CITIC Pacific</a>, another state-owned enterprise. That's a lot of greenbacks to lay down at a time when the world economy, rising fuel prices, and the spectre of an influenza pandemic hover over the airline business.<br><br>Of course, as both a government-owned business and the national flag carrier, Air China doesn't need to worry as much about empty coffers as, say, EasyJet (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ejetf.pk' title='More opinion and analysis of EJETF.PK'>EJETF.PK</a>) or Southwest Airlines (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/luv' title='More opinion and analysis of LUV'>LUV</a>). So the cash issue is a bit of a red herring.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/158538-air-china-s-growth-strategy-one-dragon-two-nests?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/airyy.pk">AIRYY.PK</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cea">CEA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cpcay">CPCAY</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/znh">ZNH</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-wolf">David Wolf</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>6 Ways to Help Qualcomm's Zeebo Succeed in China</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/141920-6-ways-to-help-qualcomm-s-zeebo-succeed-in-china?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">141920</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>A few days ago, I <a href="http://siliconhutong.typepad.com/silicon_hutong/2009/06/zeebo-and-its-six-big-challenges-in-china.html" target="_blank">explained</a> why I thought <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zeebo" target="_blank">Zeebo</a> is going to have a tougher time succeeding in China than we - or <a href="http://www.qualcomm.com/" target="_blank">Qualcomm</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/qcom' title='More opinion and analysis of QCOM'>QCOM</a>), the backer of the cellular game console - may think.</p> <p>Today, my humble suggestions on what Zeebo will need to do to overcome those challenges.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 08 Jun 2009 05:56:17 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Wolf</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<img src='http://seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/davidwolf2.78px.jpg' title='david wolf' alt='david wolf' width="78" height="84" border='1' align="left" hspace="6" vspace="6" /><strong><a href="http://wolfgroupasia.com/">David Wolf</a> submits: </strong><p>A few days ago, I <a href="http://siliconhutong.typepad.com/silicon_hutong/2009/06/zeebo-and-its-six-big-challenges-in-china.html" target="_blank">explained</a> why I thought <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zeebo" target="_blank">Zeebo</a> is going to have a tougher time succeeding in China than we - or <a href="http://www.qualcomm.com/" target="_blank">Qualcomm</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/qcom' title='More opinion and analysis of QCOM'>QCOM</a>), the backer of the cellular game console - may think.</p> <p>Today, my humble suggestions on what Zeebo will need to do to overcome those challenges.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/141920-6-ways-to-help-qualcomm-s-zeebo-succeed-in-china?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/qcom">QCOM</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-wolf">David Wolf</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>6 Challenges for Qualcomm's Zeebo in China</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/140813-6-challenges-for-qualcomm-s-zeebo-in-china?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">140813</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>In case you missed it, one of the interesting developments coming out of the recent <a href="http://www.gdconf.com/" target="_blank">Game Developer's Conference</a> in San Francisco - at least as far as China is concerned - is an interesting item about a new game console called &quot;<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zeebo" target="_blank">Zeebo</a>.&quot;</p> <p>Brought to you by <a href="http://www.qualcomm.com/" target="_blank">Qualcomm</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/qcom' title='More opinion and analysis of QCOM'>QCOM</a>), the people who invented third-generation wireless technology and the <a href="http://www.eudora.com/" target="_blank">Eudora</a> e-mail client (and many other useful bits of technology), Zeebo is a game console designed for those of us who cannot afford - or cannot buy - an <a href="http://www.xbox.com/en-US/" target="_blank">XboX</a>, <a href="http://www.nintendo.com/wii" target="_blank">Wii</a>, or <a href="http://www.us.playstation.com/" target="_blank">Playstation</a>. Created with <a href="http://www.engadget.com/2009/03/24/qualcomm-powered-zeebo-console-pulls-circa-1999-games-over-3g/" target="_blank">the growing middle class in Brazil, Russia, India, China</a>, and other emerging markets in mind, Zeebo eliminates the need for game cartridges or discs by allowing you to select, buy, and download games directly to your console over a cellular telephone network - apparently even if you don't have a mobile phone account.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 02 Jun 2009 05:07:03 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Wolf</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<img src='http://seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/davidwolf2.78px.jpg' title='david wolf' alt='david wolf' width="78" height="84" border='1' align="left" hspace="6" vspace="6" /><strong><a href="http://wolfgroupasia.com/">David Wolf</a> submits: </strong><p>In case you missed it, one of the interesting developments coming out of the recent <a href="http://www.gdconf.com/" target="_blank">Game Developer's Conference</a> in San Francisco - at least as far as China is concerned - is an interesting item about a new game console called &quot;<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zeebo" target="_blank">Zeebo</a>.&quot;</p> <p>Brought to you by <a href="http://www.qualcomm.com/" target="_blank">Qualcomm</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/qcom' title='More opinion and analysis of QCOM'>QCOM</a>), the people who invented third-generation wireless technology and the <a href="http://www.eudora.com/" target="_blank">Eudora</a> e-mail client (and many other useful bits of technology), Zeebo is a game console designed for those of us who cannot afford - or cannot buy - an <a href="http://www.xbox.com/en-US/" target="_blank">XboX</a>, <a href="http://www.nintendo.com/wii" target="_blank">Wii</a>, or <a href="http://www.us.playstation.com/" target="_blank">Playstation</a>. Created with <a href="http://www.engadget.com/2009/03/24/qualcomm-powered-zeebo-console-pulls-circa-1999-games-over-3g/" target="_blank">the growing middle class in Brazil, Russia, India, China</a>, and other emerging markets in mind, Zeebo eliminates the need for game cartridges or discs by allowing you to select, buy, and download games directly to your console over a cellular telephone network - apparently even if you don't have a mobile phone account.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/140813-6-challenges-for-qualcomm-s-zeebo-in-china?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/chl">CHL</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/msft">MSFT</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ntdoy.pk">NTDOY.PK</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/qcom">QCOM</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/sne">SNE</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-wolf">David Wolf</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Harmonize My Gadgets, Please!</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/138923-harmonize-my-gadgets-please?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">138923</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>I'm about to spend a bunch of posts diving into the promise and reality of 3G in China, but before I do, a brief call to all of my friends in the information technology business.</p> <p><strong>Not Different, Just Extreme</strong></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 21 May 2009 07:50:40 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Wolf</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<img src='http://seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/davidwolf2.78px.jpg' title='david wolf' alt='david wolf' width="78" height="84" border='1' align="left" hspace="6" vspace="6" /><strong><a href="http://wolfgroupasia.com/">David Wolf</a> submits: </strong><p>I'm about to spend a bunch of posts diving into the promise and reality of 3G in China, but before I do, a brief call to all of my friends in the information technology business.</p> <p><strong>Not Different, Just Extreme</strong></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/138923-harmonize-my-gadgets-please?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-wolf">David Wolf</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Seven Reasons Why the Coke-Huiyuan Deal Failed</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/126799-seven-reasons-why-the-coke-huiyuan-deal-failed?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">126799</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Just after the Ministry of Commerce announced that it had rejected Coca-Cola's (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ko' title='More opinion and analysis of KO'>KO</a>) bid for Chinese juice-maker Huiyuan (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cyunf.pk' title='More opinion and analysis of CYUNF.PK'>CYUNF.PK</a>), I got a message from a very astute friend of mine who noted &quot;that deal was dead the minute it made the headlines in the South China Morning Post.&quot;</p> <p>We are going to hear a lot of hindsight-laden &quot;I knew it was going to be rejected&quot; statements in the coming days. So let me start by stating for the record that this will at first sound like one of those posts, but what I really want to do is explore (with the full benefit of hindsight) why this deal may have been killed, in the fervent hope we can learn something at Coke's expense.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 19 Mar 2009 06:54:12 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Wolf</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<img src='http://seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/davidwolf2.78px.jpg' title='david wolf' alt='david wolf' width="78" height="84" border='1' align="left" hspace="6" vspace="6" /><strong><a href="http://wolfgroupasia.com/">David Wolf</a> submits: </strong><p>Just after the Ministry of Commerce announced that it had rejected Coca-Cola's (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ko' title='More opinion and analysis of KO'>KO</a>) bid for Chinese juice-maker Huiyuan (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cyunf.pk' title='More opinion and analysis of CYUNF.PK'>CYUNF.PK</a>), I got a message from a very astute friend of mine who noted &quot;that deal was dead the minute it made the headlines in the South China Morning Post.&quot;</p> <p>We are going to hear a lot of hindsight-laden &quot;I knew it was going to be rejected&quot; statements in the coming days. So let me start by stating for the record that this will at first sound like one of those posts, but what I really want to do is explore (with the full benefit of hindsight) why this deal may have been killed, in the fervent hope we can learn something at Coke's expense.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/126799-seven-reasons-why-the-coke-huiyuan-deal-failed?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cyunf.pk">CYUNF.PK</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ko">KO</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-wolf">David Wolf</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>China: Ten Reasons We Are Watching the National People's Congress</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/123471-china-ten-reasons-we-are-watching-the-national-people-s-congress?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">123471</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<div> </div><div><div><span>Now that we are into the third month of the year, the time has come for the annual pageantry of pomp, politics, and propaganda colloquially known as &quot;<i>liang hui</i>,&quot; the twin meetings of China's legislature, the <a href="http://www.npc.gov.cn/englishnpc/news/" target="_blank" >National People's Congress</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/npc' title='More opinion and analysis of NPC'>NPC</a>), and its advisory auxiliary, the <a href="http://www.cppcc.gov.cn/English/" target="_blank" >Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cppcc' title='More opinion and analysis of CPPCC'>CPPCC</a>).<br></span></div><div> </div><div><span>The meetings are met with a fair amount of cynicism, particularly among those of us raised in democracies where, even if our legislators accomplish little more of value than the liang hui, at least they manage to do so without messing up the traffic with thrice-daily motorcades.</span></div><div> </div><div><span>Yet while it is not unfair to categorize the NPC and CPPCC as &quot;rubber-stamp&quot; bodies, there are years when it is worth stopping to listen to some of the speeches and taking the time to absorb the coverage. And this year is one of those years.</span></div><div> </div><div><span>Here is what we will be listening for in the Hutong:</span></div><div><span></div><div> </div><div><span>1. <strong>Stability and Harmonious Society</strong>: I suspect we will get a healthy dose of this, but what will be worth listening for is specifics on welfare, employment, and social security programs for rural citizens, laid-off factory workers, and retired cadres.</span></div><div><span></div><div> </div><div><span>2. I<strong>ndependent Innovation</strong>: This little chestnut was pretty hot a few years ago, but has faded into the background as the government faces the darkening horizons of the global economic crisis. While there are more urgent concerns, it will be interesting to see whether this has fallen off the radar, or if any new and significant measures are planned in this area. If the importance of independent innovation has receded, this will imply continued opportunities for foreign innovators, but continued problems defending IPR.</span></div><div><span></div><div> </div><div><span>3. <strong>Infrastructure</strong>: Look for indications on how the central government is going to channel and manage all of the funds for infrastructure investments. I'll be looking for mentions of specific high-profile projects, a new agency to manage them and their expenditures, and some indication that employment is a focus, not just spending a lot of cash.<br></span></div><div><span></div><div> </div><div><span>4. <strong>Financial Sector Reform:</strong> In the wake of what has transpired on Wall Street over the past year, it would be hard to justify reshaping China's financial sector to look like that of the U.S. Nonetheless, China's banks, insurance companies, bourses, and brokerages face their own challenges after 30 years of rapid growth, and the global financial crisis is a signal that it is time to look for and address problems rather than wallow in schadenfreude.</span></div><div><span></div><div> </div><div><span>5. <strong>State-Owned Enterprise Reform:</strong> Hard times justify hard measures, and it is likely the coming 18 months will see Beijing compelling the restructuring of several industries dominated by state-owned enterprises. The effort will be to strike a balance that will allow for competition while creating national champions through compelled mashups. The <a href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5g0FQpX549rHMSQ9zoJJiWO1Y6regD96IIFP80" target="_blank" >auto industry</a> will almost certainly undergo a forced winnowing from 14 passenger car makers to 10 (which I'll address in a post tomorrow), and we are betting on another round of consolidation in the airline business and the steel industry. The question will be what other sectors will come under the knife, and our ears are perked up for clues.</span></div><div><span></div><div> </div><div><span>6. <strong>Drought Relief:</strong> The environment - specifically air and water pollution - will be a major theme, but a larger problem that looms is the issue of the drought in Northern China. Beyond the general challenges facing rural China, we expect some discussion of water supply, if not in one of the work reports, then in some of the side sessions.</span></div><div><span></div><div> </div><div><span>7. <strong>Taiwan</strong>: For the first time in recent memory, Taiwan is likely to be a feel-good issue at the meetings. A quiet movement is underway in Taipei to build on the newly-established air and sea links between Taiwan and the mainland with what would amount to a free trade agreement. This is a touchy issue in Taiwan, so it will be interesting to see if - and how - Hu Jintao, Wen Jiabao, or any of the other leaders discuss this.</span></div><div><span></div><div> </div><div><span>8. <strong>Defense</strong>: In the wake of Sino-US military discussions and China's deployment of naval vessels on anti-piracy patrol off of Africa, we will of course be watching for acknowledgement of closer cooperation between the two nations in addressing mutual security issues. More important, however, is whether China's economic stimulus will extend to spending in &quot;dual-use&quot; industries like aerospace and shipbuilding.</span></div><div><span></div><div> </div><div><span>9. <strong>Media</strong>: I am not expecting 2009 to be a memorable year in reforming and opening China's media sector: the political sensitivities at the nexus of the global financial crisis and the 60th Anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic make it far too sensitive. What we will be listening for is any mention of the media sectors at all. I am hoping there will be none: no news is good news here.</span></div><div><span></div><div> </div><div><span>10. <strong>Peaceful Rise</strong>: China made more progress in its strategy of pursuing a &quot;peaceful rise&quot; in its global stature in 2008 than it could have dreamed of a year ago. It will be interesting to hear whether that is sustainable, whether China will allow itself to mirror the US Congress' protectionist &quot;buy American&quot; rhetoric, or instead will take the high road and position the PRC as the guardian of free trade.</span></div><div> </div><div><span></div><div><span>For decades, the Liang Hui have only needed to address domestic audiences, because they were dismissed by others as ceremonial and ultimately irrelevant. That has changed, and ever since former Premier Zhu Rongji began holding post-Congress press conferences for the global media, China has begun to use the occasion to send messages abroad.</span></div><div> </div><div><span>This year the world will be watching the proceedings with greater interest than ever. The leaders must know that, and it will be fascinating to see if anything in the two-week session changes as a result.</span></div></div>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 02 Mar 2009 04:24:38 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>David Wolf</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<img src='http://seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/davidwolf2.78px.jpg' title='david wolf' alt='david wolf' width="78" height="84" border='1' align="left" hspace="6" vspace="6" /><strong><a href="http://wolfgroupasia.com/">David Wolf</a> submits: </strong><div> </div><div><div><span>Now that we are into the third month of the year, the time has come for the annual pageantry of pomp, politics, and propaganda colloquially known as &quot;<i>liang hui</i>,&quot; the twin meetings of China's legislature, the <a href="http://www.npc.gov.cn/englishnpc/news/" target="_blank" >National People's Congress</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/npc' title='More opinion and analysis of NPC'>NPC</a>), and its advisory auxiliary, the <a href="http://www.cppcc.gov.cn/English/" target="_blank" >Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cppcc' title='More opinion and analysis of CPPCC'>CPPCC</a>).<br></span></div><div> </div><div><span>The meetings are met with a fair amount of cynicism, particularly among those of us raised in democracies where, even if our legislators accomplish little more of value than the liang hui, at least they manage to do so without messing up the traffic with thrice-daily motorcades.</span></div><div> </div><div><span>Yet while it is not unfair to categorize the NPC and CPPCC as &quot;rubber-stamp&quot; bodies, there are years when it is worth stopping to listen to some of the speeches and taking the time to absorb the coverage. And this year is one of those years.</span></div><div> </div><div><span>Here is what we will be listening for in the Hutong:</span></div><div><span></div><div> </div><div><span>1. <strong>Stability and Harmonious Society</strong>: I suspect we will get a healthy dose of this, but what will be worth listening for is specifics on welfare, employment, and social security programs for rural citizens, laid-off factory workers, and retired cadres.</span></div><div><span></div><div> </div><div><span>2. I<strong>ndependent Innovation</strong>: This little chestnut was pretty hot a few years ago, but has faded into the background as the government faces the darkening horizons of the global economic crisis. While there are more urgent concerns, it will be interesting to see whether this has fallen off the radar, or if any new and significant measures are planned in this area. If the importance of independent innovation has receded, this will imply continued opportunities for foreign innovators, but continued problems defending IPR.</span></div><div><span></div><div> </div><div><span>3. <strong>Infrastructure</strong>: Look for indications on how the central government is going to channel and manage all of the funds for infrastructure investments. I'll be looking for mentions of specific high-profile projects, a new agency to manage them and their expenditures, and some indication that employment is a focus, not just spending a lot of cash.<br></span></div><div><span></div><div> </div><div><span>4. <strong>Financial Sector Reform:</strong> In the wake of what has transpired on Wall Street over the past year, it would be hard to justify reshaping China's financial sector to look like that of the U.S. Nonetheless, China's banks, insurance companies, bourses, and brokerages face their own challenges after 30 years of rapid growth, and the global financial crisis is a signal that it is time to look for and address problems rather than wallow in schadenfreude.</span></div><div><span></div><div> </div><div><span>5. <strong>State-Owned Enterprise Reform:</strong> Hard times justify hard measures, and it is likely the coming 18 months will see Beijing compelling the restructuring of several industries dominated by state-owned enterprises. The effort will be to strike a balance that will allow for competition while creating national champions through compelled mashups. The <a href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5g0FQpX549rHMSQ9zoJJiWO1Y6regD96IIFP80" target="_blank" >auto industry</a> will almost certainly undergo a forced winnowing from 14 passenger car makers to 10 (which I'll address in a post tomorrow), and we are betting on another round of consolidation in the airline business and the steel industry. The question will be what other sectors will come under the knife, and our ears are perked up for clues.</span></div><div><span></div><div> </div><div><span>6. <strong>Drought Relief:</strong> The environment - specifically air and water pollution - will be a major theme, but a larger problem that looms is the issue of the drought in Northern China. Beyond the general challenges facing rural China, we expect some discussion of water supply, if not in one of the work reports, then in some of the side sessions.</span></div><div><span></div><div> </div><div><span>7. <strong>Taiwan</strong>: For the first time in recent memory, Taiwan is likely to be a feel-good issue at the meetings. A quiet movement is underway in Taipei to build on the newly-established air and sea links between Taiwan and the mainland with what would amount to a free trade agreement. This is a touchy issue in Taiwan, so it will be interesting to see if - and how - Hu Jintao, Wen Jiabao, or any of the other leaders discuss this.</span></div><div><span></div><div> </div><div><span>8. <strong>Defense</strong>: In the wake of Sino-US military discussions and China's deployment of naval vessels on anti-piracy patrol off of Africa, we will of course be watching for acknowledgement of closer cooperation between the two nations in addressing mutual security issues. More important, however, is whether China's economic stimulus will extend to spending in &quot;dual-use&quot; industries like aerospace and shipbuilding.</span></div><div><span></div><div> </div><div><span>9. <strong>Media</strong>: I am not expecting 2009 to be a memorable year in reforming and opening China's media sector: the political sensitivities at the nexus of the global financial crisis and the 60th Anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic make it far too sensitive. What we will be listening for is any mention of the media sectors at all. I am hoping there will be none: no news is good news here.</span></div><div><span></div><div> </div><div><span>10. <strong>Peaceful Rise</strong>: China made more progress in its strategy of pursuing a &quot;peaceful rise&quot; in its global stature in 2008 than it could have dreamed of a year ago. It will be interesting to hear whether that is sustainable, whether China will allow itself to mirror the US Congress' protectionist &quot;buy American&quot; rhetoric, or instead will take the high road and position the PRC as the guardian of free trade.</span></div><div> </div><div><span></div><div><span>For decades, the Liang Hui have only needed to address domestic audiences, because they were dismissed by others as ceremonial and ultimately irrelevant. That has changed, and ever since former Premier Zhu Rongji began holding post-Congress press conferences for the global media, China has begun to use the occasion to send messages abroad.</span></div><div> </div><div><span>This year the world will be watching the proceedings with greater interest than ever. The leaders must know that, and it will be fascinating to see if anything in the two-week session changes as a result.</span></div></div><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/123471-china-ten-reasons-we-are-watching-the-national-people-s-congress?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fxi">FXI</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-wolf">David Wolf</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Lenovo: Amelio's Exit a Sign that IBM Integration Hitting the Rocks?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/118829-lenovo-amelio-s-exit-a-sign-that-ibm-integration-hitting-the-rocks?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">118829</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123380896784051197.html?mod=testMod" target="_blank" >Jason Dean at <em>The Wall Street Journal</em> is reporting</a> that Lenovo (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/lnvgy.pk' title='More opinion and analysis of LNVGY.PK'>LNVGY.PK</a>) has replaced CEO Bill Amelio with Chairman Yang Yuanqing, and that co-founder Liu Chuanzhi is returning from his pasture to resume a seat on the board. They're <img src="http://app.quotemedia.com/quotetools/getChart?chscale=1y&amp;webmasterId=91022&amp;snap=true&amp;symbol=LNVGY&amp;chtype=AreaChart&amp;chwid=284&amp;chhig=150&amp;chfill=ee0066CC&amp;chfill2=110066CC&amp;chln=0066CC&amp;chmrg=0&amp;chfrmon=false&amp;chton=some" align="right"  />also upping senior VP Rory Read to the new role of Chief Operating Officer and President, and the company has decided to re-focus itself on its home market, China.</p><p><strong>Bring on the Empty Horses</strong></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 05 Feb 2009 15:22:34 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>David Wolf</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<img src='http://seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/davidwolf2.78px.jpg' title='david wolf' alt='david wolf' width="78" height="84" border='1' align="left" hspace="6" vspace="6" /><strong><a href="http://wolfgroupasia.com/">David Wolf</a> submits: </strong><p><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123380896784051197.html?mod=testMod" target="_blank" >Jason Dean at <em>The Wall Street Journal</em> is reporting</a> that Lenovo (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/lnvgy.pk' title='More opinion and analysis of LNVGY.PK'>LNVGY.PK</a>) has replaced CEO Bill Amelio with Chairman Yang Yuanqing, and that co-founder Liu Chuanzhi is returning from his pasture to resume a seat on the board. They're <img src="http://app.quotemedia.com/quotetools/getChart?chscale=1y&amp;webmasterId=91022&amp;snap=true&amp;symbol=LNVGY&amp;chtype=AreaChart&amp;chwid=284&amp;chhig=150&amp;chfill=ee0066CC&amp;chfill2=110066CC&amp;chln=0066CC&amp;chmrg=0&amp;chfrmon=false&amp;chton=some" align="right"  />also upping senior VP Rory Read to the new role of Chief Operating Officer and President, and the company has decided to re-focus itself on its home market, China.</p><p><strong>Bring on the Empty Horses</strong></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/118829-lenovo-amelio-s-exit-a-sign-that-ibm-integration-hitting-the-rocks?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/lnvgy.pk">LNVGY.PK</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-wolf">David Wolf</category>
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    <item>
      <title>5 Reasons a Chinese Al Jazeera Is a Good Thing</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/118360-5-reasons-a-chinese-al-jazeera-is-a-good-thing?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">118360</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Recent revelations that China is planning on <a href="http://www.zhongnanhaiblog.com/web/articles/353/1/China-spends-45-billion-to-extend-medias-global-reach/Page1.html" target="_blank" >investing over US$7 billion in an effort to create a credible global radio and television news service</a> using Al-Jazeera English as a model have provoked comments that range from the dismissive to the skeptical to the paranoid.</p><p>I am not convinced China is going to create a credible global voice in the near term, but I think it is only a matter of time before it happens. Rather than concern America and the world, however, we should see this effort as a positive development because even the sketchy details we have of the program suggest a new maturity in China's approach to strategic communications, public diplomacy, and indeed world opinion.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 04 Feb 2009 05:20:32 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>David Wolf</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<img src='http://seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/davidwolf2.78px.jpg' title='david wolf' alt='david wolf' width="78" height="84" border='1' align="left" hspace="6" vspace="6" /><strong><a href="http://wolfgroupasia.com/">David Wolf</a> submits: </strong><p>Recent revelations that China is planning on <a href="http://www.zhongnanhaiblog.com/web/articles/353/1/China-spends-45-billion-to-extend-medias-global-reach/Page1.html" target="_blank" >investing over US$7 billion in an effort to create a credible global radio and television news service</a> using Al-Jazeera English as a model have provoked comments that range from the dismissive to the skeptical to the paranoid.</p><p>I am not convinced China is going to create a credible global voice in the near term, but I think it is only a matter of time before it happens. Rather than concern America and the world, however, we should see this effort as a positive development because even the sketchy details we have of the program suggest a new maturity in China's approach to strategic communications, public diplomacy, and indeed world opinion.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/118360-5-reasons-a-chinese-al-jazeera-is-a-good-thing?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-wolf">David Wolf</category>
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    <item>
      <title>3G in China: ARPU as a Metric Doesn't Measure Up</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/113167-3g-in-china-arpu-as-a-metric-doesn-t-measure-up?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">113167</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Now that the <a href="http://fengshui-import.com/catalog/Golden-Ox-Statues-2215.html" target="_blank" >Year of the Golden</a> <a href="http://fengshui-import.com/catalog/Golden-Ox-Statues-2215.html" target="_blank" ><span>Calf</span></a> <a href="http://fengshui-import.com/catalog/Golden-Ox-Statues-2215.html" target="_blank" >Ox</a> is shaping up to be the year when all three of China's mobile operators - <a href="http://www.chinamobileltd.com/index.php" target="_blank" >China Mobile</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/chl' title='More opinion and analysis of CHL'>CHL</a>),  <a href="http://www.chinaunicom.com.hk/en/home/default.html" target="_blank" >China Unicom</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/chu' title='More opinion and analysis of CHU'>CHU</a>),  and <a href="http://en.chinatelecom.com.cn/" target="_blank" >China Telecom</a>  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cha' title='More opinion and analysis of CHA'>CHA</a>) -  will deploy third generation mobile networks, or 3G, it is useful to explore the extent to which 3G networks elsewhere in Asia are living up to 3G's promise to raise average revenues per user &#40;ARPU&#41;.</p><p>The short answer is &quot;pretty good.&quot; As the operators find ways to deliver new services for which users are willing to pay, the revenues are going up.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 05 Jan 2009 05:55:14 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>David Wolf</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<img src='http://seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/davidwolf2.78px.jpg' title='david wolf' alt='david wolf' width="78" height="84" border='1' align="left" hspace="6" vspace="6" /><strong><a href="http://wolfgroupasia.com/">David Wolf</a> submits: </strong><p>Now that the <a href="http://fengshui-import.com/catalog/Golden-Ox-Statues-2215.html" target="_blank" >Year of the Golden</a> <a href="http://fengshui-import.com/catalog/Golden-Ox-Statues-2215.html" target="_blank" ><span>Calf</span></a> <a href="http://fengshui-import.com/catalog/Golden-Ox-Statues-2215.html" target="_blank" >Ox</a> is shaping up to be the year when all three of China's mobile operators - <a href="http://www.chinamobileltd.com/index.php" target="_blank" >China Mobile</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/chl' title='More opinion and analysis of CHL'>CHL</a>),  <a href="http://www.chinaunicom.com.hk/en/home/default.html" target="_blank" >China Unicom</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/chu' title='More opinion and analysis of CHU'>CHU</a>),  and <a href="http://en.chinatelecom.com.cn/" target="_blank" >China Telecom</a>  (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cha' title='More opinion and analysis of CHA'>CHA</a>) -  will deploy third generation mobile networks, or 3G, it is useful to explore the extent to which 3G networks elsewhere in Asia are living up to 3G's promise to raise average revenues per user &#40;ARPU&#41;.</p><p>The short answer is &quot;pretty good.&quot; As the operators find ways to deliver new services for which users are willing to pay, the revenues are going up.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/113167-3g-in-china-arpu-as-a-metric-doesn-t-measure-up?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/cha">CHA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/chl">CHL</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/chu">CHU</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-wolf">David Wolf</category>
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    <item>
      <title>Baidu: Silence is Not Golden, It's Poison</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/108957-baidu-silence-is-not-golden-it-s-poison?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">108957</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Lonnie Hodge, who I would fairly say is something of a fan of <a target="_blank" href="http://ir.baidu.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=188488&amp;amp;p=irol-homeprofile">Baidu</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bidu' title='More opinion and analysis of BIDU'>BIDU</a>), takes the search company's CEO <a target="_blank" href="http://ir.baidu.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=188488&amp;p=irol-govBio&amp;ID=138201">Robin Li</a> <a target="_blank" href="http://onemanbandwidth.com/wordpress/?p=505">to task</a> over his failure to show up to do his keynote at last month's ad:tech confab in Shanghai, ostensibly for a &quot;sore throat.&quot; Most of the attendees to whom I spoke shared varying degrees of pique that Li<img align="right" src="http://app.quotemedia.com/quotetools/getChart?chscale=1y&amp;webmasterId=91022&amp;snap=true&amp;symbol=BIDU&amp;chtype=AreaChart&amp;chwid=284&amp;chhig=150&amp;chfill=ee0066CC&amp;chfill2=110066CC&amp;chln=0066CC&amp;chmrg=0&amp;chfrmon=false&amp;chton=some" alt="" /> didn't show up, and Hodge in particular sees this as emblematic of Baidu's disdain for <a target="_blank" href="http://www.cluetrain.com/">Cluetrain</a>-style engagement:</p><blockquote class="quote"><p>Baidu, or any company, would do well to join the party (not that one...) and join in on the many conversations, those that honor AND those that harangue, which can only make us better business people, more responsible netizens, and decent global citizens.</p></blockquote>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 03 Dec 2008 07:31:24 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>David Wolf</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<img src='http://seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/davidwolf2.78px.jpg' title='david wolf' alt='david wolf' width="78" height="84" border='1' align="left" hspace="6" vspace="6" /><strong><a href="http://wolfgroupasia.com/">David Wolf</a> submits: </strong><p>Lonnie Hodge, who I would fairly say is something of a fan of <a target="_blank" href="http://ir.baidu.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=188488&amp;amp;p=irol-homeprofile">Baidu</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bidu' title='More opinion and analysis of BIDU'>BIDU</a>), takes the search company's CEO <a target="_blank" href="http://ir.baidu.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=188488&amp;p=irol-govBio&amp;ID=138201">Robin Li</a> <a target="_blank" href="http://onemanbandwidth.com/wordpress/?p=505">to task</a> over his failure to show up to do his keynote at last month's ad:tech confab in Shanghai, ostensibly for a &quot;sore throat.&quot; Most of the attendees to whom I spoke shared varying degrees of pique that Li<img align="right" src="http://app.quotemedia.com/quotetools/getChart?chscale=1y&amp;webmasterId=91022&amp;snap=true&amp;symbol=BIDU&amp;chtype=AreaChart&amp;chwid=284&amp;chhig=150&amp;chfill=ee0066CC&amp;chfill2=110066CC&amp;chln=0066CC&amp;chmrg=0&amp;chfrmon=false&amp;chton=some" alt="" /> didn't show up, and Hodge in particular sees this as emblematic of Baidu's disdain for <a target="_blank" href="http://www.cluetrain.com/">Cluetrain</a>-style engagement:</p><blockquote class="quote"><p>Baidu, or any company, would do well to join the party (not that one...) and join in on the many conversations, those that honor AND those that harangue, which can only make us better business people, more responsible netizens, and decent global citizens.</p></blockquote><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/108957-baidu-silence-is-not-golden-it-s-poison?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bidu">BIDU</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-wolf">David Wolf</category>
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    <item>
      <title>FDA's New China Office: How Much Can an 8 Person A-Team Really Do?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/107825-fda-s-new-china-office-how-much-can-an-8-person-a-team-really-do?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">107825</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Richard over at <a href="http://www.asiabizblog.com/" target="_blank">AsiaBizBlog</a> (just blogrolled - not sure what took me so long) is less than impressed with the idea that the <a href="http://www.asiabizblog.com/archives/2008/11/another_so_what.htm" target="_blank">FDA will open an office in China.</a> He believes, not without justification, that the office will be a non-factor in the effort to improve the quality of <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/20/world/asia/20beijing.html?_r=1&amp;hp" target="_blank">China's exports of non-farm foods</a>, medicines, and medical devices.</p><p><strong>Watching the Watchers</strong></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 25 Nov 2008 05:34:44 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>David Wolf</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<img src='http://seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/davidwolf2.78px.jpg' title='david wolf' alt='david wolf' width="78" height="84" border='1' align="left" hspace="6" vspace="6" /><strong><a href="http://wolfgroupasia.com/">David Wolf</a> submits: </strong><p>Richard over at <a href="http://www.asiabizblog.com/" target="_blank">AsiaBizBlog</a> (just blogrolled - not sure what took me so long) is less than impressed with the idea that the <a href="http://www.asiabizblog.com/archives/2008/11/another_so_what.htm" target="_blank">FDA will open an office in China.</a> He believes, not without justification, that the office will be a non-factor in the effort to improve the quality of <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/20/world/asia/20beijing.html?_r=1&amp;hp" target="_blank">China's exports of non-farm foods</a>, medicines, and medical devices.</p><p><strong>Watching the Watchers</strong></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/107825-fda-s-new-china-office-how-much-can-an-8-person-a-team-really-do?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-wolf">David Wolf</category>
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    <item>
      <title>Why Chinese Land Reform is a Tech Opportunity</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/107675-why-chinese-land-reform-is-a-tech-opportunity?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">107675</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>In the flurry of <a target="_blank" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/20/world/asia/20china.html?_r=1&amp;oref=slogin">news</a> about plans to <a target="_blank" href="http://www.cfr.org/publication/15699/">reform land use in China</a>, much of the coverage focuses on the new potential for Chinese farmers to either pay to farm the land of others, or to indeed expand their own plots by renting more land, thus building scale and offering the greater potential for profit. I think a lot of people noted this, and after checking to ensure that neither <a target="_blank" href="http://www.monsanto.com/">Monsanto (MON</a>), <a target="_blank" href="http://www.deere.com/zh_CN/JDCI/homepage/default.html">John Deere</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/de' title='More opinion and analysis of DE'>DE</a>), nor <a target="_blank" href="http://www2.dupont.com/Agriculture/en_US/">DuPont</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dd' title='More opinion and analysis of DD'>DD</a>) was in their stock portfolio, dutifully forgot it.</p> <p>There is, however, more to this story.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 24 Nov 2008 14:16:11 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>David Wolf</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<img src='http://seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/davidwolf2.78px.jpg' title='david wolf' alt='david wolf' width="78" height="84" border='1' align="left" hspace="6" vspace="6" /><strong><a href="http://wolfgroupasia.com/">David Wolf</a> submits: </strong><p>In the flurry of <a target="_blank" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/20/world/asia/20china.html?_r=1&amp;oref=slogin">news</a> about plans to <a target="_blank" href="http://www.cfr.org/publication/15699/">reform land use in China</a>, much of the coverage focuses on the new potential for Chinese farmers to either pay to farm the land of others, or to indeed expand their own plots by renting more land, thus building scale and offering the greater potential for profit. I think a lot of people noted this, and after checking to ensure that neither <a target="_blank" href="http://www.monsanto.com/">Monsanto (MON</a>), <a target="_blank" href="http://www.deere.com/zh_CN/JDCI/homepage/default.html">John Deere</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/de' title='More opinion and analysis of DE'>DE</a>), nor <a target="_blank" href="http://www2.dupont.com/Agriculture/en_US/">DuPont</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/dd' title='More opinion and analysis of DD'>DD</a>) was in their stock portfolio, dutifully forgot it.</p> <p>There is, however, more to this story.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/107675-why-chinese-land-reform-is-a-tech-opportunity?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-wolf">David Wolf</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The ARJ-21 and China's Long, Slow Climb to the Skies</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/106915-the-arj-21-and-china-s-long-slow-climb-to-the-skies?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">106915</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Covering this year's <a href="http://www.airshow.com.cn/en/index.html" target="_blank">Zhuhai Air Show</a>, <em><a href="http://www.economist.com/" target="_blank">The Economist</a></em> takes a look at China's first domestically-produced jetliner, the <a href="http://www.acac.com.cn/enindex.asp" target="_blank">AVIC1 Commercial Aircraft Corporation</a>'s <a href="http://www.acac.com.cn/site_en/product01.asp" target="_blank">ARJ-21</a>, and on the eve of the regional jet's maiden test flight takes a moment to consider its commercial prospects. Their verdict: don't count China out.</p><blockquote class="quote"><p>Many foreign analysts doubt that Western airlines will ever be prepared to buy Chinese aircraft. But, as in other fields, China is playing a long game.</p></blockquote>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 20 Nov 2008 02:52:07 -0500</pubDate>
      <author>David Wolf</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<img src='http://seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/davidwolf2.78px.jpg' title='david wolf' alt='david wolf' width="78" height="84" border='1' align="left" hspace="6" vspace="6" /><strong><a href="http://wolfgroupasia.com/">David Wolf</a> submits: </strong><p>Covering this year's <a href="http://www.airshow.com.cn/en/index.html" target="_blank">Zhuhai Air Show</a>, <em><a href="http://www.economist.com/" target="_blank">The Economist</a></em> takes a look at China's first domestically-produced jetliner, the <a href="http://www.acac.com.cn/enindex.asp" target="_blank">AVIC1 Commercial Aircraft Corporation</a>'s <a href="http://www.acac.com.cn/site_en/product01.asp" target="_blank">ARJ-21</a>, and on the eve of the regional jet's maiden test flight takes a moment to consider its commercial prospects. Their verdict: don't count China out.</p><blockquote class="quote"><p>Many foreign analysts doubt that Western airlines will ever be prepared to buy Chinese aircraft. But, as in other fields, China is playing a long game.</p></blockquote><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/106915-the-arj-21-and-china-s-long-slow-climb-to-the-skies?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ba">BA</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/erj">ERJ</category>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ge">GE</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-wolf">David Wolf</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>China Milk Crisis: Quality Is Everybody's Problem</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/96902-china-milk-crisis-quality-is-everybody-s-problem?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">96902</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Better writers have covered the Melamine Milk Crisis at great depth already (check out <a href="http://news.imagethief.com/blogs/china/archive/2008/09/17/sanlu-melamine-milk-powder-crisis-becomes-a-national-issue.aspx" target="_blank">Imagethief's</a> article here as an example, or <a href="http://www.chinalawblog.com/2008/09/china_baby_formula_here_we_go.html" target="_blank">China Law Blog's</a> coverage) so I won't belabor the story. I do, however, have two points to add, germane to what we've been writing here till now.</p><p><strong>The Joint Venture and Ethical Rot</strong></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 23 Sep 2008 07:51:34 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Wolf</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<img src='http://seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/davidwolf2.78px.jpg' title='david wolf' alt='david wolf' width="78" height="84" border='1' align="left" hspace="6" vspace="6" /><strong><a href="http://wolfgroupasia.com/">David Wolf</a> submits: </strong><p>Better writers have covered the Melamine Milk Crisis at great depth already (check out <a href="http://news.imagethief.com/blogs/china/archive/2008/09/17/sanlu-melamine-milk-powder-crisis-becomes-a-national-issue.aspx" target="_blank">Imagethief's</a> article here as an example, or <a href="http://www.chinalawblog.com/2008/09/china_baby_formula_here_we_go.html" target="_blank">China Law Blog's</a> coverage) so I won't belabor the story. I do, however, have two points to add, germane to what we've been writing here till now.</p><p><strong>The Joint Venture and Ethical Rot</strong></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/96902-china-milk-crisis-quality-is-everybody-s-problem?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-wolf">David Wolf</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Being the Change: Baidu Report Raises Important Ethical Questions</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/96075-being-the-change-baidu-report-raises-important-ethical-questions?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">96075</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>Over the weekend, <em>The Register</em> ran a special report on Baidu (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bidu' title='More opinion and analysis of BIDU'>BIDU</a>), alleging that the Chinese search giant is engaged in technological chicanery in order to keep users plugged into vast and illegal reservoirs of online music (h/t Maths at Music 2.0). The report is <a target="_blank" href="http://www.theregister.co.uk/2008/09/13/baidu_investigation/print.html">here</a>.</p> <p><strong>Searching for trouble</strong></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 18 Sep 2008 05:29:51 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Wolf</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<img src='http://seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/davidwolf2.78px.jpg' title='david wolf' alt='david wolf' width="78" height="84" border='1' align="left" hspace="6" vspace="6" /><strong><a href="http://wolfgroupasia.com/">David Wolf</a> submits: </strong><p>Over the weekend, <em>The Register</em> ran a special report on Baidu (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bidu' title='More opinion and analysis of BIDU'>BIDU</a>), alleging that the Chinese search giant is engaged in technological chicanery in order to keep users plugged into vast and illegal reservoirs of online music (h/t Maths at Music 2.0). The report is <a target="_blank" href="http://www.theregister.co.uk/2008/09/13/baidu_investigation/print.html">here</a>.</p> <p><strong>Searching for trouble</strong></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/96075-being-the-change-baidu-report-raises-important-ethical-questions?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/bidu">BIDU</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-wolf">David Wolf</category>
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    <item>
      <title>Microsoft's Seinfeld Campaign: Will It Play Outside of Peoria?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/95574-microsoft-s-seinfeld-campaign-will-it-play-outside-of-peoria?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">95574</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>In all of the attention given to Microsoft's (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/msft' title='More opinion and analysis of MSFT'>MSFT</a>) selection of an aging comedian to be its voice to a wider computer and software market whose tastes skew quite young, very little attention is given to a larger question:</p><p>Even if Jerry Seinfeld retains relevance and power within the United States, how is this $300 million campaign going to help the company outside of the English-speaking world, in places like China, Brazil, India, and Russia that will decide the future of the company? As Wilson Ng at <a target="_blank" href="http://www.sunstar.com.ph/cebu/index.html"><em>SunStar Cebu</em></a> <a target="_blank" href="http://www.sunstar.com.ph/static/ceb/2008/09/11/bus/ng.microsoft.s.latest.ad.campaign.html">points out</a>, there are more Windows users in the world than there are English speakers.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 15 Sep 2008 16:17:13 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Wolf</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<img src='http://seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/davidwolf2.78px.jpg' title='david wolf' alt='david wolf' width="78" height="84" border='1' align="left" hspace="6" vspace="6" /><strong><a href="http://wolfgroupasia.com/">David Wolf</a> submits: </strong><p>In all of the attention given to Microsoft's (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/msft' title='More opinion and analysis of MSFT'>MSFT</a>) selection of an aging comedian to be its voice to a wider computer and software market whose tastes skew quite young, very little attention is given to a larger question:</p><p>Even if Jerry Seinfeld retains relevance and power within the United States, how is this $300 million campaign going to help the company outside of the English-speaking world, in places like China, Brazil, India, and Russia that will decide the future of the company? As Wilson Ng at <a target="_blank" href="http://www.sunstar.com.ph/cebu/index.html"><em>SunStar Cebu</em></a> <a target="_blank" href="http://www.sunstar.com.ph/static/ceb/2008/09/11/bus/ng.microsoft.s.latest.ad.campaign.html">points out</a>, there are more Windows users in the world than there are English speakers.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/95574-microsoft-s-seinfeld-campaign-will-it-play-outside-of-peoria?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/msft">MSFT</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-wolf">David Wolf</category>
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    <item>
      <title>Coke/Huiyuan Deal Will Test Chinese Government</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/94381-coke-huiyuan-deal-will-test-chinese-government?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">94381</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>As the rest of the world (and China's banks) obsess on the unfolding saga of <a href="http://www.fanniemae.com/index.jhtml" target="_blank">Fannie Mae</a>&nbsp; (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fnm' title='More opinion and analysis of FNM'>FNM</a>) and <a href="http://www.freddiemac.com/" target="_blank">Freddie Mac</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fre' title='More opinion and analysis of FRE'>FRE</a>), here in China Coca-Cola's (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ko' title='More opinion and analysis of KO'>KO</a>) <a href="http://www.thecoca-colacompany.com/presscenter/nr_20080903_tccc_huiyuan_juice_grp_tender_offer.html" target="_blank">announced intention to purchase</a> Chinese beverage maker <a href="http://www.huiyuan.com.cn/en/" target="_blank">Huiyuan Juice Company</a> is about to force the government to make a very hard choice.</p><p><strong>An excellent a<span style="font-weight: normal;"><strong>cquisition...</strong></span></strong></p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 08 Sep 2008 08:02:38 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Wolf</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<img src='http://seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/davidwolf2.78px.jpg' title='david wolf' alt='david wolf' width="78" height="84" border='1' align="left" hspace="6" vspace="6" /><strong><a href="http://wolfgroupasia.com/">David Wolf</a> submits: </strong><p>As the rest of the world (and China's banks) obsess on the unfolding saga of <a href="http://www.fanniemae.com/index.jhtml" target="_blank">Fannie Mae</a>&nbsp; (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fnm' title='More opinion and analysis of FNM'>FNM</a>) and <a href="http://www.freddiemac.com/" target="_blank">Freddie Mac</a> (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/fre' title='More opinion and analysis of FRE'>FRE</a>), here in China Coca-Cola's (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ko' title='More opinion and analysis of KO'>KO</a>) <a href="http://www.thecoca-colacompany.com/presscenter/nr_20080903_tccc_huiyuan_juice_grp_tender_offer.html" target="_blank">announced intention to purchase</a> Chinese beverage maker <a href="http://www.huiyuan.com.cn/en/" target="_blank">Huiyuan Juice Company</a> is about to force the government to make a very hard choice.</p><p><strong>An excellent a<span style="font-weight: normal;"><strong>cquisition...</strong></span></strong></p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/94381-coke-huiyuan-deal-will-test-chinese-government?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ko">KO</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-wolf">David Wolf</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Apple's China Debacle: The Corporation as an Agent of Social Change</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/93010-apple-s-china-debacle-the-corporation-as-an-agent-of-social-change?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">93010</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>The Olympics have ended. The athletes are heading home. <em><a id="amzn_cl_link_3" target="_blank" href="http://amazon.com/gp/product/B001C32XQI?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=siliconhutong-20&amp;link_code=em1&amp;camp=212341&amp;creative=380425&amp;creativeASIN=B001C32XQI&amp;adid=6d4319fb-5b70-440e-98fc-b9856a4dff07">Songs for Tibet</a></em> is off of the iTunes main page, but it is apparently still available for sale. The iTunes music store is once again accessible from China.</p> <p>Maths over at Music2dot0 did us all a real service by <a href="http://www.music2dot0.com/wp-comments-post.php">expanding my Bipolar Apple post into a broader discussion.</a> By the way, apart from excellent coverage of the realities and the posturing of all sides as the music industry evolves, Maths has the additional upside of having a very international view of the related issues. A superb blog and well worth a regular read if you follow the music business, and not just because he agrees with me.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 28 Aug 2008 06:12:01 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Wolf</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<img src='http://seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/davidwolf2.78px.jpg' title='david wolf' alt='david wolf' width="78" height="84" border='1' align="left" hspace="6" vspace="6" /><strong><a href="http://wolfgroupasia.com/">David Wolf</a> submits: </strong><p>The Olympics have ended. The athletes are heading home. <em><a id="amzn_cl_link_3" target="_blank" href="http://amazon.com/gp/product/B001C32XQI?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=siliconhutong-20&amp;link_code=em1&amp;camp=212341&amp;creative=380425&amp;creativeASIN=B001C32XQI&amp;adid=6d4319fb-5b70-440e-98fc-b9856a4dff07">Songs for Tibet</a></em> is off of the iTunes main page, but it is apparently still available for sale. The iTunes music store is once again accessible from China.</p> <p>Maths over at Music2dot0 did us all a real service by <a href="http://www.music2dot0.com/wp-comments-post.php">expanding my Bipolar Apple post into a broader discussion.</a> By the way, apart from excellent coverage of the realities and the posturing of all sides as the music industry evolves, Maths has the additional upside of having a very international view of the related issues. A superb blog and well worth a regular read if you follow the music business, and not just because he agrees with me.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/93010-apple-s-china-debacle-the-corporation-as-an-agent-of-social-change?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aapl">AAPL</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-wolf">David Wolf</category>
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    <item>
      <title>Apple's Bipolar China Disorder </title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/91731-apple-s-bipolar-china-disorder?source=feed</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">91731</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[<p>So here is the deal.</p><p>Apple (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aapl' title='More opinion and analysis of AAPL'>AAPL</a>) starts selling an album called &quot;Songs for Tibet&quot; on its iTunes Music Store (iTMS), and it does it right in the middle of the Beijing Olympics. Coincidence, or passive-aggressive middle finger to China? Apple isn't saying anything about it, so we are left to reach our own conclusions.</p>]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 20 Aug 2008 05:12:30 -0400</pubDate>
      <author>David Wolf</author>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[<img src='http://seekingalpha.com/wp-content/seekingalpha/images/davidwolf2.78px.jpg' title='david wolf' alt='david wolf' width="78" height="84" border='1' align="left" hspace="6" vspace="6" /><strong><a href="http://wolfgroupasia.com/">David Wolf</a> submits: </strong><p>So here is the deal.</p><p>Apple (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aapl' title='More opinion and analysis of AAPL'>AAPL</a>) starts selling an album called &quot;Songs for Tibet&quot; on its iTunes Music Store (iTMS), and it does it right in the middle of the Beijing Olympics. Coincidence, or passive-aggressive middle finger to China? Apple isn't saying anything about it, so we are left to reach our own conclusions.</p><br/><a href='http://seekingalpha.com/article/91731-apple-s-bipolar-china-disorder?source=feed'>Complete Story &raquo;</a>]]>
      </description>
      <category type="symbol" link="http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/aapl">AAPL</category>
      <category type="author" link="http://seekingalpha.com/author/david-wolf">David Wolf</category>
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